LOPE - Grand Canyon Education Stock

Market Summary

USD116.33+0.88

Market Closed

0.76%

LOPE Stock Price

LOPE RSI Chart

LOPE Valuation

Market Cap

3.5B

Price/Earnings (Trailing)

18.5

Price/Sales (Trailing)

3.78

EV/EBITDA

13.86

Price/Free Cashflow

15.14

LOPE Price/Sales (Trailing)

LOPE Profitability

EBT Margin

26.06%

Return on Equity

28.23%

Return on Assets

21.29%

Free Cashflow Yield

6.61%

LOPE Fundamentals

LOPE Revenue

Revenue (TTM)

928.1M

Revenue Y/Y

5.42%

Revenue Q/Q

-15.81%

LOPE Earnings

Earnings (TTM)

189.7M

Earnings Y/Y

13.34%

Earnings Q/Q

-51.46%

Price Action

52 Week Range

78.37124.53

(Low)(High)

Last 7 days

0.3%

Last 30 days

1.3%

Last 90 days

14.4%

Trailing 12 Months

44.4%

LOPE Financial Health

Current Ratio

2.64

LOPE Investor Care

Buy Backs (1Y)

4.41%

Diluted EPS (TTM)

6.12

Historical Charts for Stock Metrics

Get all data in R, Python etc through our Historical Stock Data APIs

Net sales

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Latest Insider Trading transactions for LOPE

Filter Transactions

Datesorted ascending	Name	Buy/Sell	$ Value	Avg. Price	# Shares	Title
2023-08-10	Keegan Lisa Graham	sold	-59,043	109	-540	-
2023-08-08	Browning Lori	sold	-281,875	112	-2,500	chief accounting officer
2023-06-20	Dial Sara R.	acquired	-	-	739	-
2023-06-20	HENRY JACK A	acquired	-	-	739	-
2023-06-20	Adame David	acquired	-	-	739	-
2023-06-20	Keegan Lisa Graham	acquired	-	-	739	-
2023-06-20	Humphrey Chevy	acquired	-	-	739	-
2023-05-23	HENRY JACK A	sold	-273,825	109	-2,500	-
2023-05-05	Claypatch Kathy J.	sold	-168,885	112	-1,500	chief information officer
2023-03-01	Claypatch Kathy J.	sold (taxes)	-73,417	113	-646	chief information officer

Which funds bought or sold LOPE recently?

View All Details

Datesorted ascending	Fund Name	Type	% Chg	$ Change	$ Held	% Portfolio
2023-09-21	Baystate Wealth Management LLC	unchanged	-	-96.00	929	-%
2023-09-20	BARCLAYS PLC	added	183	1,905,000	3,120,000	-%
2023-08-24	Alberta Investment Management Corp	unchanged	-	-650,347	6,278,990	0.06%
2023-08-22	VIRGINIA RETIREMENT SYSTEMS ET AL	added	21.03	235,679	2,673,140	0.03%
2023-08-21	BOKF, NA	added	103	1,077,360	2,353,500	0.05%
2023-08-21	TEACHERS RETIREMENT SYSTEM OF THE STATE OF KENTUCKY	added	10.29	-2,000	580,000	0.01%
2023-08-21	VisionPoint Advisory Group, LLC	new	-	16,927	16,927	0.01%
2023-08-21	CALIFORNIA STATE TEACHERS RETIREMENT SYSTEM	reduced	-3.56	-557,783	3,865,520	-%
2023-08-21	OSAIC HOLDINGS, INC.	added	29.17	223,718	1,536,490	-%
2023-08-17	AUXIER ASSET MANAGEMENT	unchanged	-	-154,523	1,491,900	0.25%

Latest Funds Activity

Are funds buying LOPE calls or puts?

Calls

Puts

No. of funds holding Calls - Puts

Net Call Options

No. of funds that own LOPE

No. of Funds

Schedule 13G FIlings of Grand Canyon Education

Date Filed	Name of Filer	Percent of Class	No. of Shares	Form Type
Sep 11, 2023	vanguard group inc	10.14%	3,068,399	SC 13G/A
Aug 08, 2023	blackrock inc.	10.0%	3,079,819	SC 13G/A
Feb 09, 2023	vanguard group inc	9.37%	2,918,849	SC 13G/A
Feb 08, 2023	riverbridge partners llc	6.61%	1,839,431	SC 13G
Feb 08, 2023	riverbridge partners llc	6.61%	1,839,431	SC 13G/A
Feb 07, 2023	blackrock inc.	9.7%	3,008,983	SC 13G/A
May 09, 2022	blackrock inc.	10.3%	3,375,524	SC 13G
Mar 09, 2022	vanguard group inc	10.36%	3,658,710	SC 13G/A
Feb 03, 2022	blackrock inc.	8.3%	3,330,145	SC 13G/A
Jan 21, 2022	riverbridge partners llc	6.95%	2,784,752	SC 13G/A

Recent SEC filings of Grand Canyon Education

View All Filings

Date Filed	Form Type	Document
Sep 11, 2023	SC 13G/A	Major Ownership Report
Aug 10, 2023	4	Insider Trading
Aug 10, 2023	144	Notice of Insider Sale Intent
Aug 08, 2023	SC 13G/A	Major Ownership Report
Aug 08, 2023	4	Insider Trading
Aug 08, 2023	144	Notice of Insider Sale Intent
Aug 03, 2023	8-K	Current Report
Aug 03, 2023	10-Q	Quarterly Report
Jun 22, 2023	8-K	Current Report
Jun 22, 2023	4	Insider Trading

LOPE Fair Value

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Peers (Alternatives to Grand Canyon Education)

View All Peers In Detail

Name	Mkt Capsorted ascending	Revenue	Price %, 1M	Returns, 1Y	P/E	P/S	Rev 1-Yr	Inc 1-Yr
LARGE-CAP
MGM	13.0B	14.8B	-12.62%	22.88%	34.69	0.88	24.74%	-88.46%
WYNN	10.3B	4.9B	-5.03%	35.75%	1.5K	2.1	26.04%	101.07%
MID-CAP
MTN	10.0B	2.9B	7.72%	17.70%	34.79	3.47	17.20%	-8.79%
SCI	8.7B	4.0B	-8.71%	-0.26%	17.78	2.15	-3.19%	-36.23%
BFAM	4.8B	2.2B	-12.17%	45.90%	74.31	2.17	18.83%	-26.84%
LOPE	3.5B	928.1M	1.25%	44.38%	18.5	3.78	2.89%	-12.22%
PENN	3.4B	6.6B	-5.45%	-14.96%	4.61	0.52	4.51%	252.90%
GHC	2.7B	4.2B	0.46%	8.64%	12.58	0.64	19.67%	40.01%
STRA	1.9B	1.1B	-3.11%	24.45%	50.64	1.72	0.26%	-23.35%
CHGG	1.0B	740.4M	-7.63%	-57.23%	3.63	1.38	-4.64%	534.34%
HRB	-	3.5B	5.30%	-1.02%	-	-	0.26%	0.00%
SMALL-CAP
LRN	1.9B	1.8B	9.68%	10.62%	15.29	1.06	8.93%	18.42%
ATGE	1.8B	1.5B	-1.64%	20.27%	19.26	1.24	4.69%	-70.42%
PRDO	1.1B	726.7M	5.69%	71.67%	8.91	1.56	6.17%	15.53%
APEI	88.9M	598.9M	-7.24%	-45.12%	-1.32	0.15	7.59%	29.57%

Grand Canyon Education News

Returns for LOPE

Cumulative Returns on LOPE

11.1%

10-Year Cumulative Returns

16.3%

7-Year Cumulative Returns

0.8%

5-Year Cumulative Returns

11.6%

3-Year Cumulative Returns

Risks for LOPE

What is the probability of a big loss on LOPE?

87.3%

Probability that Grand Canyon Education stock will be more than 20% underwater in next one year

35.8%

Probability that Grand Canyon Education stock will be more than 30% underwater in next one year.

10%

Probability that Grand Canyon Education stock will be more than 40% underwater in next one year.

*Calculated based on probability distribution of losses observed in actual data in the last 5 years.

How does LOPE drawdown profile look like?

Y-axis is the maximum loss one would have experienced if Grand Canyon Education was unfortunately bought at previous high price.

Drawdowns

Financials for Grand Canyon Education

Income Statement (Last 12 Months)
(In Millions)

(*) denotes actual numbers (not divided by Millions)
Income Statement (Last 12 Months)																					(In Millions)
Description	(%) Q/Q	2023Q2	2023Q1	2022Q4	2022Q3	2022Q2	2022Q1	2021Q4	2021Q3	2021Q2	2021Q1	2020Q4	2020Q3	2020Q2	2020Q1	2019Q4	2019Q3	2019Q2	2019Q1	2018Q4	2018Q3	2018Q2
Revenue	1.2%	928	917	911	904	902	904	897	883	875	859	844	819	814	803	779	743	705	767	846	939	1,020
Costs and Expenses	1.4%	692	683	674	655	643	628	614	606	592	579	567	557	543	530	514	480	472	527	587	670	721
S&GA Expenses	2.2%	46.00	45.00	45.00	44.00	43.00	42.00	42.00	43.00	43.00	43.00	43.00	43.00	43.00	42.00	44.00	41.00	37.00	34.00	30.00	29.00	27.00
EBITDA	-100.0%	-	239	240	259	283	314	335	337	343	367	364	349	359	363	355	-	-	-	-	-	-
EBITDA Margin	-100.0%	-	0.26*	0.26*	0.29*	0.31*	0.35*	0.37*	0.38*	0.39*	0.43*	0.43*	0.43*	0.44*	0.45*	0.46*	-	-	-	-	-	-
Interest Expenses	9.5%	0.00	0.00	0.00	2.00	3.00	-	4.00	3.00	3.00	4.00	4.00	6.00	8.00	10.00	11.00	9.00	7.00	4.00	2.00	1.00	1.00
Earnings Before Taxes	1.6%	243	239	240	257	281	311	331	334	339	337	333	316	324	327	318	317	286	281	287	285	303
EBT Margin	-100.0%	-	0.26*	0.26*	0.28*	0.31*	0.34*	0.37*	0.38*	0.39*	0.39*	0.39*	0.39*	0.40*	0.41*	0.41*	-	-	-	-	-	-
Net Income	1.8%	190	186	185	198	216	240	260	262	266	264	257	247	253	257	259	258	234	229	229	222	227
Net Income Margin	-100.0%	-	0.20*	0.20*	0.22*	0.24*	0.27*	0.29*	0.30*	0.30*	0.31*	0.30*	0.30*	0.31*	0.32*	0.33*	-	-	-	-	-	-
Free Cashflow	-100.0%	-	214	221	215	249	294	313	338	298	313	309	291	338	316	306	-	-	-	-	-	-

Balance Sheet
(In Millions)

Balance Sheet																					(In Millions)
Description	(%) Q/Q	2023Q2	2023Q1	2022Q4	2022Q3	2022Q2	2022Q1	2021Q4	2021Q3	2021Q2	2021Q1	2020Q4	2020Q3	2020Q2	2020Q1	2019Q4	2019Q3	2019Q2	2019Q1	2018Q4	2018Q3	2018Q2
Assets	-3.2%	846	874	833	785	787	918	1,223	1,680	1,847	1,885	1,845	1,801	1,790	1,732	1,690	1,761	1,678	1,619	1,324	1,253	1,400
Current Assets	-11.5%	280	316	273	223	250	380	681	173	147	374	334	292	223	248	208	238	109	198	309	255	1,282
Cash Equivalents	36.1%	143	105	120	40.00	139	202	601	61.00	69.00	226	246	167	173	132	123	120	66.00	89.00	182	107	222
Net PPE	2.9%	155	150	148	145	140	137	136	135	133	132	129	127	124	121	120	119	117	116	111	111	112
Goodwill	0%	161	161	161	161	161	161	161	161	161	161	161	161	161	161	161	161	161	151	3.00	3.00	3.00
Liabilities	-6.5%	201	215	195	193	181	212	178	280	304	296	270	280	301	284	247	379	350	347	110	114	300
Current Liabilities	-16.1%	100	120	100	96.00	104	133	98.00	204	169	153	119	123	151	133	95.00	124	113	126	81.00	55.00	224
Shareholder's Equity	-2.1%	645	659	638	592	607	706	1,045	1,401	1,543	1,589	1,574	1,521	1,489	1,448	1,443	1,382	1,328	1,273	1,214	1,138	1,100
Retained Earnings	1.4%	2,128	2,099	2,040	1,969	1,939	1,913	1,855	1,770	1,722	1,673	1,595	1,508	1,456	1,409	1,341	1,265	1,207	1,155	1,082	1,007	973
Additional Paid-In Capital	1.0%	316	313	309	306	303	300	297	294	281	281	282	279	276	274	271	268	265	261	257	252	241
Shares Outstanding	-1.4%	30.00	31.00	31.00	31.00	32.00	35.00	38.00	44.00	45.00	46.00	47.00	47.00	47.00	47.00	48.00	48.00	48.00	48.00	48.00	48.00	48.00

Cashflow (Last 12 Months)
(In Millions)

Cashflow (Last 12 Months)																					(In Millions)
Description	(%) Q/Q	2023Q2	2023Q1	2022Q4	2022Q3	2022Q2	2022Q1	2021Q4	2021Q3	2021Q2	2021Q1	2020Q4	2020Q3	2020Q2	2020Q1	2019Q4	2019Q3	2019Q2	2019Q1	2018Q4	2018Q3	2018Q2
Cashflow From Operations	8.6%	232	214	221	215	249	294	313	338	298	313	309	291	338	316	306	298	245	156	199	132	315
Share Based Compensation	0.6%	13.00	13.00	13.00	12.00	12.00	12.00	12.00	11.00	11.00	11.00	11.00	11.00	10.00	10.00	10.00	10.00	18.00	19.00	20.00	20.00	13.00
Cashflow From Investing	-1.6%	-65.58	-64.56	-97.14	867	1,111	916	951	-16.91	-178	-52.29	-19.35	11.00	-0.69	-66.90	-405	-453	-656	-540	-238	-255	-132
Cashflow From Financing	33.8%	-162	-245	-604	-1,102	-1,290	-1,233	-908	-426	-222	-167	-166	-255	-230	-205	40.00	169	168	157	-26.84	-25.00	-18.30
Buy Backs	-33.8%	163	246	604	1,020	1,164	1,134	804	397	228	138	134	116	99.00	91.00	44.00	31.00	30.00	31.00	25.00	21.00	15.00

LOPE Income Statement

2023-06-30

Consolidated Income Statements - USD ($) shares in Thousands, $ in Thousands	3 Months Ended		6 Months Ended
	Jun. 30, 2023	Jun. 30, 2022	Jun. 30, 2023	Jun. 30, 2022
Consolidated Income Statements
Service revenue	$ 210,577	$ 199,753	$ 460,702	$ 443,886
Costs and expenses:
Technology and academic services	38,957	38,189	76,469	74,495
Counseling services and support	72,392	66,025	145,741	133,538
Marketing and communication	50,806	49,735	103,700	100,586
General and administrative	10,875	9,854	20,663	19,747
Amortization of intangible assets	2,105	2,105	4,210	4,210
Total costs and expenses	175,135	165,908	350,783	332,576
Operating income	35,442	33,845	109,919	111,310
Interest expense	(7)	(5)	(26)	(5)
Investment interest and other	2,590	344	4,743	549
Income before income taxes	38,025	34,184	114,636	111,854
Income tax expense	9,052	8,622	26,099	28,214
Net income	$ 28,973	$ 25,562	$ 88,537	$ 83,640
Earnings per share:
Basic income per share	$ 0.96	$ 0.80	$ 2.92	$ 2.51
Diluted income per share	$ 0.96	$ 0.80	$ 2.91	$ 2.51
Basic weighted average shares outstanding	30,183	31,800	30,321	33,295
Diluted weighted average shares outstanding	30,287	31,877	30,462	33,381

LOPE Balance Sheet

2023-06-30

Consolidated Balance Sheets - USD ($) $ in Thousands	Jun. 30, 2023	Dec. 31, 2022
Current assets
Cash and cash equivalents	$ 142,925	$ 120,409
Investments	90,444	61,295
Accounts receivable, net	24,682	77,413
Income tax receivable	9,037	2,788
Other current assets	12,461	11,368
Total current assets	279,549	273,273
Property and equipment, net	154,709	147,504
Right-of-use assets	76,446	72,719
Amortizable intangible assets, net	172,590	176,800
Goodwill	160,766	160,766
Other assets	2,157	1,687
Total assets	846,217	832,749
Current liabilities
Accounts payable	22,842	20,006
Accrued compensation and benefits	28,594	36,412
Accrued liabilities	30,485	22,473
Income taxes payable	75	12,167
Deferred revenue	9,110
Current portion of lease liability	9,339	8,648
Total current liabilities	100,445	99,706
Deferred income taxes, noncurrent	27,308	26,195
Other long-term liability	423	436
Lease liability, less current portion	72,616	68,793
Total liabilities	200,792	195,130
Commitments and contingencies
Stockholders' equity
Common stock, $0.01 par value, 100,000 shares authorized; 53,970 and 53,830 shares issued and 30,398 and 31,058 shares outstanding at June 30, 2023 and December 31, 2022, respectively	540	538
Treasury stock, at cost, 23,572 and 22,772 shares of common stock at June 30, 2023 and December 31, 2022, respectively	(1,798,619)	(1,711,423)
Additional paid-in capital	315,930	309,310
Accumulated other comprehensive loss	(690)	(533)
Retained earnings	2,128,264	2,039,727
Total stockholders' equity	645,425	637,619
Total liabilities and stockholders' equity	$ 846,217	$ 832,749

About Grand Canyon Education

Brian E. Mueller

www.gcu.edu

4960

Grand Canyon Education, Inc. provides education services to colleges and universities in the United States. The company's technology services include learning management system, internal administration, infrastructure, and support services; academic services comprises program and curriculum, faculty and related training and development, class scheduling, and skills and simulation lab sites; and counseling services and support include admission, financial aid, and field experience and other counseling services. It also offers marketing and communication services, such as lead acquisition, digital communications strategy, brand identity, market research, media planning and strategy, video, and business intelligence and data science; and back-office services comprising finance and accounting, human resources, audit, and procurement services. The company, through its subsidiary, Orbis Education Services, LLC, supports healthcare education programs for 27 universities. Grand Canyon Education, Inc. was founded in 1949 and is based in Phoenix, Arizona.

Market Summary

LOPE Stock Price

LOPE RSI Chart

LOPE Valuation

LOPE Price/Sales (Trailing)

LOPE Profitability

LOPE Fundamentals

LOPE Revenue

LOPE Earnings

Price Action

52 Week Range

LOPE Financial Health

LOPE Investor Care

Historical Charts for Stock Metrics

Latest Insider Trading transactions for LOPE

Which funds bought or sold LOPE recently?

Latest Funds Activity

Schedule 13G FIlings of Grand Canyon Education

Recent SEC filings of Grand Canyon Education

LOPE Fair Value

Peers (Alternatives to Grand Canyon Education)

Grand Canyon Education News

Returns for LOPE

Cumulative Returns on LOPE

Risks for LOPE

What is the probability of a big loss on LOPE?

How does LOPE drawdown profile look like?

Financials for Grand Canyon Education

Income Statement (Last 12 Months).css-zgnqz2{margin:0;font-family:"Roboto","Helvetica","Arial",sans-serif;font-weight:400;font-size:0.75rem;line-height:1.66;letter-spacing:0.03333em;color:#595959;}(In Millions)

Balance Sheet(In Millions)

Cashflow (Last 12 Months)(In Millions)

LOPE Income Statement

LOPE Balance Sheet

About Grand Canyon Education

Income Statement (Last 12 Months)
(In Millions)

Balance Sheet
(In Millions)

Cashflow (Last 12 Months)
(In Millions)