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Tractor Supply Co Stock Research

TSCO

230.40USD-0.04(-0.02%)Market Closed

Market Summary

USD230.40-0.04
Market Closed
-0.02%

TSCO Stock Price

TSCO RSI Chart

TSCO Valuation

Market Cap

25.4B

Price/Earnings (Trailing)

23.34

Price/Sales (Trailing)

1.79

EV/EBITDA

14.18

Price/Free Cashflow

43.53

TSCO Price/Sales (Trailing)

TSCO Profitability

EBT Margin

9.89%

Return on Equity

53.31%

Return on Assets

12.82%

Free Cashflow Yield

2.3%

TSCO Fundamentals

TSCO Revenue

Revenue (TTM)

14.2B

Revenue Y/Y

20.7%

Revenue Q/Q

22.49%

TSCO Earnings

Earnings (TTM)

1.1B

Earnings Y/Y

22.38%

Earnings Q/Q

15.69%

Price Action

52 Week Range

165.03239.66
(Low)(High)

Last 7 days

0.7%

Last 30 days

-1.7%

Last 90 days

1.5%

Trailing 12 Months

0.2%

TSCO Financial Health

Current Ratio

1.33

Debt/Equity

0.26

Debt/Cashflow

1.75

TSCO Investor Care

Dividend Yield

1.6%

Dividend/Share (TTM)

3.68

Buy Backs (1Y)

2.54%

Diluted EPS (TTM)

9.71

Peers (Alternatives to Tractor Supply)

View All Peers In Detail
NameMkt Capsorted ascendingRevenuePrice %, 1MReturns, 1YP/EP/SRev 1-YrInc 1-Yr
LARGE-CAP
287.9B
157.4B
-3.58% -8.46%
16.83
1.83
4.13% 4.09%
117.3B
96.0B
-6.02% -11.25%
17.54
1.22
0.77% -18.59%
25.4B
14.2B
-1.70% 0.15%
23.34
1.79
11.57% 9.19%
10.7B
4.3B
4.50% 0.41%
38.26
2.58
24.20% 5.28%
9.4B
31.6B
-11.32% -42.66%
16.34
0.3
7.73% -52.09%
MID-CAP
9.5B
27.8B
-5.58% 34.25%
6.91
0.34
8.84% 16.18%
6.2B
27.0B
-6.66% 15.71%
4.51
0.23
4.41% 0.32%
6.0B
28.2B
-14.96% -33.30%
4.79
0.21
23.46% 18.01%
5.8B
23.4B
-5.74% 23.67%
8.65
0.25
35.05% 69.54%
SMALL-CAP
1.3B
10.8B
2.03% 86.36%
7.92
0.12
47.82% 180.33%
831.3M
7.0B
-14.17% -33.33%
6.07
0.12
0.77% -50.82%
480.8M
1.3B
-8.64% -14.25%
7.72
0.36
25.02% -44.81%
203.3M
314.3M
-20.10% -67.67%
-1.33
0.65
-20.20% -930.89%
100.7M
1.1B
-31.84% -77.73%
-8.34
0.09
-3.62% -128.97%
92.2M
-
64.08% -52.53%
1.2K
0.29
- -

Financials for Tractor Supply

Income Statement (Last 12 Months)
(In Millions)
* denotes actual numbers (not divided by Millions)
Description(%) Q/Q2022Q42022Q32022Q22022Q12021Q4
Revenue5.1%14,20513,51813,26512,96312,731
Gross Profit5.1%4,9724,7294,6494,5504,477
  S&GA Expenses5.2%3,1943,0372,9832,9422,900
EBITDA5.1%1,7781,6921,6661,608-
EBITDA Margin0.0%0.13*0.13*0.13*0.12*-
Earnings Before Taxes4.7%1,4041,3421,3331,2941,280
EBT Margin-0.4%0.10*0.10*0.10*0.10*-
Interest Expenses13.7%31.0027.0027.0026.0027.00
Net Income4.8%1,0891,0391,0291,003997
Net Income Margin-0.3%0.08*0.08*0.08*0.08*-
Free Cahsflow197.8%584196278381-
Balance Sheet
(In Millions)
* denotes actual numbers (not divided by Millions)
Description(%) Q/Q2022Q42022Q32022Q22022Q12021Q4
Assets7.3%8,4907,9127,8697,6877,767
  Current Assets1.5%3,1583,1103,2303,1683,250
    Cash Equivalents-4.1%203211531405878
  Inventory1.2%2,7102,6782,4852,5682,191
  Net PPE13.0%2,0841,8431,7451,6561,618
Liabilities8.0%6,4485,9715,9555,8975,765
  Current Liabilities13.4%2,3762,0952,2422,2002,065
  Long Term Debt239.8%510150---
    LT Debt, Non Current8.0%1,1641,078987987986
Shareholder's Equity5.2%2,0421,9411,9141,7902,003
  Retained Earnings3.1%5,6245,4555,3235,0294,945
  Additional Paid-In Capital2.0%1,2611,2361,2211,2041,211
Shares Outstanding-0.3%110111111112113
Cashflow (Last 12 Months)
(In Millions)
Description(%) Q/Q2022Q42022Q32022Q22022Q12021Q4
Cashflow From Operations51.9%1,3578939551,0211,139
  Share Based Compensation6.7%54.0050.0049.0048.0048.00
Cashflow From Investing-56.9%-1,093-697-676-639-627
Cashflow From Financing14.4%-938-1,096-1,159-1,126-975
  Dividend Payments11.6%410367325282239
  Buy Backs-13.5%700809827842799

Risks for TSCO

What is the probability of a big loss on TSCO?

61.1%


Probability that Tractor Supply stock will be more than 20% underwater in next one year

6.9%


Probability that Tractor Supply stock will be more than 30% underwater in next one year.

0%


Probability that Tractor Supply stock will be more than 40% underwater in next one year.
*Calculated based on probability distribution of losses observed in actual data in the last 5 years.

How does TSCO drawdown profile look like?

Y-axis is the maximum loss one would have experienced if Tractor Supply was unfortunately bought at previous high price.

Drawdowns

Returns for TSCO

Cumulative Returns on TSCO

17.5%


10-Year Cumulative Returns

15.8%


7-Year Cumulative Returns

31.3%


5-Year Cumulative Returns

42.3%


3-Year Cumulative Returns

What are the long-term rolling returns for TSCO?

FIve years rolling returns for Tractor Supply.

Annualized Returns

Which funds bought or sold TSCO recently?

View All Details
Datesorted ascendingFund NameType% Chg$ Change$ Held% Portfolio
2023-03-28
Acrisure Capital Management, LLC
new
-
298,085
298,085
0.33%
2023-03-27
Neo Ivy Capital Management
sold off
-100
-161,000
-
-%
2023-03-23
MetLife Investment Management, LLC
reduced
-2.57
1,136,230
7,478,450
0.06%
2023-03-23
ETF MANAGERS GROUP, LLC
added
4.06
143,008
692,008
0.03%
2023-03-17
American Portfolios Advisors
reduced
-1.14
-30,165
548,316
0.02%
2023-03-15
B. Riley Wealth Advisors, Inc.
added
32.02
859,817
2,298,820
0.06%
2023-03-10
MATHER GROUP, LLC.
added
4.9
176,104
829,104
0.02%
2023-03-10
VICTORY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT INC
reduced
-28.33
-14,633,500
95,760,500
0.10%
2023-03-10
BAILLIE GIFFORD & CO
unchanged
-
5,870
34,870
-%
2023-03-08
SHEETS SMITH WEALTH MANAGEMENT
reduced
-4.14
1,553,300
11,250,300
1.76%

1–10 of 48

Latest Funds Activity

Are funds buying TSCO calls or puts?
Calls
Puts
Are funds bullish or bearish(Calls - Puts)?
Net Call Options
No. of funds that own TSCO
No. of Funds

Tractor Supply News

MarketBeat

Tractor Supply (NASDAQ:TSCO) Shares Sold by Silvant Capital ....

MarketBeat,
6 hours ago

The Motley Fool

Marketscreener.com

The Smart Investor

Schedule 13G FIlings of Tractor Supply

Date FiledName of FilerPercent of ClassNo. of SharesForm Type
Feb 09, 2023
vanguard group inc
11.76%
12,989,113
SC 13G/A
Jan 25, 2023
blackrock inc.
9.1%
10,031,508
SC 13G/A
May 09, 2022
blackrock inc.
10.2%
11,441,620
SC 13G
Feb 10, 2022
vanguard group inc
11.23%
12,786,869
SC 13G/A
Feb 01, 2022
blackrock inc.
9.7%
11,010,557
SC 13G/A
Feb 10, 2021
vanguard group inc
10.78%
12,561,933
SC 13G/A
Feb 01, 2021
blackrock inc.
9.4%
11,001,045
SC 13G/A
Feb 12, 2020
vanguard group inc
10.83%
12,830,889
SC 13G/A
Feb 06, 2020
blackrock inc.
8.3%
9,814,657
SC 13G/A

TSCO Fair Value

Tractor Supply fair value in different scenarios

The table shows the Fair Value estimates for Tractor Supply for various scenarios. Disclaimer: These are just estimations from a model. None of the models are good at predicting the future. Please dont buy or sell stocks based on these outputs.
Fair ValueVery PessimisticPessimisticBase CaseOptimisticVery Optimistic
Very Low Inflation

97.94

-57.49%

120.32

-47.78%

164.59

-28.56%

226.47

-1.71%

280.16

21.60%
Current Inflation

90.16

-60.87%

109.28

-52.57%

146.13

-36.58%

198.11

-14.01%

242.98

5.46%
Very High Inflation

80.52

-65.05%

95.85

-58.40%

124.35

-46.03%

165.22

-28.29%

200.26

-13.08%

Historical Tractor Supply Fair Value Estimates


Very Pessimistic Case
Pessimistic Case
Fair Value
Optimistic Case
Very Optimistic Case
Closing Stock Price

Recent SEC filings of Tractor Supply

View All Filings
Date Filed Form Type Document
Mar 28, 2023
ARS
ARS
Mar 28, 2023
DEF 14A
DEF 14A
Mar 28, 2023
DEFA14A
DEFA14A
Mar 22, 2023
5
Insider Trading
Feb 23, 2023
10-K
Annual Report
Feb 17, 2023
4
Insider Trading
Feb 17, 2023
4
Insider Trading
Feb 15, 2023
4
Insider Trading
Feb 15, 2023
4
Insider Trading
Feb 14, 2023
4
Insider Trading

Latest Insider Trading transactions for TSCO

Filter Transactions
Datesorted ascendingNameBuy/Sell$ ValueAvg. Price# SharesTitle
2023-02-16
Kersey Melissa
sold
-403,867
237
-1,700
evp chief hr officer
2023-02-15
Ellison Noni L
sold
-555,811
239
-2,325
svp general counsel
2023-02-14
Rubin Matthew L.
acquired
166,232
143
1,161
svp petsense gm
2023-02-14
Rubin Matthew L.
sold
-474,255
237
-2,001
svp petsense gm
2023-02-13
Lawton III Harry A
gifted
-
-
-1,070
president & ceo
2023-02-10
Yankee Colin
sold
-854,574
234
-3,650
evp supply chain
2023-02-09
Mills Robert D
sold (taxes)
-39,202
231
-169
evp chief technology officer
2023-02-09
Barton Kurt D
acquired
-
-
1,669
evp chief financial officer
2023-02-09
Rubin Matthew L.
sold (taxes)
-9,510
231
-41.00
svp petsense gm
2023-02-09
Lawton III Harry A
sold
-4,639,690
231
-20,067
president & ceo

1–10 of 50

Harry A. Lawton
46000
Tractor Supply Company operates as a rural lifestyle retailer in the United States. The company offers a selection of merchandise, including equine, livestock, pet, and small animal products necessary for their health, care, growth, and containment; hardware, truck, towing, and tool products; seasonal products, such as heating products, lawn and garden items, power equipment, gifts, and toys; work/recreational clothing and footwear; and maintenance products for agricultural and rural use. It provides its products under the 4health, Producer's Pride, American Farmworks, Red Shed, Bit & Bridle, Redstone, Blue Mountain, Retriever, C.E. Schmidt, Ridgecut, Countyline, Royal Wing, Dumor, Strive, Groundwork, Traveller, Huskee, Treeline, JobSmart, TSC Tractor Supply Co, Paws & Claws, and Untamed brands. As of December 25, 2021, it operated 2,003 Tractor Supply stores in 49 states, as well as 177 Petsense stores in 23 states. The company operates its retail stores under the Tractor Supply Company, Del's Feed & Farm Supply, and Petsense names. It also operates websites under the TractorSupply.com and Petsense.com names. The company sells its products to recreational farmers, ranchers, and others. The company was founded in 1938 and is based in Brentwood, Tennessee.

TSCO Income Statement

2022-12-31
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF INCOME - USD ($)
shares in Thousands
3 Months Ended12 Months Ended
Dec. 26, 2020
Dec. 31, 2022
Dec. 25, 2021
Dec. 26, 2020
Income Statement [Abstract]    
Net Sales$ 10,620,352,000$ 14,204,717,000$ 12,731,105,000 
Cost of Merchandise Sold 9,232,513,0008,253,952,000$ 6,858,803,000
Gross profit 4,972,204,0004,477,153,0003,761,549,000
Selling, general and administrative expenses 3,194,199,0002,900,297,0002,478,524,000
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization 343,062,000270,158,000217,124,000
Goodwill and Intangible Asset Impairment 0068,973,000
Operating income 1,434,943,0001,306,698,000996,928,000
Interest expense, net 30,633,00026,610,00028,781,000
Income before income taxes 1,404,310,0001,280,088,000968,147,000
Income tax expense 315,598,000282,974,000219,189,000
Net income $ 1,088,712,000$ 997,114,000$ 748,958,000
Net income per share – basic $ 9.78$ 8.69$ 6.44
Net income per share – diluted $ 9.71$ 8.61$ 6.38
Weighted average shares outstanding    
Basic 111,336114,794116,370
Diluted 112,149115,824117,436
Dividends declared per common share outstanding $ 3.68$ 2.08$ 1.50

TSCO Balance Sheet

2022-12-31
CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS - USD ($)
$ in Thousands
Dec. 31, 2022
Dec. 25, 2021
Current assets:  
Cash and cash equivalents$ 202,502$ 878,030
Inventories2,709,5972,191,192
Prepaid expenses and other current assets245,676164,118
Income taxes receivable017,100
Total current assets3,157,7753,250,440
Property and equipment, net2,083,6161,617,806
Operating Lease, Right-of-Use Asset2,953,8012,785,858
Goodwill and other intangible assets                                                                             253,26255,520
Deferred Tax Assets, Deferred Income02,437
Other assets41,53655,406
Total assets8,489,9907,767,467
Current liabilities:  
Accounts payable1,398,2881,155,630
Accrued employee compensation120,302109,618
Other accrued expenses498,575474,412
Current portion of long-term debt00
Finance Lease, Liability, Current3,1793,897
Operating Lease, Liability, Current346,397321,285
Income taxes payable9,4710
Total current liabilities2,376,2122,064,842
Long-term debt1,164,056986,382
Finance Lease, Liability, Noncurrent34,65132,848
Operating Lease, Liability, Noncurrent2,721,8772,574,882
Deferred Income Tax Liabilities, Net30,7750
Other long-term liabilities120,003105,848
Total liabilities6,447,5745,764,802
Stockholders' equity:  
Preferred stock00
Common stock1,4151,411
Additional paid-in capital1,261,2831,210,512
Treasury stock(4,855,909)(4,155,846)
Ending fiscal year AOCI balance11,2751,345
Retained earnings5,624,3524,945,243
Total stockholders' equity2,042,4162,002,665
Total liabilities and stockholders' equity$ 8,489,990$ 7,767,467