Ford Motor Co Stock Research

Market Summary

USD12.60+0.31

Delayed

2.52%

F Alerts

Big fall in earnings (Y/Y)

F Stock Price

F RSI Chart

F Valuation

Market Cap

50.7B

Price/Earnings (Trailing)

-23.54

Price/Sales (Trailing)

0.32

EV/EBITDA

5.52

Price/Free Cashflow

7.39

F Price/Sales (Trailing)

F Profitability

EBT Margin

-1.91%

Return on Equity

-4.98%

Return on Assets

-0.84%

Free Cashflow Yield

13.53%

F Fundamentals

F Revenue

Revenue (TTM)

158.1B

Revenue Y/Y

16.78%

Revenue Q/Q

11.7%

F Earnings

Earnings (TTM)

-2.2B

Earnings Y/Y

-89.74%

Earnings Q/Q

235.38%

Price Action

52 Week Range

9.7915.71

(Low)(High)

Last 7 days

9.5%

Last 30 days

2.3%

Last 90 days

15.1%

Trailing 12 Months

-18.7%

F Financial Health

Current Ratio

1.2

F Investor Care

Dividend Yield

2.78%

Dividend/Share (TTM)

0.35

Shares Dilution (1Y)

0.65%

Diluted EPS (TTM)

-0.49

Peers (Alternatives to Ford Motor)

View All Peers In Detail

Name	Mkt Capsorted ascending	Revenue	Price %, 1M	Returns, 1Y	P/E	P/S	Rev 1-Yr	Inc 1-Yr
LARGE-CAP
TSLA	656.4B	81.5B	2.31%	-42.24%	52.28	8.06	51.35%	127.50%
GM	53.1B	156.7B	-5.05%	-15.57%	5.35	0.34	23.41%	-0.85%
F	50.7B	158.1B	2.27%	-18.67%	-23.54	0.32	15.93%	-112.02%
APTV	30.4B	17.5B	-5.00%	-6.28%	51.17	1.74	11.98%	0.68%
BWA	11.5B	15.8B	-3.04%	28.31%	12.18	0.73	6.49%	75.79%
MID-CAP
GNTX	6.6B	1.9B	-1.02%	-3.08%	20.59	3.42	10.85%	-11.65%
HOG	6.3B	5.8B	-19.77%	-3.20%	10.14	1.18	7.85%	14.06%
THO	4.3B	13.9B	-13.09%	2.91%	5.39	0.31	-6.39%	-14.11%
SMALL-CAP
WGO	1.8B	4.8B	-9.96%	6.79%	4.99	0.37	19.08%	8.38%
TEN	1.7B	18.6B	8.17%	58.15%	-7.03	0.09	1.85%	-200.42%
AXL	895.0M	5.8B	-13.61%	0.64%	13.92	0.15	12.52%	989.83%
SRI	511.3M	899.9M	-21.79%	-9.92%	-25	0.57	16.80%	-255.49%
CPS	243.6M	2.5B	-10.44%	62.37%	-1.13	0.1	8.38%	33.28%
WKHS	220.3M	5.0M	-24.22%	-73.40%	-1.88	43.85	105.05%	70.78%
FUV	3.2M	5.0M	-19.08%	-78.82%	-0.05	0.64	17.40%	-129.43%

Financials for Ford Motor

* denotes actual numbers (not divided by Millions)
Income Statement (Last 12 Months)					(In Millions)
Description	(%) Q/Q	2022Q4	2022Q3	2022Q2	2022Q1	2021Q4
Revenue	4.2%	158,057	151,736	148,027	134,589	136,341
S&GA Expenses	-6.1%	10,888	11,594	11,694	11,812	11,915
Costs and Expenses	3.8%	151,781	146,282	141,735	131,187	131,818
EBITDA	-68.2%	4,626	14,545	17,499	17,062	25,098
EBITDA Margin	-69.5%	0.03*	0.10*	0.12*	0.13*	0.18*
Earnings Before Taxes	-142.9%	-3,016	7,036	10,046	9,990	17,780
EBT Margin	-141.2%	-0.02*	0.05*	0.07*	0.07*	0.13*
Net Income	-124.3%	-2,152	8,862	11,614	11,529	17,910
Net Income Margin	-123.3%	-0.01*	0.06*	0.08*	0.09*	0.13*
Free Cahsflow	-25.6%	6,853	9,206	12,402	10,211	15,787

Balance Sheet					(In Millions)
Description	(%) Q/Q	2022Q4	2022Q3	2022Q2	2022Q1	2021Q4
Assets	3.6%	255,884	246,919	245,755	252,986	257,035
Current Assets	7.8%	116,476	108,088	100,469	106,142	108,996
Cash Equivalents	16.6%	25,134	21,548	19,516	21,013	20,540
Inventory	-7.4%	14,080	15,213	13,976	14,647	12,065
Net PPE	4.9%	37,265	35,529	36,162	36,625	37,139
Liabilities	3.9%	212,717	204,830	201,518	207,902	208,413
Current Liabilities	7.4%	96,866	90,167	86,452	90,352	90,727
Shareholder's Equity	2.7%	43,242	42,125	44,237	45,084	48,519
Retained Earnings	2.2%	31,754	31,072	32,511	32,251	35,769
Additional Paid-In Capital	0.3%	22,832	22,768	22,653	22,550	22,611
Shares Outstanding	0%	4,021	4,021	4,008	-	-
Minority Interest	-108.3%	-75.00	-36.00	68.00	99.00	103

* denotes actual numbers (not divided by Millions)
Cashflow (Last 12 Months)					(In Millions)
Description	(%) Q/Q	2022Q4	2022Q3	2022Q2	2022Q1	2021Q4
Cashflow From Operations	-25.6%	6,853	9,206	12,402	10,211	15,787
Share Based Compensation	5.0%	336	320	292	331	305
Cashflow From Investing	-165.4%	-4,347	-1,638	709	6,551	2,745
Cashflow From Financing	119.9%	2,511	-12,622	-15,540	-17,366	-23,498
Dividend Payments	11.0%	2,009	1,810	1,207	805	403
Buy Backs	Infinity%	484	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00

Risks for F

What is the probability of a big loss on F?

76.9%

Probability that Ford Motor stock will be more than 20% underwater in next one year

57.3%

Probability that Ford Motor stock will be more than 30% underwater in next one year.

33.9%

Probability that Ford Motor stock will be more than 40% underwater in next one year.

*Calculated based on probability distribution of losses observed in actual data in the last 5 years.

How does F drawdown profile look like?

Y-axis is the maximum loss one would have experienced if Ford Motor was unfortunately bought at previous high price.

Drawdowns

Returns for F

Cumulative Returns on F

4.4%

10-Year Cumulative Returns

4.4%

7-Year Cumulative Returns

7.3%

5-Year Cumulative Returns

42.2%

3-Year Cumulative Returns

What are the long-term rolling returns for F?

FIve years rolling returns for Ford Motor.

Annualized Returns

Which funds bought or sold F recently?

View All Details

Datesorted ascending	Fund Name	Type	% Chg	$ Change	$ Held	% Portfolio
2023-03-28	Prostatis Group LLC	added	2.15	14,932	260,765	0.16%
2023-03-27	Neo Ivy Capital Management	new	-	121,000	121,000	0.08%
2023-03-23	ETF MANAGERS GROUP, LLC	sold off	-100	-316,000	-	-%
2023-03-23	MetLife Investment Management, LLC	reduced	-1.6	255,088	11,994,700	0.10%
2023-03-17	American Portfolios Advisors	added	66.44	794,440	1,971,570	0.08%
2023-03-15	B. Riley Wealth Advisors, Inc.	added	10.93	713,620	5,422,620	0.15%
2023-03-13	Claro Advisors LLC	reduced	-2.07	4,151	163,151	0.05%
2023-03-10	VICTORY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT INC	added	5.9	3,713,810	40,993,800	0.04%
2023-03-08	Capital Asset Advisory Services LLC	reduced	-10.86	-28,380	397,620	0.03%
2023-03-06	Rockefeller Capital Management L.P.	reduced	-5.17	-303,000	19,443,000	0.10%

Latest Funds Activity

Are funds buying F calls or puts?

Calls

Puts

Are funds bullish or bearish(Calls - Puts)?

Net Call Options

No. of funds that own F

No. of Funds

F Alerts

Big fall in earnings (Y/Y)

Ford Motor News

Schedule 13G FIlings of Ford Motor

Date Filed	Name of Filer	Percent of Class	No. of Shares	Form Type
Feb 09, 2023	vanguard group inc	8.50%	335,643,986	SC 13G/A
Feb 01, 2023	blackrock inc.	6.6%	262,347,595	SC 13G/A
Feb 14, 2022	state street corp	8.06%	316,533,765	SC 13G/A
Feb 10, 2022	vanguard group inc	7.61%	298,630,831	SC 13G/A
Feb 08, 2022	blackrock inc.	6.9%	270,177,972	SC 13G/A
Feb 12, 2021	state street corp	8.89%	347,337,522	SC 13G
Feb 10, 2021	vanguard group inc	7.39%	288,820,844	SC 13G/A
Jan 29, 2021	blackrock inc.	7.0%	271,606,151	SC 13G/A
Feb 13, 2020	state street corp	9.27%	360,996,261	SC 13G
Feb 12, 2020	vanguard group inc	7.86%	306,343,834	SC 13G/A

F Fair Value

Ford Motor fair value in different scenarios

The table shows the Fair Value estimates for Ford Motor for various scenarios. Disclaimer: These are just estimations from a model. None of the models are good at predicting the future. Please dont buy or sell stocks based on these outputs.

Fair Value	Very Pessimistic	Pessimistic	Base Case	Optimistic	Very Optimistic
Very Low Inflation	16.80 33.33%	25.60 103.17%	28.76 128.25%	35.69 183.25%	52.56 317.14%
Current Inflation	8.55 -32.14%	10.12 -19.68%	12.62 0.16%	14.53 15.32%	19.34 53.49%
Very High Inflation	14.93 18.49%	21.66 71.90%	24.17 91.83%	27.29 116.59%	38.45 205.16%

Historical Ford Motor Fair Value Estimates

Very Pessimistic Case

Pessimistic Case

Fair Value

Optimistic Case

Very Optimistic Case

Closing Stock Price

Recent SEC filings of Ford Motor

View All Filings

Date Filed	Form Type	Document
Mar 31, 2023	ARS	ARS
Mar 31, 2023	DEF 14A	DEF 14A
Mar 23, 2023	8-K	Current Report
Mar 21, 2023	4	Insider Trading
Mar 21, 2023	4	Insider Trading
Mar 07, 2023	4	Insider Trading
Mar 07, 2023	4	Insider Trading
Mar 07, 2023	4	Insider Trading
Mar 07, 2023	4	Insider Trading
Mar 07, 2023	4	Insider Trading

Latest Insider Trading transactions for F

Filter Transactions

Datesorted ascending	Name	Buy/Sell	$ Value	Avg. Price	# Shares	Title
2022-11-16	Rowley Stuart J.	sold	-416,617	13.9706	-29,821	chief transform. & quality off
2022-11-16	Rowley Stuart J.	acquired	380,218	12.75	29,821	chief transform. & quality off
2022-11-15	Amend Michael	acquired	-	-	191,087	chief enterprise tech. officer
2022-11-15	FIELD JOHN DOUGLAS	acquired	-	-	166,163	chief adv. pd & tech. officer
2022-11-15	Amend Michael	sold (taxes)	-1,097,180	14.3	-76,726	chief enterprise tech. officer
2022-11-15	FIELD JOHN DOUGLAS	sold (taxes)	-1,857,210	14.3	-129,875	chief adv. pd & tech. officer
2022-11-15	FIELD JOHN DOUGLAS	acquired	-	-	132,930	chief adv. pd & tech. officer
2022-09-26	English Alexandra Ford	acquired	-	-	7,302	-
2022-09-26	FORD WILLIAM CLAY JR	acquired	-	-	2,611,600	executive chair and chair
2022-09-26	FORD WILLIAM CLAY JR	acquired	-	-	7,302	executive chair and chair

About Ford Motor

F Income Statement

2022-09-30

CONSOLIDATED INCOME STATEMENT - USD ($) shares in Millions, $ in Millions	3 Months Ended		9 Months Ended
	Sep. 30, 2022	Sep. 30, 2021	Sep. 30, 2022	Sep. 30, 2021
Revenues
Total revenues	$ 39,392	$ 35,683	$ 114,058	$ 98,663
Costs and expenses
Cost of sales	34,354	30,057	96,581	82,258
Selling, administrative, and other expenses	2,847	2,947	8,346	8,667
Total costs and expenses	38,888	34,341	109,343	94,879
Operating income/(loss)	504	1,342	4,715	3,784
Interest expense on Company debt excluding Ford Credit	321	439	941	1,365
Other income/(loss), net	1,318	852	(5,355)	3,883
Equity in net income/(loss) of affiliated companies (Note 10)	(2,626)	130	(2,601)	260
Income/(Loss) before income taxes	(1,125)	1,885	(4,182)	6,562
Provision for/(Benefit from) income taxes	(195)	63	(771)	925
Net income/(loss)	(930)	1,822	(3,411)	5,637
Less: Income/(Loss) attributable to noncontrolling interests	(103)	(10)	(141)	(18)
Net income/(loss) attributable to Ford Motor Company	$ (827)	$ 1,832	$ (3,270)	$ 5,655
Basic income
Basic income (in dollars per share)	$ (0.21)	$ 0.46	$ (0.81)	$ 1.42
Diluted income
Diluted income (in dollars per share)	$ (0.21)	$ 0.45	$ (0.81)	$ 1.40
Weighted Average Number of Shares Outstanding, Basic	4,021	3,995	4,017	3,989
Weighted Average Number of Shares Outstanding, Diluted	4,021	4,036	4,017	4,027
Automotive
Revenues
Total revenues	$ 37,194	$ 33,211	$ 107,214	$ 90,893
Ford Credit
Revenues
Total revenues	2,187	2,434	6,724	7,700
Costs and expenses
Ford Credit interest, operating, and other expenses	1,687	1,337	4,416	3,954
Mobility
Revenues
Total revenues	$ 11	$ 38	$ 120	$ 70

F Balance Sheet

2022-09-30

CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS - USD ($) shares in Millions, $ in Millions	Sep. 30, 2022	Dec. 31, 2021
Current Assets
Cash and cash equivalents	$ 21,548	$ 20,540
Marketable securities	18,625	29,053
Financing Receivable, after Allowance for Credit Loss, Current	33,902	32,543
Accounts Receivable, after Allowance for Credit Loss, Current	14,764	11,370
Inventories	15,213	12,065
Disposal Group, Including Discontinued Operation, Assets, Current	100	9
Other assets, current	3,936	3,416
Total current assets	108,088	108,996
Noncurrent Assets
Financing Receivable, after Allowance for Credit Loss, Noncurrent	47,683	51,256
Net Investment in Operating Leases, Noncurrent	23,555	26,361
Net property	35,529	37,139
Equity in net assets of affiliated companies (Note 10)	2,556	4,545
Deferred Income Tax Assets, Net	15,149	13,796
Other assets, non-current	14,359	14,942
Total assets	246,919	257,035
Current Liabilities
Payables	27,051	22,349
Other liabilities and deferred revenue (Note 13 and Note 21)	19,066	18,686
Total current liabilities	90,167	90,727
Noncurrent Liabilities
Other liabilities and deferred revenue (Note 13 and Note 21)	28,591	27,705
Deferred Tax Liabilities, Other	1,793	1,581
Total liabilities	204,830	208,413
EQUITY
Capital in excess of par value of stock	22,768	22,611
Retained earnings	31,072	35,769
Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income (Loss), Net of Tax	(10,193)	(8,339)
Treasury stock	(1,564)	(1,563)
Total equity attributable to Ford Motor Company	42,125	48,519
Equity attributable to noncontrolling interests	(36)	103
Total equity	42,089	48,622
Total liabilities and equity	246,919	257,035
Variable Interest Entity, Primary Beneficiary
Current Assets
Cash and cash equivalents	$ 2,116	3,407
Common Stock
EQUITY
Common Stock, Par or Stated Value Per Share	$ 0.01
Common Stock, Shares, Issued	4,067
Common Stock, Shares Authorized	6,000
Common and Class B Stock	$ 41	40
Class B Stock
EQUITY
Common Stock, Par or Stated Value Per Share	$ 0.01
Common Stock, Shares, Issued	71
Common Stock, Shares Authorized	530
Common and Class B Stock	$ 1	1
Ford Credit
Current Assets
Financing Receivable, after Allowance for Credit Loss, Current	33,902	32,543
Noncurrent Assets
Financing Receivable, after Allowance for Credit Loss, Noncurrent	47,683	51,256
Operating Segments \| Company excluding Ford Credit
Current Assets
Cash and cash equivalents	15,197	9,577
Current Liabilities
Debt payable within one year	1,212	3,175
Noncurrent Liabilities
Long-term debt	19,073	17,200
Operating Segments \| Ford Credit
Current Assets
Cash and cash equivalents	6,351	10,963
Noncurrent Assets
Total assets	127,088
Current Liabilities
Debt payable within one year	42,838	46,517
Noncurrent Liabilities
Long-term debt	$ 65,206	$ 71,200