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Green Plains Inc Stock Research

GPRE

30.10USD-0.13(-0.43%)Delayedas of 23 Mar 2023, 12:58 pm

Market Summary

USD30.10-0.13
Delayedas of 23 Mar 2023, 12:58 pm
-0.43%

GPRE Alerts

GPRE Stock Price

GPRE RSI Chart

GPRE Valuation

Market Cap

1.8B

Price/Earnings (Trailing)

-14.52

Price/Sales (Trailing)

0.5

EV/EBITDA

52.66

Price/Free Cashflow

-12.95

GPRE Price/Sales (Trailing)

GPRE Profitability

EBT Margin

-2.69%

Return on Equity

-13.98%

Return on Assets

-5.99%

Free Cashflow Yield

-7.72%

GPRE Fundamentals

GPRE Revenue

Revenue (TTM)

3.7B

Revenue Y/Y

13.93%

Revenue Q/Q

-4.29%

GPRE Earnings

Earnings (TTM)

-127.2M

Earnings Y/Y

-303.6%

Earnings Q/Q

47.48%

Price Action

52 Week Range

26.0941.25
(Low)(High)

Last 7 days

-5.6%

Last 30 days

-10.8%

Last 90 days

1.0%

Trailing 12 Months

10.3%

GPRE Financial Health

Current Ratio

1.91

GPRE Investor Care

Shares Dilution (1Y)

10.63%

Diluted EPS (TTM)

-0.91

Peers (Alternatives to Green Plains)

View All Peers In Detail
NameMkt Capsorted ascendingRevenuePrice %, 1MReturns, 1YP/EP/SRev 1-YrInc 1-Yr
LARGE-CAP
412.4B
413.7B
-13.74% 35.32%
7.4
1
44.83% 141.93%
298.1B
246.3B
-9.27% -0.38%
8.41
1.21
51.57% 126.98%
122.0B
82.2B
-15.20% 4.00%
6.53
1.49
69.92% 131.22%
61.5B
180.0B
-3.44% 67.96%
4.23
0.34
48.81% 49.07%
14.7B
8.0B
-21.92% -0.91%
4.08
1.84
46.99% 281.82%
MID-CAP
5.4B
4.2B
-20.59% -4.46%
5.64
1.29
50.65% 1409.36%
3.1B
-
0.65% -11.32%
16.6
0.85
- -
1.9B
3.2B
-26.77% -44.44%
1.56
0.58
60.18% 231.32%
SMALL-CAP
1.8B
3.7B
-10.84% 10.26%
-14.52
0.5
29.56% -92.78%
1.5B
59.0B
-19.16% -5.56%
13.17
0.03
88.41% 54.82%
518.6M
866.8M
-10.67% -67.59%
9.77
0.61
25.85% 21.86%
431.6M
3.0M
-19.05% -53.42%
-4.4
141.85
327.99% -65.54%
100.1M
256.5M
-41.21% -74.86%
-0.93
0.39
21.03% -128.56%

Financials for Green Plains

Income Statement (Last 12 Months)
Description(%) Q/Q2022Q42022Q32022Q22022Q12021Q4
Revenue3.1%3,662,849,0003,551,125,0003,342,939,0003,054,963,0002,827,168,000
  S&GA Expenses9.9%118,930,000108,258,000105,214,00098,484,00091,139,000
Costs and Expenses3.9%3,761,797,0003,619,263,0003,393,872,0003,108,704,0002,801,660,000
EBITDA-48.0%26,639,00051,187,00070,029,00037,006,000-
EBITDA Margin-49.5%0.010.010.020.01-
Earnings Before Taxes-40.2%-98,701,000-70,386,000-55,089,000-98,935,000-43,001,000
EBT Margin-36.0%-0.03-0.02-0.02-0.03-
Interest Expenses-1.4%32,642,00033,101,00033,013,00044,271,00067,144,000
Net Income-47.5%-127,218,000-86,246,000-72,342,000-108,945,000-65,992,000
Net Income Margin-43.0%-0.03-0.02-0.02-0.04-
Free Cahsflow42.7%-142,657,000-249,081,000-327,762,000-338,968,000-
Balance Sheet
(In Millions)
Description(%) Q/Q2022Q42022Q32022Q22022Q12021Q4
Assets1.0%2,1232,1022,2962,2532,160
  Current Assets-0.7%9299361,1601,1631,118
    Cash Equivalents5.7%445421508509426
  Net PPE1.3%1,0291,016981941894
Liabilities7.5%1,0629881,2141,2101,058
  Current Liabilities15.8%487421648581472
.    Short Term Borrowings-33.2%138206308310173
    LT Debt, Current0.2%2.002.0099.0036.0035.00
    LT Debt, Non Current0.0%495495495558514
Shareholder's Equity-5.4%9109621,0821,043951
  Retained Earnings-37.2%-142-103-30.27-76.67-15.20
  Additional Paid-In Capital0.2%1,1101,1081,0701,0681,070
Accumulated Depreciation1.5%612603585567-
Shares Outstanding0.0%59.0059.0054.0054.0054.00
Minority Interest-0.1%151151151152152
Cashflow (Last 12 Months)
(In Thousands)
* denotes actual numbers (not divided by Thousands)
Description(%) Q/Q2022Q42022Q32022Q22022Q12021Q4
Cashflow From Operations3068.9%69,709-2,348-72,183-121,3134,246
  Share Based Compensation4.0%9,0718,7248,3487,0516,058
Cashflow From Investing62.8%-105,252-283,099-281,574-240,674-236,285
Cashflow From Financing-148.3%-25,14052,000317,663311,826518,188
  Dividend Payments4.6%22,55521,56217,71212,9789,251
  Buy BacksNaN%0.000.00---

Risks for GPRE

What is the probability of a big loss on GPRE?

95.8%


Probability that Green Plains stock will be more than 20% underwater in next one year

68.8%


Probability that Green Plains stock will be more than 30% underwater in next one year.

34.2%


Probability that Green Plains stock will be more than 40% underwater in next one year.
*Calculated based on probability distribution of losses observed in actual data in the last 5 years.

How does GPRE drawdown profile look like?

Y-axis is the maximum loss one would have experienced if Green Plains was unfortunately bought at previous high price.

Drawdowns

Returns for GPRE

Cumulative Returns on GPRE

12.1%


10-Year Cumulative Returns

12.2%


7-Year Cumulative Returns

12.0%


5-Year Cumulative Returns

72.6%


3-Year Cumulative Returns

What are the long-term rolling returns for GPRE?

FIve years rolling returns for Green Plains.

Annualized Returns

Which funds bought or sold GPRE recently?

View All Details
Datesorted ascendingFund NameType% Chg$ Change$ Held% Portfolio
2023-03-10
VICTORY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT INC
reduced
-0.98
1,300,180
34,703,200
0.04%
2023-03-06
Rockefeller Capital Management L.P.
unchanged
-
-
-
-%
2023-02-28
Voya Investment Management LLC
unchanged
-
46,281
991,281
-%
2023-02-27
Parallax Volatility Advisers, L.P.
new
-
103,212
103,212
-%
2023-02-24
NATIXIS
sold off
-100
-316,000
-
-%
2023-02-22
TEACHERS RETIREMENT SYSTEM OF THE STATE OF KENTUCKY
added
8.53
66,000
543,000
0.01%
2023-02-21
NORTHWESTERN MUTUAL WEALTH MANAGEMENT CO
sold off
-100
-3,000
-
-%
2023-02-21
MACQUARIE GROUP LTD
sold off
-
-15,000
-
-%
2023-02-17
TRUIST FINANCIAL CORP
added
1,055
931,595
1,016,600
-%
2023-02-16
AXXCESS WEALTH MANAGEMENT, LLC
new
-
1,118,770
1,118,770
0.09%

1–10 of 39

Latest Funds Activity

Are funds buying GPRE calls or puts?
Calls
Puts
Are funds bullish or bearish(Calls - Puts)?
Net Call Options
No. of funds that own GPRE
No. of Funds

Green Plains News

Simply Wall St

Analysts Are Optimistic We'll See A Profit From Green Plains Inc. (NASDAQ:GPRE).

Simply Wall St,
6 hours ago

Investing.com UK

Yahoo Finance

Marketscreener.com

GuruFocus.com

Marketscreener.com

Schedule 13G FIlings of Green Plains

Date FiledName of FilerPercent of ClassNo. of SharesForm Type
Feb 13, 2023
grantham, mayo, van otterloo & co. llc
5.43%
3,220,144
SC 13G
Feb 10, 2023
dimensional fund advisors lp
4.0%
2,379,836
SC 13G/A
Feb 09, 2023
state street corp
7.35%
4,359,232
SC 13G/A
Feb 09, 2023
vanguard group inc
7.05%
4,180,734
SC 13G/A
Feb 02, 2023
blackrock inc.
19.6%
11,990,041
SC 13G/A
Jan 31, 2023
ancora advisors, llc
1.8%
28,883
SC 13D/A
Jan 31, 2023
franklin mutual advisers llc
6.3%
3,718,750
SC 13G
Mar 11, 2022
blackrock inc.
19.6%
10,895,784
SC 13G/A
Feb 15, 2022
encompass capital advisors llc
1.74%
930,587
SC 13G/A
Feb 11, 2022
state street corp
5.91%
3,169,444
SC 13G/A

GPRE Fair Value

Green Plains fair value in different scenarios

The table shows the Fair Value estimates for Green Plains for various scenarios. Disclaimer: These are just estimations from a model. None of the models are good at predicting the future. Please dont buy or sell stocks based on these outputs.
Fair ValueVery PessimisticPessimisticBase CaseOptimisticVery Optimistic
Very Low Inflation

8.18

-72.82%

9.31

-69.07%

13.74

-54.35%

25.70

-14.62%

44.56

48.04%
Current Inflation

8.00

-73.42%

9.06

-69.90%

13.22

-56.08%

23.60

-21.59%

39.95

32.72%
Very High Inflation

7.77

-74.19%

8.73

-71.00%

12.54

-58.34%

21.06

-30.03%

34.50

14.62%

Historical Green Plains Fair Value Estimates


Very Pessimistic Case
Pessimistic Case
Fair Value
Optimistic Case
Very Optimistic Case
Closing Stock Price

Recent SEC filings of Green Plains

View All Filings
Date Filed Form Type Document
Mar 21, 2023
4
Insider Trading
Mar 21, 2023
4
Insider Trading
Mar 21, 2023
4
Insider Trading
Mar 21, 2023
4
Insider Trading
Mar 21, 2023
4
Insider Trading
Mar 16, 2023
4
Insider Trading
Mar 16, 2023
4
Insider Trading
Mar 16, 2023
4
Insider Trading
Mar 16, 2023
4
Insider Trading
Mar 16, 2023
4
Insider Trading

Latest Insider Trading transactions for GPRE

Filter Transactions
Datesorted ascendingNameBuy/Sell$ ValueAvg. Price# SharesTitle
2023-03-09
Becker Todd A
acquired
2,100,010
34.66
60,589
president and ceo
2023-03-09
Kadavy Grant D
acquired
350,031
34.66
10,099
evp commercial operations
2023-03-09
Osowski Chris
acquired
300,017
34.66
8,656
evp operations and technology
2023-03-09
MAPES MICHELLE
acquired
300,017
34.66
8,656
chief legal and admin officer
2023-03-09
Simpkins G Patrich Jr
acquired
350,031
34.66
10,099
chief transformation officer
2023-03-09
Herbert James F II
acquired
300,017
34.66
8,656
chief human resources officer
2023-03-09
STARK JAMES E
acquired
350,031
34.66
10,099
chief financial officer
2023-03-09
van der Meulen Leslie
acquired
300,017
34.66
8,656
evp product mktg & innovation
2023-01-10
Osowski Chris
sold (taxes)
-45,386
31.85
-1,425
evp operations and technology
2023-01-10
STARK JAMES E
sold (taxes)
-37,837
31.85
-1,188
chief financial officer

1–10 of 50

Todd A. Becker
860
Green Plains Inc. produces, markets, and distributes ethanol in the United States and internationally. It operates through three segments: Ethanol Production, Agribusiness and Energy Services, and Partnership. The Ethanol Production segment produces and sells ethanol, including industrial-grade alcohol, distiller grains, and ultra-high protein and corn oil. The Agribusiness and Energy Services segment engages in the grain procurement, handling, and storage activities; and commodity marketing business, which purchases, markets, sells, and distributes ethanol, distiller grains, and ultra-high protein and corn oil, as well as grain, natural gas, and other commodities in various markets. This segment also provides grain drying and storage services to grain producers. The Partnership segment offers fuel storage and transportation services. As of December 31, 2021, it operated through 29 ethanol storage facilities; 4 fuel terminal facilities; and a fleet of approximately 2,300 leased railcars. The company was formerly known as Green Plains Renewable Energy, Inc. and changed its name to Green Plains Inc. in May 2014. Green Plains Inc. was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Omaha, Nebraska.

GPRE Income Statement

2022-09-30
Consolidated Statements of Operations - USD ($)
$ in Thousands
3 Months Ended9 Months Ended
Sep. 30, 2022
Sep. 30, 2021
Sep. 30, 2022
Sep. 30, 2021
Revenues    
Revenues$ 954,977$ 746,791$ 2,748,806$ 2,024,849
Costs and expenses    
Cost of goods sold (excluding depreciation and amortization expenses reflected below)956,857730,1792,650,6801,878,820
Operations and maintenance expenses6,2875,16218,01217,153
Selling, general and administrative expenses29,06626,02290,04272,923
Loss (gain) on sale of assets, net01,8230(31,245)
Depreciation and amortization expenses24,64728,28066,01369,493
Total costs and expenses1,016,857791,4662,824,7472,007,144
Operating income (loss)(61,880)(44,675)(75,941)17,705
Other income (expense)    
Interest income1,763252,640496
Interest expense(9,576)(9,488)(26,182)(60,225)
Other, net(182)(440)28,394(1,680)
Total other income (expense)(7,995)(9,903)4,852(61,409)
Loss before income taxes and income (loss) from equity method investees(69,875)(54,578)(71,089)(43,704)
Income tax benefit (expense)1,888(7)1462,914
Income (loss) from equity method investees84174(112)517
Net loss(67,903)(54,411)(71,055)(40,273)
Net income attributable to noncontrolling interests5,6235,21117,54716,151
Net loss attributable to Green Plains$ (73,526)$ (59,622)$ (88,602)$ (56,424)
Earnings per share:    
Net income (loss) attributable to Green Plains - basic (in dollars per share)$ (1.27)$ (1.18)$ (1.62)$ (1.27)
EPS - diluted (in dollars per share)$ (1.27)$ (1.18)$ (1.62)$ (1.27)
Weighted average shares outstanding:    
Basic (in shares)57,677,00050,482,00054,550,00044,581,000
Diluted (in shares)57,677,00050,482,00054,550,00044,581,000
Product    
Revenues    
Revenues$ 946,852$ 745,240$ 2,733,477$ 2,019,006
Service    
Revenues    
Revenues$ 8,125$ 1,551$ 15,329$ 5,843

GPRE Balance Sheet

2022-09-30
Consolidated Balance Sheets - USD ($)
$ in Thousands
Sep. 30, 2022
Dec. 31, 2021
Current assets  
Cash and cash equivalents$ 420,838$ 426,220
Restricted cash66,610134,739
Marketable securities24,989124,859
Accounts receivable, net of allowances of $204 and $682, respectively118,362119,961
Income taxes receivable1,072911
Inventories258,852267,838
Prepaid expenses and other13,57216,483
Derivative financial instruments31,31826,738
Total current assets935,6131,117,749
Property and equipment, net of accumulated depreciation ‎and amortization of $611,773 and $567,027, respectively1,016,349893,517
Operating lease right-of-use assets63,46464,042
Other assets86,11484,447
Total assets2,101,5402,159,755
Current liabilities  
Accounts payable123,035146,063
Accrued and other liabilities45,94756,980
Derivative financial instruments25,88343,244
Operating lease current liabilities17,80016,814
Short-term notes payable and other borrowings206,102173,418
Current maturities of long-term debt1,83535,285
Total current liabilities420,602471,804
Long-term debt495,269514,006
Operating lease long-term liabilities48,93449,795
Other liabilities23,50122,131
Total liabilities988,3061,057,736
Commitments and contingencies (Note 13)
Stockholders' equity  
Common stock, $0.001 par value; 150,000,000 shares authorized; ‎62,087,927 and 61,840,434 shares issued, and 59,282,868 ‎and 53,595,978 shares outstanding, respectively6262
Additional paid-in capital1,107,7861,069,573
Retained deficit(103,801)(15,199)
Accumulated other comprehensive loss(10,831)(12,310)
Treasury stock, 2,805,059 and 8,244,456 shares, respectively(31,174)(91,626)
Total Green Plains stockholders' equity962,042950,500
Noncontrolling interests151,192151,519
Total stockholders' equity1,113,2341,102,019
Total liabilities and stockholders' equity$ 2,101,540$ 2,159,755