Estee Lauder Companies Inc Stock Research

Market Summary

USD237.23+0.43

Market Closed

0.18%

EL Alerts

2 major insider sales recently.
Big fall in Revenue (Y/Y)
Big fall in earnings (Y/Y)

EL Stock Price

EL RSI Chart

EL Valuation

Market Cap

84.9B

Price/Earnings (Trailing)

56.2

Price/Sales (Trailing)

5.19

EV/EBITDA

30.59

Price/Free Cashflow

89.8

EL Price/Sales (Trailing)

EL Profitability

EBT Margin

11.71%

Return on Equity

25.58%

Return on Assets

7.28%

Free Cashflow Yield

1.11%

EL Fundamentals

EL Revenue

Revenue (TTM)

16.4B

Revenue Y/Y

-16.59%

Revenue Q/Q

17.56%

EL Earnings

Earnings (TTM)

1.5B

Earnings Y/Y

-63.58%

Earnings Q/Q

-18.98%

Price Action

52 Week Range

186.47288.87

(Low)(High)

Last 7 days

-4.7%

Last 30 days

-7.2%

Last 90 days

-1.6%

Trailing 12 Months

-8.3%

EL Financial Health

Current Ratio

1.66

Debt/Equity

0.87

Debt/Cashflow

0.38

EL Investor Care

Dividend Yield

0.87%

Dividend/Share (TTM)

2.33

Buy Backs (1Y)

0.80%

Diluted EPS (TTM)

4.13

Peers (Alternatives to Estee Lauder Companies)

View All Peers In Detail

Name	Mkt Capsorted ascending	Revenue	Price %, 1M	Returns, 1Y	P/E	P/S	Rev 1-Yr	Inc 1-Yr
LARGE-CAP
PG	338.6B	80.3B	1.26%	-3.79%	23.71	4.22	2.47%	-1.59%
EL	84.9B	16.4B	-7.24%	-8.31%	56.2	5.19	-7.75%	-53.65%
CL	60.9B	18.0B	-1.14%	-1.59%	34.13	3.39	3.13%	-17.59%
CLX	19.1B	7.1B	2.26%	22.62%	43.96	2.71	-0.21%	76.11%
CHD	18.6B	5.4B	3.70%	-12.09%	25.18	3.49	3.57%	-49.98%
MID-CAP
COTY	9.4B	5.3B	-3.49%	27.42%	67.46	1.78	4.52%	-56.15%
IPAR	4.5B	1.1B	17.53%	70.15%	37.46	4.17	23.55%	38.36%
ELF	4.0B	496.6M	-0.15%	206.44%	84.36	7.96	30.80%	132.00%
EPC	2.1B	2.2B	-7.23%	10.56%	21.52	0.98	3.72%	-10.14%
SMALL-CAP
USNA	1.2B	998.6M	-1.47%	-26.87%	17.4	1.21	-15.83%	-40.47%
MED	1.1B	1.6B	-6.88%	-38.08%	7.91	0.71	4.75%	-12.48%
REV	214.9M	-	-40.09%	-62.17%	-0.3	0.1	-	-56.86%
UG	47.8M	13.6M	-11.34%	-41.75%	15.89	3.51	7.56%	-27.60%
MTEX	32.7M	142.4M	4.94%	-43.30%	7.1	0.23	-10.68%	-42.26%

Financials for Estee Lauder Companies

* denotes actual numbers (not divided by Millions)
Income Statement (Last 12 Months)					(In Millions)
Description	(%) Q/Q	2022Q4	2022Q3	2022Q2	2022Q1	2021Q4
Revenue	-5.3%	16,356	17,275	17,737	18,112	17,731
Gross Profit	-7.0%	12,089	13,004	13,432	13,852	13,526
Operating Expenses	-0.5%	10,055	10,108	10,262	10,527	10,323
S&GA Expenses	-2.6%	9,483	9,738	9,888	10,164	10,034
EBITDA	-23.1%	2,819	3,665	3,930	4,927	4,783
EBITDA Margin	-18.8%	0.17*	0.21*	0.22*	0.27*	0.27*
Earnings Before Taxes	-30.9%	1,916	2,772	3,036	4,038	3,915
EBT Margin	-27.0%	0.12*	0.16*	0.17*	0.22*	0.22*
Interest Expenses	5.8%	181	171	167	167	169
Net Income	-31.5%	1,510	2,203	2,408	3,373	3,258
Net Income Margin	-27.6%	0.09*	0.13*	0.14*	0.19*	0.18*
Free Cahsflow	-36.3%	945	1,484	2,000	1,914	2,653

* denotes actual numbers (not divided by Millions)
Balance Sheet					(In Millions)
Description	(%) Q/Q	2022Q4	2022Q3	2022Q2	2022Q1	2021Q4
Assets	3.7%	20,731	19,989	20,910	21,359	22,078
Current Assets	5.7%	9,367	8,866	9,298	9,500	9,955
Cash Equivalents	26.8%	3,725	2,938	3,957	3,836	4,603
Inventory	1.7%	3,069	3,018	2,920	2,830	2,612
Net PPE	9.6%	2,908	2,654	2,650	2,493	2,451
Goodwill	2.4%	2,473	2,415	2,521	1,296	2,572
Current Liabilities	7.3%	5,655	5,271	5,815	5,414	5,762
Long Term Debt	0.1%	5,111	5,107	5,144	5,188	5,259
Shareholder's Equity	7.0%	5,902	5,517	5,590	6,150	6,218
Retained Earnings	1.1%	14,342	14,185	13,912	14,076	13,735
Additional Paid-In Capital	2.1%	6,000	5,875	5,796	5,746	5,605
Accumulated Depreciation	0.3%	3,502	3,490	3,504	3,493	-
Shares Outstanding	-0.1%	358	358	359	361	-
Minority Interest	-100.0%	-	36.00	34.00	-	-
Float	-	86,000	-	-	-	-

Cashflow (Last 12 Months)					(In Millions)
Description	(%) Q/Q	2022Q4	2022Q3	2022Q2	2022Q1	2021Q4
Cashflow From Operations	-21.3%	1,945	2,471	3,040	2,823	3,499
Share Based Compensation	-0.3%	304	305	331	355	350
Cashflow From Investing	-1.2%	-816	-806	-945	-1,850	-1,881
Cashflow From Financing	25.9%	-1,946	-2,626	-3,036	-3,546	-2,548
Dividend Payments	2.2%	882	863	840	816	794
Buy Backs	-38.9%	1,138	1,862	2,309	2,415	2,059

Risks for EL

What is the probability of a big loss on EL?

53.9%

Probability that Estee Lauder Companies stock will be more than 20% underwater in next one year

32.7%

Probability that Estee Lauder Companies stock will be more than 30% underwater in next one year.

5.4%

Probability that Estee Lauder Companies stock will be more than 40% underwater in next one year.

*Calculated based on probability distribution of losses observed in actual data in the last 5 years.

How does EL drawdown profile look like?

Y-axis is the maximum loss one would have experienced if Estee Lauder Companies was unfortunately bought at previous high price.

Drawdowns

Returns for EL

Cumulative Returns on EL

15.2%

10-Year Cumulative Returns

15.3%

7-Year Cumulative Returns

10.9%

5-Year Cumulative Returns

11.8%

3-Year Cumulative Returns

What are the long-term rolling returns for EL?

FIve years rolling returns for Estee Lauder Companies.

Annualized Returns

Which funds bought or sold EL recently?

View All Details

Datesorted ascending	Fund Name	Type	% Chg	$ Change	$ Held	% Portfolio
2023-03-15	B. Riley Wealth Advisors, Inc.	added	132	1,195,020	1,910,020	0.05%
2023-03-10	BAILLIE GIFFORD & CO	reduced	-5.36	50,997,600	632,860,000	0.66%
2023-03-10	VICTORY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT INC	added	7.24	8,903,980	47,229,000	0.05%
2023-03-08	SHEETS SMITH WEALTH MANAGEMENT	reduced	-0.53	580,875	4,643,880	0.73%
2023-03-07	Great Lakes Retirement, Inc.	new	-	874,613	874,613	0.22%
2023-03-07	Nordwand Advisors, LLC	new	-	417,073	417,073	0.05%
2023-03-06	Rockefeller Capital Management L.P.	added	2.51	4,160,000	27,522,000	0.14%
2023-03-03	TIAA, FSB	added	2.51	123,996	820,996	-%
2023-03-02	LORING WOLCOTT & COOLIDGE FIDUCIARY ADVISORS LLP/MA	new	-	6,692,270	6,692,270	0.08%
2023-03-02	OLIVER LAGORE VANVALIN INVESTMENT GROUP	new	-	13,646	13,646	0.01%

Latest Funds Activity

Are funds buying EL calls or puts?

Calls

Puts

Are funds bullish or bearish(Calls - Puts)?

Net Call Options

No. of funds that own EL

No. of Funds

Estee Lauder Companies News

Schedule 13G FIlings of Estee Lauder Companies

Date Filed	Name of Filer	Percent of Class	No. of Shares	Form Type
Feb 10, 2023	lal family partners lp	25.8%	80,437,628	SC 13G/A
Feb 10, 2023	lauder leonard a	0.1%	266,638	SC 13G/A
Feb 10, 2023	parsons richard d	3.2%	7,753,420	SC 13G/A
Feb 10, 2023	lauder ronald s	2.1%	4,848,545	SC 13G/A
Feb 10, 2023	lauder william p	3.6%	8,558,835	SC 13G/A
Feb 10, 2023	lal family corp	25.8%	80,437,628	SC 13G/A
Feb 09, 2023	vanguard group inc	7.89%	18,236,234	SC 13G/A
Feb 01, 2023	blackrock inc.	6.9%	15,864,590	SC 13G/A
Feb 14, 2022	leonard a. lauder 2013 revocable trust	0.1%	266,638	SC 13D/A
Feb 14, 2022	ehrenkranz joel s	0.1%	266,638	SC 13G/A

EL Fair Value

Estee Lauder Companies fair value in different scenarios

The table shows the Fair Value estimates for Estee Lauder Companies for various scenarios. Disclaimer: These are just estimations from a model. None of the models are good at predicting the future. Please dont buy or sell stocks based on these outputs.

Fair Value	Very Pessimistic	Pessimistic	Base Case	Optimistic	Very Optimistic
Very Low Inflation	55.85 -76.46%	84.76 -64.27%	117.96 -50.28%	151.71 -36.05%	191.09 -19.45%
Current Inflation	51.63 -78.24%	76.62 -67.70%	104.48 -55.96%	132.68 -44.07%	165.08 -30.41%
Very High Inflation	46.35 -80.46%	66.75 -71.86%	88.58 -62.66%	110.57 -53.39%	135.31 -42.96%

Historical Estee Lauder Companies Fair Value Estimates

Very Pessimistic Case

Pessimistic Case

Fair Value

Optimistic Case

Very Optimistic Case

Closing Stock Price

Recent SEC filings of Estee Lauder Companies

View All Filings

Date Filed	Form Type	Document
Mar 16, 2023	4	Insider Trading
Mar 16, 2023	4	Insider Trading
Mar 16, 2023	4	Insider Trading
Mar 16, 2023	4	Insider Trading
Mar 16, 2023	4	Insider Trading
Mar 16, 2023	4	Insider Trading
Mar 16, 2023	4	Insider Trading
Mar 16, 2023	4	Insider Trading
Mar 16, 2023	4	Insider Trading
Mar 16, 2023	4	Insider Trading

Latest Insider Trading transactions for EL

Filter Transactions

Datesorted ascending	Name	Buy/Sell	$ Value	Avg. Price	# Shares	Title
2023-03-01	MOSS SARA E	gifted	-	-	9,400	vice chairman
2023-03-01	MOSS SARA E	gifted	-	-	-9,400	vice chairman
2023-02-13	Haney Carl P.	sold	-2,473,240	253	-9,741	evp research prod & innovation
2023-02-13	Haney Carl P.	acquired	2,124,120	218	9,741	evp research prod & innovation
2023-02-03	Hyman Jennifer	acquired	697,791	164	4,234	-
2023-02-03	Hyman Jennifer	sold	-1,396,850	266	-5,234	-
2023-02-01	Freda Fabrizio	sold	-1,912,680	280	-6,831	president and ceo
2023-01-23	Freda Fabrizio	sold	-3,160,350	270	-11,705	president and ceo
2022-11-23	MOSS SARA E	gifted	-	-	15,000	vice chairman
2022-11-23	MOSS SARA E	gifted	-	-	-15,000	vice chairman

About Estee Lauder Companies

Fabrizio Freda

www.elcompanies.com

62000

The EstÃƒÂ©e Lauder Companies Inc. manufactures, markets, and sells skin care, makeup, fragrance, and hair care products worldwide. The company offers a range of skin care products, including moisturizers, serums, cleansers, toners, body care, exfoliators, acne care and oil correctors, facial masks, cleansing devices, and sun care products; and makeup products, such as lipsticks, lip glosses, mascaras, foundations, eyeshadows, nail polishes, and powders, as well as compacts, brushes, and other makeup tools. It also provides fragrance products in various forms comprising eau de parfum sprays and colognes, as well as lotions, powders, creams, candles, and soaps; and hair care products that include shampoos, conditioners, styling products, treatment, finishing sprays, and hair color products, as well as sells ancillary products and services. The company offers its products under EstÃƒÂ©e Lauder, Aramis, Clinique, Lab Series, Origins, MÃ‚Â·AÃ‚Â·C, Bobbi Brown, La Mer, Aveda, Jo Malone London, Bumble and bumble, Darphin, Smashbox, Le Labo, Editions de Parfums FrÃƒÂ©dÃƒÂ©ric Malle, GLAMGLOW, By Kilian, BECCA, Too Faced, Dr. Jart+, DECIEM, and The Ordinary brands. It also holds license arrangements for Tommy Hilfiger, Donna Karan New York, DKNY, Michael Kors, and Ermenegildo Zegna brands. The company sells its products through department stores, specialty-multi retailers, upscale perfumeries and pharmacies, and salons and spas; freestanding stores; its own and authorized retailer websites; third-party online malls; stores in airports; and in-flight and duty-free shops. The company was founded in 1946 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

EL Income Statement

2022-12-31

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF EARNINGS - USD ($) shares in Millions, $ in Millions	3 Months Ended		6 Months Ended
	Dec. 31, 2022	Dec. 31, 2021	Dec. 31, 2022	Dec. 31, 2021
Income Statement [Abstract]
Net sales	$ 4,620	$ 5,539	$ 8,550	$ 9,931
Cost of sales	1,219	1,223	2,242	2,280
Gross profit	3,401	4,316	6,308	7,651
Operating expenses
Selling, general and administrative	2,630	2,885	4,874	5,279
Restructuring and other charges	8	13	10	19
Impairment of other intangible assets	207	0	207	0
Total operating expenses	2,845	2,898	5,091	5,298
Operating income	556	1,418	1,217	2,353
Interest expense	52	42	98	84
Interest income and investment income, net	26	10	41	14
Other components of net periodic benefit cost	(2)	(2)	(5)	(1)
Other income	0	0	0	1
Earnings before income taxes	532	1,388	1,165	2,285
Provision for income taxes	135	298	278	500
Net earnings	397	1,090	887	1,785
Net earnings attributable to noncontrolling interests	0	(4)	0	(5)
Net loss (earnings) attributable to redeemable noncontrolling interest	(3)	2	(4)	0
Net earnings attributable to The Estée Lauder Companies Inc.	$ 394	$ 1,088	$ 883	$ 1,780
Net earnings attributable to The Estée Lauder Companies Inc. per common share
Basic (in dollars per share)	$ 1.10	$ 3.02	$ 2.47	$ 4.93
Diluted (in dollars per share)	$ 1.09	$ 2.97	$ 2.45	$ 4.85
Weighted-average common shares outstanding
Basic (in shares)	357.7	360.6	357.8	361.4
Diluted (in shares)	360.4	366.0	360.9	367.0

EL Balance Sheet

2022-12-31

CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS - USD ($) $ in Millions	Dec. 31, 2022	Jun. 30, 2022
Current assets
Cash and cash equivalents	$ 3,725	$ 3,957
Accounts receivable, net	1,932	1,629
Inventory and promotional merchandise	3,069	2,920
Prepaid expenses and other current assets	641	792
Total current assets	9,367	9,298
Property, plant and equipment, net	2,908	2,650
Other assets
Operating lease right-of-use assets	1,847	1,949
Goodwill	2,473	2,521
Other intangible assets, net	3,097	3,428
Other assets	1,039	1,064
Total other assets	8,456	8,962
Total assets	20,731	20,910
Current liabilities
Current debt	260	268
Accounts payable	1,507	1,822
Operating lease liabilities	349	365
Other accrued liabilities	3,539	3,360
Total current liabilities	5,655	5,815
Noncurrent liabilities
Long-term debt	5,111	5,144
Long-term operating lease liabilities	1,757	1,868
Other noncurrent liabilities	1,487	1,651
Total noncurrent liabilities	8,355	8,663
Commitments and Contingencies
Redeemable Noncontrolling Interest	819	842
Equity
Common stock, $.01 par value; Class A shares authorized: 1,300,000,000 at December 31, 2022 and June 30, 2022; shares issued: 469,124,426 at December 31, 2022 and 467,949,351 at June 30, 2022; Class B shares authorized: 304,000,000 at December 31, 2022 and June 30, 2022; shares issued and outstanding: 125,542,029 at December 31, 2022 and 125,542,029 at June 30, 2022	6	6
Paid-in capital	6,000	5,796
Retained earnings	14,342	13,912
Accumulated other comprehensive loss	(829)	(762)
Stockholders' equity before treasury stock	19,519	18,952
Less: Treasury stock, at cost; 237,534,951 Class A shares at December 31, 2022 and 236,435,830 Class A shares at June 30, 2022	(13,617)	(13,362)
Total stockholders’ equity – The Estée Lauder Companies Inc.	5,902	5,590
Total liabilities, redeemable noncontrolling interest and equity	$ 20,731	$ 20,910