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Atlas Air Worldwide Holdings Inc Stock Research

AAWW

Market Closed

AAWW Stock Price

AAWW RSI Chart

AAWW Valuation

Market Cap

2.9B

Price/Earnings (Trailing)

8.22

Price/Sales (Trailing)

0.64

EV/EBITDA

4.48

Price/Free Cashflow

3.98

AAWW Price/Sales (Trailing)

AAWW Profitability

EBT Margin

10.15%

Return on Equity

11.61%

Return on Assets

5.31%

Free Cashflow Yield

25.12%

AAWW Fundamentals

AAWW Revenue

Revenue (TTM)

4.5B

Revenue Y/Y

3.82%

Revenue Q/Q

7.37%

AAWW Earnings

Earnings (TTM)

355.9M

Earnings Y/Y

-28.7%

Earnings Q/Q

109.67%

Price Action

Last 7 days

2.2%

Last 30 days

0.2%

Last 90 days

2.4%

Trailing 12 Months

22.0%

AAWW Financial Health

Current Ratio

0.96

Debt/Equity

0.61

Debt/Cashflow

0.45

AAWW Investor Care

Buy Backs (1Y)

2.31%

Diluted EPS (TTM)

10.53

Peers (Alternatives to Atlas Air Worldwide Holdings)

View All Peers In Detail
NameMkt Capsorted ascendingRevenuePrice %, 1MReturns, 1YP/EP/SRev 1-YrInc 1-Yr
LARGE-CAP
56.6B
94.1B
7.28% -2.85%
16.99
0.6
5.07% -32.20%
24.5B
50.6B
-14.64% -15.22%
298.7
0.53
69.18% 370.71%
17.6B
23.8B
-11.82% -32.54%
18.38
0.74
50.82% -2.15%
16.1B
17.1B
-0.67% 1.21%
11.88
0.94
3.32% -4.10%
11.1B
24.7B
-4.41% -9.78%
11.81
0.45
6.90% 11.40%
MID-CAP
3.5B
7.7B
-12.21% -60.08%
5.25
0.45
7.16% 95.31%
2.9B
4.5B
0.24% 22.01%
8.22
0.64
12.86% -27.86%
2.7B
2.0B
-0.88% 2.90%
14.04
1.37
18.71% 82.50%
2.2B
9.2B
-18.29% -53.60%
-6.05
0.24
51.67% -98.90%
SMALL-CAP
1.8B
5.1B
-11.87% -22.57%
-3.3
0.36
56.88% -17.26%
1.5B
2.0B
-18.32% -41.26%
7.31
0.71
17.94% -14.19%
299.2M
727.6M
-3.94% -18.64%
7.3
0.22
-19.14% 92.40%
63.4M
224.4M
-7.28% -3.27%
-25.19
0.28
30.18% -139.59%
2.7M
5.3B
-12.91% 0.61%
0.01
5e-4
26.18% 108.16%

Financials for Atlas Air Worldwide Holdings

Income Statement (Last 12 Months)
(In Millions)
* denotes actual numbers (not divided by Millions)
Description(%) Q/Q2022Q42022Q32022Q22022Q12021Q4
Revenue2.2%4,5494,4494,3414,2324,031
EBITDA-7.7%8979731,0611,092-
EBITDA Margin-9.8%0.20*0.22*0.24*0.26*-
Earnings Before Taxes-13.3%462532610635647
EBT Margin-15.2%0.10*0.12*0.14*0.15*-
Interest Expenses-4.6%82.0086.0094.00101107
Net Income-12.5%356407466485493
Net Income Margin-14.4%0.08*0.09*0.11*0.12*-
Free Cahsflow-6.3%735784905949-
Balance Sheet
(In Millions)
* denotes actual numbers (not divided by Millions)
Description(%) Q/Q2022Q42022Q32022Q22022Q12021Q4
Assets7.3%6,6966,2436,2996,3336,443
  Current Assets35.2%1,1258329931,1321,326
    Cash Equivalents64.0%763465607730911
  Net PPE3.8%5,1184,9304,8104,6894,584
  Goodwill-40.00----
  Current Liabilities1.2%1,1711,1571,1491,4011,420
  Long Term Debt17.9%1,8611,5791,7201,6151,655
Shareholder's Equity4.5%3,0652,9332,8652,7612,809
  Retained Earnings5.3%2,5252,3992,3392,2512,100
  Additional Paid-In Capital0.9%879871863828935
Accumulated Depreciation3.0%1,5101,4671,4151,3611,320
Shares Outstanding0.6%29.0028.0028.0028.0029.00
Cashflow (Last 12 Months)
(In Millions)
* denotes actual numbers (not divided by Millions)
Description(%) Q/Q2022Q42022Q32022Q22022Q12021Q4
Cashflow From Operations-5.8%8388901,0061,043923
  Share Based Compensation8.1%14.0013.0012.0012.0014.00
Cashflow From Investing-24.4%-820-659-601-511-493
Cashflow From Financing69.4%-164-538-548-504-364
  Buy Backs0%10010010080.000.00

Risks for AAWW

What is the probability of a big loss on AAWW?

90.4%


Probability that Atlas Air Worldwide Holdings stock will be more than 20% underwater in next one year

64.6%


Probability that Atlas Air Worldwide Holdings stock will be more than 30% underwater in next one year.

44.2%


Probability that Atlas Air Worldwide Holdings stock will be more than 40% underwater in next one year.
*Calculated based on probability distribution of losses observed in actual data in the last 5 years.

How does AAWW drawdown profile look like?

Y-axis is the maximum loss one would have experienced if Atlas Air Worldwide Holdings was unfortunately bought at previous high price.

Drawdowns

Returns for AAWW

Cumulative Returns on AAWW

8.7%


10-Year Cumulative Returns

13.7%


7-Year Cumulative Returns

9.8%


5-Year Cumulative Returns

76.3%


3-Year Cumulative Returns

What are the long-term rolling returns for AAWW?

FIve years rolling returns for Atlas Air Worldwide Holdings.

Annualized Returns

Which funds bought or sold AAWW recently?

View All Details
Datesorted ascendingFund NameType% Chg$ Change$ Held% Portfolio
2023-03-13
Crystalline Management Inc.
new
-
5,091,000
5,091,000
2.56%
2023-03-10
VICTORY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT INC
reduced
-61.4
-862,699
592,301
-%
2023-03-06
Rockefeller Capital Management L.P.
unchanged
-
-
2,000
-%
2023-02-28
Voya Investment Management LLC
reduced
-38.78
-575,773
1,049,230
-%
2023-02-27
REBALANCE, LLC
new
-
120,960
120,960
0.01%
2023-02-24
NATIXIS
sold off
-100
-4,667,000
-
-%
2023-02-22
TEACHERS RETIREMENT SYSTEM OF THE STATE OF KENTUCKY
unchanged
-
42,000
798,000
0.01%
2023-02-21
NORTHWESTERN MUTUAL WEALTH MANAGEMENT CO
sold off
-100
-2,000
-
-%
2023-02-21
Empirical Finance, LLC
added
0.91
40,123
658,123
0.07%
2023-02-21
NORTHWESTERN MUTUAL WEALTH MANAGEMENT CO
unchanged
-
1,688
23,688
-%

1–10 of 41

Latest Funds Activity

Are funds buying AAWW calls or puts?
Calls
Puts
Are funds bullish or bearish(Calls - Puts)?
Net Call Options
No. of funds that own AAWW
No. of Funds

Atlas Air Worldwide Holdings News

MarketBeat

Yousif Capital Management LLC Has $1.65 Million Stock Holdings ....

MarketBeat,
5 hours ago

Aviation Week

StreetInsider.com

Shelton Herald

Atlas Air: Q4 Earnings Snapshot.

Shelton Herald,
31 days ago

Schedule 13G FIlings of Atlas Air Worldwide Holdings

Date FiledName of FilerPercent of ClassNo. of SharesForm Type
Feb 10, 2023
dimensional fund advisors lp
7.1%
2,011,121
SC 13G/A
Feb 09, 2023
vanguard group inc
10.88%
3,084,767
SC 13G/A
Feb 07, 2023
hill city capital, lp
2.03%
575,662
SC 13G
Jan 26, 2023
blackrock inc.
14.9%
4,234,721
SC 13G/A
Jan 20, 2023
blackrock inc.
14.9%
4,234,721
SC 13G/A
Oct 24, 2022
sixth street partners management company, l.p.
0.00%
0
SC 13G/A
Feb 14, 2022
greenlight capital inc
1.2%
336,148
SC 13G/A
Feb 14, 2022
sixth street partners management company, l.p.
6.91%
2,007,000
SC 13G/A
Feb 09, 2022
vanguard group inc
10.46%
3,037,323
SC 13G/A
Feb 08, 2022
dimensional fund advisors lp
6.7%
1,955,936
SC 13G/A

AAWW Fair Value

Atlas Air Worldwide Holdings fair value in different scenarios

The table shows the Fair Value estimates for Atlas Air Worldwide Holdings for various scenarios. Disclaimer: These are just estimations from a model. None of the models are good at predicting the future. Please dont buy or sell stocks based on these outputs.
Fair ValueVery PessimisticPessimisticBase CaseOptimisticVery Optimistic
Very Low Inflation

213.41

-

284.12

-

401.47

-

511.89

-

590.85

-
Current Inflation

196.14

-

257.30

-

356.76

-

450.05

-

516.84

-
Very High Inflation

174.68

-

224.63

-

303.59

-

377.44

-

430.44

-

Historical Atlas Air Worldwide Holdings Fair Value Estimates


Very Pessimistic Case
Pessimistic Case
Fair Value
Optimistic Case
Very Optimistic Case
Closing Stock Price

Recent SEC filings of Atlas Air Worldwide Holdings

View All Filings
Date Filed Form Type Document
Mar 21, 2023
4
Insider Trading
Mar 21, 2023
4
Insider Trading
Mar 21, 2023
4
Insider Trading
Mar 21, 2023
4
Insider Trading
Mar 21, 2023
4
Insider Trading
Mar 21, 2023
4
Insider Trading
Mar 21, 2023
4
Insider Trading
Mar 21, 2023
4
Insider Trading
Mar 21, 2023
4
Insider Trading
Mar 21, 2023
4
Insider Trading

Latest Insider Trading transactions for AAWW

Filter Transactions
Datesorted ascendingNameBuy/Sell$ ValueAvg. Price# SharesTitle
2023-03-17
Schwartz Spencer
back to issuer
-
-
-70,270
evp & cfo
2023-03-17
DIETRICH JOHN W
back to issuer
-
-
-121,993
president & ceo
2023-03-17
Stamps Sheila A
back to issuer
-
-
-3,272
-
2023-03-17
GRIFFIN BOBBY J
back to issuer
-
-
-2,479
-
2023-03-17
Mayer Keith H.
back to issuer
-
-
-13,450
svp & controller
2023-03-17
Zierhoffer Carol J
back to issuer
-
-
-1,502
-
2023-03-17
McNabb Duncan J.
back to issuer
-
-
-8,667
-
2023-03-17
Forbes James Anthony
back to issuer
-
-
-31,145
evp & coo
2023-03-17
Kokas Adam Richard
back to issuer
-
-
-67,472
evp, gc & secty.
2023-03-17
Steen Michael
back to issuer
-
-
-140,341
evp & cmo

1–10 of 50

John W. Dietrich
4060
Atlas Air Worldwide Holdings, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides outsourced aircraft and aviation operating services. It operates through two segments, Airline Operations and Dry Leasing. The company offers outsourced cargo and passenger aircraft operating solutions, including contractual service arrangements, such as the provision of aircraft; and value-added services, including crew, maintenance, and insurance to aircraft and other customers. It also provides cargo and passenger aircraft charter services to the U.S. Military Air Mobility Command, charter brokers, freight forwarders, direct shippers, airlines, manufacturers, sports teams and fans, and private charter customers; and cargo and passenger aircraft and engines dry leasing services. In addition, the company offers administrative and management support services, and flight simulator training services. It also serves express delivery providers, e-commerce retailers, and airlines. The company has operations in Africa, Asia, Australia, Europe, the Middle East, North America, and South America. Atlas Air Worldwide Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1992 and is headquartered in Purchase, New York.

AAWW Income Statement

2022-12-31
Consolidated Statements of Operations - USD ($)
shares in Thousands, $ in Thousands
12 Months Ended
Dec. 31, 2022
Dec. 31, 2021
Dec. 31, 2020
Income Statement [Abstract]   
Operating Revenue$ 4,549,104$ 4,030,829$ 3,211,116
Operating Expenses   
Aircraft fuel1,335,622824,928440,649
Salaries, wages and benefits1,135,153924,440737,963
Maintenance, materials and repairs425,959472,537506,297
Depreciation and amortization303,220281,209257,672
Travel211,902162,986154,792
Navigation fees, landing fees and other rent159,212184,060155,107
Passenger and ground handling services140,381156,962138,822
Aircraft rent52,26867,74596,865
Loss (gain) on disposal of flight equipment3,098(794)(7,248)
Special charge16,215016,265
Transaction-related expenses9,7461,0012,780
Other233,934244,461216,384
Total Operating Expenses4,026,7103,319,5352,716,348
Operating Income522,394711,294494,768
Non-operating Expenses (Income)   
Interest income(8,755)(723)(1,076)
Interest expense81,692107,492114,635
Capitalized interest(12,683)(8,316)(925)
Loss on early extinguishment of debt6896,04281
Unrealized loss on financial instruments011371,053
Other (income) expense, net(185)(40,705)(185,742)
Total Non-operating Expenses (Income)60,75863,903(1,974)
Income before income taxes461,636647,391496,742
Income tax expense105,756154,074136,456
Net Income$ 355,880$ 493,317$ 360,286
Earnings per share:   
Basic$ 12.50$ 17.06$ 13.64
Diluted$ 10.53$ 16.16$ 13.50
Weighted average shares:   
Basic28,46328,91026,408
Diluted34,19030,54326,690

AAWW Balance Sheet

2022-12-31
Consolidated Balance Sheets - USD ($)
$ in Thousands
Dec. 31, 2022
Dec. 31, 2021
Current Assets  
Cash and cash equivalents$ 763,314$ 910,965
Restricted cash10,59710,052
Accounts receivable, net of allowance of $2,661 and $4,003, respectively253,738305,905
Prepaid expenses, assets held for sale and other current assets97,26999,100
Total current assets1,124,9181,326,022
Property and Equipment  
Flight equipment6,286,1035,449,100
Ground equipment106,246101,824
Less: accumulated depreciation(1,510,402)(1,319,636)
Flight equipment purchase deposits and modifications in progress235,586352,422
Property and equipment, net5,117,5334,583,710
Other Assets  
Operating lease right-of-use assets107,707138,744
Deferred costs and other assets287,392329,971
Intangible assets, net and goodwill58,76664,796
Total Assets6,696,3166,443,243
Current Liabilities  
Accounts payable115,30482,885
Accrued liabilities565,108641,978
Current portion of long-term debt and finance leases437,046639,811
Current portion of long-term operating leases53,82555,383
Total current liabilities1,171,2831,420,057
Other Liabilities  
Long-term debt and finance leases1,861,1221,655,075
Long-term operating leases111,591166,022
Deferred taxes452,495354,798
Financial instruments and other liabilities35,04937,954
Total other liabilities2,460,2572,213,849
Commitments and contingencies00
Stockholders’ Equity  
Preferred stock, $1 par value; 10,000,000 shares authorized; no shares issued00
Common stock, $0.01 par value; 100,000,000 shares authorized; 35,465,249 and 34,707,860 shares issued, 28,542,203 and 29,215,702 shares outstanding (net of treasury stock), as of December 31, 2022 and December 31, 2021, respectively353347
Additional paid-in capital878,727934,516
Treasury stock, at cost; 6,923,046 and 5,492,158 shares, respectively(339,219)(225,461)
Accumulated other comprehensive income (loss)44(511)
Retained earnings2,524,8712,100,446
Total stockholders’ equity3,064,7762,809,337
Total Liabilities and Equity$ 6,696,316$ 6,443,243