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Arch Capital Group Ltd Stock Research

ACGL

66.07USD+3.33(+5.31%)Market Closed

Market Summary

USD66.07+3.33
Market Closed
5.31%

ACGL Alerts

ACGL Stock Price

ACGL RSI Chart

ACGL Valuation

Market Cap

24.1B

Price/Earnings (Trailing)

16.34

Price/Sales (Trailing)

2.49

EV/EBITDA

7.73

Price/Free Cashflow

6.32

ACGL Price/Sales (Trailing)

ACGL Profitability

EBT Margin

27.63%

Return on Equity

11.44%

Return on Assets

3.08%

Free Cashflow Yield

15.81%

ACGL Fundamentals

ACGL Revenue

Revenue (TTM)

9.7B

Revenue Y/Y

173.74%

Revenue Q/Q

31.38%

ACGL Earnings

Earnings (TTM)

1.5B

Earnings Y/Y

37.93%

Earnings Q/Q

4.9K%

Price Action

52 Week Range

41.0572.28
(Low)(High)

Last 7 days

-10.7%

Last 30 days

-3.8%

Last 90 days

3.3%

Trailing 12 Months

34.0%

ACGL Financial Health

Debt/Equity

0.22

Debt/Cashflow

1.4

ACGL Investor Care

Buy Backs (1Y)

6.19%

Diluted EPS (TTM)

3.8

Peers (Alternatives to Arch Capital Group)

View All Peers In Detail
NameMkt Capsorted ascendingRevenuePrice %, 1MReturns, 1YP/EP/SRev 1-YrInc 1-Yr
LARGE-CAP
83.5B
49.6B
-3.33% 25.86%
115.74
1.68
4.00% -78.47%
40.0B
36.9B
-11.25% -6.12%
14.06
1.08
5.94% -22.39%
38.3B
56.4B
-22.60% -17.13%
3.73
0.68
8.41% 9.46%
29.5B
51.4B
-18.97% -12.44%
-20.82
0.57
1.63% -195.35%
24.8B
12.1B
-11.42% 23.49%
41.48
2.05
1.63% -56.71%
23.3B
22.4B
-16.76% -3.54%
11.93
1.05
-0.13% -23.26%
11.4B
6.8B
0.57% 29.95%
32.11
0.97
-36.57% -61.35%
10.2B
7.0B
-13.98% -9.38%
11.39
1.45
7.45% -54.99%
MID-CAP
8.6B
6.3B
-14.12% 28.23%
-8.11
1.36
21.94% -2542.77%
4.0B
-
-8.96% -17.12%
-4.13
4.2
-80.45% -283.49%
SMALL-CAP
1.4B
1.4B
-7.46% -16.42%
-543.45
1.02
3.97% -101.82%
1.4B
327.1M
6.70% -11.03%
26.51
4.23
39.88% 13.79%
1.0B
1.1B
-7.52% -28.26%
-2.5K
0.91
-1.58% -100.28%
812.7M
813.7M
-5.54% 1.51%
26.24
1
5.28% 117.92%

Financials for Arch Capital Group

Income Statement (Last 12 Months)
(In Millions)
* denotes actual numbers (not divided by Millions)
Description(%) Q/Q2022Q42022Q32022Q22022Q12021Q4
Revenue25.9%9,6787,6887,4037,7588,082
  S&GA Expenses-0.3%95.0096.0098.0086.0079.00
EBITDA-0.1%2,4992,502---
EBITDA Margin4.0%0.29*0.28*---
EBT Margin4.1%0.28*0.27*---
Interest Expenses-0.4%130131131134139
Net Income19.1%1,4771,2411,6431,9142,157
Net Income Margin-5.4%0.15*0.16*0.19*0.21*-
Free Cahsflow5.0%3,8153,6343,2693,216-
Balance Sheet
(In Millions)
* denotes actual numbers (not divided by Millions)
Description(%) Q/Q2022Q42022Q32022Q22022Q12021Q4
Assets3.6%47,99146,33745,71945,67845,101
    Cash Equivalents5.1%855814814813859
  Goodwill-345----
Liabilities1.6%35,07034,53333,29332,74931,546
  Long Term Debt-10.3%2,6002,9003,300--
Shareholder's Equity9.5%12,91011,79512,41812,92013,546
  Retained Earnings5.6%15,89215,04315,03614,64114,456
  Additional Paid-In Capital1.1%2,2112,1872,1712,1342,085
Shares Outstanding-1.1%365369374--
Minority InterestNaN%-----
Cashflow (Last 12 Months)
(In Millions)
Description(%) Q/Q2022Q42022Q32022Q22022Q12021Q4
Cashflow From Operations5.0%3,8153,6343,2693,2163,428
  Share Based Compensation-7.6%88.0095.0096.0092.0087.00
Cashflow From Investing-11.1%-3,102-2,793-1,861-1,959-2,139
Cashflow From Financing32.9%-705-1,051-1,934-1,276-1,229
  Buy Backs-38.2%5869481,3251,3101,234

Risks for ACGL

What is the probability of a big loss on ACGL?

35.4%


Probability that Arch Capital Group stock will be more than 20% underwater in next one year

19.6%


Probability that Arch Capital Group stock will be more than 30% underwater in next one year.

19.2%


Probability that Arch Capital Group stock will be more than 40% underwater in next one year.
*Calculated based on probability distribution of losses observed in actual data in the last 5 years.

How does ACGL drawdown profile look like?

Y-axis is the maximum loss one would have experienced if Arch Capital Group was unfortunately bought at previous high price.

Drawdowns

Returns for ACGL

Cumulative Returns on ACGL

13.8%


10-Year Cumulative Returns

15.3%


7-Year Cumulative Returns

17.2%


5-Year Cumulative Returns

24.2%


3-Year Cumulative Returns

What are the long-term rolling returns for ACGL?

FIve years rolling returns for Arch Capital Group.

Annualized Returns

Which funds bought or sold ACGL recently?

View All Details
Datesorted ascendingFund NameType% Chg$ Change$ Held% Portfolio
2023-03-10
VICTORY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT INC
added
115
20,798,100
31,352,100
0.03%
2023-03-08
SHEETS SMITH WEALTH MANAGEMENT
new
-
470,411
470,411
0.07%
2023-03-08
Capital Asset Advisory Services LLC
sold off
-100
-381,000
-
-%
2023-03-06
Rockefeller Capital Management L.P.
reduced
-44.4
-4,041,000
13,264,000
0.07%
2023-03-02
OLIVER LAGORE VANVALIN INVESTMENT GROUP
unchanged
-
1,529
6,529
-%
2023-02-28
Voya Investment Management LLC
added
91.04
6,682,930
10,774,900
0.01%
2023-02-27
Parallax Volatility Advisers, L.P.
new
-
74,834
74,834
-%
2023-02-24
NATIXIS
new
-
1,028,900
1,028,900
0.01%
2023-02-22
CVA Family Office, LLC
added
6.03
12,610
38,610
0.01%
2023-02-22
TEACHERS RETIREMENT SYSTEM OF THE STATE OF KENTUCKY
new
-
1,978,000
1,978,000
0.02%

1–10 of 46

Latest Funds Activity

Are funds buying ACGL calls or puts?
Calls
Puts
Are funds bullish or bearish(Calls - Puts)?
Net Call Options
No. of funds that own ACGL
No. of Funds

Arch Capital Group News

MarketBeat

Aurora Investment Managers LLC. Reduces Stake in Arch Capital ....

MarketBeat,
10 hours ago

The National Herald

Yahoo Finance

Best Oversold ETFs for April 2023.

Yahoo Finance,
4 days ago

Schedule 13G FIlings of Arch Capital Group

Date FiledName of FilerPercent of ClassNo. of SharesForm Type
Feb 14, 2023
bamco inc /ny/
5.48%
20,256,146
SC 13G/A
Feb 13, 2023
capital world investors
5.3%
19,678,224
SC 13G/A
Feb 09, 2023
vanguard group inc
11.11%
41,074,898
SC 13G/A
Feb 03, 2023
blackrock inc.
6.9%
25,524,204
SC 13G
Nov 10, 2022
vanguard group inc
11.06%
40,837,607
SC 13G/A
Feb 14, 2022
bamco inc /ny/
5.26%
20,329,292
SC 13G/A
Feb 11, 2022
cascade investment, l.l.c.
0%
0
SC 13G/A
Feb 11, 2022
capital world investors
5.4%
20,738,867
SC 13G
Feb 09, 2022
vanguard group inc
8.65%
33,407,250
SC 13G/A
Feb 04, 2022
artisan partners limited partnership
9.5%
36,684,714
SC 13G/A

ACGL Fair Value

Arch Capital Group fair value in different scenarios

The table shows the Fair Value estimates for Arch Capital Group for various scenarios. Disclaimer: These are just estimations from a model. None of the models are good at predicting the future. Please dont buy or sell stocks based on these outputs.
Fair ValueVery PessimisticPessimisticBase CaseOptimisticVery Optimistic
Very Low Inflation

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-
Current Inflation

54.15

-18.04%

67.48

2.13%

88.98

34.68%

125.00

89.19%

149.10

125.67%
Very High Inflation

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

Historical Arch Capital Group Fair Value Estimates


Very Pessimistic Case
Pessimistic Case
Fair Value
Optimistic Case
Very Optimistic Case
Closing Stock Price

Recent SEC filings of Arch Capital Group

View All Filings
Date Filed Form Type Document
Mar 14, 2023
4
Insider Trading
Mar 14, 2023
4
Insider Trading
Mar 06, 2023
4
Insider Trading
Feb 28, 2023
4
Insider Trading
Feb 28, 2023
4
Insider Trading
Feb 28, 2023
4
Insider Trading
Feb 28, 2023
4
Insider Trading
Feb 28, 2023
4
Insider Trading
Feb 28, 2023
4
Insider Trading
Feb 28, 2023
4
Insider Trading

Latest Insider Trading transactions for ACGL

Filter Transactions
Datesorted ascendingNameBuy/Sell$ ValueAvg. Price# SharesTitle
2023-11-15
GRANDISSON MARC
gifted
-
-
-54,219
ceo
2023-11-15
GRANDISSON MARC
gifted
-
-
86,299
ceo
2023-03-10
Gansberg David
sold (taxes)
-295,415
66.61
-4,435
ceo, global mortgage group
2023-03-10
PETRILLO LOUIS T
sold (taxes)
-202,961
66.61
-3,047
officer of subsidiary
2023-03-02
Papadopoulo Nicolas
sold
-2,104,670
70.1557
-30,000
officer of subsidiary
2023-02-27
Gansberg David
sold (taxes)
-41,179
69.21
-595
ceo, global mortgage group
2023-02-27
PETRILLO LOUIS T
sold (taxes)
-33,774
69.21
-488
officer of subsidiary
2023-02-26
PETRILLO LOUIS T
sold (taxes)
-41,640
69.17
-602
officer of subsidiary
2023-02-26
Gansberg David
sold (taxes)
-54,436
69.17
-787
ceo, global mortgage group
2023-02-25
PETRILLO LOUIS T
sold (taxes)
-35,553
69.17
-514
officer of subsidiary

1–10 of 50

Marc Grandisson
5200
Arch Capital Group Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides insurance, reinsurance, and mortgage insurance products worldwide. The company's Insurance segment offers primary and excess casualty coverages; loss sensitive primary casualty insurance programs; collateral protection, debt cancellation, and service contract reimbursement products; directors' and officers' liability, errors and omissions liability, employment practices and fiduciary liability, crime, professional indemnity, and other financial related coverages; medical professional and general liability insurance coverages; and workers' compensation and umbrella liability, as well as commercial automobile and inland marine products. It also provides property, energy, marine, and aviation insurance; travel insurance; accident, disability, and medical plan insurance coverages; captive insurance programs; employer's liability; and contract and commercial surety coverages. This segment markets its products through a group of licensed independent retail and wholesale brokers. Its Reinsurance segment provides casualty reinsurance for third party liability and workers' compensation exposures; marine and aviation; surety, accident and health, workers' compensation catastrophe, agriculture, trade credit, and political risk products; reinsurance protection for catastrophic losses, and personal lines and commercial property exposures; life reinsurance; casualty clash; and risk management solutions. This segment markets its reinsurance products through brokers. The company's Mortgage segment offers direct mortgage insurance and mortgage reinsurance. The company was incorporated in 1995 and is based in Pembroke, Bermuda.

ACGL Income Statement

2022-12-31
Consolidated Statements of Income - USD ($)
$ in Thousands
12 Months Ended
Dec. 31, 2022
Dec. 31, 2021
Dec. 31, 2020
Revenues   
Net premiums earned$ 9,678,077$ 8,082,298$ 6,991,935
Net investment income496,547389,118519,608
Net realized gains (losses)(662,734)379,845823,460
Other underwriting income13,22722,07326,784
Equity in net income of investments accounted for using the equity method115,856366,402146,693
Other income (loss)(26,165)10,24429
Total revenues9,614,8089,249,9808,508,509
Expenses   
Losses and loss adjustment expenses5,027,5174,584,8034,689,599
Acquisition expenses1,739,5801,303,1781,004,842
Other operating expenses1,128,175998,595875,176
Corporate expenses95,48279,15781,988
Amortization of intangible assets106,20082,95569,031
Interest expense130,266139,470143,456
Net foreign exchange losses (gains)(100,905)(41,529)83,634
Total expenses8,126,3157,146,6296,947,726
Income before income taxes and income (loss) from operating affiliates1,488,4932,103,3511,560,783
Income taxes:   
Current tax expense (benefit)201,216295,533197,662
Deferred tax expense (benefit)(121,255)(166,951)(85,824)
Income tax expense79,961128,582111,838
Income (loss) from operating affiliates73,891264,69316,766
Net income1,482,4232,239,4621,465,711
Net (income) loss attributable to noncontrolling interests(5,490)(82,613)(60,190)
Net income available to Arch1,476,9332,156,8491,405,521
Preferred share dividends(40,736)(48,343)(41,612)
Loss on redemption of preferred shares0(15,101)0
Net income available to Arch common shareholders$ 1,436,197$ 2,093,405$ 1,363,909
Net income per common share and common share equivalent   
Basic (per share)$ 3.90$ 5.34$ 3.38
Diluted (per share)$ 3.80$ 5.23$ 3.32
Weighted average common shares and common share equivalents outstanding   
Basic (shares)368,612,197391,748,715403,062,179
Diluted (shares)377,609,767400,345,936410,259,455

ACGL Balance Sheet

2022-12-31
Consolidated Balance Sheets - USD ($)
$ in Thousands
Dec. 31, 2022
Dec. 31, 2021
Investments:  
Debt securities available for sale, at fair value$ 21,014,451$ 19,732,825
Equity securities, at fair value859,9691,804,170
Other investments (portion measured at fair value: $1,644,197 and $1,973,550)1,644,1971,973,550
Investments accounted for using the equity method3,774,3103,077,611
Total investments27,292,92726,588,156
Cash855,118858,668
Accrued investment income158,68085,453
Investment in operating affiliates964,6041,135,655
Premiums receivable (net of allowance for credit losses: $35,402 and $39,958)3,624,7772,633,280
Reinsurance recoverable on unpaid and paid losses and loss adjustment expenses (net of allowance for credit losses: $21,544 and $13,230)6,563,6545,880,735
Contractholder receivables (net of allowance for credit losses: $2,691 and $3,437)1,731,2931,828,691
Ceded unearned premiums1,799,1971,729,455
Deferred acquisition costs1,263,870901,841
Receivable for securities sold12,49360,179
Goodwill and intangible assets804,289944,983
Other assets2,919,6052,453,849
Total assets47,990,50745,100,945
Liabilities  
Reserve for losses and loss adjustment expenses20,031,94317,757,156
Unearned premiums7,337,0026,011,942
Reinsurance balances payable1,529,9191,583,253
Contractholder payables1,733,9841,832,127
Collateral held for insured obligations249,238242,352
Senior notes2,725,4102,724,394
Payable for securities purchased95,04164,850
Other liabilities1,367,0681,329,742
Total liabilities35,069,60531,545,816
Commitments and Contingencies
Redeemable noncontrolling interests10,8299,233
Shareholders’ Equity  
Non-cumulative preferred shares830,000830,000
Common shares ($0.0011 par, shares issued: 588,250,762 and 583,289,850)654648
Additional paid-in capital2,211,4442,085,075
Retained earnings15,892,06514,455,868
Accumulated other comprehensive income (loss), net of deferred income tax(1,646,170)(64,600)
Common shares held in treasury, at cost (shares: 217,904,765 and 204,365,956)(4,377,920)(3,761,095)
Total shareholders' equity available to Arch12,910,07313,545,896
Total liabilities, noncontrolling interests and shareholders' equity47,990,50745,100,945
Fixed maturities available for sale, at fair value (amortized cost: $21,281,863 and $17,973,823; net of allowance for credit losses: $41,355 and $2,883)  
Investments:  
Debt securities available for sale, at fair value19,682,78917,998,109
Short-term investments available for sale, at fair value (amortized cost: $1,332,996 and $1,734,738; net of allowance for credit losses: $0 and $0 )  
Investments:  
Debt securities available for sale, at fair value$ 1,331,662$ 1,734,716