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MOSAIC CO Stock Research

MOS

43.57USD-0.40(-0.91%)Market Closed

Market Summary

USD43.57-0.40
Market Closed
-0.91%

MOS Stock Price

MOS RSI Chart

MOS Valuation

Market Cap

14.8B

Price/Earnings (Trailing)

4.12

Price/Sales (Trailing)

0.77

EV/EBITDA

3.02

Price/Free Cashflow

5.5

MOS Price/Sales (Trailing)

MOS Profitability

EBT Margin

24.27%

Return on Equity

29.72%

Return on Assets

15.32%

Free Cashflow Yield

18.2%

MOS Fundamentals

MOS Revenue

Revenue (TTM)

19.1B

Revenue Y/Y

16.67%

Revenue Q/Q

-16.21%

MOS Earnings

Earnings (TTM)

3.6B

Earnings Y/Y

-21.3%

Earnings Q/Q

-37.84%

Price Action

52 Week Range

40.2979.09
(Low)(High)

Last 7 days

-2.2%

Last 30 days

-10.8%

Last 90 days

-3.5%

Trailing 12 Months

-35.7%

MOS Financial Health

Current Ratio

1.18

Debt/Equity

0.2

Debt/Cashflow

1.63

MOS Investor Care

Dividend Yield

1.38%

Dividend/Share (TTM)

0.6

Buy Backs (1Y)

8.04%

Diluted EPS (TTM)

10.06

Peers (Alternatives to MOSAIC)

View All Peers In Detail
NameMkt Capsorted ascendingRevenuePrice %, 1MReturns, 1YP/EP/SRev 1-YrInc 1-Yr
LARGE-CAP
44.9B
14.2B
-0.14% -8.76%
41.17
3.17
11.42% -3.38%
21.1B
12.4B
-11.66% -33.48%
-11.33
1.7
6.73% -768.10%
14.8B
19.1B
-10.83% -35.71%
4.12
0.77
54.77% 119.72%
14.1B
11.2B
-15.84% -31.36%
3.57
1.26
71.09% 212.46%
MID-CAP
5.3B
4.9B
-0.98% 15.10%
26.11
1.1
10.60% -27.40%
4.5B
2.5B
-4.62% -15.96%
24.2
1.78
6.23% -7.71%
3.8B
3.9B
-15.14% -43.17%
-8.51
0.99
-18.08% -203.17%
3.5B
3.7B
-4.08% -1.25%
19.64
0.94
14.37% 11.72%
3.4B
2.8B
3.65% 10.07%
12.26
1.24
17.35% 46.43%
SMALL-CAP
934.7M
835.6M
-8.88% -28.42%
3.26
1.12
56.89% 266.96%
637.4M
608.4M
8.02% 9.24%
22.46
1.05
12.92% 31.26%
480.8M
258.8M
7.25% -65.26%
-1.41
1.86
-27.46% 18.54%
145.5M
-
-28.10% -47.84%
-6.97
3.28
- -
54.3M
148.4M
-1.09% -60.77%
-0.98
0.37
-17.87% 42.15%

Financials for MOSAIC

Income Statement (Last 12 Months)
(In Millions)
* denotes actual numbers (not divided by Millions)
Description(%) Q/Q2022Q42022Q32022Q22022Q12021Q4
Revenue3.5%19,12518,48516,55513,98312,357
Gross Profit-3.0%5,7565,9365,2994,2053,200
  S&GA Expenses1.9%498489462461431
EBITDA-3.3%5,4395,6235,0574,194-
EBITDA Margin-6.5%0.28*0.30*0.31*0.30*-
Earnings Before Taxes-4.3%4,6434,8514,3453,5272,225
EBT Margin-7.5%0.24*0.26*0.26*0.25*-
Interest Expenses3.6%-137-143-160-163-169
Net Income-3.8%3,5833,7243,2552,6561,631
Net Income Margin-7.0%0.19*0.20*0.20*0.19*-
Free Cahsflow25.6%2,6892,1411,6891,084-
Balance Sheet
(In Millions)
* denotes actual numbers (not divided by Millions)
Description(%) Q/Q2022Q42022Q32022Q22022Q12021Q4
Assets-0.2%23,38623,43823,98623,42322,036
  Current Assets-5.0%6,5576,9007,2996,2255,325
    Cash Equivalents4.6%735703839882770
  Inventory-6.3%3,5433,7813,6413,3272,741
  Net PPE1.7%12,67912,46312,56912,83812,475
  Goodwill0.9%1,1161,1061,1621,1961,172
  Current Liabilities7.9%5,5345,1305,6325,0524,787
  Long Term Debt-27.6%2,4123,3293,3523,3783,382
Shareholder's Equity4.1%12,05511,58111,90911,79110,604
  Retained Earnings2.5%14,20313,85813,63513,19712,014
  Additional Paid-In CapitalNaN%---57.00478
Accumulated Depreciation0.7%8,7538,6888,5808,238-
Shares Outstanding-0.4%339340352362369
Minority Interest-9.8%140155158152144
Float-12,100----
Cashflow (Last 12 Months)
(In Millions)
Description(%) Q/Q2022Q42022Q32022Q22022Q12021Q4
Cashflow From Operations15.4%3,9363,4112,9442,3742,187
  Share Based Compensation2.6%28.0027.0026.0031.0030.00
Cashflow From Investing3.7%-1,259-1,308-1,304-1,311-1,322
Cashflow From Financing-21.3%-2,678-2,209-2,177-928-682
  Dividend Payments15.2%198172151125104
  Buy Backs-16.7%1,6652,0001,446834411

Risks for MOS

What is the probability of a big loss on MOS?

64.6%


Probability that MOSAIC stock will be more than 20% underwater in next one year

53.1%


Probability that MOSAIC stock will be more than 30% underwater in next one year.

50%


Probability that MOSAIC stock will be more than 40% underwater in next one year.
*Calculated based on probability distribution of losses observed in actual data in the last 5 years.

How does MOS drawdown profile look like?

Y-axis is the maximum loss one would have experienced if MOSAIC was unfortunately bought at previous high price.

Drawdowns

Returns for MOS

Cumulative Returns on MOS

-1.5%


10-Year Cumulative Returns

8.3%


7-Year Cumulative Returns

13.2%


5-Year Cumulative Returns

69.0%


3-Year Cumulative Returns

What are the long-term rolling returns for MOS?

FIve years rolling returns for MOSAIC.

Annualized Returns

Which funds bought or sold MOS recently?

View All Details
Datesorted ascendingFund NameType% Chg$ Change$ Held% Portfolio
2023-03-15
B. Riley Wealth Advisors, Inc.
added
21.86
155,886
1,628,890
0.05%
2023-03-10
VICTORY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT INC
added
15.39
366,094
8,093,090
0.01%
2023-03-06
Rockefeller Capital Management L.P.
reduced
-10.51
-339,000
1,462,000
0.01%
2023-03-02
LORING WOLCOTT & COOLIDGE FIDUCIARY ADVISORS LLP/MA
new
-
131,610
131,610
-%
2023-03-01
Regal Investment Advisors LLC
reduced
-3.19
-28,738
210,262
0.02%
2023-03-01
Goehring & Rozencwajg Associates, LLC
new
-
12,888,700
12,888,700
4.58%
2023-03-01
Meixler Investment Management, Ltd.
added
2.53
-31,962
423,038
0.42%
2023-02-28
Voya Investment Management LLC
reduced
-2.7
-786,999
5,950,000
0.01%
2023-02-27
Parallax Volatility Advisers, L.P.
added
21.99
921,532
9,505,530
0.01%
2023-02-27
HARVEY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT INC
reduced
-0.16
-568,631
5,504,370
2.31%

1–10 of 47

Latest Funds Activity

Are funds buying MOS calls or puts?
Calls
Puts
Are funds bullish or bearish(Calls - Puts)?
Net Call Options
No. of funds that own MOS
No. of Funds

MOSAIC News

MarketWatch

Mosaic Co. stock falls Thursday, underperforms market.

MarketWatch,
80 minutes ago

Nasdaq

Seeking Alpha

Appleseed Fund 2022 Annual Letter.

Seeking Alpha,
36 hours ago

Zacks Investment Research

Zacks Investment Research

Schedule 13G FIlings of MOSAIC

Date FiledName of FilerPercent of ClassNo. of SharesForm Type
Mar 10, 2023
capital world investors
12.8%
43,064,648
SC 13G/A
Feb 13, 2023
capital world investors
6.7%
22,719,481
SC 13G
Feb 09, 2023
fmr llc
-
0
SC 13G/A
Feb 09, 2023
vanguard group inc
11.69%
39,787,718
SC 13G/A
Feb 03, 2023
blackrock inc.
8.1%
27,677,023
SC 13G/A
Jan 31, 2023
state street corp
5.07%
17,254,537
SC 13G/A
Feb 09, 2022
vanguard group inc
11.26%
41,707,783
SC 13G/A
Feb 09, 2022
fmr llc
-
0
SC 13G
Feb 03, 2022
blackrock inc.
7.6%
28,680,742
SC 13G/A
Nov 10, 2021
vale s.a.
0%
0
SC 13D/A

MOS Fair Value

MOSAIC fair value in different scenarios

The table shows the Fair Value estimates for MOSAIC for various scenarios. Disclaimer: These are just estimations from a model. None of the models are good at predicting the future. Please dont buy or sell stocks based on these outputs.
Fair ValueVery PessimisticPessimisticBase CaseOptimisticVery Optimistic
Very Low Inflation

194.14

345.58%

282.16

547.60%

542.74

1145.67%

836.25

1819.33%

1187.54

2625.59%
Current Inflation

177.74

307.94%

254.05

483.08%

478.15

997.43%

726.35

1567.09%

1023.44

2248.96%
Very High Inflation

157.40

261.26%

219.95

404.82%

401.65

821.85%

598.28

1273.15%

833.78

1813.66%

Historical MOSAIC Fair Value Estimates


Very Pessimistic Case
Pessimistic Case
Fair Value
Optimistic Case
Very Optimistic Case
Closing Stock Price

Recent SEC filings of MOSAIC

View All Filings
Date Filed Form Type Document
Mar 13, 2023
4
Insider Trading
Mar 13, 2023
4
Insider Trading
Mar 13, 2023
4
Insider Trading
Mar 13, 2023
4
Insider Trading
Mar 13, 2023
4
Insider Trading
Mar 13, 2023
4
Insider Trading
Mar 13, 2023
4
Insider Trading
Mar 13, 2023
4
Insider Trading
Mar 13, 2023
4
Insider Trading
Mar 13, 2023
4
Insider Trading

Latest Insider Trading transactions for MOS

Filter Transactions
Datesorted ascendingNameBuy/Sell$ ValueAvg. Price# SharesTitle
2023-03-05
Bodine Bruce M.
sold (taxes)
-2,886,080
57.14
-50,509
senior vp - north america
2023-03-05
Lewis Christopher Anthony
sold (taxes)
-1,566,260
57.14
-27,411
sr vp - human resources
2023-03-05
O'Rourke James Calvin
sold (taxes)
-14,068,200
57.14
-246,206
president & ceo
2023-03-05
PRATT BENJAMIN JAMES
sold (taxes)
-262,044
57.14
-4,586
sr vp - gov. & public affairs
2023-03-05
Freeland Clint
sold (taxes)
-3,725,640
57.14
-65,202
svp & chief financial officer
2023-03-05
Precourt Walter F. III
sold (taxes)
-2,886,260
57.14
-50,512
senior vp - strategy & growth
2023-03-05
Ricard Corrine D.
acquired
-
-
128,196
sr vp - mosaic fertilizantes
2023-03-05
Ricard Corrine D.
sold (taxes)
-2,882,480
57.14
-50,446
sr vp - mosaic fertilizantes
2023-03-05
PRATT BENJAMIN JAMES
acquired
-
-
11,651
sr vp - gov. & public affairs

1–10 of 50

James C. O'Rourke
12500
The Mosaic Company, through its subsidiaries, produces and markets concentrated phosphate and potash crop nutrients in North America and internationally. The company operates through three segments: Phosphates, Potash, and Mosaic Fertilizantes. It owns and operates mines, which produce concentrated phosphate crop nutrients, such as diammonium phosphate, monoammonium phosphate, and ammoniated phosphate products; and phosphate-based animal feed ingredients primarily under the Biofos and Nexfos brand names, as well as produces a double sulfate of potash magnesia product under K-Mag brand name. The company also produces and sells potash for use in the manufacturing of mixed crop nutrients and animal feed ingredients, and for industrial use; and for use in the de-icing and as a water softener regenerant. In addition, it provides nitrogen-based crop nutrients, animal feed ingredients, and other ancillary services; and purchases and sells phosphates, potash, and nitrogen products. The company sells its products to wholesale distributors, retail chains, farmers, cooperatives, independent retailers, and national accounts. The Mosaic Company was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Tampa, Florida.

MOS Income Statement

2022-12-31
Consolidated Statements of Earnings - USD ($)
shares in Millions, $ in Millions
12 Months Ended
Dec. 31, 2022
Dec. 31, 2021
Dec. 31, 2020
Net sales$ 19,125.2$ 12,357.4$ 8,681.7
Cost of goods sold13,369.49,157.17,616.8
Gross margin5,755.83,200.31,064.9
Selling, general and administrative expenses498.0430.5371.5
Restructuring and related cost, incurred costs0.0158.10.0
Other operating expenses472.5143.2280.5
Operating (loss) earnings4,785.32,468.5412.9
Interest expense, net(137.8)(169.1)(180.6)
Foreign currency transaction gain (loss)97.5(78.5)(64.3)
Other (expense) income(102.5)3.912.9
Income (Loss) from Continuing Operations before Equity Method Investments, Income Taxes, Noncontrolling Interest4,642.52,224.8180.9
Provision for (benefit from) income taxes1,224.3597.7(578.5)
Earnings from consolidated companies3,418.21,627.1759.4
Equity in net earnings (loss) of nonconsolidated companies196.07.8(93.8)
Net earnings including noncontrolling interests3,614.21,634.9665.6
Less: Net earnings (loss) attributable to noncontrolling interests31.44.3(0.5)
Net earnings attributable to Mosaic$ 3,582.8$ 1,630.6$ 666.1
Basic net earnings per share attributable to Mosaic$ 10.17$ 4.31$ 1.76
Basic weighted average number of shares outstanding (in shares)352.4378.1379.0
Diluted net earnings per share attributable to Mosaic$ 10.06$ 4.27$ 1.75
Diluted weighted average number of shares outstanding (in shares)356.0381.6381.3

MOS Balance Sheet

2022-12-31
Consolidated Balance Sheets - USD ($)
$ in Millions
Dec. 31, 2022
Dec. 31, 2021
Current assets:  
Cash and cash equivalents$ 735.4$ 769.5
Receivables, net1,699.91,531.9
Inventories3,543.12,741.4
Other current assets578.2282.5
Total current assets6,556.65,325.3
Property, plant and equipment, net12,678.712,475.3
Investments in nonconsolidated companies885.9691.8
Goodwill1,116.31,172.2
Deferred Income Tax Assets, Net752.3997.1
Other assets1,396.21,374.7
Total assets23,386.022,036.4
Other Short-term Borrowings224.9302.8
Current liabilities:  
Current maturities of long-term debt985.3596.6
Structured accounts payable arrangements751.2743.7
Accounts payable1,292.51,260.7
Accrued liabilities2,279.91,883.6
Total current liabilities5,533.84,787.4
Long-term debt, less current maturities2,411.93,382.2
Deferred Income Tax Liabilities, Net1,010.11,016.2
Other noncurrent liabilities2,236.02,102.1
Equity:  
Preferred stock, par value0.00.0
Common stock, value3.43.7
Capital in excess of par value0.0478.0
Retained earnings14,203.412,014.2
Accumulated other comprehensive loss(2,152.2)(1,891.8)
Total Mosaic stockholders’ equity12,054.610,604.1
Non-controlling interests139.6144.4
Total equity12,194.210,748.5
Total liabilities and equity$ 23,386.0$ 22,036.4