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Grand Canyon Education Inc Stock Research

LOPE

110.22USD+1.80(+1.66%)Delayed

Market Summary

USD110.22+1.80
Delayed
1.66%

LOPE Stock Price

LOPE RSI Chart

LOPE Valuation

Market Cap

3.4B

Price/Earnings (Trailing)

18.54

Price/Sales (Trailing)

3.76

EV/EBITDA

13.75

Price/Free Cashflow

15.5

LOPE Price/Sales (Trailing)

LOPE Profitability

EBT Margin

26.35%

Return on Equity

28.96%

Return on Assets

22.18%

Free Cashflow Yield

6.45%

LOPE Fundamentals

LOPE Revenue

Revenue (TTM)

911.3M

Revenue Y/Y

2.91%

Revenue Q/Q

23.95%

LOPE Earnings

Earnings (TTM)

184.7M

Earnings Y/Y

-16.55%

Earnings Q/Q

136.69%

Price Action

52 Week Range

78.37121.60
(Low)(High)

Last 7 days

-2.1%

Last 30 days

-6.2%

Last 90 days

2.6%

Trailing 12 Months

17.1%

LOPE Financial Health

Current Ratio

2.74

LOPE Investor Care

Buy Backs (1Y)

17.67%

Diluted EPS (TTM)

5.73

Peers (Alternatives to Grand Canyon Education)

View All Peers In Detail
NameMkt Capsorted ascendingRevenuePrice %, 1MReturns, 1YP/EP/SRev 1-YrInc 1-Yr
LARGE-CAP
15.9B
13.1B
-6.98% 2.39%
10.8
1.21
35.61% 17.44%
12.2B
3.8B
-4.04% 50.83%
-28.74
3.24
-0.18% 43.92%
MID-CAP
10.1B
4.1B
-9.28% 3.97%
17.85
2.46
-0.83% -29.59%
8.9B
2.8B
-15.12% -10.88%
26.51
3.15
29.86% 54.02%
6.7B
3.5B
-12.48% 35.87%
12.03
1.92
- -
4.6B
2.0B
5.76% -40.61%
56.56
2.26
15.11% 14.45%
4.4B
6.4B
-15.76% -37.11%
19.6
0.68
8.41% -47.22%
3.4B
911.3M
-6.24% 17.06%
18.54
3.76
1.64% -29.07%
2.8B
3.9B
-16.96% -4.84%
41.26
0.71
23.18% -80.95%
2.1B
1.1B
-10.08% 41.71%
45.24
1.98
-5.85% -15.28%
2.1B
766.9M
-4.27% -47.65%
7.8
2.71
-1.21% 18387.93%
SMALL-CAP
1.7B
1.8B
-7.38% 21.46%
17.22
0.97
10.07% 40.67%
1.7B
1.4B
-10.61% 37.39%
4.39
1.17
29.69% 6022.49%
898.1M
695.2M
-8.22% 18.95%
9.37
1.29
0.31% -12.56%
84.1M
606.3M
-64.04% -79.48%
-0.73
0.14
44.78% -747.77%

Financials for Grand Canyon Education

Income Statement (Last 12 Months)
(In Millions)
* denotes actual numbers (not divided by Millions)
Description(%) Q/Q2022Q42022Q32022Q22022Q12021Q4
Revenue0.8%911904902904897
  S&GA Expenses3.3%45.0044.0043.0042.0042.00
Costs and Expenses2.9%674655643628614
EBITDA-7.2%240259283314-
EBITDA Margin-7.9%0.26*0.29*0.31*0.35*-
Earnings Before Taxes-6.6%240257281311331
EBT Margin-7.3%0.26*0.28*0.31*0.34*-
Interest Expenses-99.9%0.002.003.004.00-
Net Income-6.9%185198216240260
Net Income Margin-7.6%0.20*0.22*0.24*0.27*-
Free Cahsflow2.9%221215249294-
Balance Sheet
(In Millions)
* denotes actual numbers (not divided by Millions)
Description(%) Q/Q2022Q42022Q32022Q22022Q12021Q4
Assets6.1%8337857879181,223
  Current Assets22.4%273223250380681
    Cash Equivalents201.9%12040.00139202601
  Net PPE1.8%148145140137136
  Goodwill0%161161161161161
Liabilities1.1%195193181212178
  Current Liabilities4.3%10096.0010413398.00
Shareholder's Equity7.8%6385926077061,045
  Retained Earnings3.6%2,0401,9691,9391,9131,855
  Additional Paid-In Capital1.0%309306303300297
Shares Outstanding-1.0%31.0031.0032.0033.0038.00
Cashflow (Last 12 Months)
(In Millions)
Description(%) Q/Q2022Q42022Q32022Q22022Q12021Q4
Cashflow From Operations2.9%221215249294313
  Share Based Compensation2.8%13.0012.0012.0012.0012.00
Cashflow From Investing-111.2%-97.148671,111916951
Cashflow From Financing45.2%-604-1,102-1,290-1,233-908
  Buy Backs-40.8%6041,0201,1641,134804

Risks for LOPE

What is the probability of a big loss on LOPE?

86.2%


Probability that Grand Canyon Education stock will be more than 20% underwater in next one year

35.8%


Probability that Grand Canyon Education stock will be more than 30% underwater in next one year.

10%


Probability that Grand Canyon Education stock will be more than 40% underwater in next one year.
*Calculated based on probability distribution of losses observed in actual data in the last 5 years.

How does LOPE drawdown profile look like?

Y-axis is the maximum loss one would have experienced if Grand Canyon Education was unfortunately bought at previous high price.

Drawdowns

Returns for LOPE

Cumulative Returns on LOPE

16.3%


10-Year Cumulative Returns

14.6%


7-Year Cumulative Returns

0.6%


5-Year Cumulative Returns

12.6%


3-Year Cumulative Returns

What are the long-term rolling returns for LOPE?

FIve years rolling returns for Grand Canyon Education.

Annualized Returns

Which funds bought or sold LOPE recently?

View All Details
Datesorted ascendingFund NameType% Chg$ Change$ Held% Portfolio
2023-03-15
B. Riley Wealth Advisors, Inc.
new
-
413,373
413,373
0.01%
2023-03-10
VICTORY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT INC
added
19.89
794,667
2,265,670
-%
2023-03-06
Rockefeller Capital Management L.P.
unchanged
-
2,000
3,000
-%
2023-02-28
Voya Investment Management LLC
added
11.98
167,911
550,911
-%
2023-02-27
Parallax Volatility Advisers, L.P.
new
-
143,486
143,486
-%
2023-02-24
SRS Capital Advisors, Inc.
unchanged
-
374
1,374
-%
2023-02-24
NATIXIS
added
56.94
2,406,830
4,775,830
0.03%
2023-02-22
TEACHERS RETIREMENT SYSTEM OF THE STATE OF KENTUCKY
reduced
-22.72
-5,000
539,000
0.01%
2023-02-21
NORTHWESTERN MUTUAL INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT COMPANY, LLC
reduced
-38.51
-80,031
299,969
0.01%
2023-02-21
NORTHWESTERN MUTUAL WEALTH MANAGEMENT CO
new
-
1,374
1,374
-%

1–10 of 45

Latest Funds Activity

Are funds buying LOPE calls or puts?
Calls
Puts
Are funds bullish or bearish(Calls - Puts)?
Net Call Options
No. of funds that own LOPE
No. of Funds

Grand Canyon Education News

MarketBeat

Riverbridge Partners LLC Lowers Holdings in Grand Canyon ....

MarketBeat,
26 hours ago

Best Stocks

Schedule 13G FIlings of Grand Canyon Education

Date FiledName of FilerPercent of ClassNo. of SharesForm Type
Feb 09, 2023
vanguard group inc
9.37%
2,918,849
SC 13G/A
Feb 08, 2023
riverbridge partners llc
6.61%
1,839,431
SC 13G
Feb 08, 2023
riverbridge partners llc
6.61%
1,839,431
SC 13G/A
Feb 07, 2023
blackrock inc.
9.7%
3,008,983
SC 13G/A
May 09, 2022
blackrock inc.
10.3%
3,375,524
SC 13G
Mar 09, 2022
vanguard group inc
10.36%
3,658,710
SC 13G/A
Feb 03, 2022
blackrock inc.
8.3%
3,330,145
SC 13G/A
Jan 21, 2022
riverbridge partners llc
6.95%
2,784,752
SC 13G/A
Dec 09, 2021
vanguard group inc
10.28%
4,117,733
SC 13G/A
Feb 11, 2021
william blair investment management, llc
8.70%
4,081,286
SC 13G/A

LOPE Fair Value

Grand Canyon Education fair value in different scenarios

The table shows the Fair Value estimates for Grand Canyon Education for various scenarios. Disclaimer: These are just estimations from a model. None of the models are good at predicting the future. Please dont buy or sell stocks based on these outputs.
Fair ValueVery PessimisticPessimisticBase CaseOptimisticVery Optimistic
Very Low Inflation

59.79

-45.75%

72.13

-34.56%

119.05

8.01%

146.08

32.53%

170.63

54.81%
Current Inflation

56.76

-48.50%

68.10

-38.21%

106.78

-3.12%

129.45

17.45%

150.02

36.11%
Very High Inflation

52.86

-52.04%

62.92

-42.91%

92.21

-16.34%

110.01

-0.19%

126.14

14.44%

Historical Grand Canyon Education Fair Value Estimates


Very Pessimistic Case
Pessimistic Case
Fair Value
Optimistic Case
Very Optimistic Case
Closing Stock Price

Recent SEC filings of Grand Canyon Education

View All Filings
Date Filed Form Type Document
Mar 03, 2023
4
Insider Trading
Mar 03, 2023
4
Insider Trading
Mar 03, 2023
4
Insider Trading
Mar 03, 2023
4
Insider Trading
Mar 03, 2023
4
Insider Trading
Mar 03, 2023
4
Insider Trading
Mar 03, 2023
4
Insider Trading
Feb 16, 2023
10-K
Annual Report
Feb 16, 2023
8-K
Current Report
Feb 09, 2023
SC 13G/A
Major Ownership Report

Latest Insider Trading transactions for LOPE

Filter Transactions
Datesorted ascendingNameBuy/Sell$ ValueAvg. Price# SharesTitle
2023-03-01
Marsh Dilek
sold (taxes)
-179,453
113
-1,579
chief technology officer
2023-03-01
BACHUS DANIEL E
sold (taxes)
-350,156
113
-3,081
chief financial officer
2023-03-01
Browning Lori
sold (taxes)
-129,561
113
-1,140
chief accounting officer
2023-03-01
Briggs Daniel J.
sold (taxes)
-188,432
113
-1,658
orbis education, ceo
2023-03-01
MUELLER BRIAN E
sold (taxes)
-666,785
113
-5,867
ceo
2023-03-01
Claypatch Kathy J.
sold (taxes)
-73,417
113
-646
chief information officer
2023-03-01
Meyer William Stan
sold (taxes)
-350,156
113
-3,081
chief operating officer
2023-01-25
Meyer William Stan
acquired
-
-
5,727
chief operating officer
2023-01-25
Claypatch Kathy J.
acquired
-
-
2,234
chief information officer
2023-01-25
Browning Lori
acquired
-
-
2,234
chief accounting officer

1–10 of 50

Brian E. Mueller
4960
Grand Canyon Education, Inc. provides education services to colleges and universities in the United States. The company's technology services include learning management system, internal administration, infrastructure, and support services; academic services comprises program and curriculum, faculty and related training and development, class scheduling, and skills and simulation lab sites; and counseling services and support include admission, financial aid, and field experience and other counseling services. It also offers marketing and communication services, such as lead acquisition, digital communications strategy, brand identity, market research, media planning and strategy, video, and business intelligence and data science; and back-office services comprising finance and accounting, human resources, audit, and procurement services. The company, through its subsidiary, Orbis Education Services, LLC, supports healthcare education programs for 27 universities. Grand Canyon Education, Inc. was founded in 1949 and is based in Phoenix, Arizona.

LOPE Income Statement

2022-12-31
Consolidated Income Statements - USD ($)
shares in Thousands, $ in Thousands
12 Months Ended
Dec. 31, 2022
Dec. 31, 2021
Dec. 31, 2020
Consolidated Income Statements   
Service revenue$ 911,306$ 896,564$ 844,096
Costs and expenses:   
Technology and academic services150,493132,078116,012
Counseling services and support273,313249,179234,534
Marketing and communication196,090182,872164,334
General and administrative45,49141,82643,360
Amortization of intangible assets8,4198,4198,419
Total costs and expenses673,806614,374566,659
Operating income237,500282,190277,437
Interest income on Secured Note 52,09059,190
Interest expense(2)(3,601)(4,402)
Investment interest and other2,621610915
Income before income taxes240,119331,289333,140
Income tax expense55,44470,94575,944
Net income$ 184,675$ 260,344$ 257,196
Earnings per share:   
Basic income per share$ 5.75$ 5.94$ 5.49
Diluted income per share$ 5.73$ 5.92$ 5.45
Basic weighted average shares outstanding32,13143,83546,880
Diluted weighted average shares outstanding32,23743,95847,165

LOPE Balance Sheet

2022-12-31
Consolidated Balance Sheets - USD ($)
$ in Thousands
Dec. 31, 2022
Dec. 31, 2021
Current assets  
Cash and cash equivalents$ 120,409$ 600,941
Investments61,2950
Accounts receivable, net77,41370,063
Income tax receivable2,7881,275
Other current assets11,3688,766
Total current assets273,273681,045
Property and equipment, net147,504136,120
Right-of-use assets72,71957,652
Amortizable intangible assets, net176,800185,219
Goodwill160,766160,766
Other assets1,6871,943
Total assets832,7491,222,745
Current liabilities  
Accounts payable20,00624,306
Accrued compensation and benefits36,41232,714
Accrued liabilities22,47327,593
Income taxes payable12,1675,895
Deferred revenue 10
Current portion of lease liability8,6487,426
Total current liabilities99,70697,944
Deferred income taxes, noncurrent26,19525,962
Other long-term liability43637
Lease liability, less current portion68,79353,755
Total liabilities195,130177,698
Commitments and contingencies
Stockholders' equity  
Preferred stock, $0.01 par value, 10,000 shares authorized; 0 shares issued and outstanding at December 31, 2022 and December 31, 2021
Common stock, $0.01 par value, 100,000 shares authorized; 53,830 and 53,637 shares issued and 31,058 and 37,722 shares outstanding at December 31, 2022 and December 31, 2021, respectively538536
Treasury stock, at cost, 22,772 and 15,915 shares of common stock at December 31, 2022 and December 31, 2021, respectively(1,711,423)(1,107,211)
Additional paid-in capital309,310296,670
Accumulated other comprehensive loss(533) 
Retained earnings2,039,7271,855,052
Total stockholders' equity637,6191,045,047
Total liabilities and stockholders' equity$ 832,749$ 1,222,745