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HOG

47.65USD+0.34(+0.72%)Market Closed

Harley-Davidson Inc

Market Summary

USD47.65+0.34Market Closed
0.72%

HOG Stock Price

RSI Chart

Valuation

Market Cap

6.3B

Price/Earnings

10.14

Price/Sales

1.18

Price/Cashflow

10.98

MarketCap/EBT

8.2

Price/Sales

Profitability

EBT Margin

14.40%

Return on Equity

23.64%

Return on Assets

5.14%

Fundamentals

Revenue

Revenue (TTM)

5.3B

Revenue Y/Y

-4.11%

Revenue Q/Q

-1.75%

Earnings

Earnings (TTM)

622.9M

Earnings Y/Y

4.61%

Earnings Q/Q

-2.99%

Price Action

52 Week Range

29.8048.72
(Low)(High)

Last 7 days

-0.1%

Last 30 days

9.6%

Last 90 days

24.7%

Trailing 12 Months

29.1%

Financial Health

Current Ratio

1.44

Debt/Equity

2.69

Debt/Cashflow

0.08

Investor Care

Dividend Yield

1.42%

Dividend/Share (TTM)

0.62

Buy Backs (1Y)

4.99%

Diluted EPS (TTM)

4.09

Peers (Alternatives to Harley-Davidson)

View All Peers In Detail
NameMkt Capsorted ascendingRevenuePrice %, 1MReturns, 1YP/EP/SRev 1-YrInc 1-Yr
LARGE-CAP
721.7B
74.9B
-9.36% -46.10%
64.49
9.64
59.80% 222.66%
56.6B
147.2B
3.58% -34.46%
5.85
0.38
12.43% -13.01%
53.3B
151.7B
7.23% -27.97%
4.59
0.35
12.72% 239.89%
24.5B
16.0B
17.87% -37.43%
139.38
1.53
1.99% -83.33%
MID-CAP
9.0B
15.3B
17.45% -2.79%
10.96
0.58
1.58% 6.79%
6.3B
5.3B
9.57% 29.07%
10.14
1.18
10.33% 27.30%
4.4B
16.3B
17.73% -13.90%
3.9
0.27
32.44% 72.43%
3.7B
1.5B
41.38% -37.96%
20.36
2.53
30.21% 20.40%
SMALL-CAP
1.8B
5.0B
6.58% -17.04%
4.7
0.37
36.58% 38.59%
1.6B
18.6B
8.17% 58.15%
-9.15
0.09
1.85% -200.42%
1.1B
5.6B
12.07% 13.19%
-44.57
0.21
5.33% -95.35%
561.8M
872.4M
14.55% 4.54%
-17.82
0.68
15.31% -204.35%
427.4M
-
-8.68% -54.08%
-1.52
211.17
-65.89% -766.05%
31.9M
5.0M
1166.92% -4.20%
-0.49
7.2
17.40% -129.43%
22.3M
3.4M
-1.85% -72.10%
-0.73
6.59
36.21% -46.30%

Financials for Harley-Davidson

Income Statement (Last 12 Months)
(In Millions)
Description(%) Q/Q2022Q22022Q12021Q42021Q32021Q2
Revenue-1.2%5,3465,4095,3365,0454,845
  S&GA Expenses-2.5%1,0301,0561,0481,0641,042
Earnings Before Taxes0.0%770770819688624
Net Income1.6%623613650532489
Balance Sheet
(In Millions)
Description(%) Q/Q2022Q22022Q12021Q42021Q32021Q2
Assets11.3%12,12210,89511,05111,20010,909
  Current Assets21.0%5,3084,3874,5504,7084,470
    Cash Equivalents57.4%2,1941,3941,8752,0611,742
  Inventory1.7%727714713475458
  Net PPE-1.8%652664684672694
  Goodwill-1.1%6263636465
  Current Liabilities12.0%3,6763,2833,3433,4303,451
.    Short Term Borrowings-14.0%701816751750749
  Long Term Debt22.3%7,0925,7976,1386,4826,327
    LT Debt, Current42.2%1,8881,3271,5421,6061,582
    LT Debt, Non Current16.4%5,2044,4704,5964,8764,745
Shareholder's Equity5.0%2,6352,5092,5532,3342,184
  Retained Earnings9.4%2,2342,0411,8421,8441,704
  Additional Paid-In Capital0.6%1,5641,5551,5471,5401,531
Accumulated Depreciation-2,271----
Float-7,238----
Cashflow (Last 12 Months)
(In Millions)
Description(%) Q/Q2022Q22022Q12021Q42021Q32021Q2
Cashflow From Operations-39.6%5769529769681,212
  Share Based Compensation-8.3%3942424542
Cashflow From Investing-2.5%-567.63-553.85-459.45-367.28-300.78
Cashflow From Financing140.3%546-1,355.72-1,884.93-2,108.24-3,076.02
  Dividend Payments0.0%9393927252
  Buy Backs22.0%327268121212

Risks

What is the probability of a big loss on HOG?

99.6%


Probability that Harley-Davidson stock will be more than 20% underwater in next one year

36.9%


Probability that Harley-Davidson stock will be more than 30% underwater in next one year.

19.2%


Probability that Harley-Davidson stock will be more than 40% underwater in next one year.
*Calculated based on probability distribution of losses observed in actual data in the last 5 years.

How does HOG drawdown profile look like?

Y-axis is the maximum loss one would have experienced if Harley-Davidson was unfortunately bought at previous high price.

Returns

Cumulative Returns on HOG

2.6%


10-Year Cumulative Returns

2.6%


7-Year Cumulative Returns

1.5%


5-Year Cumulative Returns

11.7%


3-Year Cumulative Returns

What are the long-term rolling returns for HOG?

FIve years rolling returns for Harley-Davidson.

Which funds bought or sold HOG recently?

View All Details
Datesorted ascendingFund NameType% Chg$ Change$ Held% Portfolio
2022-11-23
Eagle Bay Advisors LLC
UNCHANGED
-
644
4,000
-%
2022-11-22
CVA Family Office, LLC
UNCHANGED
-
-
2,000
-%
2022-11-22
TEACHERS RETIREMENT SYSTEM OF THE STATE OF KENTUCKY
NEW
-
812,000
812,000
0.01%
2022-11-21
Parallax Volatility Advisers, L.P.
ADDED
7.96
202,000
1,269,000
-%
2022-11-21
FourThought Financial, LLC
UNCHANGED
-
-
3,000
-%
2022-11-21
CALIFORNIA STATE TEACHERS RETIREMENT SYSTEM
REDUCED
-4.72
290,000
6,119,000
0.01%
2022-11-18
Future Fund LLC
REDUCED
-3.7
22,000
380,000
0.76%
2022-11-18
RIVER & MERCANTILE ASSET MANAGEMENT LLP
REDUCED
-16.87
-618,000
6,553,000
1.26%
2022-11-17
CENTRAL TRUST Co
UNCHANGED
-
3,000
35,000
-%
2022-11-16
Retirement Systems of Alabama
REDUCED
-10.31
-73,000
6,074,000
0.03%

1–10 of 40

Latest Funds Activity

Are funds buying HOG calls or puts?
Are funds bullish or bearish(Calls - Puts)?
No. of funds that own HOG

Harley-Davidson News

Nasdaq

Is HarleyDavidson (HOG) Stock Outpacing Its Auto-Tires-Trucks Peers This Year?.47 hours ago

HOG Fair Value

Harley-Davidson fair value in different scenarios

The table shows the Fair Value estimates for Harley-Davidson for various scenarios. Disclaimer: These are just estimations from a model. None of the models are good at predicting the future. Please dont buy or sell stocks based on these outputs.
Fair ValueVery PessimisticPessimisticBase CaseOptimisticVery Optimistic
Very Low Inflation

27.38

-42.54%

35.64

-25.20%

39.21

-17.71%

49.41

3.69%

59.78

25.46%

Current Inflation

25.96

-45.52%

33.51

-29.67%

36.80

-22.77%

45.81

-3.86%

55.12

15.68%

Very High Inflation

24.13

-49.36%

30.79

-35.38%

33.73

-29.21%

41.28

-13.37%

49.32

3.50%

Historical Harley-Davidson Fair Value Estimates


Recent SEC filings of Harley-Davidson

View All Filings
Date Filed Form Type Document
Nov 23, 2022
4
Insider Trading
Nov 03, 2022
10-Q
Quarterly Report
Oct 26, 2022
8-K
Current Report
Sep 26, 2022
3
Insider Trading
Sep 16, 2022
425
Prospectus Filed
Sep 06, 2022
4
Insider Trading
Sep 01, 2022
4
Insider Trading

Latest Insider Trading transactions for HOG

Filter Transactions
Datesorted ascendingNameBuy/Sell$ ValueAvg. Price# SharesTitle
2022-11-22
Krause Paul J
ACQUIRED
-
-
914
VP, Chief Legal Officer
2022-11-22
Krause Paul J
SOLD FOR TAXES
-20,442.2
47.54
-430
VP, Chief Legal Officer
2022-09-02
ZEITZ JOCHEN
BOUGHT
1,002,630
38.937
25,750
President and CEO
2022-08-09
Masood Rafeh
BOUGHT
50,062.5
37.5
1,335
-
2022-08-01
Termaat Tori
ACQUIRED
-
-
1,700
Chief Human Resources Officer
2022-08-01
Termaat Tori
SOLD (Taxes)
-20,514.2
37.71
-544
Chief Human Resources Officer
2022-08-01
Niketh Bryan
ACQUIRED
-
-
3,500
SVP, Motor Co. Product & Ops
2022-08-01
Niketh Bryan
SOLD (Taxes)
-49,136.1
37.71
-1,303
SVP, Motor Co. Product & Ops
2022-05-20
Sylvester Maryrose
ACQUIRED
85,442.3
32.34
2,642
-
2022-05-20
FARLEY JR JAMES D
ACQUIRED
85,442.3
32.34
2,642
-

1–10 of 50

Jochen Zeitz
5800
Harley-Davidson, Inc. manufactures and sells motorcycles. The company operates in two segments, Motorcycles and Related Products and Financial Services. The Motorcycles and Related Products segment designs, manufactures, and sells Harley-Davidson motorcycles, including cruiser, touring, standard, sportbike, and dual models, as well as motorcycle parts, accessories, apparel, and related services. This segment sells its products to retail customers through a network of independent dealers, as well as e-commerce channels in the United States, Canada, Latin America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia-Pacific. The Financial Services segment provides wholesale financing services, such as floorplan and open account financing of motorcycles, and parts and accessories; and retail financing services, including installment lending for the purchase of new and used Harley-Davidson motorcycles, as well as point-of-sale protection products comprising motorcycle insurance, extended service contracts, and motorcycle maintenance protection. This segment also licenses third-party financial institutions that issue credit cards bearing the Harley-Davidson brand. Harley-Davidson, Inc. was founded in 1903 and is based in Milwaukee, Wisconsin.

HOG Income Statement

2022-09-25
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS (Unaudited) - USD ($)
$ in Thousands
3 Months Ended9 Months Ended
Sep. 25, 2022
Sep. 26, 2021
Sep. 25, 2022
Sep. 26, 2021
Revenue:    
Motorcycles and Related Products$ 1,436,962$ 1,160,618$ 4,006,604$ 3,724,225
Financial Services211,613204,692606,244595,650
Total revenue1,648,5751,365,3104,612,8484,319,875
Costs and expenses:    
Motorcycles and Related Products cost of goods sold946,656850,1932,721,9132,586,264
Financial Services interest expense60,74044,770150,488149,098
Financial Services provision for credit losses36,61711,20894,5724,935
Selling, administrative and engineering expense265,841254,312740,699747,665
Restructuring expense (benefit)3615(389)1,167
Total costs and expenses1,309,8571,161,0983,707,2833,489,129
Operating income338,718204,212905,565830,746
Other income, net9,35885830,4431,825
Investment income (loss)1,723198(3,786)4,331
Interest expense8,1247,77923,55523,209
Income before provision for income taxes341,675197,489908,667813,693
Provision for income taxes80,48934,516209,130185,236
Net income$ 261,186$ 162,973$ 699,537$ 628,457
Earnings per share:    
Basic (in dollars per share)$ 1.79$ 1.06$ 4.71$ 4.09
Diluted (in dollars per share)1.781.054.684.06
Cash dividends per share (in dollars per share)$ 0.1575$ 0.1500$ 0.4725$ 0.4500

HOG Balance Sheet

2022-09-25
CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS (Unaudited) - USD ($)
$ in Thousands
Sep. 25, 2022
Dec. 31, 2021
Sep. 26, 2021
Current assets:   
Cash and cash equivalents$ 1,730,250$ 1,874,745$ 2,061,303
Accounts receivable, net300,454182,148282,627
Finance receivables, net of allowance of $61,671, $60,734, and $62,4061,807,7181,465,5441,540,822
Inventories, net680,762712,942475,314
Restricted cash287,264128,935153,873
Other current assets205,734185,777194,481
Total current assets5,012,1824,550,0914,708,420
Finance receivables, net of allowance of $298,425, $278,645, and $293,4285,534,7305,106,3775,322,436
Property, plant and equipment, net641,651683,984671,836
Pension and postretirement assets424,784386,152132,958
Goodwill60,44063,17763,841
Deferred income taxes69,73482,922128,059
Lease assets40,54349,62547,507
Other long-term assets143,547128,727124,747
Assets11,927,61111,051,05511,199,804
Current liabilities:   
Accounts payable438,534374,978382,216
Accrued liabilities710,544601,981599,852
Short-term deposits, net97,85672,14692,626
Short-term debt692,551751,286749,620
Current portion of long-term debt, net1,740,4221,542,4961,605,798
Total current liabilities3,679,9073,342,8873,430,112
Long-term deposits, net246,879218,180197,644
Long-term debt, net4,738,2344,595,6174,876,292
Lease liabilities23,83629,90426,017
Pension and postretirement liabilities92,95395,299103,144
Deferred income taxes8,3129,2618,585
Other long-term liabilities297,280206,663224,116
Commitments and contingencies
Shareholders’ equity:   
Common stock1,7041,6941,694
Additional paid-in-capital1,575,6321,547,0111,540,235
Retained earnings2,471,7951,842,4211,843,964
Accumulated other comprehensive loss(273,987)(240,919)(455,115)
Treasury stock, at cost(934,934)(596,963)(596,884)
Total shareholders' equity2,840,2102,553,2442,333,894
Total liabilities and shareholders' equity$ 11,927,611$ 11,051,055$ 11,199,804