Market Summary
USD17.69+0.16
Delayed0.91%
EYE Stock Price
EYE RSI Chart
EYE Valuation
EYE Price/Sales (Trailing)
EYE Profitability
EYE Fundamentals
EYE Revenue
EYE Earnings
Price Action
52 Week Range
17.2845.86
(Low)(High)
Last 7 days
1.0%
Last 30 days
-54.0%
Last 90 days
-54%
Trailing 12 Months
-59.3%
EYE Financial Health
EYE Investor Care
Peers (Alternatives to National Vision Holdings)
View All Peers In Detail| Name | Mkt Capsorted ascending | Revenue | Price %, 1M | Returns, 1Y | P/E | P/S | Rev 1-Yr | Inc 1-Yr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LARGE-CAP | ||||||||
HD | 285.8B | 157.4B | -4.50% | -7.08% | 16.71 | 1.82 | 4.13% | 4.09% |
LOW | 116.4B | 96.0B | -5.46% | -9.15% | 17.41 | 1.21 | 0.77% | -18.59% |
TJX | 86.9B | 49.3B | -2.34% | 24.74% | 25.55 | 1.76 | 7.96% | 27.42% |
ROST | 34.7B | 18.5B | -9.72% | 11.96% | 24.23 | 1.88 | 1.97% | -10.16% |
| MID-CAP | ||||||||
AN | 6.0B | 27.0B | -8.50% | 13.69% | 4.37 | 0.22 | 4.41% | 0.32% |
LAD | 5.8B | 28.2B | -15.90% | -32.78% | 4.63 | 0.21 | 23.46% | 18.01% |
FL | 3.6B | 8.8B | -9.23% | 33.19% | 8.54 | 0.42 | -0.59% | -53.34% |
SIG | 3.4B | 8.0B | 0.67% | -4.14% | 8.18 | 0.42 | 10.91% | -41.72% |
GPS | 3.3B | 15.6B | -31.80% | -33.46% | -16.36 | 0.21 | -6.32% | -178.91% |
| SMALL-CAP | ||||||||
BKE | 1.7B | 1.3B | -15.53% | -0.10% | 6.95 | 1.31 | 7.45% | 6.00% |
EYE | 1.4B | 2.0B | -54.03% | -59.32% | 32.41 | 0.68 | -3.56% | -67.15% |
GES | 1.0B | 2.7B | -15.11% | -16.26% | 7.94 | 0.38 | 9.40% | -27.32% |
CWH | 835.1M | 7.0B | -17.01% | -31.09% | 6.1 | 0.12 | 0.77% | -50.82% |
DBI | 557.6M | 3.4B | -14.09% | -36.31% | 4.23 | 0.17 | 13.21% | 2075.68% |
PLCE | 479.6M | 1.8B | -8.47% | -24.23% | 5.43 | 0.27 | -6.40% | -43.31% |
Financials for National Vision Holdings
| Income Statement (Last 12 Months) | (In Millions) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Description | (%) Q/Q | 2022Q4 | 2022Q3 | 2022Q2 | 2022Q1 | 2021Q4 |
| Revenue | -0.4% | 2,005 | 2,014 | 2,033 | 2,073 | 2,080 |
| Operating Expenses | 0.4% | 1,019 | 1,014 | 1,004 | 1,006 | 1,000 |
| S&GA Expenses | 1.0% | 915 | 906 | 899 | 906 | 901 |
| EBITDA | -9.7% | 178 | 197 | 224 | 256 | - |
| EBITDA Margin | -9.3% | 0.09* | 0.10* | 0.11* | 0.12* | - |
| Earnings Before Taxes | -21.9% | 61.00 | 78.00 | 105 | 136 | 149 |
| EBT Margin | -21.5% | 0.03* | 0.04* | 0.05* | 0.07* | - |
| Interest Expenses | -12.2% | 17.00 | 19.00 | 23.00 | 26.00 | 26.00 |
| Net Income | -26.9% | 42.00 | 58.00 | 87.00 | 115 | 128 |
| Net Income Margin | -26.5% | 0.02* | 0.03* | 0.04* | 0.06* | - |
| Free Cahsflow | -76.2% | 6.00 | 24.00 | 45.00 | 101 | - |
| Balance Sheet | (In Millions) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Description | (%) Q/Q | 2022Q4 | 2022Q3 | 2022Q2 | 2022Q1 | 2021Q4 |
| Assets | 0.0% | 2,291 | 2,292 | 2,278 | 2,325 | 2,293 |
| Current Assets | -0.7% | 474 | 477 | 480 | 533 | 515 |
| Cash Equivalents | -10.0% | 231 | 256 | 254 | 315 | 306 |
| Inventory | 0.9% | 123 | 122 | 129 | 127 | 124 |
| Goodwill | 0% | 778 | 778 | 778 | 778 | 778 |
| Current Liabilities | 2.3% | 344 | 337 | 354 | 345 | 344 |
| Long Term Debt | -0.1% | 563 | 564 | 564 | 565 | 566 |
| LT Debt, Current | NaN% | - | - | - | - | - |
| LT Debt, Non Current | 0.1% | 546 | 545 | 544 | 544 | - |
| Shareholder's Equity | -0.6% | 901 | 907 | 892 | 951 | 926 |
| Retained Earnings | -2.8% | 321 | 330 | 318 | 309 | 278 |
| Additional Paid-In Capital | 0.5% | 767 | 763 | 760 | 756 | 750 |
| Shares Outstanding | 0.1% | 79.00 | 79.00 | 79.00 | 81.00 | 81.00 |
| Cashflow (Last 12 Months) | (In Millions) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Description | (%) Q/Q | 2022Q4 | 2022Q3 | 2022Q2 | 2022Q1 | 2021Q4 |
| Cashflow From Operations | -18.6% | 119 | 146 | 157 | 208 | 259 |
| Share Based Compensation | 16.9% | 14.00 | 12.00 | 12.00 | 16.00 | 15.00 |
| Cashflow From Investing | 9.5% | -110 | -122 | -109 | -104 | -92.90 |
| Cashflow From Financing | 59.1% | -84.56 | -206 | -201 | -243 | -234 |
| Buy Backs | -45.8% | 84.00 | 156 | 155 | 83.00 | 73.00 |
Risks for EYE
What is the probability of a big loss on EYE?
86.5%
Probability that National Vision Holdings stock will be more than 20% underwater in next one year
69.2%
Probability that National Vision Holdings stock will be more than 30% underwater in next one year.
61.9%
Probability that National Vision Holdings stock will be more than 40% underwater in next one year.
*Calculated based on probability distribution of losses observed in actual data in the last 5 years.
How does EYE drawdown profile look like?
Y-axis is the maximum loss one would have experienced if National Vision Holdings was unfortunately bought at previous high price.
Drawdowns
Returns for EYE
Cumulative Returns on EYE
-11.4%
5-Year Cumulative Returns
-3.9%
3-Year Cumulative Returns
What are the long-term rolling returns for EYE?
FIve years rolling returns for National Vision Holdings.
Annualized Returns
Which funds bought or sold EYE recently?
View All Details| Datesorted ascending | Fund Name | Type | % Chg | $ Change | $ Held | % Portfolio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2023-03-23 | MetLife Investment Management, LLC | unchanged | - | 250,223 | 1,587,340 | 0.01% |
2023-03-10 | VICTORY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT INC | added | 130 | 1,246,450 | 1,966,450 | -% |
2023-03-06 | Rockefeller Capital Management L.P. | reduced | -90.11 | -145,000 | 19,000 | -% |
2023-02-28 | Voya Investment Management LLC | unchanged | - | 206,910 | 1,311,910 | -% |
2023-02-22 | TEACHERS RETIREMENT SYSTEM OF THE STATE OF KENTUCKY | reduced | -9.03 | 69,000 | 939,000 | 0.01% |
2023-02-21 | MACQUARIE GROUP LTD | added | 2.67 | 19,707,000 | 109,954,000 | 0.13% |
2023-02-21 | NORTHWESTERN MUTUAL WEALTH MANAGEMENT CO | reduced | -16.67 | -140 | 6,860 | -% |
2023-02-21 | NORTHWESTERN MUTUAL WEALTH MANAGEMENT CO | new | - | 3,605 | 3,605 | -% |
2023-02-16 | MAVERICK CAPITAL LTD | new | - | 784,929 | 784,929 | 0.02% |
2023-02-15 | NOMURA HOLDINGS INC | sold off | -100 | -74,000 | - | -% |
Latest Funds Activity
Calls
Puts
Net Call Options
No. of Funds
National Vision Holdings News
Schedule 13G FIlings of National Vision Holdings
| Date Filed | Name of Filer | Percent of Class | No. of Shares | Form Type | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2023 | alliancebernstein l.p. | 5.9% | 4,676,912 | SC 13G/A | |
| Feb 13, 2023 | durable capital partners lp | 3.7% | 2,951,602 | SC 13G/A | |
| Feb 10, 2023 | clearbridge investments, llc | 5.4% | 4,236,366 | SC 13G/A | |
| Feb 09, 2023 | fmr llc | - | 0 | SC 13G | |
| Feb 09, 2023 | william blair investment management, llc | 8.8% | 6,906,339 | SC 13G/A | |
| Feb 09, 2023 | adage capital partners gp, l.l.c. | 0% | 0 | SC 13G/A | |
| Feb 09, 2023 | vanguard group inc | 11.00% | 8,679,144 | SC 13G/A | |
| Jan 23, 2023 | jpmorgan chase & co | 9.7% | 7,670,647 | SC 13G/A | |
| Jan 23, 2023 | blackrock inc. | 15.9% | 12,538,826 | SC 13G/A | |
| Sep 06, 2022 | william blair investment management, llc | 10.9% | 8,562,282 | SC 13G/A |
EYE Fair Value
National Vision Holdings fair value in different scenarios
The table shows the Fair Value estimates for National Vision Holdings for various scenarios. Disclaimer: These are just estimations from a model. None of the models are good at predicting the future. Please dont buy or sell stocks based on these outputs.
| Fair Value | Very Pessimistic | Pessimistic | Base Case | Optimistic | Very Optimistic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Very Low Inflation | 9.68 -45.28% | 13.47 -23.86% | 17.78 0.51% | 27.73 56.76% | 34.77 96.55% |
| Current Inflation | 8.96 -49.35% | 12.25 -30.75% | 15.88 -10.23% | 24.40 37.93% | 30.36 71.62% |
| Very High Inflation | 8.06 -54.44% | 10.75 -39.23% | 13.62 -23.01% | 20.48 15.77% | 25.23 42.62% |
Historical National Vision Holdings Fair Value Estimates
Very Pessimistic Case
Pessimistic Case
Fair Value
Optimistic Case
Very Optimistic Case
Closing Stock Price
Recent SEC filings of National Vision Holdings
View All Filings| Date Filed | Form Type | Document | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2023 | 4 | Insider Trading | |
| Mar 10, 2023 | 8-K | Current Report | |
| Mar 07, 2023 | 4 | Insider Trading | |
| Mar 07, 2023 | 4 | Insider Trading | |
| Mar 07, 2023 | 4 | Insider Trading | |
| Mar 07, 2023 | 4 | Insider Trading | |
| Mar 07, 2023 | 4 | Insider Trading | |
| Mar 07, 2023 | 4 | Insider Trading | |
| Mar 07, 2023 | 4 | Insider Trading | |
| Mar 06, 2023 | 4 | Insider Trading |
Latest Insider Trading transactions for EYE
Filter Transactions| Datesorted ascending | Name | Buy/Sell | $ Value | Avg. Price | # Shares | Title |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2023-03-16 | Acharya Ravi | sold (taxes) | - | - | -270 | svp, chief technology officer |
2023-03-16 | Acharya Ravi | acquired | - | - | 897 | svp, chief technology officer |
2023-03-03 | Brandman Jared | acquired | - | - | 639 | svp, gc and secretary |
2023-03-03 | Moore Patrick R. | sold (taxes) | - | - | -453 | chief operating officer |
2023-03-03 | Acharya Ravi | acquired | - | - | 639 | svp, chief technology officer |
2023-03-03 | Moore Patrick R. | acquired | - | - | 1,278 | chief operating officer |
2023-03-03 | Rasmussen Melissa | sold (taxes) | - | - | -114 | chief financial officer |
2023-03-03 | Acharya Ravi | sold (taxes) | - | - | -227 | svp, chief technology officer |
2023-03-03 | Clark Bill | acquired | - | - | 639 | svp, chief people officer |
2023-03-03 | FAHS L READE | sold (taxes) | - | - | -2,261 | chief executive officer |
National Vision Holdings, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as an optical retailer in the United States. The company operates in two segments, Owned & Host and Legacy. It offers eyeglasses and contact lenses, and optical accessory products; provides eye exams through its America's Best, Eyeglass World, Vista Optical, Fred Meyer, and Vista Optical military, as well as Vision Center branded stores; and offers health maintenance organization and optometric services. As of January 1, 2022, the company operated through 1,278 retail stores, as well as various e-commerce websites. National Vision Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1990 and is headquartered in Duluth, Georgia.
EYE Income Statement
2022-12-31Consolidated Statements of Operations and Comprehensive Income - USD ($) shares in Thousands, $ in Thousands | 12 Months Ended | ||
|---|---|---|---|
Dec. 31, 2022 | Jan. 01, 2022 | Jan. 02, 2021 | |
| Revenue: | |||
| Total net revenue | $ 2,005,404 | $ 2,079,525 | $ 1,711,760 |
| Costs applicable to revenue (exclusive of depreciation and amortization): | |||
| Total costs applicable to revenue | 925,587 | 904,779 | 786,624 |
| Operating expenses: | |||
| Selling, general and administrative expenses | 915,355 | 900,798 | 724,985 |
| Depreciation and amortization | 99,956 | 97,089 | 91,585 |
| Asset impairment | 5,783 | 4,427 | 22,004 |
| Other income, net | (2,552) | (2,505) | (445) |
| Total operating expenses | 1,018,542 | 999,809 | 838,129 |
| Income from operations | 61,275 | 174,937 | 87,007 |
| Interest expense, net | 462 | 25,612 | 48,327 |
| Earnings before income taxes | 60,813 | 149,325 | 38,680 |
| Income tax provision | 18,691 | 21,081 | 2,403 |
| Net income | $ 42,122 | $ 128,244 | $ 36,277 |
| Earnings per share: | |||
| Basic (in usd per share) | $ 0.53 | $ 1.57 | $ 0.45 |
| Diluted (in usd per share) | $ 0.52 | $ 1.43 | $ 0.44 |
| Weighted average shares outstanding: | |||
| Basic (in shares) | 79,831 | 81,820 | 80,565 |
| Diluted (in shares) | 80,298 | 96,134 | 82,793 |
| Comprehensive income: | |||
| Net income | $ 42,122 | $ 128,244 | $ 36,277 |
| Unrealized gain (loss) on hedge instruments | 1,020 | 6,158 | (780) |
| Tax provision (benefit) of unrealized gain (loss) on hedge instruments | 259 | 3,698 | (194) |
| Comprehensive income | 42,883 | 130,704 | 35,691 |
| Products | |||
| Revenue: | |||
| Total net revenue | 1,648,315 | 1,718,344 | 1,418,283 |
| Costs applicable to revenue (exclusive of depreciation and amortization): | |||
| Total costs applicable to revenue | 636,324 | 633,116 | 551,783 |
| Services and plans | |||
| Revenue: | |||
| Total net revenue | 357,089 | 361,181 | 293,477 |
| Costs applicable to revenue (exclusive of depreciation and amortization): | |||
| Total costs applicable to revenue | $ 289,263 | $ 271,663 | $ 234,841 |
EYE Balance Sheet
2022-12-31Consolidated Balance Sheets - USD ($) $ in Thousands | Dec. 31, 2022 | Jan. 01, 2022 |
|---|---|---|
| Current assets: | ||
| Cash and cash equivalents | $ 229,425 | $ 305,800 |
| Accounts receivable, net | 79,892 | 55,697 |
| Inventories | 123,158 | 123,669 |
| Prepaid expenses and other current assets | 41,361 | 29,410 |
| Total current assets | 473,836 | 514,576 |
| Noncurrent assets | ||
| Property and equipment, net | 359,775 | 346,436 |
| Goodwill | 777,613 | 777,613 |
| Trademarks and trade names | 240,547 | 240,547 |
| Other intangible assets, net | 34,669 | 42,020 |
| Right of use assets | 382,825 | 354,900 |
| Other assets | 21,981 | 16,999 |
| Total noncurrent assets | 1,817,410 | 1,778,515 |
| Total assets | 2,291,246 | 2,293,091 |
| Current liabilities: | ||
| Accounts payable | 65,276 | 64,331 |
| Other payables and accrued expenses | 94,225 | 119,323 |
| Unearned revenue | 41,239 | 29,895 |
| Deferred revenue | 62,201 | 65,325 |
| Current maturities of long-term debt and finance lease obligations | 4,137 | 3,999 |
| Current operating lease obligations | 77,186 | 60,930 |
| Total current liabilities | 344,264 | 343,803 |
| Noncurrent liabilities: | ||
| Long-term debt and finance lease obligations, less current portion and debt discount | 563,388 | 566,081 |
| Noncurrent operating lease obligations | 358,110 | 342,241 |
| Deferred revenue | 21,601 | 23,166 |
| Other liabilities | 8,900 | 8,974 |
| Deferred income taxes, net | 93,870 | 82,846 |
| Total noncurrent liabilities | 1,045,869 | 1,023,308 |
| Commitments and contingencies | ||
| Stockholders’ equity: | ||
| Common stock, $0.01 par value; 200,000 shares authorized; 84,273 and 83,840 shares issued as of December 31, 2022 and January 1, 2022, respectively; 78,992 and 81,405 shares outstanding as of December 31, 2022 and January 1, 2022, respectively | 842 | 838 |
| Additional paid-in capital | 767,112 | 750,478 |
| Accumulated other comprehensive loss | (1,179) | (1,940) |
| Retained earnings | 320,517 | 278,395 |
| Treasury stock, at cost; 5,281 and 2,435 shares as of December 31, 2022 and January 1, 2022, respectively | (186,179) | (101,791) |
| Total stockholders’ equity | 901,113 | 925,980 |
| Total liabilities and stockholders’ equity | $ 2,291,246 | $ 2,293,091 |