ConocoPhillips Stock Research

Market Summary

USD96.40+1.16

Market Closed

1.22%

COP Alerts

1 major insider buys recently.

COP Stock Price

COP RSI Chart

COP Valuation

Market Cap

122.0B

Price/Earnings (Trailing)

6.53

Price/Sales (Trailing)

1.49

EV/EBITDA

3.69

Price/Free Cashflow

4.31

COP Price/Sales (Trailing)

COP Profitability

EBT Margin

34.36%

Return on Equity

38.91%

Return on Assets

19.91%

Free Cashflow Yield

23.2%

COP Fundamentals

COP Revenue

Revenue (TTM)

82.2B

Revenue Y/Y

20.67%

Revenue Q/Q

-10.88%

COP Earnings

Earnings (TTM)

18.7B

Earnings Y/Y

23.68%

Earnings Q/Q

-28.23%

Price Action

52 Week Range

76.60137.96

(Low)(High)

Last 7 days

-11.2%

Last 30 days

-15.2%

Last 90 days

-15.4%

Trailing 12 Months

COP Financial Health

Current Ratio

1.46

Debt/Equity

0.34

Debt/Cashflow

1.74

COP Investor Care

Dividend Yield

1.96%

Dividend/Share (TTM)

1.89

Buy Backs (1Y)

4.98%

Diluted EPS (TTM)

14.57

Peers (Alternatives to ConocoPhillips)

View All Peers In Detail

Name	Mkt Capsorted ascending	Revenue	Price %, 1M	Returns, 1Y	P/E	P/S	Rev 1-Yr	Inc 1-Yr
LARGE-CAP
XOM	412.4B	413.7B	-13.74%	35.32%	7.4	1	44.83%	141.93%
CVX	298.1B	246.3B	-9.27%	-0.38%	8.41	1.21	51.57%	126.98%
COP	122.0B	82.2B	-15.20%	4.00%	6.53	1.49	69.92%	131.22%
MPC	61.5B	180.0B	-3.44%	67.96%	4.23	0.34	48.81%	49.07%
PSX	45.8B	175.7B	-13.50%	28.08%	4.15	0.26	52.98%	737.05%
APA	14.4B	11.9B	-24.61%	-11.58%	4.67	1.31	50.58%	232.96%
MID-CAP
MUR	5.4B	4.2B	-20.59%	-4.46%	5.64	1.29	50.65%	1409.36%
PBF	5.0B	46.8B	-6.96%	97.01%	1.72	0.11	71.83%	1145.37%
REGI	3.1B	-	0.65%	-11.32%	16.6	0.85	-	-
CVI	3.0B	10.9B	-15.94%	67.47%	6.44	0.27	50.46%	1752.00%
CPE	1.9B	3.2B	-26.77%	-44.44%	1.56	0.58	60.18%	231.32%
SMALL-CAP
GPRE	1.8B	3.7B	-10.84%	10.26%	-14.52	0.5	29.56%	-92.78%
CLMT	1.4B	4.6B	-8.27%	19.66%	-7.89	0.32	60.53%	28.58%
GEVO	431.6M	3.0M	-19.05%	-53.42%	-4.4	141.85	327.99%	-65.54%

Financials for ConocoPhillips

* denotes actual numbers (not divided by Millions)
Income Statement (Last 12 Months)					(In Millions)
Description	(%) Q/Q	2022Q4	2022Q3	2022Q2	2022Q1	2021Q4
Revenue	4.2%	82,156	78,857	68,859	57,081	48,349
Operating Expenses	5.1%	7,006	6,664	6,254	5,892	5,694
S&GA Expenses	4.9%	623	594	574	595	719
EBITDA	72.0%	35,732	20,772	20,893	20,848	-
EBITDA Margin	44.2%	0.43*	0.30*	0.37*	0.43*	-
Earnings Before Taxes	122.1%	28,228	12,712	-	-	-
EBT Margin	86.1%	0.34*	0.18*	0.22*	0.26*	-
Interest Expenses	-6.2%	972	1,036	-	-	-
Net Income	3.4%	18,680	18,058	15,910	12,856	8,079
Net Income Margin	-0.7%	0.23*	0.23*	0.59*	0.23*	-
Free Cahsflow	2.6%	28,314	27,590	23,647	19,984	-

* denotes actual numbers (not divided by Millions)
Balance Sheet					(In Millions)
Description	(%) Q/Q	2022Q4	2022Q3	2022Q2	2022Q1	2021Q4
Assets	-1.1%	93,829	94,837	93,693	93,308	90,661
Current Assets	-8.3%	18,749	20,453	18,860	17,586	16,050
Cash Equivalents	-19.4%	6,458	8,010	6,909	6,414	5,028
Inventory	-0.6%	1,219	1,226	1,234	1,174	1,208
Net PPE	-0.5%	63,673	64,008	64,642	64,911	-
Liabilities	0.1%	45,826	45,758	43,491	44,090	45,255
Current Liabilities	-8.2%	12,847	13,997	12,216	11,624	12,021
Long Term Debt	-0.4%	16,226	16,297	16,295	17,586	18,734
Shareholder's Equity	-2.2%	48,003	49,079	50,202	49,218	45,406
Retained Earnings	3.4%	53,029	51,278	49,093	45,442	40,674
Additional Paid-In Capital	0.1%	61,142	61,089	61,045	60,907	60,581
Accumulated Depreciation	-0.5%	64,874	65,212	64,711	64,735	-
Shares Outstanding	-1.9%	1,266	1,290	1,302	-	-

Cashflow (Last 12 Months)					(In Millions)
Description	(%) Q/Q	2022Q4	2022Q3	2022Q2	2022Q1	2021Q4
Cashflow From Operations	2.6%	28,314	27,590	23,647	19,984	16,996
Cashflow From Investing	39.3%	-8,741	-14,402	-10,765	-7,940	-8,544
Cashflow From Financing	-23.9%	-18,053	-14,576	-12,332	-8,457	-6,335
Dividend Payments	45.1%	5,726	3,945	3,040	2,635	2,359
Buy Backs	17.0%	9,270	7,923	6,367	4,673	3,623

Risks for COP

What is the probability of a big loss on COP?

70%

Probability that ConocoPhillips stock will be more than 20% underwater in next one year

28.5%

Probability that ConocoPhillips stock will be more than 30% underwater in next one year.

19.6%

Probability that ConocoPhillips stock will be more than 40% underwater in next one year.

*Calculated based on probability distribution of losses observed in actual data in the last 5 years.

How does COP drawdown profile look like?

Y-axis is the maximum loss one would have experienced if ConocoPhillips was unfortunately bought at previous high price.

Drawdowns

Returns for COP

Cumulative Returns on COP

8.3%

10-Year Cumulative Returns

15.7%

7-Year Cumulative Returns

15.1%

5-Year Cumulative Returns

50.2%

3-Year Cumulative Returns

What are the long-term rolling returns for COP?

FIve years rolling returns for ConocoPhillips.

Annualized Returns

Which funds bought or sold COP recently?

View All Details

Datesorted ascending	Fund Name	Type	% Chg	$ Change	$ Held	% Portfolio
2023-03-15	B. Riley Wealth Advisors, Inc.	added	25.66	1,873,100	6,248,100	0.17%
2023-03-10	VICTORY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT INC	reduced	-2.39	17,129,800	153,675,000	0.17%
2023-03-10	MATHER GROUP, LLC.	reduced	-1.17	391,487	3,196,490	0.06%
2023-03-08	SHEETS SMITH WEALTH MANAGEMENT	reduced	-9.54	16,384	389,384	0.06%
2023-03-08	Capital Asset Advisory Services LLC	reduced	-7.16	190,703	2,223,700	0.18%
2023-03-07	Great Lakes Retirement, Inc.	new	-	1,726,250	1,726,250	0.44%
2023-03-06	BIRMINGHAM CAPITAL MANAGEMENT CO INC/AL	unchanged	-	76,244	573,244	0.22%
2023-03-06	OLD MISSION CAPITAL LLC	new	-	963,706	963,706	0.03%
2023-03-06	NORTH STAR ASSET MANAGEMENT INC	added	11.39	101,734	461,734	0.03%
2023-03-06	Rockefeller Capital Management L.P.	reduced	-45.12	-10,846,000	18,691,000	0.09%

Latest Funds Activity

Are funds buying COP calls or puts?

Calls

Puts

Are funds bullish or bearish(Calls - Puts)?

Net Call Options

No. of funds that own COP

No. of Funds

COP Alerts

1 major insider buys recently.

ConocoPhillips News

Schedule 13G FIlings of ConocoPhillips

Date Filed	Name of Filer	Percent of Class	No. of Shares	Form Type
Feb 09, 2023	vanguard group inc	9.02%	112,455,185	SC 13G/A
Feb 03, 2023	blackrock inc.	7.9%	98,925,878	SC 13G/A
Feb 01, 2023	state street corp	4.84%	60,282,649	SC 13G/A
Feb 11, 2022	capital international investors	4.4%	57,536,107	SC 13G/A
Feb 10, 2022	state street corp	5.10%	67,305,193	SC 13G/A
Feb 09, 2022	vanguard group inc	8.34%	109,952,950	SC 13G/A
Feb 03, 2022	blackrock inc.	8.4%	111,184,666	SC 13G/A
Feb 16, 2021	capital international investors	6.1%	64,953,294	SC 13G
Feb 10, 2021	vanguard group inc	8.03%	85,764,223	SC 13G/A
Feb 08, 2021	state street corp	5.46%	58,340,086	SC 13G

COP Fair Value

ConocoPhillips fair value in different scenarios

The table shows the Fair Value estimates for ConocoPhillips for various scenarios. Disclaimer: These are just estimations from a model. None of the models are good at predicting the future. Please dont buy or sell stocks based on these outputs.

Fair Value	Very Pessimistic	Pessimistic	Base Case	Optimistic	Very Optimistic
Very Low Inflation	170.36 76.72%	295.96 207.01%	464.08 381.41%	609.25 532.00%	742.63 670.36%
Current Inflation	165.11 71.28%	235.41 144.20%	368.62 282.39%	523.43 442.98%	658.29 582.87%
Very High Inflation	141.01 46.28%	228.96 137.51%	341.80 254.56%	439.88 356.31%	526.56 446.22%

Historical ConocoPhillips Fair Value Estimates

Very Pessimistic Case

Pessimistic Case

Fair Value

Optimistic Case

Very Optimistic Case

Closing Stock Price

Recent SEC filings of ConocoPhillips

View All Filings

Date Filed	Form Type	Document
Mar 02, 2023	4	Insider Trading
Mar 02, 2023	4	Insider Trading
Feb 23, 2023	4	Insider Trading
Feb 22, 2023	4	Insider Trading
Feb 22, 2023	4	Insider Trading
Feb 22, 2023	4	Insider Trading
Feb 22, 2023	4	Insider Trading
Feb 22, 2023	4	Insider Trading
Feb 22, 2023	4	Insider Trading
Feb 22, 2023	4	Insider Trading

Latest Insider Trading transactions for COP

Filter Transactions

Datesorted ascending	Name	Buy/Sell	$ Value	Avg. Price	# Shares	Title
2023-02-22	WALKER R A	bought	494,400	103	4,800	-
2023-02-22	WALKER R A	bought	123,600	103	1,200	-
2023-02-20	Sirdashney Heather G	acquired	-	-	15,204	senior vice president
2023-02-20	Olds Nicholas G	sold (taxes)	-1,172,170	104	-11,172	executive vice president
2023-02-20	O'BRIEN ANDREW M.	back to issuer	-536,666	104	-5,115	senior vice president
2023-02-20	O'BRIEN ANDREW M.	sold (taxes)	-220,962	104	-2,106	senior vice president
2023-02-20	Lance Ryan Michael	sold (taxes)	-9,100,030	104	-86,733	chairman and ceo
2023-02-20	Rose Kelly Brunetti	sold (taxes)	-1,836,620	104	-17,505	svp & general counsel
2023-02-20	Macklon Dominic E.	sold (taxes)	-1,721,740	104	-16,410	executive vice president
2023-02-20	Macklon Dominic E.	back to issuer	-3,033,130	104	-28,909	executive vice president

About ConocoPhillips

Ryan M. Lance

www.conocophillips.com

9900

ConocoPhillips explores for, produces, transports, and markets crude oil, bitumen, natural gas, liquefied natural gas (LNG), and natural gas liquids worldwide. It primarily engages in the conventional and tight oil reservoirs, shale gas, heavy oil, LNG, oil sands, and other production operations. The company's portfolio includes unconventional plays in North America; conventional assets in North America, Europe, Asia, and Australia; various LNG developments; oil sands assets in Canada; and an inventory of conventional and unconventional exploration prospects. ConocoPhillips was founded in 1917 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.

COP Income Statement

2022-12-31

Consolidated Income Statement - USD ($) shares in Thousands, $ in Millions	12 Months Ended
	Dec. 31, 2022	Dec. 31, 2021	Dec. 31, 2020
Revenues and Other Income
Sales and other operating revenues	$ 78,494	$ 45,828	$ 18,784
Equity in earnings of affiliates	2,081	832	432
Gain on dispositions	1,077	486	549
Other income (loss)	504	1,203	(509)
Total Revenues and Other Income	82,156	48,349	19,256
Costs and Expenses
Purchased commodities	33,971	18,158	8,078
Production and operating expenses	7,006	5,694	4,344
Selling, general and administrative expenses	623	719	430
Exploration expenses	564	344	1,457
Depreciation, depletion and amortization	7,504	7,208	5,521
Impairments	(12)	674	813
Taxes other than income taxes	3,364	1,634	754
Accretion on discounted liabilities	250	242	252
Interest and debt expense	805	884	806
Foreign currency transaction gains	(100)	(22)	(72)
Other expenses	(47)	102	13
Total Costs and Expenses	53,928	35,637	22,396
Income (loss) before income taxes	28,228	12,712	(3,140)
Income tax provision (benefit)	9,548	4,633	(485)
Net income (loss)	18,680	8,079	(2,655)
Less: net income attributable to noncontrolling interests	0	0	(46)
Net Income (Loss) Attributable to ConocoPhillips	$ 18,680	$ 8,079	$ (2,701)
Net Income (Loss) Attributable to ConocoPhillips Per Share of Common Stock (dollars)
Basic (in dollars per share)	$ 14.62	$ 6.09	$ (2.51)
Diluted (in dollars per share)	$ 14.57	$ 6.07	$ (2.51)
Average Common Shares Outstanding (in thousands)
Basic (in shares)	1,274,028	1,324,194	1,078,030
Diluted (in shares)	1,278,163	1,328,151	1,078,030

COP Balance Sheet

2022-12-31

Consolidated Balance Sheet - USD ($) $ in Millions	Dec. 31, 2022	Dec. 31, 2021
Assets
Cash and cash equivalents	$ 6,458	$ 5,028
Short-term investments	2,785	446
Accounts and notes receivable (net of allowance of $2 and $2, respectively)	7,075	6,543
Accounts and notes receivable—related parties	13	127
Investment in Cenovus Energy	0	1,117
Inventories	1,219	1,208
Prepaid expenses and other current assets	1,199	1,581
Total Current Assets	18,749	16,050
Investments and long-term receivables	8,225	7,113
Net properties, plants and equipment (net of accumulated DD&A of $66,630 and $64,735, respectively)	64,866	64,911
Other assets	1,989	2,587
Total Assets	93,829	90,661
Liabilities
Accounts payable	6,113	5,002
Accounts payable—related parties	50	23
Short-term debt	417	1,200
Accrued income and other taxes	3,193	2,862
Employee benefit obligations	728	755
Other accruals	2,346	2,179
Total Current Liabilities	12,847	12,021
Long-term debt	16,226	18,734
Asset retirement obligations and accrued environmental costs	6,401	5,754
Deferred income taxes	7,726	6,179
Employee benefit obligations	1,074	1,153
Other liabilities and deferred credits	1,552	1,414
Total Liabilities	45,826	45,255
Equity
Common stock (2,500,000,000 shares authorized at $0.01 par value) Issued (2022-2,100,885,134 shares; 2021-2,091,562,747 shares), Par value	21	21
Capital in excess of par	61,142	60,581
Treasury stock (at cost: 2022—877,029,062 shares; 2021—789,319,875 shares)	(60,189)	(50,920)
Accumulated other comprehensive loss	(6,000)	(4,950)
Retained earnings	53,029	40,674
Total Equity	48,003	45,406
Total Liabilities and Equity	$ 93,829	$ 90,661