Tesla, Inc. Stock Research

Market Summary

USD184.13+3.68

Market Closed

2.04%

TSLA Alerts

3 major insider sales recently.
Big jump in Revenue (Y/Y)
Big jump in Earnings (Y/Y)

TSLA Stock Price

TSLA RSI Chart

TSLA Valuation

Market Cap

582.6B

Price/Earnings (Trailing)

46.4

Price/Sales (Trailing)

7.15

EV/EBITDA

40.71

Price/Free Cashflow

TSLA Price/Sales (Trailing)

TSLA Profitability

Operating Margin

25.60%

EBT Margin

16.84%

Return on Equity

28.09%

Return on Assets

15.25%

Free Cashflow Yield

1.3%

TSLA Fundamentals

TSLA Revenue

Revenue (TTM)

81.5B

Revenue Y/Y

37.24%

Revenue Q/Q

13.35%

TSLA Earnings

Earnings (TTM)

12.6B

Earnings Y/Y

58.85%

Earnings Q/Q

12%

Price Action

52 Week Range

101.81384.29

(Low)(High)

Last 7 days

-0.8%

Last 30 days

-7.3%

Last 90 days

14.5%

Trailing 12 Months

-32.5%

TSLA Financial Health

Current Ratio

1.53

Debt/Equity

0.04

Debt/Cashflow

11.31

TSLA Investor Care

Shares Dilution (1Y)

2.06%

Diluted EPS (TTM)

3.62

Peers (Alternatives to Tesla)

View All Peers In Detail

Name	Mkt Capsorted ascending	Revenue	Price %, 1M	Returns, 1Y	P/E	P/S	Rev 1-Yr	Inc 1-Yr
LARGE-CAP
TSLA	582.6B	81.5B	-7.29%	-32.49%	46.4	7.15	51.35%	127.50%
GM	50.1B	156.7B	-18.30%	-18.15%	5.04	0.32	23.41%	-0.85%
F	47.5B	158.1B	-10.54%	-25.09%	-22.09	0.3	15.93%	-112.02%
APTV	30.4B	17.5B	-3.57%	0.64%	51.17	1.74	11.98%	0.68%
BWA	11.0B	15.8B	-7.92%	26.25%	11.64	0.7	6.49%	75.79%
MID-CAP
HOG	6.3B	5.8B	-19.06%	3.64%	10.14	1.18	7.85%	14.06%
GNTX	6.3B	1.9B	-8.27%	-5.96%	19.71	3.27	10.85%	-11.65%
THO	4.3B	13.9B	-17.49%	-3.34%	5.46	0.31	-6.39%	-14.11%
SMALL-CAP
WGO	1.7B	4.8B	-16.12%	-3.83%	4.97	0.37	19.08%	8.38%
TEN	1.7B	18.6B	8.17%	58.15%	-7.03	0.09	1.85%	-200.42%
AXL	891.6M	5.8B	-18.94%	-4.84%	13.87	0.15	12.52%	989.83%
SRI	486.9M	899.9M	-26.03%	-3.76%	-23.81	0.54	16.80%	-255.49%
WKHS	248.4M	5.0M	-23.12%	-52.63%	-2.12	49.45	105.05%	70.78%
CPS	238.7M	2.5B	-24.96%	46.14%	-1.11	0.09	8.38%	33.28%
FUV	3.4M	5.0M	-31.86%	-77.58%	-0.05	0.68	17.40%	-129.43%

Financials for Tesla

* denotes actual numbers (not divided by Millions)
Income Statement (Last 12 Months)					(In Millions)
Description	(%) Q/Q	2022Q4	2022Q3	2022Q2	2022Q1	2021Q4
Revenue	8.8%	81,462	74,863	67,166	62,190	53,823
Cost Of Revenue	10.3%	60,609	54,940	48,965	45,339	40,217
Gross Profit	4.7%	20,853	19,923	18,201	16,851	13,606
Operating Expenses	-4.7%	7,197	7,555	7,517	7,319	7,083
S&GA Expenses	-10.5%	3,946	4,408	4,441	4,453	4,517
R&D Expenses	2.3%	3,075	3,005	2,883	2,792	2,593
EBITDA	10.4%	13,910	12,600	10,919	11,806	-
EBITDA Margin	1.5%	0.17*	0.17*	0.16*	0.19*	-
Earnings Before Taxes	10.9%	13,719	12,371	10,617	9,436	6,343
EBT Margin	1.9%	0.17*	0.17*	0.16*	0.15*	-
Interest Expenses	-16.6%	191	229	302	333	371
Net Income	12.2%	12,556	11,190	9,516	8,399	5,519
Net Income Margin	3.1%	0.15*	0.15*	0.14*	0.14*	-
Free Cahsflow	-15.2%	7,566	8,921	6,952	6,950	-

Balance Sheet					(In Millions)
Description	(%) Q/Q	2022Q4	2022Q3	2022Q2	2022Q1	2021Q4
Assets	10.6%	82,338	74,426	68,513	66,038	62,131
Current Assets	13.7%	40,917	35,990	31,222	29,050	27,100
Cash Equivalents	-16.8%	16,253	19,532	18,324	17,505	17,576
Inventory	24.3%	12,839	10,327	8,108	6,691	5,757
Net PPE	7.4%	23,548	21,926	21,093	20,027	18,884
Goodwill	1.6%	194	191	196	200	200
Liabilities	9.4%	36,440	33,302	30,855	30,632	30,548
Current Liabilities	8.5%	26,709	24,611	21,821	21,455	19,705
Shareholder's Equity	12.2%	44,704	39,851	37,237	34,947	30,189
Retained Earnings	40.1%	12,885	9,198	5,908	3,649	329
Additional Paid-In Capital	1.9%	32,177	31,592	30,944	30,485	29,803
Accumulated Depreciation	6.9%	8,321	7,787	7,266	6,731	-
Shares Outstanding	0.2%	3,164	3,158	3,123	3,108	3,100
Minority Interest	-7.9%	785	852	861	862	826

Cashflow (Last 12 Months)					(In Millions)
Description	(%) Q/Q	2022Q4	2022Q3	2022Q2	2022Q1	2021Q4
Cashflow From Operations	-8.2%	14,724	16,031	14,078	13,851	11,497
Share Based Compensation	-8.2%	1,560	1,699	1,812	1,925	2,121
Cashflow From Investing	-54.3%	-11,973	-7,758	-6,822	-7,453	-7,868
Cashflow From Financing	17.8%	-3,527	-4,289	-4,958	-6,101	-5,203

Risks for TSLA

What is the probability of a big loss on TSLA?

100%

Probability that Tesla stock will be more than 20% underwater in next one year

83.1%

Probability that Tesla stock will be more than 30% underwater in next one year.

49.6%

Probability that Tesla stock will be more than 40% underwater in next one year.

*Calculated based on probability distribution of losses observed in actual data in the last 5 years.

How does TSLA drawdown profile look like?

Y-axis is the maximum loss one would have experienced if Tesla was unfortunately bought at previous high price.

Drawdowns

Returns for TSLA

Cumulative Returns on TSLA

54.3%

10-Year Cumulative Returns

43.0%

7-Year Cumulative Returns

53.1%

5-Year Cumulative Returns

70.5%

3-Year Cumulative Returns

What are the long-term rolling returns for TSLA?

FIve years rolling returns for Tesla.

Annualized Returns

Which funds bought or sold TSLA recently?

View All Details

Datesorted ascending	Fund Name	Type	% Chg	$ Change	$ Held	% Portfolio
2023-03-15	B. Riley Wealth Advisors, Inc.	reduced	-6.46	-17,779,900	13,654,100	0.38%
2023-03-13	Claro Advisors LLC	added	201	-961,247	1,182,750	0.39%
2023-03-10	BAILLIE GIFFORD & CO	reduced	-3.81	-4,091,340,000	3,302,990,000	3.44%
2023-03-10	VICTORY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT INC	reduced	-2.77	-304,493,000	250,694,000	0.27%
2023-03-10	MATHER GROUP, LLC.	reduced	-22.44	-2,643,670	1,488,330	0.03%
2023-03-10	Financial Alternatives, Inc	new	-	370,279	370,279	0.37%
2023-03-08	SHEETS SMITH WEALTH MANAGEMENT	sold off	-100	-423,000	-	-%
2023-03-08	Capital Asset Advisory Services LLC	added	27.05	-904,272	1,329,730	0.11%
2023-03-06	Aldebaran Financial Inc.	added	3.45	-274,861	295,139	0.32%
2023-03-06	NORTH STAR ASSET MANAGEMENT INC	reduced	-14.45	-2,141,360	1,411,640	0.09%

Latest Funds Activity

Are funds buying TSLA calls or puts?

Calls

Puts

Are funds bullish or bearish(Calls - Puts)?

Net Call Options

No. of funds that own TSLA

No. of Funds

Tesla News

Schedule 13G FIlings of Tesla

Date Filed	Name of Filer	Percent of Class	No. of Shares	Form Type
Mar 13, 2023	musk elon	20.6%	715,022,706	SC 13G/A
Feb 14, 2023	musk elon	20.6%	716,022,963	SC 13G/A
Feb 09, 2023	vanguard group inc	6.90%	217,857,401	SC 13G/A
Feb 01, 2023	blackrock inc.	5.7%	178,428,109	SC 13G/A
Mar 11, 2022	blackrock inc.	5.3%	52,918,395	SC 13G/A
Feb 15, 2022	musk elon	21.2%	231,715,206	SC 13G/A
Feb 14, 2022	susquehanna securities, llc	3.7%	37,615,431	SC 13G/A
Feb 08, 2022	blackrock inc.	5.3%	52,918,395	SC 13G
Feb 16, 2021	capital world investors	4.9%	46,915,078	SC 13G/A
Feb 16, 2021	susquehanna securities, llc	5.2%	49,569,773	SC 13G/A

TSLA Fair Value

Tesla fair value in different scenarios

The table shows the Fair Value estimates for Tesla for various scenarios. Disclaimer: These are just estimations from a model. None of the models are good at predicting the future. Please dont buy or sell stocks based on these outputs.

Fair Value	Very Pessimistic	Pessimistic	Base Case	Optimistic	Very Optimistic
Very Low Inflation	92.12 -49.97%	119.03 -35.36%	209.72 13.90%	291.28 58.19%	357.70 94.26%
Current Inflation	84.54 -54.09%	107.61 -41.56%	185.51 0.75%	254.31 38.11%	310.36 68.55%
Very High Inflation	75.13 -59.20%	93.72 -49.10%	156.78 -14.85%	211.10 14.65%	255.38 38.70%

Historical Tesla Fair Value Estimates

Very Pessimistic Case

Pessimistic Case

Fair Value

Optimistic Case

Very Optimistic Case

Closing Stock Price

Recent SEC filings of Tesla

View All Filings

Date Filed	Form Type	Document
Mar 13, 2023	SC 13G/A	Major Ownership Report
Mar 10, 2023	4	Insider Trading
Mar 10, 2023	5/A	Insider Trading
Mar 07, 2023	4	Insider Trading
Mar 07, 2023	4	Insider Trading
Mar 07, 2023	4	Insider Trading
Mar 01, 2023	4	Insider Trading
Feb 14, 2023	5	Insider Trading
Feb 14, 2023	SC 13G/A	Major Ownership Report
Feb 09, 2023	SC 13G/A	Major Ownership Report

Latest Insider Trading transactions for TSLA

Filter Transactions

Datesorted ascending	Name	Buy/Sell	$ Value	Avg. Price	# Shares	Title
2023-03-08	Musk Elon	acquired	49,665	4.73	10,500	ceo
2023-03-06	Kirkhorn Zachary	sold	-2,056,770	196	-10,455	chief financial officer
2023-03-06	Baglino Andrew D	sold	-254,232	195	-1,298	svp powertrain and energy eng.
2023-03-06	Taneja Vaibhav	sold	-482,718	195	-2,465	chief accounting officer
2023-03-05	Kirkhorn Zachary	acquired	-	-	16,867	chief financial officer
2023-03-05	Baglino Andrew D	acquired	-	-	2,586	svp powertrain and energy eng.
2023-03-05	Taneja Vaibhav	acquired	-	-	7,138	chief accounting officer
2023-02-27	Baglino Andrew D	acquired	219,555	20.91	10,500	svp powertrain and energy eng.
2023-02-27	Baglino Andrew D	sold	-2,121,000	202	-10,500	svp powertrain and energy eng.
2023-02-06	Kirkhorn Zachary	sold	-723,750	193	-3,750	chief financial officer

About Tesla

Elon R. Musk

www.tesla.com

65535

Tesla, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, leases, and sells electric vehicles, and energy generation and storage systems in the United States, China, and internationally. The company operates in two segments, Automotive, and Energy Generation and Storage. The Automotive segment offers electric vehicles, as well as sells automotive regulatory credits. It provides sedans and sport utility vehicles through direct and used vehicle sales, a network of Tesla Superchargers, and in-app upgrades; and purchase financing and leasing services. This segment is also involved in the provision of non-warranty after-sales vehicle services, sale of used vehicles, retail merchandise, and vehicle insurance, as well as sale of products to third party customers; services for electric vehicles through its company-owned service locations, and Tesla mobile service technicians; and vehicle limited warranties and extended service plans. The Energy Generation and Storage segment engages in the design, manufacture, installation, sale, and leasing of solar energy generation and energy storage products, and related services to residential, commercial, and industrial customers and utilities through its website, stores, and galleries, as well as through a network of channel partners. This segment also offers service and repairs to its energy product customers, including under warranty; and various financing options to its solar customers. The company was formerly known as Tesla Motors, Inc. and changed its name to Tesla, Inc. in February 2017. Tesla, Inc. was incorporated in 2003 and is headquartered in Austin, Texas.

TSLA Income Statement

2022-12-31

Consolidated Statements of Operations - USD ($)
shares in Millions, $ in Millions

12 Months Ended

Dec. 31, 2022

Dec. 31, 2021

Dec. 31, 2020

Revenues

Total revenues

$ 81,462

$ 53,823

$ 31,536

Cost of revenues

Total cost of revenues

60,609

40,217

24,906

Gross profit

20,853

13,606

6,630

Operating expenses

Research and development

3,075

2,593

1,491

Selling, general and administrative

3,946

4,517

3,145

Restructuring and other

176

(27)

Total operating expenses

7,197

7,083

4,636

Income from operations

13,656

6,523

1,994

Interest income

297

Interest expense

(191)

(371)

(748)

Other (expense) income , net

(43)

135

(122)

Income before income taxes

13,719

6,343

1,154

Provision for income taxes

1,132

699

292

Net income

12,587

5,644

862

Net income attributable to noncontrolling interests and redeemable noncontrolling interests in subsidiaries

125

141

Net income attributable to common stockholders

$ 12,556

$ 5,519

$ 721

Net income per share of common stock attributable to common stockholders

Basic

^[1]

$ 4.02

$ 1.87

$ 0.25

Diluted

^[1]

$ 3.62

$ 1.63

$ 0.21

Weighted average shares used in computing net income per share of common stock

Basic

^[1]

3,130

2,959

2,798

Diluted

^[1]

3,475

3,386

3,249

Automotive Revenues [Member]

Revenues

Automotive sales

$ 67,210

$ 44,125

$ 24,604

Automotive regulatory credits

1,776

1,465

1,580

Automotive leasing

2,476

1,642

1,052

Total automotive revenues

71,462

47,232

27,236

Cost of revenues

Automotive sales

49,599

32,415

19,696

Automotive leasing

1,509

978

563

Total automotive cost of revenues

51,108

33,393

20,259

Energy Generation and Storage [Member]

Revenues

Revenues

3,909

2,789

1,994

Cost of revenues

Cost of revenues

3,621

2,918

1,976

Services And Other [Member]

Revenues

Revenues

6,091

3,802

2,306

Cost of revenues

Cost of revenues

$ 5,880

$ 3,906

$ 2,671

[1]	Prior period results have been adjusted to reflect the three-for-one stock split effected in the form of a stock dividend in August 2022. See Note 1, Overview, for details.

TSLA Balance Sheet

2022-12-31

Consolidated Balance Sheets - USD ($)
$ in Millions

Dec. 31, 2022

Dec. 31, 2021

Current assets

Cash and cash equivalents

$ 16,253

$ 17,576

Short-term investments

5,932

131

Accounts receivable, net

2,952

1,913

Inventory

12,839

5,757

Prepaid expenses and other current assets

2,941

1,723

Total current assets

40,917

27,100

Property, plant and equipment, net

23,548

18,884

Operating lease right-of-use assets

2,563

2,016

Digital assets, net

184

1,260

Intangible assets, net

215

257

Goodwill

194

200

Other non-current assets

4,193

2,138

Total assets

82,338

62,131

Current liabilities

Accounts payable

15,255

10,025

Accrued liabilities and other

7,142

5,719

Deferred revenue

1,747

1,447

Customer deposits

1,063

925

Current portion of debt and finance leases

1,502

1,589

Total current liabilities

26,709

19,705

Debt and finance leases, net of current portion

1,597

5,245

Deferred revenue, net of current portion

2,804

2,052

Other long-term liabilities

5,330

3,546

Total liabilities

36,440

30,548

Commitments and contingencies (Note 15)

Redeemable noncontrolling interests in subsidiaries

409

568

Stockholders' equity

Preferred stock; $0.001 par value; 100 shares authorized;no shares issued and outstanding

Common stock; $0.001 par value; 6,000 shares authorized;3,164 and 3,100 shares issued and outstanding as of December 31, 2022 and December 31, 2021, respectively (1)

^[1]

Additional paid-in capital

32,177

29,803

Accumulated other comprehensive (loss) income

(361)

Retained earnings (1)

^[1]

12,885

329

Total stockholders' equity

44,704

30,189

Noncontrolling interests in subsidiaries

785

826

Total liabilities and equity

82,338

62,131

Operating Lease Vehicles [Member]

Current assets

Operating lease vehicles, net

5,035

4,511

Solar Energy Systems [Member]

Current assets

Solar energy systems, net

^[2]

$ 5,489

$ 5,765

[1]	Prior period results have been adjusted to reflect the three-for-one stock split effected in the form of a stock dividend in August 2022. See Note 1, Overview, for details.
[2]	As of December 31, 2022 and 2021, there were $802 million and $1.02 billion, respectively, of gross solar energy systems under lease pass-through fund arrangements with accumulated depreciation of $148 million and $165 million, respectively.