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Allison Transmission Holdings Inc Stock Research

ALSN

44.64USD+0.04(+0.09%)Delayedas of 30 Mar 2023, 03:48 pm

Market Summary

USD44.64+0.04
Delayedas of 30 Mar 2023, 03:48 pm
0.09%

ALSN Alerts

ALSN Stock Price

ALSN RSI Chart

ALSN Valuation

Market Cap

4.1B

Price/Earnings (Trailing)

7.77

Price/Sales (Trailing)

1.49

EV/EBITDA

6.12

Price/Free Cashflow

8.42

ALSN Price/Sales (Trailing)

ALSN Profitability

Operating Margin

46.84%

EBT Margin

23.29%

Return on Equity

60.76%

Return on Assets

11.37%

Free Cashflow Yield

11.88%

ALSN Fundamentals

ALSN Revenue

Revenue (TTM)

2.8B

Revenue Y/Y

11.49%

Revenue Q/Q

1.13%

ALSN Earnings

Earnings (TTM)

531.0M

Earnings Y/Y

19.49%

Earnings Q/Q

1.44%

Price Action

52 Week Range

32.4750.64
(Low)(High)

Last 7 days

3.3%

Last 30 days

-6.5%

Last 90 days

7.4%

Trailing 12 Months

11.7%

ALSN Financial Health

Current Ratio

1.8

Debt/Equity

3.32

Debt/Cashflow

0.24

ALSN Investor Care

Buy Backs (1Y)

11.29%

Diluted EPS (TTM)

5.53

Peers (Alternatives to Allison Transmission Holdings)

View All Peers In Detail
NameMkt Capsorted ascendingRevenuePrice %, 1MReturns, 1YP/EP/SRev 1-YrInc 1-Yr
LARGE-CAP
117.1B
59.4B
-7.08% 2.76%
17.46
1.97
16.59% 3.25%
73.0B
15.9B
2.85% 11.68%
24.07
4.58
10.22% 12.62%
42.9B
17.2B
-4.65% 13.83%
34.06
2.5
12.35% -30.65%
37.8B
28.8B
0.33% -19.55%
12.55
1.31
22.52% 61.44%
18.3B
5.5B
-1.04% 14.78%
51.52
3.31
6.29% -16.86%
MID-CAP
7.6B
4.0B
-8.10% -16.40%
17.52
1.9
24.06% -10.63%
5.2B
8.3B
-10.09% -25.93%
29.92
0.63
4.14% -62.29%
4.3B
3.6B
-4.78% -5.22%
22.79
1.19
2.09% 49.85%
4.1B
2.8B
-6.48% 11.67%
7.77
1.49
15.28% 20.14%
3.2B
1.4B
0.85% 54.23%
26.71
2.24
18.27% 19.68%
2.6B
4.3B
0.61% 53.23%
10.31
0.6
17.80% 81.88%
SMALL-CAP
1.2B
2.5B
-7.57% 57.31%
10.38
0.47
38.76% 9544.16%
797.4M
1.0B
-10.93% -43.14%
21.81
0.78
3.57% -46.96%
694.1M
2.3B
-0.17% -17.06%
45.66
0.3
-2.07% -65.77%
235.4M
981.6M
-10.26% -19.53%
-10.71
0.24
1.03% -192.58%

Financials for Allison Transmission Holdings

Income Statement (Last 12 Months)
(In Millions)
* denotes actual numbers (not divided by Millions)
Description(%) Q/Q2022Q42022Q32022Q22022Q12021Q4
Revenue2.7%2,7692,6952,5522,4912,402
Cost Of Revenue2.9%1,4721,4311,3551,3171,257
Gross Profit2.6%1,2971,2641,1971,1741,145
  S&GA Expenses5.8%328310305307305
  R&D Expenses-0.5%185186181176171
EBITDA2.3%636622585571-
EBITDA Margin-0.5%0.23*0.23*0.23*0.23*-
Earnings Before Taxes2.4%645630595581572
EBT Margin-0.4%0.23*0.23*0.23*0.23*-
Interest Expenses-0.9%-118-117-116-116-116
Net Income4.5%531508463451442
Net Income Margin1.7%0.19*0.19*0.18*0.18*-
Free Cahsflow5.8%490463437499-
Balance Sheet
(In Millions)
* denotes actual numbers (not divided by Millions)
Description(%) Q/Q2022Q42022Q32022Q22022Q12021Q4
Assets1.7%4,6714,5934,5344,5274,457
  Current Assets3.3%866838765745671
    Cash Equivalents28.9%232180122145127
  Inventory0.4%224223228210204
  Net PPE7.3%763711705708706
  Goodwill0.0%2,0752,0742,07613.002,064
Liabilities-0.9%3,7973,8313,7853,8483,823
  Current Liabilities-1.4%480487431489459
    LT Debt, Current0%6.006.006.006.006.00
    LT Debt, Non Current0.0%2,5012,5022,5022,5032,504
Shareholder's Equity14.7%874762749679634
  Retained Earnings6.7%-953-1,021-1,031-1,098-1,126
  Additional Paid-In Capital0.3%1,8481,8431,8391,8321,832
Accumulated Depreciation-1,122----
Shares Outstanding-4.7%92.0097.00---
Cashflow (Last 12 Months)
(In Millions)
Description(%) Q/Q2022Q42022Q32022Q22022Q12021Q4
Cashflow From Operations9.3%657601593667635
  Share Based Compensation5.9%18.0017.0015.0014.0014.00
Cashflow From Investing1.6%-183-186-211-226-212
Cashflow From Financing25.6%-367-493-492-589-604
  Dividend Payments0%80.0080.0080.0080.0081.00
  Buy Backs-32.4%278411402498513

Risks for ALSN

What is the probability of a big loss on ALSN?

50%


Probability that Allison Transmission Holdings stock will be more than 20% underwater in next one year

18.9%


Probability that Allison Transmission Holdings stock will be more than 30% underwater in next one year.

16.1%


Probability that Allison Transmission Holdings stock will be more than 40% underwater in next one year.
*Calculated based on probability distribution of losses observed in actual data in the last 5 years.

How does ALSN drawdown profile look like?

Y-axis is the maximum loss one would have experienced if Allison Transmission Holdings was unfortunately bought at previous high price.

Drawdowns

Returns for ALSN

Cumulative Returns on ALSN

8.3%


10-Year Cumulative Returns

9.3%


7-Year Cumulative Returns

4.4%


5-Year Cumulative Returns

12.7%


3-Year Cumulative Returns

What are the long-term rolling returns for ALSN?

FIve years rolling returns for Allison Transmission Holdings.

Annualized Returns

Which funds bought or sold ALSN recently?

View All Details
Datesorted ascendingFund NameType% Chg$ Change$ Held% Portfolio
2023-03-28
SEIZERT CAPITAL PARTNERS, LLC
added
0.03
12,977,300
68,756,300
3.65%
2023-03-27
Neo Ivy Capital Management
new
-
150,000
150,000
0.10%
2023-03-23
MetLife Investment Management, LLC
reduced
-6.92
25,588
199,722
-%
2023-03-17
American Portfolios Advisors
reduced
-4.59
-4,755
24,544
-%
2023-03-10
VICTORY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT INC
added
146
1,066,620
1,591,620
-%
2023-03-06
Rockefeller Capital Management L.P.
reduced
-10.5
1,000
13,000
-%
2023-03-03
ROBOTTI ROBERT
reduced
-0.57
453,670
2,467,670
0.49%
2023-02-28
Voya Investment Management LLC
added
0.32
1,958,450
10,246,500
0.01%
2023-02-24
SRS Capital Advisors, Inc.
added
11.32
927
4,927
-%
2023-02-21
MACQUARIE GROUP LTD
reduced
-2.19
362,000
2,309,000
-%

1–10 of 45

Latest Funds Activity

Are funds buying ALSN calls or puts?
Calls
Puts
Are funds bullish or bearish(Calls - Puts)?
Net Call Options
No. of funds that own ALSN
No. of Funds

Allison Transmission Holdings News

MarketBeat

Bank of New York Mellon Corp Has $34.24 Million Holdings in ....

MarketBeat,
2 days ago

StockNews.com

Seeking Alpha

Schedule 13G FIlings of Allison Transmission Holdings

Date FiledName of FilerPercent of ClassNo. of SharesForm Type
Feb 10, 2023
burgundy asset management ltd.
7685%
5,335,331
SC 13G
Feb 09, 2023
fmr llc
-
0
SC 13G/A
Feb 09, 2023
vanguard group inc
12.50%
11,560,047
SC 13G/A
Nov 10, 2022
fmr llc
-
0
SC 13G/A
Sep 12, 2022
fmr llc
-
0
SC 13G/A
Feb 14, 2022
boston partners
1.77%
1,850,003
SC 13G/A
Feb 14, 2022
burgundy asset management ltd.
8740%
6,124,293
SC 13G
Feb 09, 2022
vanguard group inc
12.01%
12,521,114
SC 13G/A
Feb 09, 2022
fmr llc
-
0
SC 13G/A
Feb 12, 2021
burgundy asset management ltd.
5962%
6,305,312
SC 13G

ALSN Fair Value

Allison Transmission Holdings fair value in different scenarios

The table shows the Fair Value estimates for Allison Transmission Holdings for various scenarios. Disclaimer: These are just estimations from a model. None of the models are good at predicting the future. Please dont buy or sell stocks based on these outputs.
Fair ValueVery PessimisticPessimisticBase CaseOptimisticVery Optimistic
Very Low Inflation

38.93

-12.78%

51.67

15.76%

89.12

99.66%

140.88

215.63%

186.27

317.32%
Current Inflation

41.77

-6.42%

50.45

13.03%

81.40

82.37%

120.71

170.44%

158.28

254.61%
Very High Inflation

33.60

-24.72%

41.19

-7.72%

66.40

48.76%

101.07

126.44%

130.72

192.86%

Historical Allison Transmission Holdings Fair Value Estimates


Very Pessimistic Case
Pessimistic Case
Fair Value
Optimistic Case
Very Optimistic Case
Closing Stock Price

Recent SEC filings of Allison Transmission Holdings

View All Filings
Date Filed Form Type Document
Mar 24, 2023
ARS
ARS
Mar 24, 2023
DEF 14A
DEF 14A
Mar 24, 2023
DEFA14A
DEFA14A
Mar 21, 2023
4
Insider Trading
Mar 21, 2023
4
Insider Trading
Mar 21, 2023
4
Insider Trading
Mar 21, 2023
4
Insider Trading
Mar 21, 2023
4
Insider Trading
Mar 21, 2023
4
Insider Trading
Mar 21, 2023
4
Insider Trading

Latest Insider Trading transactions for ALSN

Filter Transactions
Datesorted ascendingNameBuy/Sell$ ValueAvg. Price# SharesTitle
2023-03-08
Milburn Ryan A.
sold
-99,138
48.36
-2,050
vp, product engr. & tech dev.
2023-03-06
Pittard Dana JH
gifted
-
-
2,546
vp, defense programs
2023-03-06
Pittard Dana JH
gifted
-
-
-2,546
vp, defense programs
2023-03-02
Graziosi David S.
sold
-817,208
48.2015
-16,954
president and ceo
2023-03-02
Graziosi David S.
acquired
313,691
37.11
8,453
president and ceo
2023-03-01
Graziosi David S.
acquired
1,725,460
29.537
58,417
president and ceo
2023-03-01
Graziosi David S.
sold
-4,411,280
48.196
-91,528
president and ceo
2023-02-28
Graziosi David S.
acquired
169,325
32.13
5,270
president and ceo
2023-02-28
Graziosi David S.
sold
-410,647
47.6113
-8,625
president and ceo
2023-02-27
Scroggins Eric C.
acquired
417,741
42.0178
9,942
vp, gen. counsel & secretary

1–10 of 50

David S. Graziosi
3400
Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and sells commercial and defense fully-automatic transmissions for medium-and heavy-duty commercial vehicles, and medium-and heavy-tactical U.S. defense vehicles worldwide. It offers transmissions for various applications, including distribution, refuse, construction, fire, and emergency on-highway trucks; school and transit buses; motor homes; energy, mining, and construction off-highway vehicles and equipment; and wheeled and tracked defense vehicles. The company markets its transmissions under the Allison Transmission brand name; and remanufactured transmissions under the ReTran brand name. It also sells branded replacement parts, support equipment, aluminum die cast components, and other products necessary to service the installed base of vehicles utilizing its transmissions, as well as defense kits, engineering services, and extended transmission coverage services to various original equipment manufacturers, distributors, and the U.S. government. The company serves customers through an independent network of approximately 1,400 independent distributor and dealer locations. The company was formerly known as Clutch Holdings, Inc. Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1915 and is headquartered in Indianapolis, Indiana.

ALSN Income Statement

2022-12-31
Consolidated Statements of Comprehensive Income - USD ($)
$ in Millions
12 Months Ended
Dec. 31, 2022
Dec. 31, 2021
Dec. 31, 2020
Statement of Comprehensive Income [Abstract]   
Net sales$ 2,769$ 2,402$ 2,081
Cost of sales1,4721,2571,083
Gross profit1,2971,145998
Selling, general and administrative328305317
Engineering — research and development185171147
Operating income784669534
Interest expense, net(118)(116)(137)
Other (expense) income, net(21)19(4)
Income before income taxes645572393
Income tax expense(114)(130)(94)
Net income$ 531$ 442$ 299
Basic earnings per share attributable to common stockholders$ 5.53$ 4.13$ 2.62
Diluted earnings per share attributable to common stockholders$ 5.53$ 4.13$ 2.62
Other comprehensive income (loss), net of tax:   
Interest rate swaps$ 39$ 22$ (20)
Pension and OPEB liability adjustment222(27)
Foreign currency translation(10)(8)10
Net current period other comprehensive (loss) income5116(37)
Comprehensive income, net of tax$ 582$ 458$ 262

ALSN Balance Sheet

2022-12-31
Consolidated Balance Sheets - USD ($)
$ in Millions
Dec. 31, 2022
Dec. 31, 2021
Current Assets  
Cash and cash equivalents$ 232$ 127
Accounts receivable - net of allowance for doubtful accounts of $5 and $3, respectively363301
Inventories224204
Other current assets4739
Total Current Assets866671
Property, plant and equipment, net763706
Intangible assets, net878917
Goodwill2,0752,064
Marketable securities2246
Other non-current assets6753
TOTAL ASSETS4,6714,457
Current Liabilities  
Accounts payable195179
Product warranty liability3333
Current portion of long-term debt66
Deferred revenue3837
Other current liabilities208204
Total Current Liabilities480459
Product warranty liability2420
Deferred revenue9399
Long-term debt2,5012,504
Deferred income taxes536514
Other non-current liabilities163227
TOTAL LIABILITIES3,7973,823
Commitments and Contingencies (see Note 18)
STOCKHOLDERS’ EQUITY  
Preferred stock, $0.01 par value, 100,000,000 shares authorized, none issued and outstanding00
Paid in capital1,8481,832
Accumulated deficit(953)(1,126)
Accumulated other comprehensive loss, net of tax(22)(73)
TOTAL STOCKHOLDERS’ EQUITY874634
TOTAL LIABILITIES & STOCKHOLDERS’ EQUITY4,6714,457
Voting Common Stock  
STOCKHOLDERS’ EQUITY  
Common stock11
Non-voting Common Stock  
STOCKHOLDERS’ EQUITY  
Common stock$ 0$ 0