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Antero Resources Corp Stock Research

AR

23.34USD-0.16(-0.68%)Market Closed

Market Summary

USD23.34-0.16
Market Closed
-0.68%

AR Alerts

AR Stock Price

AR RSI Chart

AR Valuation

Market Cap

7.1B

Price/Earnings (Trailing)

2.89

Price/Sales (Trailing)

0.87

EV/EBITDA

1.98

Price/Free Cashflow

2.52

AR Price/Sales (Trailing)

AR Profitability

EBT Margin

28.41%

Return on Equity

29.99%

Return on Assets

14.35%

Free Cashflow Yield

39.72%

AR Fundamentals

AR Revenue

Revenue (TTM)

8.2B

Revenue Y/Y

-28.75%

Revenue Q/Q

-32.31%

AR Earnings

Earnings (TTM)

2.5B

Earnings Y/Y

249.52%

Earnings Q/Q

-67.11%

Price Action

52 Week Range

20.0648.80
(Low)(High)

Last 7 days

6.7%

Last 30 days

4.4%

Last 90 days

-5.6%

Trailing 12 Months

-40.3%

AR Financial Health

Current Ratio

0.44

AR Investor Care

Buy Backs (1Y)

4.70%

Diluted EPS (TTM)

6.97

Peers (Alternatives to Antero Resources)

View All Peers In Detail
NameMkt Capsorted ascendingRevenuePrice %, 1MReturns, 1YP/EP/SRev 1-YrInc 1-Yr
LARGE-CAP
70.4B
27.8B
-3.28% -7.85%
9.08
2.74
46.65% 114.58%
60.4B
35.8B
-3.54% -7.96%
4.68
1.64
21.97% 31.96%
50.3B
22.8B
-4.79% -19.19%
7.13
2.21
8.58% 68.17%
49.8B
19.1B
-8.43% -25.25%
9.45
2.71
21.85% 67.76%
24.1B
9.2B
-5.78% 1.31%
5.53
2.64
14.20% 56.87%
14.4B
11.9B
-8.92% -22.46%
4.67
1.31
50.58% 232.96%
MID-CAP
8.6B
13.4B
-2.38% -27.17%
1.97
0.64
15.65% 404.04%
7.0B
5.4B
14.67% -
3.28
1.29
75.54% 3039.31%
5.6B
3.1B
-3.77% -9.58%
4.7
1.81
41.49% 59.32%
4.4B
3.9B
- -
4.99
1.94
103.95% 100.98%
3.4B
2.0B
-4.34% -7.81%
15.21
1.53
9.15% 2052.25%
2.9B
3.5B
-3.75% -37.96%
2.09
0.82
74.35% 733.18%
2.1B
3.0B
-0.95% -33.48%
1.48
0.68
59.93% 186.57%
SMALL-CAP
1.5B
7.3B
-8.38% 37.61%
4
0.2
55.45% 547.97%
805.4M
1.7B
-8.19% -35.44%
1.28
0.42
2.66% 522.62%

Financials for Antero Resources

Income Statement (Last 12 Months)
(In Millions)
* denotes actual numbers (not divided by Millions)
Description(%) Q/Q2023Q12022Q42022Q32022Q22022Q1
Revenue-5.9%8,1978,7128,8888,0766,928
  S&GA Expenses12.5%194173159149137
Costs and Expenses1.9%4,6504,5654,5604,4874,477
EBITDA-8.4%3,0303,3071,84798.00-
EBITDA Margin-6.5%0.35*0.37*0.27*0.01*-
Earnings Before Taxes22.3%3,0262,4752,7621,306-441
EBT Margin-8.6%0.28*0.31*0.19*-0.06*-
Interest Expenses9.6%-113-125-144-161-176
Net Income21.5%2,4622,0262,1901,029-317
Net Income Margin-5.6%0.23*0.25*0.15*-0.05*-
Free Cahsflow0.0%3,0513,0512,2761,662-
Balance Sheet
(In Millions)
* denotes actual numbers (not divided by Millions)
Description(%) Q/Q2023Q12022Q42022Q32022Q22022Q1
Assets-1.7%13,87114,11814,41314,21313,804
  Current Assets-44.4%4387889781,015725
    Cash EquivalentsNaN%-----
Liabilities-5.6%6,7017,1017,9437,9398,075
  Current Liabilities-15.6%1,4981,7752,5442,4752,551
    LT Debt, Non Current10.9%1,3121,1831,1731,5771,960
Shareholder's Equity2.3%6,9116,7556,2116,2745,729
  Retained Earnings20.6%1,102914266-119-795
  Additional Paid-In Capital-0.6%5,8065,8395,9426,1206,267
Shares Outstanding0.7%299297303309314
Minority Interest-1.4%259263259270255
Cashflow (Last 12 Months)
(In Millions)
Description(%) Q/Q2023Q12022Q42022Q32022Q22022Q1
Cashflow From Operations-7.3%2,8303,0513,0512,2761,662
  Share Based Compensation23.6%44.0035.0028.0023.0019.00
Cashflow From Investing-14.4%-1,079-943-923-882-802
Cashflow From Financing17.0%-1,750-2,107-2,127-1,398-859
  Buy Backs-2.8%849874901586400

Risks for AR

What is the probability of a big loss on AR?

96.9%


Probability that Antero Resources stock will be more than 20% underwater in next one year

74.2%


Probability that Antero Resources stock will be more than 30% underwater in next one year.

51.5%


Probability that Antero Resources stock will be more than 40% underwater in next one year.
*Calculated based on probability distribution of losses observed in actual data in the last 5 years.

How does AR drawdown profile look like?

Y-axis is the maximum loss one would have experienced if Antero Resources was unfortunately bought at previous high price.

Drawdowns

Returns for AR

Cumulative Returns on AR

-2.1%


7-Year Cumulative Returns

5.0%


5-Year Cumulative Returns

94.0%


3-Year Cumulative Returns

What are the long-term rolling returns for AR?

FIve years rolling returns for Antero Resources.

Annualized Returns

Which funds bought or sold AR recently?

View All Details
Datesorted ascendingFund NameType% Chg$ Change$ Held% Portfolio
2023-05-23
Toroso Investments, LLC
added
313
1,177,000
1,742,000
0.03%
2023-05-23
ROYCE & ASSOCIATES LP
reduced
-62.31
-2,633,310
1,028,310
0.01%
2023-05-23
Capital Impact Advisors, LLC
added
10.74
-115,271
543,700
0.67%
2023-05-22
PUTNAM INVESTMENTS LLC
reduced
-51.06
-5,906,950
3,389,870
-%
2023-05-22
AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL INC
reduced
-51.87
-58,244,600
32,559,400
0.01%
2023-05-18
JPMORGAN CHASE & CO
reduced
-1.92
-23,117,000
62,749,000
0.01%
2023-05-18
NEW YORK STATE COMMON RETIREMENT FUND
added
18.01
-2,896,000
21,082,000
0.03%
2023-05-17
Long Focus Capital Management, LLC
added
15.7
-5,987,310
37,426,600
2.12%
2023-05-17
Thrivent Financial for Lutherans
reduced
-0.92
-596,000
1,683,000
-%
2023-05-17
Advisory Services Network, LLC
added
12,400
11,421
11,545
-%

1–10 of 37

Latest Funds Activity

Are funds buying AR calls or puts?
Calls
Puts
Are funds bullish or bearish(Calls - Puts)?
Net Call Options
No. of funds that own AR
No. of Funds

Antero Resources News

StreetInsider.com
Goldman Sachs Assumes Antero Resources (AR) at Buy.
StreetInsider.com,
13 hours ago
OilPrice.com

Schedule 13G FIlings of Antero Resources

Date FiledName of FilerPercent of ClassNo. of SharesForm Type
Feb 09, 2023
fmr llc
-
0
SC 13G/A
Feb 09, 2023
vanguard group inc
8.85%
26,562,257
SC 13G/A
Feb 03, 2023
blackrock inc.
8.4%
25,075,763
SC 13G
Nov 10, 2022
fmr llc
-
0
SC 13G/A
Jul 08, 2022
blackrock inc.
4.2%
13,032,321
SC 13G
Feb 14, 2022
fpr partners llc
0.9%
2,936,166
SC 13G/A
Feb 09, 2022
vanguard group inc
8.35%
26,219,640
SC 13G/A
Feb 03, 2022
blackrock inc.
7.3%
22,925,205
SC 13G
Jan 10, 2022
fmr llc
-
0
SC 13G
Feb 19, 2021
sailingstone capital partners llc
5.06%
13,585,032
SC 13G/A

AR Fair Value

Antero Resources fair value in different scenarios

The table shows the Fair Value estimates for Antero Resources for various scenarios. Disclaimer: These are just estimations from a model. None of the models are good at predicting the future. Please dont buy or sell stocks based on these outputs.
Fair ValueVery PessimisticPessimisticBase CaseOptimisticVery Optimistic
Very Low Inflation

47.11

101.84%

67.05

187.28%

100.87

332.18%

140.58

502.31%

167.43

617.35%
Current Inflation

43.89

88.05%

61.39

163.02%

90.41

287.36%

124.20

432.13%

146.94

529.56%
Very High Inflation

39.86

70.78%

54.46

133.33%

77.91

233.80%

104.91

349.49%

122.97

426.86%

Historical Antero Resources Fair Value Estimates


Very Pessimistic Case
Pessimistic Case
Fair Value
Optimistic Case
Very Optimistic Case
Closing Stock Price

Recent SEC filings of Antero Resources

View All Filings
Date Filed Form Type Document
May 15, 2023
8-K
Current Report
May 11, 2023
4
Insider Trading
May 11, 2023
4
Insider Trading
May 11, 2023
4
Insider Trading
May 05, 2023
144
Notice of Insider Sale Intent
May 05, 2023
4
Insider Trading
Apr 27, 2023
ARS
ARS
Apr 27, 2023
DEF 14A
DEF 14A
Apr 27, 2023
DEFA14A
DEFA14A
Apr 26, 2023
10-Q
Quarterly Report

Latest Insider Trading transactions for AR

Filter Transactions
Datesorted ascendingNameBuy/Sell$ ValueAvg. Price# SharesTitle
2023-05-09
Kennedy Michael N.
acquired
-
-
32,860
see remarks
2023-05-09
RADY PAUL M
acquired
-
-
62,812
see remarks
2023-05-09
RADY PAUL M
sold (taxes)
-3,711,050
21.1
-175,879
see remarks
2023-05-09
Schultz Yvette K
acquired
-
-
11,810
see remarks
2023-05-09
RADY PAUL M
acquired
-
-
209,505
see remarks
2023-05-05
Kennedy Michael N.
sold
-3,160,500
21.07
-150,000
see remarks
2023-04-15
Kennedy Michael N.
sold (taxes)
-299,294
23.89
-12,528
see remarks
2023-04-15
Pearce Sheri
sold (taxes)
-307,202
23.89
-12,859
see remarks
2023-04-15
Schultz Yvette K
sold (taxes)
-482,244
23.89
-20,186
see remarks
2023-04-15
RADY PAUL M
sold (taxes)
-1,972,330
23.89
-82,559
see remarks

1–10 of 50

Paul M. Rady
520
Antero Resources Corporation, an independent oil and natural gas company, acquires, explores for, develops, and produces natural gas, natural gas liquids, and oil properties in the United States. As of December 31, 2021, it had approximately 502,000 net acres in the Appalachian Basin; and 174,000 net acres in the Upper Devonian Shale. The company also owned and operated 494 miles of gas gathering pipelines in the Appalachian Basin; and 21 compressor stations. It had estimated proved reserves of 17.7 trillion cubic feet of natural gas equivalent, including 10.2 trillion cubic feet of natural gas; 718 million barrels of assumed recovered ethane; 501 million barrels of primarily propane, isobutane, normal butane, and natural gasoline; and 36 million barrels of oil. The company was formerly known as Antero Resources Appalachian Corporation and changed its name to Antero Resources Corporation in June 2013. Antero Resources Corporation was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Denver, Colorado.

AR Income Statement

2023-03-31
Condensed Consolidated Statements of Operations and Comprehensive Income (Loss) - USD ($)
shares in Thousands, $ in Thousands
3 Months Ended
Mar. 31, 2023
Mar. 31, 2022
Revenue and other:  
Total revenue$ 1,408,348$ 786,840
Operating expenses:  
Lease operating29,32117,780
Production and ad valorem taxes49,27652,808
General and administrative (including equity-based compensation expense of $4,649 and $13,018 in 2022 and 2023, respectively)57,26135,691
Depletion, depreciation and amortization167,582168,388
Impairment of property and equipment15,56022,462
Accretion of asset retirement obligations8782,444
Contract termination29,5508
Loss (gain) on sale of assets(91)1,786
Other operating expense225 
Total operating expenses1,076,858991,439
Operating income (loss)331,490(204,599)
Other income (expense):  
Interest expense, net(25,700)(37,713)
Equity in earnings of unconsolidated affiliate17,68125,178
Loss on early extinguishment of debt (10,654)
Loss on convertible note inducement(86) 
Total other expense(8,105)(23,189)
Income (loss) before income taxes323,385(227,788)
Income tax benefit (expense)(62,183)53,092
Net income (loss) and comprehensive income (loss) including noncontrolling interests261,202(174,696)
Less: net income and comprehensive income attributable to noncontrolling interests47,771(18,277)
Net income (loss) and comprehensive income (loss) attributable to Antero Resources Corporation$ 213,431$ (156,419)
Income (loss) per share-basic (in dollars per share)$ 0.72$ (0.50)
Income (loss) per share-diluted (in dollars per share)$ 0.69$ (0.50)
Weighted average number of shares outstanding:  
Basic (in shares)296,763314,081
Diluted (in shares)311,846314,081
Natural gas sales  
Revenue and other:  
Total revenue$ 668,315$ 995,792
Natural gas liquids sales  
Revenue and other:  
Total revenue495,435660,305
Oil sales  
Revenue and other:  
Total revenue51,81163,294
Gathering, compression, water handling and treatment, processing, and transportation  
Operating expenses:  
Cost of goods and services sold645,172590,278
Marketing.  
Revenue and other:  
Total revenue58,52969,038
Operating expenses:  
Cost of goods and services sold81,36198,896
Commodity derivative fair value gains (losses)  
Revenue and other:  
Total revenue126,192(1,011,380)
Amortization of deferred revenue, VPP  
Revenue and other:  
Total revenue7,5339,272
Other revenue and income  
Revenue and other:  
Total revenue533519
Exploration and mine expenses  
Operating expenses:  
Cost of goods and services sold$ 763$ 898

AR Balance Sheet

2023-03-31
Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets - USD ($)
$ in Thousands
Mar. 31, 2023
Dec. 31, 2022
Current assets:  
Accounts receivable$ 30,207$ 35,488
Accrued revenue379,337707,685
Derivative instruments6,2421,900
Prepaid expenses and other current assets21,85642,452
Total current assets437,642787,525
Oil and gas properties, at cost (successful efforts method):  
Unproved properties1,013,780997,715
Proved properties13,450,25713,234,777
Gathering systems and facilities5,8825,802
Other property and equipment87,09183,909
Property and equipment, gross14,557,01014,322,203
Less accumulated depletion, depreciation, and amortization(4,771,093)(4,683,399)
Property and equipment, net9,785,9179,638,804
Operating leases right-of-use assets3,401,9943,444,331
Derivative instruments9,8259,844
Investment in unconsolidated affiliate219,515220,429
Other assets16,25317,106
Total assets13,871,14614,118,039
Current liabilities:  
Accounts payable83,68577,543
Accounts payable, related parties99,78480,708
Accrued liabilities318,084461,788
Revenue distributions payable381,880468,210
Derivative instruments28,71697,765
Short-term lease liabilities553,532556,636
Deferred revenue, VPP29,75730,552
Other current liabilities2,1031,707
Total current liabilities1,497,5411,774,909
Long-term liabilities:  
Long-term debt1,312,0461,183,476
Deferred income tax liability, net822,010759,861
Derivative instruments75,854345,280
Long-term lease liabilities2,851,5712,889,854
Deferred revenue, VPP81,07587,813
Other liabilities60,65759,692
Total liabilities6,700,7547,100,885
Commitments and contingencies
Equity:  
Preferred stock, $0.01 par value; authorized - 50,000 shares; none issued
Common stock, $0.01 par value; authorized - 1,000,000 shares; 297,393 shares issued and 297,359 outstanding as of December 31, 2022, and 299,321 shares issued and outstanding as of March 31, 20232,9932,974
Additional paid-in capital5,806,0315,838,848
Retained earnings1,102,340913,896
Treasury stock, at cost; 34 shares and zero shares as of December 31, 2022 and March 31, 2023, respectively (1,160)
Total stockholders' equity6,911,3646,754,558
Noncontrolling interests259,028262,596
Total equity7,170,3927,017,154
Total liabilities and equity$ 13,871,146$ 14,118,039