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Peloton Interactive Inc Stock Research

PTON

9.35USD+0.09(+0.97%)Market Closed

Market Summary

USD9.35+0.09
Market Closed
0.97%

PTON Alerts

PTON Stock Price

PTON RSI Chart

PTON Valuation

Market Cap

3.2B

Price/Earnings (Trailing)

-1.16

Price/Sales (Trailing)

1.05

EV/EBITDA

-0.92

Price/Free Cashflow

-2.45

PTON Price/Sales (Trailing)

PTON Profitability

Operating Margin

19.88%

EBT Margin

-89.75%

Return on Equity

-9.0K%

Return on Assets

-83.5%

Free Cashflow Yield

-40.78%

PTON Fundamentals

PTON Revenue

Revenue (TTM)

3.1B

Revenue Y/Y

-30.09%

Revenue Q/Q

28.58%

PTON Earnings

Earnings (TTM)

-2.8B

Earnings Y/Y

23.67%

Earnings Q/Q

17.89%

Price Action

52 Week Range

6.6632.14
(Low)(High)

Last 7 days

-12.1%

Last 30 days

-29.4%

Last 90 days

5.2%

Trailing 12 Months

-67.4%

PTON Financial Health

Current Ratio

2.28

PTON Investor Care

Shares Dilution (1Y)

7.83%

Diluted EPS (TTM)

-8.17

Peers (Alternatives to Peloton Interactive)

View All Peers In Detail
NameMkt Capsorted ascendingRevenuePrice %, 1MReturns, 1YP/EP/SRev 1-YrInc 1-Yr
LARGE-CAP
188.7B
49.1B
-0.05% -8.22%
33.49
3.84
6.05% -8.67%
18.3B
4.9B
1.62% -16.97%
18.79
3.76
-2.46% -10.04%
MID-CAP
6.9B
19.7B
-9.75% -28.15%
-4.52
0.35
-10.28% -185.19%
6.7B
5.9B
-13.39% -41.03%
33.15
1.15
-8.78% -52.53%
6.1B
8.6B
-7.80% 3.52%
13.69
0.71
15.46% -9.48%
5.8B
5.4B
-12.16% -30.20%
14.62
1.06
-0.42% -56.38%
5.6B
6.8B
-9.94% -5.82%
8.26
0.82
16.52% 14.11%
3.8B
4.0B
-6.53% -23.38%
23.91
0.94
27.52% -50.96%
3.4B
1.6B
-0.33% -32.90%
37.98
2.14
13.06% -57.81%
3.2B
3.1B
-29.43% -67.43%
-1.16
1.05
-26.24% -142.38%
SMALL-CAP
1.1B
1.3B
-9.48% -6.34%
6.5
0.84
25.41% 37.27%
964.7M
595.8M
-2.71% -21.79%
10.92
1.62
-18.46% -43.34%
550.9M
733.1M
-6.77% 26.54%
9.81
0.75
26.74% -6.20%
510.4M
515.8M
3.44% -29.34%
8.48
0.99
-48.72% -75.68%
412.3M
381.0M
-8.71% 2.52%
10.22
1.08
27.84% 39.00%

Financials for Peloton Interactive

Income Statement (Last 12 Months)
Description(%) Q/Q2022Q42022Q32022Q22022Q12021Q4
Revenue-10.1%3,052,200,0003,393,400,0003,582,100,0003,840,300,0004,138,200,000
Gross Profit-7.0%606,600,000652,600,000698,400,000982,900,0001,243,800,000
Operating Expenses-4.1%3,260,500,0003,400,700,0003,432,400,0002,807,100,0002,345,700,000
  S&GA Expenses-15.1%741,600,000873,400,0001,018,900,0001,088,700,0001,069,200,000
  R&D Expenses-5.7%330,100,000349,900,000359,500,000368,300,000361,000,000
EBITDA4.2%-2,531,100,000-2,643,100,000-2,622,300,000-1,713,500,000-1,004,000,000
EBITDA Margin-6.5%-0.83-0.78-0.73-0.45-0.24
Earnings Before Taxes3.6%-2,739,300,000-2,842,100,000-2,808,100,000-1,876,500,000-1,139,200,000
EBT Margin-7.2%-0.90-0.84-0.78-0.49-0.28
Interest Expenses24.2%68,700,00055,300,00043,000,00035,600,00031,400,000
Net Income3.6%-2,756,300,000-2,860,300,000-2,827,800,000-1,885,700,000-1,137,200,000
Net Income Margin-7.1%-0.90-0.84-0.79-0.49-0.27
Free Cahsflow21.5%-1,303,700,000-1,661,800,000-2,020,000,000-2,593,500,000-2,057,800,000
Balance Sheet
(In Millions)
* denotes actual numbers (not divided by Millions)
Description(%) Q/Q2022Q42022Q32022Q22022Q12021Q4
Assets-8.1%3,3013,5934,0294,4155,483
  Current Assets-10.2%2,0582,2932,6352,5713,457
    Cash Equivalents-7.2%8719391,2548791,695
  Inventory-20.4%7919931,1051,4101,541
  Net PPE-2.1%486496611754738
  Goodwill0%41.0041.0041.0041.00224
Liabilities-1.9%3,2713,3343,4362,6623,114
  Current Liabilities-2.6%9039271,1061,0311,482
    LT Debt, Current0%8.008.008.00--
Shareholder's Equity-88.2%31.002595931,7532,369
  Retained Earnings-8.2%-4,414-4,078-3,710-2,455-1,698
  Additional Paid-In Capital2.4%4,4234,3204,2914,1984,049
Shares Outstanding0.9%342339334317-
Cashflow (Last 12 Months)
(In Millions)
Description(%) Q/Q2022Q42022Q32022Q22022Q12021Q4
Cashflow From Operations21.5%-1,303-1,661-2,020-2,276-1,757
  Share Based Compensation2.1%467458328327252
Cashflow From Investing-343.5%-19580.00153-12861.00
Cashflow From Financing-62.0%7561,9882,0151,3352,160

Risks for PTON

What is the probability of a big loss on PTON?

92.9%


Probability that Peloton Interactive stock will be more than 20% underwater in next one year

83.7%


Probability that Peloton Interactive stock will be more than 30% underwater in next one year.

73.4%


Probability that Peloton Interactive stock will be more than 40% underwater in next one year.
*Calculated based on probability distribution of losses observed in actual data in the last 5 years.

How does PTON drawdown profile look like?

Y-axis is the maximum loss one would have experienced if Peloton Interactive was unfortunately bought at previous high price.

Drawdowns

Returns for PTON

Cumulative Returns on PTON

-26.3%


3-Year Cumulative Returns

Which funds bought or sold PTON recently?

View All Details
Datesorted ascendingFund NameType% Chg$ Change$ Held% Portfolio
2023-03-15
B. Riley Wealth Advisors, Inc.
reduced
-3.07
7,536
81,536
-%
2023-03-10
VICTORY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT INC
reduced
-0.02
82,693
655,693
-%
2023-03-10
BAILLIE GIFFORD & CO
reduced
-92.01
-158,148,000
15,927,800
0.02%
2023-03-06
Rockefeller Capital Management L.P.
reduced
-43.01
-30,000
53,000
-%
2023-03-01
B. Riley Financial, Inc.
new
-
354,410
354,410
0.08%
2023-02-28
Voya Investment Management LLC
added
2.45
47,306
316,306
-%
2023-02-27
Parallax Volatility Advisers, L.P.
added
25.44
302,500
992,500
-%
2023-02-24
SRS Capital Advisors, Inc.
reduced
-1.55
2,086
15,086
-%
2023-02-24
NATIXIS
new
-
3,970
3,970
-%
2023-02-24
BBJS FINANCIAL ADVISORS, LLC
new
-
159
159
-%

1–10 of 42

Latest Funds Activity

Are funds buying PTON calls or puts?
Calls
Puts
Are funds bullish or bearish(Calls - Puts)?
Net Call Options
No. of funds that own PTON
No. of Funds

Peloton Interactive News

StockNews.com

SNAP: 2 Stocks to Sell Short, Liquidate, or Avoid Completely in 2023.

StockNews.com,
8 hours ago

Silicon Valley Business Journal

The Funded: Tonal Systems could be headed for a 90% valuation ....

Silicon Valley Business Journal,
28 hours ago

StockNews.com

Schedule 13G FIlings of Peloton Interactive

Date FiledName of FilerPercent of ClassNo. of SharesForm Type
Feb 14, 2023
price t rowe associates inc /md/
15.5%
48,455,871
SC 13G/A
Feb 13, 2023
capital world investors
7.8%
24,473,268
SC 13G
Feb 09, 2023
vanguard group inc
8.65%
27,127,665
SC 13G/A
Mar 09, 2022
blackrock inc.
4.99%
15,119,690
SC 13G/A
Feb 14, 2022
peloton interactive, inc.
5.6%
17,817,049
SC 13G/A
Feb 10, 2022
price t rowe associates inc /md/
5.7%
17,187,776
SC 13G
Feb 10, 2022
price t rowe associates inc /md/
10.3%
30,788,261
SC 13G/A
Feb 03, 2022
blackrock inc.
5.2%
15,521,973
SC 13G/A
Jan 27, 2022
baillie gifford & co
10.67%
31,817,011
SC 13G/A
Sep 01, 2021
baillie gifford & co
10.42%
28,285,207
SC 13G/A

PTON Fair Value

Peloton Interactive fair value in different scenarios

The table shows the Fair Value estimates for Peloton Interactive for various scenarios. Disclaimer: These are just estimations from a model. None of the models are good at predicting the future. Please dont buy or sell stocks based on these outputs.
Fair ValueVery PessimisticPessimisticBase CaseOptimisticVery Optimistic
Very Low Inflation

-

-

0.97

-89.63%

3.20

-65.78%

9.96

6.52%

24.59

162.99%
Current Inflation

0.69

-92.62%

0.81

-91.34%

2.76

-70.48%

8.59

-8.13%

21.11

125.78%
Very High Inflation

-

-

0.62

-93.37%

2.24

-76.04%

6.99

-25.24%

17.06

82.46%

Historical Peloton Interactive Fair Value Estimates


Very Pessimistic Case
Pessimistic Case
Fair Value
Optimistic Case
Very Optimistic Case
Closing Stock Price

Recent SEC filings of Peloton Interactive

View All Filings
Date Filed Form Type Document
Mar 08, 2023
4
Insider Trading
Mar 08, 2023
4
Insider Trading
Mar 08, 2023
4
Insider Trading
Mar 08, 2023
4
Insider Trading
Mar 08, 2023
4
Insider Trading
Mar 08, 2023
4
Insider Trading
Mar 02, 2023
4
Insider Trading
Mar 02, 2023
4
Insider Trading
Mar 02, 2023
4
Insider Trading
Feb 23, 2023
4
Insider Trading

Latest Insider Trading transactions for PTON

Filter Transactions
Datesorted ascendingNameBuy/Sell$ ValueAvg. Price# SharesTitle
2023-03-06
Mildenhall Jonathan
acquired
-
-
7,268
-
2023-03-06
Thomas-Graham Pamela
acquired
-
-
7,268
-
2023-03-06
Hoag Jay C
acquired
-
-
7,268
-
2023-03-06
Boone Karen
acquired
-
-
7,268
-
2023-03-06
MENDEZ ANGEL L
acquired
-
-
7,268
-
2023-03-06
CALLAGHAN JON
acquired
-
-
7,268
-
2023-02-21
Cotter Jennifer Cunningham
sold
-332,064
13.059
-25,428
chief content officer
2023-02-21
Cortese Thomas
sold
-247,628
13.0571
-18,965
chief product officer
2023-02-21
RENDICH ANDREW S
sold
-132,553
13.0762
-10,137
chief supply chain officer
2023-02-16
Cortese Thomas
sold
-155,917
14.4568
-10,785
chief product officer

1–10 of 50

Barry W. McCarthy
8660
Peloton Interactive, Inc. provides interactive fitness products in North America and internationally. It offers connected fitness products with touchscreen that streams live and on-demand classes under the Peloton Bike, Peloton Bike+, Peloton Tread, and Peloton Tread+ names. The company also provides connected fitness subscriptions for various household users, and access to various live and on-demand classes, as well as Peloton Digital app for connected fitness subscribers to provide access to its classes. As of June 30, 2021, it had approximately 5.9 million members. The company markets and sells its interactive fitness products directly through its retail showrooms and at onepeloton.com. Peloton Interactive, Inc. was founded in 2012 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

PTON Income Statement

2022-12-31
CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS AND COMPREHENSIVE LOSS - USD ($)
$ in Millions
3 Months Ended6 Months Ended
Dec. 31, 2022
Dec. 31, 2021
Dec. 31, 2022
Dec. 31, 2021
Total revenue$ 792.7$ 1,133.9$ 1,409.2$ 1,939.1
Cost of revenue557.6853.0957.01,395.1
Gross profit235.0281.0452.2544.0
Operating expenses:    
Sales and marketing217.1348.9355.8633.0
General and administrative192.6248.5386.1489.0
Research and development80.099.8168.1197.5
Impairment expense9.79.472.69.9
Restructuring expense49.00.0155.90.0
Supplier settlements17.90.019.10.0
Total operating expenses566.4706.61,157.61,329.4
Loss from operations(331.3)(425.7)(705.3)(785.4)
Other (expense) income, net:    
Interest expense(22.2)(8.8)(43.2)(17.4)
Interest income5.80.39.80.9
Foreign exchange gain (loss)11.8(1.7)(5.2)(7.6)
Other income (expense), net2.4(0.4)2.6(0.4)
Total other (expense), net(2.2)(10.6)(35.9)(24.6)
Loss before provision for income taxes(333.5)(436.3)(741.2)(809.9)
Income tax expense1.93.12.75.4
Net loss(335.4)(439.4)(743.9)(815.3)
Net loss attributable to Class A and Class B common stockholders(335.4)(439.4)(743.9)(815.3)
Net loss attributable to Class A and Class B common stockholders$ (335.4)$ (439.4)$ (743.9)$ (815.3)
Net loss per share attributable to common stockholders, basic (in dollars per share)$ (0.98)$ (1.39)$ (2.18)$ (2.64)
Net loss per share attributable to common stockholders, basic, diluted (in dollars per share)$ (0.98)$ (1.39)$ (2.18)$ (2.64)
Weighted-average Class A and Class B common shares outstanding, basic (in shares)341,930,937317,110,297340,516,100309,119,648
Weighted-average Class A and Class B common shares outstanding, diluted (in shares)341,930,937317,110,297340,516,100309,119,648
Other comprehensive income:    
Net unrealized losses on marketable securities$ 0.0$ (0.2)$ 0.0$ (0.4)
Change in foreign currency translation adjustment3.91.98.22.1
Derivative adjustments:    
Net unrealized loss on hedging derivatives0.0(0.5)0.0(1.5)
Reclassification for derivative adjustments included in Net loss0.10.00.60.0
Total other comprehensive income4.01.28.90.1
Comprehensive loss(331.4)(438.2)(735.1)(815.2)
Connected Fitness Products    
Total revenue381.4796.4585.61,297.4
Cost of revenue424.2745.0684.11,185.8
Subscription    
Total revenue411.3337.5823.6641.7
Cost of revenue$ 133.4$ 107.9$ 272.9$ 209.4

PTON Balance Sheet

2022-12-31
CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS - USD ($)
$ in Millions
Dec. 31, 2022
Jun. 30, 2022
Current Assets:  
Cash and cash equivalents$ 871.0$ 1,253.9
Accounts receivable, net125.183.6
Inventories, net790.61,104.5
Prepaid expenses and other current assets271.6192.5
Total current assets2,058.32,634.6
Property and equipment, net485.5610.9
Intangible assets, net33.341.3
Goodwill41.241.2
Restricted cash80.93.8
Operating lease right-of-use assets, net573.0662.5
Other assets29.034.3
Total assets3,301.14,028.5
Current Liabilities:  
Accounts payable and accrued expenses591.7797.4
Deferred revenue and customer deposits210.7201.1
Current portion of long-term debt and other bank borrowings7.57.5
Operating lease liabilities, current86.386.4
Other current liabilities7.013.2
Total current liabilities903.21,105.5
0% Convertible senior notes, net985.7864.0
Term loan, net690.4690.0
Operating lease liabilities, non-current647.2725.4
Other non-current liabilities44.150.7
Total liabilities3,270.63,435.6
Commitments and contingencies (Note 8)
Stockholders’ equity  
Common stock, $0.000025 par value; 2,500,000,000 and 2,500,000,000 Class A shares authorized, 324,531,352 and 308,241,938 shares issued and outstanding as of December 31, 2022 and June 30, 2022, respectively; 2,500,000,000 and 2,500,000,000 Class B shares authorized, 20,037,279 and 30,032,078 shares issued and outstanding as of December 31, 2022 and June 30, 2022, respectively.0.00.0
Additional paid-in capital4,423.44,291.3
Accumulated other comprehensive income21.112.2
Accumulated deficit(4,414.0)(3,710.6)
Total Stockholders’ equity30.5592.9
Total liabilities and stockholders' equity$ 3,301.1$ 4,028.5