Domino's Pizza Inc Stock Research

Market Summary

USD306.80+2.51

Market Closed

0.82%

DPZ Alerts

1 major insider sales recently.

DPZ Stock Price

DPZ RSI Chart

DPZ Valuation

Market Cap

10.9B

Price/Earnings (Trailing)

23.32

Price/Sales (Trailing)

2.39

EV/EBITDA

18.1

Price/Free Cashflow

26.03

DPZ Price/Sales (Trailing)

DPZ Profitability

EBT Margin

12.63%

Return on Assets

28.23%

Free Cashflow Yield

3.84%

DPZ Fundamentals

DPZ Revenue

Revenue (TTM)

4.6B

Revenue Y/Y

1.31%

Revenue Q/Q

-26.42%

DPZ Earnings

Earnings (TTM)

466.1M

Earnings Y/Y

15.18%

Earnings Q/Q

-33.82%

Price Action

52 Week Range

289.84422.11

(Low)(High)

Last 7 days

0.6%

Last 30 days

-7.1%

Last 90 days

0.1%

Trailing 12 Months

-9.2%

DPZ Financial Health

Current Ratio

1.47

Debt/Cashflow

0.1

DPZ Investor Care

Dividend Yield

1.43%

Dividend/Share (TTM)

4.4

Buy Backs (1Y)

1.99%

Diluted EPS (TTM)

12.96

Peers (Alternatives to Domino Pizza)

View All Peers In Detail

Name	Mkt Capsorted ascending	Revenue	Price %, 1M	Returns, 1Y	P/E	P/S	Rev 1-Yr	Inc 1-Yr
LARGE-CAP
MCD	212.6B	23.4B	-2.48%	19.58%	34.42	9.17	-1.47%	-3.33%
SBUX	114.4B	34.0B	-8.86%	40.05%	32.18	3.36	8.52%	-19.36%
RCL	16.1B	10.7B	23.79%	55.36%	-7.47	1.82	318.40%	80.42%
DPZ	10.9B	4.6B	-7.11%	-9.16%	23.32	2.39	3.78%	-3.64%
CCL	10.5B	15.0B	14.98%	-9.27%	-1.47	1.09	327.18%	48.03%
MID-CAP
CHDN	10.5B	2.0B	8.00%	55.49%	18.92	5.22	22.49%	116.78%
ARMK	10.1B	17.7B	10.64%	22.20%	40.81	0.57	23.57%	68.31%
TXRH	7.5B	4.0B	3.60%	60.37%	27.83	1.87	15.91%	10.00%
VAC	5.8B	4.7B	-10.98%	-7.27%	21.79	1.32	19.69%	697.96%
SMALL-CAP
PLAY	1.6B	2.0B	-1.17%	10.19%	11.95	0.83	50.64%	26.23%
GDEN	1.2B	1.1B	-2.01%	1.92%	20.6	1.06	-0.39%	-69.07%
DIN	1.0B	892.8M	0.75%	-2.42%	12.15	1.14	-3.21%	-13.84%
BJRI	746.3M	1.3B	7.89%	43.66%	122.41	0.56	14.11%	512.76%
RAVE	24.0M	11.7M	11.75%	98.00%	3.1	2.06	13.82%	259.32%

Financials for Domino Pizza

* denotes actual numbers (not divided by Millions)
Income Statement (Last 12 Months)					(In Millions)
Description	(%) Q/Q	2023Q1	2022Q4	2022Q3	2022Q2	2022Q1
Revenue	0.3%	4,550	4,537	4,488	4,418	4,385
Gross Profit	1.0%	1,666	1,649	1,643	1,646	1,668
S&GA Expenses	-0.6%	414	417	426	431	435
EBITDA	-0.6%	851	856	857	868	-
EBITDA Margin	-1.6%	0.19*	0.19*	0.21*	0.20*	-
Earnings Before Taxes	2.7%	588	573	615	619	-
EBT Margin	-2.2%	0.13*	0.13*	0.14*	0.14*	-
Interest Expenses	-0.2%	198	198	202	202	-
Net Income	3.1%	466	452	450	470	484
Net Income Margin	-0.5%	0.10*	0.10*	0.11*	0.11*	-
Free Cahsflow	-4.3%	388	406	419	490	-

Balance Sheet					(In Millions)
Description	(%) Q/Q	2023Q1	2022Q4	2022Q3	2022Q2	2022Q1
Assets	2.4%	1,641	1,602	1,646	1,671	1,674
Current Assets	4.7%	828	791	826	846	861
Cash Equivalents	155.5%	154	60.00	115	114	165
Inventory	-15.1%	69.00	82.00	73.00	70.00	78.00
Net PPE	-1.1%	299	302	311	314	320
Goodwill	-0.6%	12.00	12.00	16.00	16.00	16.00
Liabilities	-	5,791	-	-	-	-
Current Liabilities	3.7%	556	537	579	575	595
Long Term Debt	-0.2%	4,955	4,967	5,097	4,990	5,002
Retained Earnings	1.1%	-4,148	-4,194	-4,313	-4,180	-4,200
Additional Paid-In Capital	-84.8%	1.00	10.00	1.00	4.00	4.00
Accumulated Depreciation	2.9%	342	332	350	340	329
Shares Outstanding	-	35.00	-	-	-	-

Cashflow (Last 12 Months)					(In Millions)
Description	(%) Q/Q	2023Q1	2022Q4	2022Q3	2022Q2	2022Q1
Cashflow From Operations	7.6%	511	475	500	512	580
Share Based Compensation	1.0%	29.00	29.00	31.00	32.00	-
Cashflow From Investing	1.9%	-52.65	-53.68	-111	-109	-106
Cashflow From Financing	3.3%	-499	-515	-598	-588	-561
Dividend Payments	0.0%	158	158	148	143	139
Buy Backs	-6.0%	276	294	510	394	1,344

Risks for DPZ

What is the probability of a big loss on DPZ?

55.4%

Probability that Domino Pizza stock will be more than 20% underwater in next one year

16.9%

Probability that Domino Pizza stock will be more than 30% underwater in next one year.

5.4%

Probability that Domino Pizza stock will be more than 40% underwater in next one year.

*Calculated based on probability distribution of losses observed in actual data in the last 5 years.

How does DPZ drawdown profile look like?

Y-axis is the maximum loss one would have experienced if Domino Pizza was unfortunately bought at previous high price.

Drawdowns

Returns for DPZ

Cumulative Returns on DPZ

19.2%

10-Year Cumulative Returns

15.3%

7-Year Cumulative Returns

5.2%

5-Year Cumulative Returns

-5.3%

3-Year Cumulative Returns

What are the long-term rolling returns for DPZ?

FIve years rolling returns for Domino Pizza.

Annualized Returns

Which funds bought or sold DPZ recently?

View All Details

Datesorted ascending	Fund Name	Type	% Chg	$ Change	$ Held	% Portfolio
2023-05-23	Toroso Investments, LLC	added	215	6,871,000	10,294,000	0.18%
2023-05-22	AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL INC	reduced	-3.66	-2,981,800	33,361,200	0.01%
2023-05-18	NEW YORK STATE COMMON RETIREMENT FUND	reduced	-2.94	-1,332,000	16,257,000	0.02%
2023-05-18	JPMORGAN CHASE & CO	added	59.8	82,290,300	240,011,000	0.03%
2023-05-18	SkyView Investment Advisors, LLC	new	-	-	-	-%
2023-05-17	Advisory Services Network, LLC	reduced	-1.06	-5,629	92,162	-%
2023-05-17	VIRGINIA RETIREMENT SYSTEMS ET AL	reduced	-90.00	-1,653,360	207,840	-%
2023-05-17	KB FINANCIAL PARTNERS, LLC	reduced	-21.6	-11,000	32,000	0.01%
2023-05-17	Thrivent Financial for Lutherans	added	9,111	127,398,000	128,867,000	0.31%
2023-05-17	Sunbelt Securities, Inc.	reduced	-2.66	-36,132	419,763	0.07%

Latest Funds Activity

Are funds buying DPZ calls or puts?

Calls

Puts

Are funds bullish or bearish(Calls - Puts)?

Net Call Options

No. of funds that own DPZ

No. of Funds

DPZ Alerts

1 major insider sales recently.

Domino Pizza News

Schedule 13G FIlings of Domino Pizza

Date Filed	Name of Filer	Percent of Class	No. of Shares	Form Type
Feb 09, 2023	vanguard group inc	11.01%	3,896,223	SC 13G/A
Jan 06, 2023	blackrock inc.	10.8%	3,806,197	SC 13G/A
Aug 22, 2022	pershing square capital management, l.p.	0%	0	SC 13G/A
Feb 14, 2022	pershing square capital management, l.p.	5.7%	2,092,202	SC 13G/A
Feb 09, 2022	vanguard group inc	10.60%	3,856,109	SC 13G/A
Feb 03, 2022	blackrock inc.	9.7%	3,539,785	SC 13G/A
Jan 10, 2022	capital world investors	4.8%	1,728,866	SC 13G/A
May 17, 2021	pershing square capital management, l.p.	5.3%	2,039,170	SC 13G
Feb 16, 2021	capital world investors	10.0%	3,926,231	SC 13G/A
Feb 10, 2021	vanguard group inc	10.78%	4,247,068	SC 13G/A

DPZ Fair Value

Domino Pizza fair value in different scenarios

The table shows the Fair Value estimates for Domino Pizza for various scenarios. Disclaimer: These are just estimations from a model. None of the models are good at predicting the future. Please dont buy or sell stocks based on these outputs.

Fair Value	Very Pessimistic	Pessimistic	Base Case	Optimistic	Very Optimistic
Very Low Inflation	99.78 -67.48%	173.95 -43.30%	265.83 -13.35%	374.11 21.94%	468.95 52.85%
Current Inflation	74.66 -75.66%	132.67 -56.76%	200.74 -34.57%	280.50 -8.57%	351.34 14.52%
Very High Inflation	64.13 -79.10%	114.64 -62.63%	173.30 -43.51%	242.71 -20.89%	303.32 -1.13%

Historical Domino Pizza Fair Value Estimates

Very Pessimistic Case

Pessimistic Case

Fair Value

Optimistic Case

Very Optimistic Case

Closing Stock Price

Recent SEC filings of Domino Pizza

View All Filings

Date Filed	Form Type	Document
May 05, 2023	4	Insider Trading
May 05, 2023	4	Insider Trading
May 03, 2023	144	Notice of Insider Sale Intent
Apr 27, 2023	4	Insider Trading
Apr 27, 2023	8-K	Current Report
Apr 27, 2023	8-K	Current Report
Apr 27, 2023	8-K	Current Report
Apr 27, 2023	4	Insider Trading
Apr 27, 2023	4	Insider Trading
Apr 27, 2023	4	Insider Trading

Latest Insider Trading transactions for DPZ

Filter Transactions

Datesorted ascending	Name	Buy/Sell	$ Value	Avg. Price	# Shares	Title
2023-05-04	BRANDON DAVID	sold (taxes)	-61,383	311	-197	-
2023-05-03	BALLARD ANDY	sold	-200,098	316	-633	-
2023-04-25	BALSON ANDREW	acquired	-	-	531	-
2023-04-25	BRANDON DAVID	acquired	-	-	531	-
2023-04-25	LOPEZ PATRICIA E	acquired	-	-	531	-
2023-04-25	Cantor Diana F	acquired	-	-	531	-
2023-04-25	Barry Corie S	acquired	-	-	531	-
2023-04-25	BALLARD ANDY	acquired	-	-	531	-
2023-04-25	GOLDMAN JAMES A	acquired	-	-	531	-
2023-04-25	FEDERICO RICHARD L	acquired	-	-	531	-

About Domino Pizza

Russell J. Weiner

www.dominos.com

13500

Domino's Pizza, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as a pizza company in the United States and internationally. It operates through three segments: U.S. Stores, International Franchise, and Supply Chain. The company offers pizzas under the Domino's brand name through company-owned and franchised stores. It also provides oven-baked sandwiches, pasta, boneless chicken and chicken wings, bread and dips side items, desserts, and soft drink products. As of January 2, 2022, the company operated approximately 18,800 stores in 90 markets. Domino's Pizza, Inc. was founded in 1960 and is based in Ann Arbor, Michigan.

DPZ Income Statement

2023-03-26

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF INCOME - USD ($) $ in Thousands	3 Months Ended
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF INCOME - USD ($) $ in Thousands	Mar. 26, 2023	Mar. 27, 2022
Revenues:
Revenue	$ 1,024,398	$ 1,011,149
Cost of sales:
Cost of sales	638,851	642,525
Gross margin	385,547	368,624
General and administrative	95,189	97,494
U.S. franchise advertising	112,726	106,589
Income from operations	177,483	164,541
Refranchising loss	149
Interest income	2,391	49
Interest expense	(46,547)	(46,872)
Income before provision for income taxes	133,327	117,718
Provision for income taxes	28,557	26,754
Net income	$ 104,770	$ 90,964
Earnings per share:
Common stock - basic	$ 2.96	$ 2.53
Common stock - diluted	$ 2.93	$ 2.50
U.S. Stores [Member] \| U.S. Company-owned stores [Member]
Revenues:
Revenue	$ 84,911	$ 103,895
Cost of sales:
Cost of sales	70,572	87,375
U.S. Stores [Member] \| U.S. franchise stores [Member]
Revenues:
Revenue	132,864	122,285
U.S. Stores [Member] \| U.S. franchise advertising [Member]
Revenues:
Revenue	112,726	106,589
Supply Chain [Member] \| Supply Chain Center [Member]
Revenues:
Revenue	624,226	609,547
Cost of sales:
Cost of sales	568,279	555,150
International Franchise [Member] \| International franchise royalties and fees [Member]
Revenues:
Revenue	$ 69,671	$ 68,833

DPZ Balance Sheet

2023-03-26

CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS - USD ($)
$ in Thousands

Mar. 26, 2023

Jan. 01, 2023

^[1]

Current assets:

Cash and cash equivalents

$ 154,193

$ 60,356

Restricted cash and cash equivalents

170,798

191,289

Accounts receivable, net

259,163

257,492

Inventories

69,278

81,570

Prepaid expenses and other

34,381

37,287

Advertising fund assets, restricted

139,926

162,660

Total current assets

827,739

790,654

Property, plant and equipment:

Land and buildings

105,581

105,659

Leasehold and other improvements

173,959

172,725

Equipment

342,408

333,787

Construction in progress

19,192

22,536

Property, plant and equipment, Gross

641,140

634,707

Accumulated depreciation and amortization

(342,262)

(332,472)

Property, plant and equipment, net

298,878

302,235

Other assets:

Operating lease right-of-use assets

219,630

219,202

Goodwill

11,688

11,763

Capitalized software, net

113,150

108,354

Investments

125,840

Deferred income tax assets, net

1,869

1,926

Other assets

42,596

42,247

Total other assets

514,773

509,332

Total assets

1,641,390

1,602,221

Current liabilities:

Current portion of long-term debt

55,228

54,813

Accounts payable

93,547

89,715

Operating lease liabilities

36,847

34,877

Insurance reserves

30,309

31,435

Dividends payable

43,783

866

Advertising fund liabilities

136,578

157,909

Other accrued liabilities

160,073

167,006

Total current liabilities

556,365

536,621

Long-term liabilities:

Long-term debt, less current portion

4,955,228

4,967,420

Operating lease liabilities

194,193

195,244

Insurance reserves

38,030

40,179

Other accrued liabilities

44,587

44,061

Deferred income tax liabilities

4,760

7,761

Total long-term liabilities

5,236,798

5,254,665

Stockholders' deficit

Common stock

353

354

Additional paid-in capital

1,474

9,693

Retained deficit

(4,148,455)

(4,194,418)

Accumulated other comprehensive loss

(5,145)

(4,694)

Total stockholders' deficit

(4,151,773)

(4,189,065)

Total liabilities and stockholders' deficit

$ 1,641,390

$ 1,602,221

[1]

The condensed consolidated balance sheet at January 1, 2023 has been derived from the audited consolidated financial statements at that date but does not include all of the information and footnotes required by accounting principles generally accepted in the United States for complete financial statements.