Revolve Group LLC Stock Research

Market Summary

USD25.16-0.24

Delayed

-0.94%

RVLV Alerts

Big fall in earnings (Y/Y)

RVLV Stock Price

RVLV RSI Chart

RVLV Valuation

Market Cap

1.8B

Price/Earnings (Trailing)

31.43

Price/Sales (Trailing)

1.68

EV/EBITDA

19.78

Price/Free Cashflow

100.99

RVLV Price/Sales (Trailing)

RVLV Profitability

EBT Margin

6.96%

Return on Equity

15.46%

Return on Assets

10.13%

Free Cashflow Yield

0.99%

RVLV Fundamentals

RVLV Revenue

Revenue (TTM)

1.1B

Revenue Y/Y

8.07%

Revenue Q/Q

-3.56%

RVLV Earnings

Earnings (TTM)

58.7M

Earnings Y/Y

-73.22%

Earnings Q/Q

-34.37%

Price Action

52 Week Range

20.1759.00

(Low)(High)

Last 7 days

1.9%

Last 30 days

-1.2%

Last 90 days

7.7%

Trailing 12 Months

-55.2%

RVLV Financial Health

Current Ratio

2.86

RVLV Investor Care

Shares Dilution (1Y)

0.71%

Diluted EPS (TTM)

0.79

Peers (Alternatives to Revolve Group)

View All Peers In Detail

Name	Mkt Capsorted ascending	Revenue	Price %, 1M	Returns, 1Y	P/E	P/S	Rev 1-Yr	Inc 1-Yr
LARGE-CAP
AMZN	1.0T	514.0B	2.44%	-40.04%	-369.23	1.96	9.40%	-108.16%
EBAY	23.0B	9.8B	-10.85%	-25.12%	-18.12	2.35	-6.00%	-109.33%
CHWY	14.2B	9.8B	-16.71%	-26.82%	-693.58	1.45	14.45%	-288.94%
ETSY	13.4B	2.6B	-16.82%	-24.20%	-19.25	5.21	11.73%	-479.56%
MID-CAP
W	3.6B	12.2B	-31.26%	-71.79%	-2.73	0.3	-10.87%	-916.03%
SMALL-CAP
RVLV	1.8B	1.1B	-1.22%	-55.16%	31.43	1.68	23.56%	-41.21%
OSTK	875.6M	1.9B	-5.11%	-60.51%	-24.85	0.45	-30.01%	-109.05%
SFIX	603.4M	1.8B	11.88%	-50.14%	-2.04	0.33	-16.43%	-882.41%
PETS	349.0M	260.5M	-15.68%	-36.98%	30.61	1.34	-6.68%	-47.81%
LE	284.1M	1.6B	4.24%	-53.05%	-133.9	0.18	-2.37%	-104.59%
REAL	114.9M	603.5M	-15.94%	-85.94%	-0.59	0.19	29.04%	16.80%
APRN	26.1M	458.7M	-20.13%	-85.75%	-0.23	0.06	-4.21%	-54.13%
IMBI	13.6M	453.2M	-38.97%	-92.06%	-0.31	0.03	-5.99%	-122.89%

Financials for Revolve Group

* denotes actual numbers (not divided by Millions)
Income Statement (Last 12 Months)					(In Millions)
Description	(%) Q/Q	2022Q4	2022Q3	2022Q2	2022Q1	2021Q4
Revenue	1.8%	1,101	1,082	1,057	996	891
Gross Profit	0.3%	592	590	583	548	490
Operating Expenses	4.7%	519	496	484	435	385
S&GA Expenses	4.0%	190	183	175	155	134
EBITDA	-20.7%	81.00	103	106	117	109
EBITDA Margin	-22.0%	0.07*	0.09*	0.10*	0.12*	0.12*
Earnings Before Taxes	-21.8%	77.00	98.00	101	113	105
EBT Margin	-23.2%	0.07*	0.09*	0.10*	0.11*	0.12*
Net Income	-26.8%	59.00	80.00	85.00	100	100
Net Income Margin	-28.1%	0.05*	0.07*	0.08*	0.10*	0.11*
Free Cahsflow	-23.9%	18.00	24.00	17.00	80.00	60.00

* denotes actual numbers (not divided by Millions)
Balance Sheet					(In Millions)
Description	(%) Q/Q	2022Q4	2022Q3	2022Q2	2022Q1	2021Q4
Assets	-1.3%	579	587	569	571	480
Current Assets	-1.7%	518	527	518	520	440
Cash Equivalents	-3.8%	235	244	238	271	218
Inventory	0.9%	215	213	209	179	171
Net PPE	-2.4%	9.00	9.00	9.00	9.00	9.00
Goodwill	-2.1%	2.00	2.00	2.00	2.00	2.00
Liabilities	-9.0%	200	219	212	230	163
Current Liabilities	-9.2%	181	199	200	217	160
Shareholder's Equity	3.3%	380	367	356	340	317
Retained Earnings	4.0%	269	259	249	235	213
Additional Paid-In Capital	1.7%	110	108	107	105	104
Accumulated Depreciation	2.4%	13.00	13.00	12.00	10.00	9.00
Shares Outstanding	0.0%	73.00	73.00	73.00	-	-

Cashflow (Last 12 Months)					(In Thousands)
Description	(%) Q/Q	2022Q4	2022Q3	2022Q2	2022Q1	2021Q4
Cashflow From Operations	-17.3%	23,436	28,353	20,202	82,901	62,313
Share Based Compensation	6.0%	5,862	5,532	5,344	5,301	4,786
Cashflow From Investing	-19.3%	-5,167	-4,331	-3,458	-2,529	-2,195
Cashflow From Financing	-76.7%	887	3,814	4,917	8,575	12,766

Risks for RVLV

What is the probability of a big loss on RVLV?

95.5%

Probability that Revolve Group stock will be more than 20% underwater in next one year

75%

Probability that Revolve Group stock will be more than 30% underwater in next one year.

72.5%

Probability that Revolve Group stock will be more than 40% underwater in next one year.

*Calculated based on probability distribution of losses observed in actual data in the last 5 years.

How does RVLV drawdown profile look like?

Y-axis is the maximum loss one would have experienced if Revolve Group was unfortunately bought at previous high price.

Drawdowns

Returns for RVLV

Cumulative Returns on RVLV

43.2%

3-Year Cumulative Returns

Which funds bought or sold RVLV recently?

View All Details

Datesorted ascending	Fund Name	Type	% Chg	$ Change	$ Held	% Portfolio
2023-03-10	VICTORY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT INC	new	-	302,246	302,246	-%
2023-03-06	Rockefeller Capital Management L.P.	unchanged	-	6,000	224,000	-%
2023-02-28	Voya Investment Management LLC	added	1.28	175,827	4,624,830	0.01%
2023-02-27	Parallax Volatility Advisers, L.P.	reduced	-26.07	-67,109	210,891	-%
2023-02-24	SRS Capital Advisors, Inc.	new	-	223	223	-%
2023-02-21	MACQUARIE GROUP LTD	sold off	-100	-37,000	-	-%
2023-02-17	EQUITABLE TRUST CO	reduced	-26.9	-200,821	603,179	0.05%
2023-02-16	HARBOUR INVESTMENTS, INC.	unchanged	-	-774	2,226	-%
2023-02-16	MAVERICK CAPITAL LTD	new	-	762,049	762,049	0.02%
2023-02-15	JANE STREET GROUP, LLC	reduced	-89.34	-6,187,000	760,001	-%

Latest Funds Activity

Are funds buying RVLV calls or puts?

Calls

Puts

Are funds bullish or bearish(Calls - Puts)?

Net Call Options

No. of funds that own RVLV

No. of Funds

RVLV Alerts

Big fall in earnings (Y/Y)

Revolve Group News

Schedule 13G FIlings of Revolve Group

Date Filed	Name of Filer	Percent of Class	No. of Shares	Form Type
Feb 14, 2023	kayne anderson rudnick investment management llc	16.03%	6,530,059	SC 13G/A
Feb 09, 2023	fmr llc	-	0	SC 13G/A
Feb 09, 2023	william blair investment management, llc	11.7%	4,770,426	SC 13G/A
Feb 09, 2023	vanguard group inc	9.26%	3,774,279	SC 13G/A
Feb 01, 2023	blackrock inc.	6.7%	2,716,098	SC 13G/A
Feb 14, 2022	point72 asset management, l.p.	0%	0	SC 13G
Feb 09, 2022	fmr llc	-	0	SC 13G/A
Feb 04, 2022	mmmk development, inc.	45.5%	32,921,573	SC 13G/A
Feb 04, 2022	blackrock inc.	6.5%	2,572,533	SC 13G
Jul 12, 2021	vanguard group inc	10.10%	3,613,350	SC 13G/A

RVLV Fair Value

Revolve Group fair value in different scenarios

The table shows the Fair Value estimates for Revolve Group for various scenarios. Disclaimer: These are just estimations from a model. None of the models are good at predicting the future. Please dont buy or sell stocks based on these outputs.

Fair Value	Very Pessimistic	Pessimistic	Base Case	Optimistic	Very Optimistic
Very Low Inflation	18.43 -26.75%	24.30 -3.42%	31.27 24.28%	42.47 68.80%	55.70 121.38%
Current Inflation	24.27 -3.54%	30.67 21.90%	54.14 115.18%	84.85 237.24%	102.97 309.26%
Very High Inflation	15.45 -38.59%	19.58 -22.18%	24.30 -3.42%	32.22 28.06%	41.44 64.71%

Historical Revolve Group Fair Value Estimates

Very Pessimistic Case

Pessimistic Case

Fair Value

Optimistic Case

Very Optimistic Case

Closing Stock Price

Recent SEC filings of Revolve Group

View All Filings

Date Filed	Form Type	Document
Mar 03, 2023	4	Insider Trading
Feb 23, 2023	S-8	Employee Benefits Plan
Feb 23, 2023	8-K	Current Report
Feb 23, 2023	10-K	Annual Report
Feb 14, 2023	SC 13G/A	Major Ownership Report
Feb 10, 2023	SC 13G/A	Major Ownership Report
Feb 09, 2023	SC 13G/A	Major Ownership Report
Feb 09, 2023	SC 13G/A	Major Ownership Report
Feb 09, 2023	SC 13G/A	Major Ownership Report
Feb 01, 2023	SC 13G/A	Major Ownership Report

Latest Insider Trading transactions for RVLV

Filter Transactions

Datesorted ascending	Name	Buy/Sell	$ Value	Avg. Price	# Shares	Title
2023-03-01	Timmermans Jesse	sold (taxes)	-7,241	26.82	-270	chief financial officer
2023-03-01	Timmermans Jesse	acquired	-	-	613	chief financial officer
2022-06-10	COX MELANIE	acquired	-	-	3,340	-
2022-06-10	Ruxandra Oana	acquired	-	-	3,340	-
2022-06-10	STOLZMAN MARC D	acquired	-	-	3,340	-
2022-04-07	Mente Michael	acquired	-	-	66,211	co-chief executive officer
2022-04-07	MMMK Development, Inc.	sold	-3,496,520	52.8088	-66,211	-
2022-04-07	Mente Michael	sold	-3,496,520	52.8088	-66,211	co-chief executive officer
2022-04-07	MMMK Development, Inc.	acquired	-	-	66,211	-
2022-04-07	Karanikolas Michael	sold	-3,496,520	52.8088	-66,211	co-chief executive officer

About Revolve Group

Michael Mente

N/A

1080

Revolve Group, Inc. operates as an online fashion retailer for consumers in the United States and internationally. The company operates in two segments, REVOLVE and FWRD. It operates a platform that connects consumers and global fashion influencers, as well as emerging, established, and owned brands. The company offers women's apparel, footwear, accessories, and beauty styles under established and emerging brands, as well as owned brands. It also provides various luxury brands. The company was formerly known as Advance Holdings, LLC and changed its name to Revolve Group, Inc. in October 2018. Revolve Group, Inc. was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Cerritos, California.

RVLV Income Statement

2022-12-31

Consolidated Statements of Income - USD ($) shares in Thousands, $ in Thousands	12 Months Ended
	Dec. 31, 2022	Dec. 31, 2021	Dec. 31, 2020
Income Statement [Abstract]
Net sales	$ 1,101,416	$ 891,390	$ 580,649
Cost of sales	509,093	401,567	275,369
Gross profit	592,323	489,823	305,280
Operating expenses:
Fulfillment	31,804	21,322	16,471
Selling and distribution	190,419	133,506	80,496
Marketing	181,648	140,398	76,371
General and administrative	115,312	89,306	70,876
Total operating expenses	519,183	384,532	244,214
Income from operations	73,140	105,291	61,066
Other (income) expense, net	(3,476)	563	994
Income before income taxes	76,616	104,728	60,072
Provision for income taxes	17,919	4,888	3,282
Net income	$ 58,697	$ 99,840	$ 56,790
Earnings (net loss) per share of Class A and Class B common stock:
Basic	$ 0.80	$ 1.38	$ 0.81
Diluted	$ 0.79	$ 1.34	$ 0.79
Weighted average number of shares of Class A and Class B common stock outstanding:
Basic	73,314	72,513	19,861
Diluted	74,520	74,547	72,058

RVLV Balance Sheet

2022-12-31

Consolidated Balance Sheets - USD ($) $ in Thousands	Dec. 31, 2022	Dec. 31, 2021
Current assets:
Cash and cash equivalents	$ 234,724	$ 218,455
Accounts receivable, net	5,421	4,639
Inventory	215,224	171,259
Income taxes receivable	2,974	3,375
Prepaid expenses and other current assets	59,874	42,114
Total current assets	518,217	439,842
Property and equipment (net of accumulated depreciation of $13,081 and $9,347 as of December 31, 2022 and December 31, 2021, respectively)	8,934	8,946
Right-of-use lease assets	22,964	6,566
Intangible assets, net	1,600	1,212
Goodwill	2,042	2,042
Other assets	807	2,746
Deferred income taxes, net	24,754	19,059
Total assets	579,318	480,413
Current liabilities:
Accounts payable	50,789	54,345
Income taxes payable	229
Accrued expenses	38,266	33,899
Returns reserve	63,381	49,296
Current lease liabilities	5,844	3,766
Other current liabilities	22,577	18,916
Total current liabilities	181,086	160,222
Non-current lease liabilities	18,659	3,177
Total liabilities	199,745	163,399
Stockholders' equity:
Additional paid-in capital	110,338	103,590
Retained earnings	269,161	213,351
Total stockholders' equity	379,573	317,014
Total liabilities and stockholders’ equity	579,318	480,413
Common Class A
Stockholders' equity:
Common stock value	41	40
Common Class B
Stockholders' equity:
Common stock value	$ 33	$ 33