NVIDIA Corp Stock Research

Market Summary

USD265.31-2.48

Market Closed

-0.93%

NVDA Alerts

3 major insider sales recently.
Big fall in Revenue (Y/Y)
Big fall in earnings (Y/Y)

NVDA Stock Price

NVDA RSI Chart

NVDA Valuation

Market Cap

660.4B

Price/Earnings (Trailing)

151.18

Price/Sales (Trailing)

24.48

EV/EBITDA

109.73

Price/Free Cashflow

117.07

NVDA Price/Sales (Trailing)

NVDA Profitability

Operating Margin

56.93%

EBT Margin

15.50%

Return on Equity

19.76%

Return on Assets

10.61%

Free Cashflow Yield

0.85%

NVDA Fundamentals

NVDA Revenue

Revenue (TTM)

27.0B

Revenue Y/Y

-20.83%

Revenue Q/Q

2.02%

NVDA Earnings

Earnings (TTM)

4.4B

Earnings Y/Y

-52.91%

Earnings Q/Q

107.94%

Price Action

52 Week Range

108.10289.24

(Low)(High)

Last 7 days

4.9%

Last 30 days

29.0%

Last 90 days

76.1%

Trailing 12 Months

-4.8%

NVDA Financial Health

Current Ratio

3.52

Debt/Equity

0.46

Debt/Cashflow

0.69

NVDA Investor Care

Dividend Yield

0.06%

Dividend/Share (TTM)

0.16

Buy Backs (1Y)

1.60%

Diluted EPS (TTM)

1.74

Peers (Alternatives to NVIDIA)

View All Peers In Detail

Name	Mkt Capsorted ascending	Revenue	Price %, 1M	Returns, 1Y	P/E	P/S	Rev 1-Yr	Inc 1-Yr
LARGE-CAP
NVDA	660.4B	27.0B	29.03%	-4.80%	151.18	24.48	0.22%	-55.21%
AVGO	265.3B	34.4B	10.41%	2.40%	23.08	7.71	20.74%	70.65%
TXN	163.9B	20.0B	5.72%	-0.46%	18.73	8.18	9.18%	12.61%
AMD	157.9B	23.6B	27.86%	-18.73%	119.62	6.69	43.61%	-58.25%
INTC	121.5B	63.1B	15.27%	-41.31%	15.16	1.93	-20.21%	-59.66%
FSLR	22.5B	2.6B	29.03%	165.43%	-509.56	8.59	-10.40%	-109.42%
LSCC	12.4B	660.4M	10.18%	42.15%	69.58	18.85	28.14%	86.49%
MID-CAP
AMKR	6.3B	7.1B	0.71%	7.91%	8.21	0.89	15.53%	19.10%
POWI	4.7B	651.1M	2.26%	-14.49%	27.78	7.29	-7.41%	3.92%
SMALL-CAP
ICHR	873.4M	1.3B	-7.86%	-17.34%	12	0.68	16.70%	2.69%
SGH	786.5M	1.8B	-3.86%	-39.94%	15.11	0.43	8.07%	32.37%
AOSL	713.1M	794.4M	-3.22%	-60.64%	9.01	0.9	9.29%	-82.10%
CEVA	673.0M	134.6M	-8.75%	-28.31%	-29.03	5	9.73%	-5954.29%
MX	399.2M	337.7M	-4.71%	-47.85%	-49.68	1.18	-28.80%	-114.17%

Financials for NVIDIA

* denotes actual numbers (not divided by Millions)
Income Statement (Last 12 Months)					(In Millions)
Description	(%) Q/Q	2023Q1	2022Q4	2022Q3	2022Q2	2022Q1
Revenue	-5.6%	26,974	28,566	29,738	29,541	26,914
Cost Of Revenue	-3.5%	11,618	12,044	11,762	10,265	9,439
Gross Profit	-7.1%	15,356	16,522	17,976	19,276	17,475
Operating Expenses	5.2%	11,132	10,584	9,968	9,323	7,434
S&GA Expenses	2.6%	2,440	2,378	2,304	2,238	2,166
R&D Expenses	7.1%	7,339	6,853	6,311	5,732	5,268
EBITDA	-19.6%	5,987	7,444	9,358	11,180	-
EBITDA Margin	-14.8%	0.22*	0.26*	0.31*	0.38*	-
Earnings Before Taxes	-27.4%	4,181	5,758	7,783	9,702	9,941
EBT Margin	-23.1%	0.16*	0.20*	0.26*	0.33*	-
Interest Expenses	1.2%	262	259	256	251	236
Net Income	-26.7%	4,368	5,957	7,741	9,459	9,752
Net Income Margin	-22.3%	0.16*	0.21*	0.26*	0.32*	-
Free Cahsflow	-12.2%	5,641	6,426	7,553	8,965	-

* denotes actual numbers (not divided by Millions)
Balance Sheet					(In Millions)
Description	(%) Q/Q	2023Q1	2022Q4	2022Q3	2022Q2	2022Q1
Assets	1.7%	41,182	40,488	43,476	45,212	44,187
Current Assets	-0.6%	23,073	23,223	27,418	29,575	28,829
Cash Equivalents	21.0%	3,389	2,800	3,013	3,887	1,990
Inventory	15.8%	5,159	4,454	3,889	3,163	2,605
Net PPE	0.9%	3,807	3,774	3,233	2,916	2,778
Goodwill	0%	4,372	4,372	4,372	4,365	4,349
Liabilities	-0.3%	19,081	19,139	19,625	18,892	17,575
Current Liabilities	-4.3%	6,563	6,855	7,573	5,562	4,335
LT Debt, Current	0%	1,249	1,249	-	-	-
LT Debt, Non Current	0.0%	9,703	9,701	9,700	10,947	10,946
Shareholder's Equity	3.5%	22,101	21,349	23,851	26,320	26,612
Retained Earnings	2.7%	10,171	9,905	12,971	15,758	16,235
Additional Paid-In Capital	3.5%	11,971	11,565	10,968	10,623	10,385
Accumulated Depreciation	-	1,903	-	-	-	-
Shares Outstanding	-0.7%	2,466	2,483	2,495	2,506	2,506

* denotes actual numbers (not divided by Millions)
Cashflow (Last 12 Months)					(In Millions)
Description	(%) Q/Q	2023Q1	2022Q4	2022Q3	2022Q2	2022Q1
Cashflow From Operations	-12.2%	5,641	6,426	7,553	8,965	9,108
Share Based Compensation	7.4%	2,709	2,522	2,336	2,153	2,004
Cashflow From Investing	27.3%	7,375	5,792	-1,795	-5,946	-9,830
Cashflow From Financing	-8.5%	-11,617	-10,706	-8,373	-110	1,865
Dividend Payments	-0.7%	398	401	401	401	399
Buy Backs	11.6%	10,039	8,993	5,346	1,996	0.00

Risks for NVDA

What is the probability of a big loss on NVDA?

71.9%

Probability that NVIDIA stock will be more than 20% underwater in next one year

61.5%

Probability that NVIDIA stock will be more than 30% underwater in next one year.

37.3%

Probability that NVIDIA stock will be more than 40% underwater in next one year.

*Calculated based on probability distribution of losses observed in actual data in the last 5 years.

How does NVDA drawdown profile look like?

Y-axis is the maximum loss one would have experienced if NVIDIA was unfortunately bought at previous high price.

Drawdowns

Returns for NVDA

Cumulative Returns on NVDA

57.2%

10-Year Cumulative Returns

63.8%

7-Year Cumulative Returns

35.9%

5-Year Cumulative Returns

62.7%

3-Year Cumulative Returns

What are the long-term rolling returns for NVDA?

FIve years rolling returns for NVIDIA.

Annualized Returns

Which funds bought or sold NVDA recently?

View All Details

Datesorted ascending	Fund Name	Type	% Chg	$ Change	$ Held	% Portfolio
2023-03-24	PALISADE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LP	unchanged	-	269,003	1,590,000	0.04%
2023-03-23	Prostatis Group LLC	new	-	290,043	290,043	0.17%
2023-03-23	MetLife Investment Management, LLC	reduced	-2.38	16,224,000	108,810,000	0.87%
2023-03-23	ETF MANAGERS GROUP, LLC	reduced	-9.87	61,233	786,233	0.04%
2023-03-17	American Portfolios Advisors	reduced	-1.83	-6,054,530	22,249,600	0.94%
2023-03-15	B. Riley Wealth Advisors, Inc.	reduced	-0.12	4,708,520	27,972,500	0.78%
2023-03-13	Claro Advisors LLC	added	60.19	409,442	1,161,440	0.38%
2023-03-10	VICTORY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT INC	added	6.76	102,258,000	460,642,000	0.50%
2023-03-10	BAILLIE GIFFORD & CO	added	13.73	684,671,000	2,539,360,000	2.65%
2023-03-10	Flagstone Financial Management	new	-	285,542	285,542	0.17%

Latest Funds Activity

Are funds buying NVDA calls or puts?

Calls

Puts

Are funds bullish or bearish(Calls - Puts)?

Net Call Options

No. of funds that own NVDA

No. of Funds

NVIDIA News

Schedule 13G FIlings of NVIDIA

Date Filed	Name of Filer	Percent of Class	No. of Shares	Form Type
Feb 09, 2023	vanguard group inc	8.32%	204,600,119	SC 13G/A
Feb 09, 2023	fmr llc	-	0	SC 13G/A
Jan 31, 2023	blackrock inc.	7.3%	179,816,144	SC 13G/A
Feb 09, 2022	fmr llc	-	0	SC 13G/A
Feb 01, 2022	blackrock inc.	7.1%	177,858,484	SC 13G/A
Feb 10, 2021	vanguard group inc	7.75%	47,986,507	SC 13G/A
Feb 08, 2021	fmr llc	-	0	SC 13G/A
Jan 29, 2021	blackrock inc.	7.2%	44,799,146	SC 13G/A
Feb 12, 2020	vanguard group inc	7.71%	47,243,149	SC 13G/A
Feb 07, 2020	fmr llc	-	0	SC 13G/A

NVDA Fair Value

NVIDIA fair value in different scenarios

The table shows the Fair Value estimates for NVIDIA for various scenarios. Disclaimer: These are just estimations from a model. None of the models are good at predicting the future. Please dont buy or sell stocks based on these outputs.

Fair Value	Very Pessimistic	Pessimistic	Base Case	Optimistic	Very Optimistic
Very Low Inflation	65.19 -75.43%	100.41 -62.15%	165.02 -37.80%	310.76 17.13%	402.76 51.81%
Current Inflation	59.49 -77.58%	89.88 -66.12%	144.66 -45.48%	267.53 0.84%	344.43 29.82%
Very High Inflation	52.49 -80.22%	77.23 -70.89%	120.77 -54.48%	217.73 -17.93%	277.71 4.67%

Historical NVIDIA Fair Value Estimates

Very Pessimistic Case

Pessimistic Case

Fair Value

Optimistic Case

Very Optimistic Case

Closing Stock Price

Recent SEC filings of NVIDIA

View All Filings

Date Filed	Form Type	Document
Mar 17, 2023	4	Insider Trading
Mar 17, 2023	4	Insider Trading
Mar 17, 2023	4	Insider Trading
Mar 17, 2023	4	Insider Trading
Mar 17, 2023	4	Insider Trading
Mar 17, 2023	4	Insider Trading
Mar 15, 2023	4	Insider Trading
Mar 14, 2023	4	Insider Trading
Mar 14, 2023	4/A	Insider Trading
Mar 14, 2023	4/A	Insider Trading

Latest Insider Trading transactions for NVDA

Filter Transactions

Datesorted ascending	Name	Buy/Sell	$ Value	Avg. Price	# Shares	Title
2023-03-17	Teter Tim	gifted	-	-	10,022	evp, general counsel and sec
2023-03-17	Teter Tim	gifted	-	-	-10,022	evp, general counsel and sec
2023-03-15	Robertson Donald F Jr	sold (taxes)	-561,120	242	-2,316	principal accounting officer
2023-03-15	Puri Ajay K	sold (taxes)	-3,586,470	242	-14,803	evp, worldwide field ops
2023-03-15	HUANG JEN HSUN	sold (taxes)	-17,642,600	242	-72,819	president and ceo
2023-03-15	Kress Colette	sold (taxes)	-4,005,370	242	-16,532	evp & chief financial officer
2023-03-15	Teter Tim	sold (taxes)	-2,472,710	242	-10,206	evp, general counsel and sec
2023-03-15	Shoquist Debora	sold (taxes)	-3,078,890	242	-12,708	evp, operations
2023-03-13	Kress Colette	sold	-1,375,750	229	-6,000	evp & chief financial officer
2023-03-13	COXE TENCH	gifted	-	-	-50,000	-

About NVIDIA

Jen H. Huang

www.nvidia.com

22500

NVIDIA Corporation provides graphics, and compute and networking solutions in the United States, Taiwan, China, and internationally. The company's Graphics segment offers GeForce GPUs for gaming and PCs, the GeForce NOW game streaming service and related infrastructure, and solutions for gaming platforms; Quadro/NVIDIA RTX GPUs for enterprise workstation graphics; vGPU software for cloud-based visual and virtual computing; automotive platforms for infotainment systems; and Omniverse software for building 3D designs and virtual worlds. Its Compute & Networking segment provides Data Center platforms and systems for AI, HPC, and accelerated computing; Mellanox networking and interconnect solutions; automotive AI Cockpit, autonomous driving development agreements, and autonomous vehicle solutions; cryptocurrency mining processors; Jetson for robotics and other embedded platforms; and NVIDIA AI Enterprise and other software. The company's products are used in gaming, professional visualization, datacenter, and automotive markets. NVIDIA Corporation sells its products to original equipment manufacturers, original device manufacturers, system builders, add-in board manufacturers, retailers/distributors, independent software vendors, Internet and cloud service providers, automotive manufacturers and tier-1 automotive suppliers, mapping companies, start-ups, and other ecosystem participants. It has a strategic collaboration with Kroger Co. NVIDIA Corporation was incorporated in 1993 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, California.

NVDA Income Statement

2023-01-29

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF INCOME - USD ($) shares in Millions, $ in Millions	12 Months Ended
	Jan. 29, 2023	Jan. 30, 2022	Jan. 31, 2021
Income Statement [Abstract]
Revenue	$ 26,974	$ 26,914	$ 16,675
Cost of revenue	11,618	9,439	6,279
Gross profit	15,356	17,475	10,396
Operating expenses
Research and development	7,339	5,268	3,924
Sales, general and administrative	2,440	2,166	1,940
Acquisition termination cost	1,353	0	0
Total operating expenses	11,132	7,434	5,864
Income from operations	4,224	10,041	4,532
Interest income	267	29	57
Interest expense	(262)	(236)	(184)
Other, net	(48)	107	4
Other income (expense), net	(43)	(100)	(123)
Income before income tax	4,181	9,941	4,409
Income tax expense (benefit)	(187)	189	77
Net income	$ 4,368	$ 9,752	$ 4,332
Net income per share:
Basic (in USD per share)	$ 1.76	$ 3.91	$ 1.76
Diluted (in USD per share)	$ 1.74	$ 3.85	$ 1.73
Weighted average shares used in per share computation:
Basic (in shares)	2,487	2,496	2,467
Diluted (in shares)	2,507	2,535	2,510

NVDA Balance Sheet

2023-01-29

CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS - USD ($) $ in Millions	Jan. 29, 2023	Jan. 30, 2022
Current assets:
Cash and cash equivalents	$ 3,389	$ 1,990
Marketable securities	9,907	19,218
Accounts receivable, net	3,827	4,650
Inventories	5,159	2,605
Prepaid expenses and other current assets	791	366
Total current assets	23,073	28,829
Property and equipment, net	3,807	2,778
Operating lease assets	1,038	829
Goodwill	4,372	4,349
Intangible assets, net	1,676	2,339
Deferred income tax assets	3,396	1,222
Other assets	3,820	3,841
Total assets	41,182	44,187
Current liabilities:
Accounts payable	1,193	1,783
Accrued and other current liabilities	4,120	2,552
Short-term debt	1,250	0
Total current liabilities	6,563	4,335
Long-term debt	9,703	10,946
Long-term operating lease liabilities	902	741
Other long-term liabilities	1,913	1,553
Total liabilities	19,081	17,575
Commitments and contingencies - see Note 13
Shareholders’ equity:
Preferred stock, $0.001 par value; 2 shares authorized; none issued	0	0
Common stock, $0.001 par value; 8,000 shares authorized; 2,466 shares issued and outstanding as of January 29, 2023; 2,506 shares issued and outstanding as of January 30, 2022	2	3
Additional paid-in capital	11,971	10,385
Accumulated other comprehensive loss	(43)	(11)
Retained earnings	10,171	16,235
Total shareholders' equity	22,101	26,612
Total liabilities and shareholders' equity	$ 41,182	$ 44,187