Market Summary
USD61.04+0.21
Market Closed0.35%
AGO Stock Price
AGO RSI Chart
AGO Valuation
AGO Price/Sales (Trailing)
AGO Profitability
AGO Fundamentals
AGO Revenue
AGO Earnings
Price Action
52 Week Range
45.2167.13
(Low)(High)
Last 7 days
0.1%
Last 30 days
5.1%
Last 90 days
12.9%
Trailing 12 Months
15.2%
AGO Financial Health
AGO Investor Care
Historical Charts for Stock Metrics
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Net sales
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Latest Insider Trading transactions for AGO
Filter Transactions| Datesorted ascending | Name | Buy/Sell | $ Value | Avg. Price | # Shares | Title |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2023-09-14 | FREDERICO DOMINIC | sold | -1,228,410 | 61.35 | -20,023 | president/ceo/deputy chairman |
2023-09-13 | FREDERICO DOMINIC | gifted | - | - | -23,729 | president/ceo/deputy chairman |
2023-09-13 | FREDERICO DOMINIC | sold | -1,832,490 | 61.13 | -29,977 | president/ceo/deputy chairman |
2023-09-07 | KENNY PATRICK W | gifted | - | - | -700 | - |
2023-08-25 | BUHL G LAWRENCE | gifted | - | - | -1,000 | - |
2023-08-24 | Bailenson Robert | sold | -583,275 | 58.3275 | -10,000 | chief financial officer |
2023-08-23 | Bailenson Robert | sold | -573,500 | 57.35 | -10,000 | chief financial officer |
2023-08-22 | Bailenson Robert | sold | -571,900 | 57.19 | -10,000 | chief financial officer |
2023-05-07 | Bieling Laura | sold (taxes) | -7,323 | 52.69 | -139 | chief accounting officer |
2023-05-03 | Omura Yukiko | acquired | - | - | 2,775 | - |
Which funds bought or sold AGO recently?
View All Details| Datesorted ascending | Fund Name | Type | % Chg | $ Change | $ Held | % Portfolio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2023-09-12 | Farther Finance Advisors, LLC | added | 2.96 | 970 | 7,756 | -% |
2023-09-08 | TUCKER ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC | unchanged | - | 304 | 3,069 | -% |
2023-08-28 | DT Investment Partners, LLC | unchanged | - | 1,049 | 10,820 | -% |
2023-08-22 | VIRGINIA RETIREMENT SYSTEMS ET AL | added | 6.19 | 174,242 | 1,149,480 | 0.01% |
2023-08-21 | TEACHERS RETIREMENT SYSTEM OF THE STATE OF KENTUCKY | added | 5.72 | 166,000 | 1,121,000 | 0.01% |
2023-08-21 | OSAIC HOLDINGS, INC. | reduced | -12.57 | -8,605 | 278,107 | -% |
2023-08-21 | CALIFORNIA STATE TEACHERS RETIREMENT SYSTEM | reduced | -4.15 | 232,494 | 3,870,230 | -% |
2023-08-17 | Orion Portfolio Solutions, LLC | reduced | -20.65 | -58,280 | 430,478 | -% |
2023-08-16 | Sunbelt Securities, Inc. | sold off | -100 | -9,757 | - | -% |
2023-08-16 | Nuveen Asset Management, LLC | reduced | -6.38 | 326,698 | 8,668,700 | -% |
Latest Funds Activity
Calls
Puts
Net Call Options
No. of Funds
Schedule 13G FIlings of Assured Guaranty
| Date Filed | Name of Filer | Percent of Class | No. of Shares | Form Type | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2023 | putnam investments llc | 9.9% | 5,942,511 | SC 13G/A | |
| Feb 10, 2023 | dimensional fund advisors lp | 7.3% | 4,365,129 | SC 13G/A | |
| Feb 09, 2023 | vanguard group inc | 11.99% | 7,193,642 | SC 13G/A | |
| Feb 06, 2023 | wellington management group llp | 8.99% | 5,393,313 | SC 13G/A | |
| Jan 26, 2023 | blackrock inc. | 13.7% | 8,197,629 | SC 13G/A | |
| Jan 20, 2023 | blackrock inc. | 13.7% | 8,197,629 | SC 13G/A | |
| Feb 14, 2022 | putnam investments llc | 11.0% | 7,706,196 | SC 13G/A | |
| Feb 09, 2022 | vanguard group inc | 10.76% | 7,517,675 | SC 13G/A | |
| Feb 08, 2022 | dimensional fund advisors lp | 5.7% | 3,997,428 | SC 13G | |
| Feb 04, 2022 | wellington management group llp | 9.25% | 6,462,794 | SC 13G/A |
Recent SEC filings of Assured Guaranty
View All Filings| Date Filed | Form Type | Document | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 2023 | 4 | Insider Trading | |
| Sep 13, 2023 | 144 | Notice of Insider Sale Intent | |
| Sep 11, 2023 | 4 | Insider Trading | |
| Aug 28, 2023 | 4 | Insider Trading | |
| Aug 28, 2023 | 4 | Insider Trading | |
| Aug 25, 2023 | CERT | CERT | |
| Aug 24, 2023 | 4 | Insider Trading | |
| Aug 22, 2023 | 144 | Notice of Insider Sale Intent | |
| Aug 21, 2023 | 8-A12B | 8-A12B | |
| Aug 21, 2023 | 8-K | Current Report |
AGO Fair Value
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Peers (Alternatives to Assured Guaranty)
View All Peers In Detail| Name | Mkt Capsorted ascending | Revenue | Price %, 1M | Returns, 1Y | P/E | P/S | Rev 1-Yr | Inc 1-Yr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LARGE-CAP | ||||||||
PGR | 83.5B | 55.3B | 7.95% | 14.06% | 47.86 | 1.51 | 11.39% | 104.72% |
AFL | 46.3B | 18.8B | 4.21% | 28.97% | 10.07 | 2.47 | -11.15% | 5.38% |
AIG | 45.2B | 50.4B | 7.84% | 18.06% | 10.04 | 0.9 | -9.25% | -63.51% |
TRV | 38.7B | 38.7B | 4.54% | 6.04% | 17.31 | 1 | 8.33% | -37.32% |
ALL | 29.9B | 54.6B | 8.41% | -11.08% | -11.18 | 0.55 | 9.14% | -383.17% |
RE | 25.2B | 13.3B | 0.67% | 24.34% | 20.79 | 1.9 | 12.64% | 55.58% |
| MID-CAP | ||||||||
UNM | 9.2B | 12.1B | 0.14% | 22.58% | 6.51 | 0.77 | 1.23% | 31.52% |
ORI | 7.9B | 7.7B | 1.14% | 25.31% | 10.13 | 1.03 | -15.58% | -21.00% |
AIZ | 7.5B | 10.6B | 0.12% | -4.99% | 21.75 | 0.71 | 3.62% | -71.27% |
AGO | 3.6B | 976.0M | 5.13% | 15.20% | 11.55 | 3.68 | 12.83% | 4.01% |
| SMALL-CAP | ||||||||
PLMR | 1.3B | 348.9M | 3.93% | -38.51% | 22.87 | 3.8 | 16.85% | 25.90% |
ARGO | 1.0B | 1.6B | 0.20% | 34.45% | -5.53 | 0.67 | -21.91% | -72.21% |
AMBC | 579.4M | 419.0M | -2.37% | -12.34% | 1.24 | 1.38 | 35.60% | 23350.00% |
MBI | 383.7M | - | -3.69% | -25.99% | -2.93 | 2.82 | -18.52% | 66.15% |
Assured Guaranty News
Returns for AGO
Cumulative Returns on AGO
14.2%
10-Year Cumulative Returns
13.8%
7-Year Cumulative Returns
9.4%
5-Year Cumulative Returns
49.4%
3-Year Cumulative Returns
Risks for AGO
What is the probability of a big loss on AGO?
48.5%
Probability that Assured Guaranty stock will be more than 20% underwater in next one year
24.6%
Probability that Assured Guaranty stock will be more than 30% underwater in next one year.
21.1%
Probability that Assured Guaranty stock will be more than 40% underwater in next one year.
*Calculated based on probability distribution of losses observed in actual data in the last 5 years.
How does AGO drawdown profile look like?
Y-axis is the maximum loss one would have experienced if Assured Guaranty was unfortunately bought at previous high price.
Drawdowns
Financials for Assured Guaranty
Income Statement (Last 12 Months)(In Millions)
| Income Statement (Last 12 Months) | (In Millions) | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Description | (%) Q/Q | 2023Q2 | 2023Q1 | 2022Q4 | 2022Q3 | 2022Q2 | 2022Q1 | 2021Q4 | 2021Q3 | 2021Q2 | 2021Q1 | 2020Q4 | 2020Q3 | 2020Q2 | 2020Q1 | 2019Q4 | 2019Q3 | 2019Q2 | 2019Q1 | 2018Q4 | 2018Q3 | 2018Q2 |
| Revenue | 38.2% | 976 | 706 | 723 | 694 | 865 | 971 | 848 | 964 | 1,020 | 1,196 | 1,115 | 1,032 | 970 | 864 | 963 | 880 | 949 | 903 | 1,001 | 1,069 | 1,417 |
| EBITDA | -100.0% | - | 257 | 229 | 461 | 491 | 641 | 564 | 407 | 479 | 574 | 498 | 463 | 471 | 432 | 553 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| EBITDA Margin | -100.0% | - | 0.36* | 0.32* | 0.66* | 0.57* | 0.66* | 0.67* | 0.42* | 0.47* | 0.48* | 0.45* | 0.45* | 0.49* | 0.50* | 0.57* | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Interest Expenses | 2.4% | 84.00 | 82.00 | 81.00 | 80.00 | 83.00 | 86.00 | 87.00 | 88.00 | 86.00 | 84.00 | 85.00 | 86.00 | 87.00 | 88.00 | 89.00 | 90.00 | 91.00 | 93.00 | 94.00 | 95.00 | 96.00 |
| Earnings Before Taxes | 94.9% | 341 | 175 | 148 | 381 | 408 | 555 | 477 | 319 | 393 | 490 | 413 | 377 | 384 | 344 | 464 | 427 | 516 | 421 | 580 | 635 | 773 |
| EBT Margin | -100.0% | - | 0.25* | 0.20* | 0.55* | 0.47* | 0.57* | 0.56* | 0.33* | 0.39* | 0.41* | 0.37* | 0.37* | 0.40* | 0.40* | 0.48* | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Net Income | 123.7% | 311 | 139 | 124 | 293 | 299 | 444 | 389 | 274 | 343 | 428 | 362 | 351 | 334 | 293 | 402 | 353 | 445 | 378 | 521 | 485 | 532 |
| Net Income Margin | -100.0% | - | 0.20* | 0.17* | 0.42* | 0.35* | 0.46* | 0.46* | 0.28* | 0.34* | 0.36* | 0.32* | 0.34* | 0.34* | 0.34* | 0.42* | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Free Cashflow | 100.0% | - | -1,275 | -2,479 | -1,993 | -2,782 | -2,363 | -1,937 | -1,981 | -1,357 | -1,155 | -853 | -808 | -756 | -341 | -509 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Balance Sheet(In Millions)
| Balance Sheet | (In Millions) | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Description | (%) Q/Q | 2023Q2 | 2023Q1 | 2022Q4 | 2022Q3 | 2022Q2 | 2022Q1 | 2021Q4 | 2021Q3 | 2021Q2 | 2021Q1 | 2020Q4 | 2020Q3 | 2020Q2 | 2020Q1 | 2019Q4 | 2019Q3 | 2019Q2 | 2019Q1 | 2018Q4 | 2018Q3 | 2018Q2 |
| Assets | 0.4% | 16,852 | 16,778 | 16,843 | 16,660 | 16,960 | 17,845 | 18,208 | 17,614 | 17,226 | 16,018 | 15,334 | 14,695 | 14,780 | 13,745 | 14,326 | 13,367 | 13,581 | 13,551 | 13,603 | 13,739 | 14,132 |
| Cash Equivalents | 41.5% | 184 | 130 | 207 | 271 | 263 | 289 | 342 | 240 | 296 | 346 | 298 | 406 | 473 | 221 | 183 | 229 | 194 | 123 | 104 | 82.00 | 189 |
| Liabilities | 0.3% | 11,397 | 11,363 | 11,551 | 11,486 | 11,392 | 11,829 | 11,708 | 11,218 | 10,653 | 9,525 | 8,629 | 8,078 | 8,271 | 7,472 | 7,674 | 6,715 | 6,859 | 6,882 | 7,048 | 7,156 | 7,498 |
| Long Term Debt | 0.1% | 1,677 | 1,676 | 1,675 | 1,675 | 1,674 | 1,673 | 1,673 | 1,671 | 1,720 | 1,225 | 1,224 | 1,223 | 1,222 | 1,221 | 1,235 | 1,234 | 1,233 | 1,232 | 1,233 | 1,249 | 1,264 |
| Shareholder's Equity | -2.6% | 5,276 | 5,415 | 5,064 | 4,929 | 5,547 | 5,995 | 6,478 | 6,375 | 6,552 | 6,472 | 6,684 | 6,596 | 6,489 | 6,265 | 6,645 | 6,652 | 6,722 | 6,669 | 6,555 | 6,583 | 6,634 |
| Retained Earnings | 1.7% | 5,732 | 5,638 | 5,577 | 5,579 | 5,672 | 5,878 | 5,990 | 5,924 | 6,056 | 6,055 | 6,143 | 6,143 | 6,109 | 6,100 | 6,295 | 6,331 | 6,425 | 6,406 | 6,374 | 6,303 | 6,159 |
| Additional Paid-In Capital | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 86.00 | 200 | 321 |
| Shares Outstanding | -0.7% | 59.00 | 59.00 | 59.00 | 61.00 | 62.00 | 65.00 | 68.00 | 71.00 | 74.00 | 76.00 | 78.00 | 82.00 | 84.00 | 90.00 | 93.00 | 96.00 | 100 | 102 | 104 | 107 | 110 |
| Minority Interest | -8.2% | 179 | 195 | 228 | 224 | 243 | 193 | 186 | 75.00 | 49.00 | 42.00 | 41.00 | 47.00 | 45.00 | 25.00 | 6.00 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Cashflow (Last 12 Months)(In Millions)
| Cashflow (Last 12 Months) | (In Millions) | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Description | (%) Q/Q | 2023Q2 | 2023Q1 | 2022Q4 | 2022Q3 | 2022Q2 | 2022Q1 | 2021Q4 | 2021Q3 | 2021Q2 | 2021Q1 | 2020Q4 | 2020Q3 | 2020Q2 | 2020Q1 | 2019Q4 | 2019Q3 | 2019Q2 | 2019Q1 | 2018Q4 | 2018Q3 | 2018Q2 |
| Cashflow From Operations | 80.5% | -249 | -1,275 | -2,479 | -1,993 | -2,782 | -2,363 | -1,937 | -1,981 | -1,357 | -1,155 | -853 | -808 | -756 | -341 | -509 | -255 | -180 | 103 | 462 | 431 | 679 |
| Cashflow From Investing | -30.4% | 554 | 796 | 1,740 | 982 | 1,337 | 748 | 23.00 | 51.00 | -201 | 524 | 788 | 1,005 | 1,271 | 1,066 | 1,169 | 1,173 | 942 | 663 | 297 | 307 | -30.00 |
| Cashflow From Financing | -216.6% | -380 | 326 | 612 | 1,049 | 1,416 | 1,561 | 1,960 | 1,761 | 1,377 | 752 | 183 | -18.00 | -232 | -622 | -584 | -767 | -754 | -756 | -795 | -727 | -662 |
| Dividend Payments | 1.5% | 66.00 | 65.00 | 64.00 | 64.00 | 64.00 | 65.00 | 66.00 | 67.00 | 67.00 | 67.00 | 69.00 | 71.00 | 72.00 | 74.00 | 74.00 | 72.00 | 73.00 | 73.00 | 71.00 | 72.00 | 71.00 |
| Buy Backs | -36.3% | 223 | 350 | 500 | 591 | 634 | 571 | 496 | 431 | 331 | 407 | 446 | 480 | 590 | 537 | 500 | 461 | 441 | 482 | 500 | 452 | 402 |
AGO Income Statement
2023-06-30Condensed Consolidated Statements of Operations (Unaudited) - USD ($) $ in Millions | 3 Months Ended | 6 Months Ended | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Jun. 30, 2023 | Jun. 30, 2022 | Jun. 30, 2023 | Jun. 30, 2022 | |
| Revenues | ||||
| Net earned premiums | $ 85 | $ 82 | $ 166 | $ 296 |
| Net investment income | 89 | 62 | 170 | 124 |
| Asset management fees | 27 | 21 | 53 | 55 |
| Net realized investment gains (losses) | (9) | (28) | (11) | (25) |
| Fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives | 91 | 9 | 106 | 6 |
| Fair value gains (losses) on committed capital securities | 1 | 10 | (15) | 11 |
| Fair value gains (losses) on financial guaranty variable interest entities | (3) | 10 | (8) | 16 |
| Fair value gains (losses) on consolidated investment vehicles | 6 | 3 | 64 | 17 |
| Foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement | 28 | (71) | 48 | (101) |
| Fair value gains (losses) on trading securities | 40 | (18) | 38 | (22) |
| Other income (loss) | 5 | 10 | 32 | 13 |
| Total revenues | 360 | 90 | 643 | 390 |
| Expenses | ||||
| Loss and loss adjustment expenses (benefit) | 55 | (11) | 59 | 46 |
| Interest expense | 22 | 20 | 43 | 40 |
| Amortization of deferred acquisition costs | 3 | 3 | 6 | 7 |
| Employee compensation and benefit expenses | 70 | 59 | 152 | 132 |
| Other operating expenses | 71 | 41 | 126 | 83 |
| Total expenses | 221 | 112 | 386 | 308 |
| Income (loss) before income taxes and equity in earnings (losses) of investees | 139 | (22) | 257 | 82 |
| Equity in Earnings (Losses) of Investees | 5 | 0 | 7 | (11) |
| Income (loss) before income taxes | 144 | (22) | 264 | 71 |
| Less: Provision (benefit) for income taxes | 18 | 3 | 41 | 21 |
| Net income (loss) | 126 | (25) | 223 | 50 |
| Less: Noncontrolling interests | 1 | 22 | 17 | 31 |
| Net income (loss) attributable to Assured Guaranty Ltd. | $ 125 | $ (47) | $ 206 | $ 19 |
| Earnings per share: | ||||
| Basic (in dollars per share) | $ 2.09 | $ (0.74) | $ 3.46 | $ 0.29 |
| Diluted (in dollars per share) | $ 2.06 | $ (0.74) | $ 3.40 | $ 0.29 |
AGO Balance Sheet
2023-06-30Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets (Unaudited) - USD ($) $ in Millions | Jun. 30, 2023 | Dec. 31, 2022 |
|---|---|---|
| Investments: | ||
| Fixed-maturity securities, available-for-sale, at fair value, net of allowance for credit loss of $79 and $65 (amortized cost of $7,044 and $7,707) | $ 6,488 | $ 7,119 |
| Fixed-maturity securities, trading, at fair value | 340 | 303 |
| Short-term investments, at fair value | 1,650 | 810 |
| Other invested assets (includes $26 and $30, at fair value) | 146 | 133 |
| Total investments | 8,624 | 8,365 |
| Cash | 114 | 107 |
| Premiums receivable, net of commissions payable | 1,417 | 1,298 |
| Deferred acquisition costs | 155 | 147 |
| Salvage and subrogation recoverable | 266 | 257 |
| Financial guaranty variable interest entities’ assets (includes $411 and $413, at fair value) | 414 | 416 |
| Assets of consolidated investment vehicles (includes $4,978 and $5,363, at fair value) | 5,055 | 5,493 |
| Goodwill and other intangible assets | 6 | 163 |
| Assets held for sale | 221 | 0 |
| Other assets (includes $141 and $148, at fair value) | 580 | 597 |
| Total assets | 16,852 | 16,843 |
| Liabilities | ||
| Unearned premium reserve | 3,648 | 3,620 |
| Loss and loss adjustment expense reserve | 349 | 296 |
| Long-term debt | 1,677 | 1,675 |
| Credit derivative liabilities, at fair value | 58 | 163 |
| Financial guaranty variable interest entities’ liabilities, at fair value (with recourse $687 and $702, without recourse $12 and $13) | 699 | 715 |
| Liabilities of consolidated investment vehicles (includes $4,326 and $4,431, at fair value) | 4,460 | 4,625 |
| Liabilities held for sale | 50 | 0 |
| Other liabilities | 456 | 457 |
| Total liabilities | 11,397 | 11,551 |
| Commitments and contingencies (Note 12) | ||
| Shareholders’ equity | ||
| Common shares ($0.01 par value, 500,000,000 shares authorized; 58,850,144 and 59,013,040 shares issued and outstanding) | 1 | 1 |
| Retained earnings | 5,732 | 5,577 |
| Accumulated other comprehensive income (loss), net of tax of $(78) and $(84) | (458) | (515) |
| Deferred equity compensation | 1 | 1 |
| Total shareholders’ equity attributable to Assured Guaranty Ltd. | 5,276 | 5,064 |
| Nonredeemable noncontrolling interests (Note 8) | 179 | 228 |
| Total shareholders’ equity | 5,455 | 5,292 |
| Total liabilities and shareholders’ equity | $ 16,852 | $ 16,843 |
Assured Guaranty Ltd., through its subsidiaries, provides credit protection products to public finance, infrastructure, and structured finance markets in the United States and internationally. The company operates in two segments, Insurance and Asset Management. It offers financial guaranty insurance that protects holders of debt instruments and other monetary obligations from defaults in scheduled payments. The company insures and reinsures various debt obligations, including bonds issued by the United States state governmental authorities; and notes issued to finance infrastructure projects. It also insures and reinsures various the U.S. public finance obligations, such as general obligation, tax-backed, municipal utility, transportation, healthcare, higher education, infrastructure, housing revenue, investor-owned utility, renewable energy, and other public finance bonds. Further, it is involved in insuring and reinsuring of non-U.S. public finance obligations comprising regulated utilities, infrastructure finance, sovereign and sub-sovereign, renewable energy bonds, pooled infrastructure, and other public finance obligations; and the U.S. and non-U.S. Structured finance obligations, including residential mortgage-backed securities, life insurance transactions, consumer receivables securities, pooled corporate obligations, financial products, and other structured finance securities. Additionally, the company offers specialty insurance and reinsurance that include life and aircraft residual value insurance transactions; and asset management services comprising investment advisory services, including management of collateralized loan obligations, and opportunity and liquid strategy funds. It markets its financial guaranty insurance directly to issuers and underwriters of public finance and structured finance securities, as well as to investors in such obligations. Assured Guaranty Ltd. was incorporated in 2003 and is headquartered in Hamilton, Bermuda.