Grufity logoGrufity logo

American Airlines Group Inc Stock Research

AAL

14.12USD+0.26(+1.88%)Market Closed

Market Summary

USD14.12+0.26
Market Closed
1.88%

AAL Alerts

AAL Stock Price

AAL RSI Chart

AAL Valuation

Market Cap

9.2B

Price/Earnings (Trailing)

72.34

Price/Sales (Trailing)

0.19

EV/EBITDA

9.94

Price/Free Cashflow

4.23

AAL Price/Sales (Trailing)

AAL Profitability

EBT Margin

0.38%

Return on Assets

0.2%

Free Cashflow Yield

23.65%

AAL Fundamentals

AAL Revenue

Revenue (TTM)

49.0B

Revenue Y/Y

39.9%

Revenue Q/Q

-2.04%

AAL Earnings

Earnings (TTM)

127.0M

Earnings Y/Y

186.16%

Earnings Q/Q

66.25%

Price Action

52 Week Range

11.6521.42
(Low)(High)

Last 7 days

-16.5%

Last 30 days

-16.0%

Last 90 days

7.2%

Trailing 12 Months

-11.0%

AAL Financial Health

Current Ratio

0.71

Debt/Cashflow

0.07

AAL Investor Care

Shares Dilution (1Y)

0.45%

Diluted EPS (TTM)

0.19

Peers (Alternatives to American Airlines Group)

View All Peers In Detail
NameMkt Capsorted ascendingRevenuePrice %, 1MReturns, 1YP/EP/SRev 1-YrInc 1-Yr
LARGE-CAP
53.1B
94.1B
-7.73% -9.22%
15.93
0.56
5.07% -32.20%
24.5B
50.6B
-13.91% -4.68%
298.7
0.53
69.18% 370.71%
18.1B
23.8B
-15.23% -29.32%
18.91
0.76
50.82% -2.15%
14.3B
45.0B
-12.30% 12.81%
19.34
0.32
82.49% 137.53%
9.2B
49.0B
-16.05% -10.98%
72.34
0.19
63.88% 106.37%
MID-CAP
5.2B
9.6B
-19.50% -21.96%
89.01
0.54
56.19% -87.87%
2.9B
4.5B
0.24% 21.66%
8.22
0.64
12.86% -27.86%
2.3B
9.2B
-18.97% -49.38%
-6.41
0.25
51.67% -98.90%
SMALL-CAP
1.9B
5.1B
-12.90% -19.64%
-3.36
0.37
56.88% -17.26%
1.6B
2.3B
-7.92% -42.53%
624.1
0.68
34.77% -98.36%
1.5B
2.0B
-17.79% -34.57%
7.55
0.73
17.94% -14.19%
933.4M
3.0B
-5.79% -29.21%
12.8
0.31
10.74% -34.81%
431.7M
2.6B
-21.20% -51.47%
-1.8
0.16
65.43% -65.83%
96.0M
530.4M
-27.99% -40.19%
-0.54
0.18
5.88% -1403.68%
59.3M
224.4M
-8.70% 0.43%
-23.56
0.26
30.18% -139.59%

Financials for American Airlines Group

Income Statement (Last 12 Months)
(In Millions)
* denotes actual numbers (not divided by Millions)
Description(%) Q/Q2022Q42022Q32022Q22022Q12021Q4
Revenue8.3%48,97145,21040,71734,77329,882
  S&GA Expenses7.8%1,8151,6841,5071,2801,098
Costs and Expenses3.5%47,36445,76641,60836,24030,941
EBITDA111.6%4,1251,9491,463864-
EBITDA Margin95.4%0.08*0.04*0.06*0.02*-
Earnings Before Taxes109.2%186-2,016-2,468-3,062-2,548
EBT Margin108.5%0.00*-0.04*-0.10*-0.09*-
Interest Expenses3.4%1,9621,8981,8751,8931,800
Net Income107.9%127-1,608-1,922-2,379-1,993
Net Income Margin107.3%0.00*-0.04*-0.08*-0.07*-
Free Cahsflow92.1%2,1731,131-16.001,715-
Balance Sheet
(In Millions)
* denotes actual numbers (not divided by Millions)
Description(%) Q/Q2022Q42022Q32022Q22022Q12021Q4
Assets-2.9%64,71666,65267,96367,40166,467
  Current Assets-12.1%15,26917,37718,52517,76217,336
    Cash Equivalents23.1%586476537512408
  Goodwill0%4,0914,0914,0914,0914,100
  Current Liabilities-2.2%21,49621,97022,77021,86619,006
  Long Term Debt-5.3%32,38934,18534,96335,46135,571
  Retained Earnings8.6%-8,511-9,314-9,797-10,273-8,638
  Additional Paid-In Capital0.2%7,2917,2777,2597,2437,234
Shares Outstanding0.1%651650650649648
Cashflow (Last 12 Months)
(In Millions)
Description(%) Q/Q2022Q42022Q32022Q22022Q12021Q4
Cashflow From Operations92.1%2,1731,131-16.001,715704
  Share Based Compensation-20.4%78.0098.00---
Cashflow From Investing-22.6%6368223,353398-5,983
Cashflow From Financing-37.9%-2,631-1,908-3,265-2,0355,288
  Buy Backs16.7%21.0018.00---

Risks for AAL

What is the probability of a big loss on AAL?

98.5%


Probability that American Airlines Group stock will be more than 20% underwater in next one year

80.8%


Probability that American Airlines Group stock will be more than 30% underwater in next one year.

56.9%


Probability that American Airlines Group stock will be more than 40% underwater in next one year.
*Calculated based on probability distribution of losses observed in actual data in the last 5 years.

How does AAL drawdown profile look like?

Y-axis is the maximum loss one would have experienced if American Airlines Group was unfortunately bought at previous high price.

Drawdowns

Returns for AAL

Cumulative Returns on AAL

-0.8%


10-Year Cumulative Returns

-14.2%


7-Year Cumulative Returns

-23.8%


5-Year Cumulative Returns

-1.1%


3-Year Cumulative Returns

What are the long-term rolling returns for AAL?

FIve years rolling returns for American Airlines Group.

Annualized Returns

Which funds bought or sold AAL recently?

View All Details
Datesorted ascendingFund NameType% Chg$ Change$ Held% Portfolio
2023-03-15
B. Riley Wealth Advisors, Inc.
reduced
-2.73
5,894
251,894
0.01%
2023-03-10
VICTORY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT INC
reduced
-0.64
20,579
434,579
-%
2023-03-06
Rockefeller Capital Management L.P.
reduced
-14.13
-84,000
816,000
-%
2023-02-28
Voya Investment Management LLC
added
2.86
232,160
2,913,160
-%
2023-02-27
Parallax Volatility Advisers, L.P.
reduced
-50.00
-852,000
954,000
-%
2023-02-24
SRS Capital Advisors, Inc.
new
-
3,104
3,104
-%
2023-02-24
NATIXIS
reduced
-98.84
-22,109,800
271,190
-%
2023-02-23
Portman Square Capital LLP
new
-
4,367,310
4,367,310
0.32%
2023-02-22
TEACHERS RETIREMENT SYSTEM OF THE STATE OF KENTUCKY
unchanged
-
40,000
758,000
0.01%
2023-02-22
BARNES PETTEY FINANCIAL ADVISORS, LLC
added
5.31
71,654
710,654
0.73%

1–10 of 39

Latest Funds Activity

Are funds buying AAL calls or puts?
Calls
Puts
Are funds bullish or bearish(Calls - Puts)?
Net Call Options
No. of funds that own AAL
No. of Funds

American Airlines Group News

MarketWatch

Southwest Airlines Co. stock rises Monday, still underperforms market.

MarketWatch,
46 minutes ago

The Business Journals

Schedule 13G FIlings of American Airlines Group

Date FiledName of FilerPercent of ClassNo. of SharesForm Type
Feb 09, 2023
primecap management co/ca/
5.86%
38,098,701
SC 13G/A
Feb 09, 2023
blackrock inc.
5.5%
35,622,648
SC 13G/A
Feb 09, 2023
vanguard group inc
11.23%
72,960,262
SC 13G/A
Feb 14, 2022
susquehanna securities, llc
3.5%
23,029,096
SC 13G/A
Feb 10, 2022
primecap management co/ca/
6.32%
40,897,051
SC 13G/A
Feb 09, 2022
vanguard group inc
10.52%
68,146,577
SC 13G/A
Feb 01, 2022
blackrock inc.
5.5%
35,697,328
SC 13G/A
Apr 12, 2021
vanguard group inc
10.29%
65,972,326
SC 13G/A
Feb 16, 2021
susquehanna securities, llc
5.1%
31,844,311
SC 13G
Feb 12, 2021
primecap management co/ca/
7.88%
47,666,106
SC 13G/A

AAL Fair Value

American Airlines Group fair value in different scenarios

The table shows the Fair Value estimates for American Airlines Group for various scenarios. Disclaimer: These are just estimations from a model. None of the models are good at predicting the future. Please dont buy or sell stocks based on these outputs.
Fair ValueVery PessimisticPessimisticBase CaseOptimisticVery Optimistic
Very Low Inflation

26.51

87.75%

32.26

128.47%

55.43

292.56%

67.21

375.99%

76.57

442.28%
Current Inflation

25.15

78.12%

30.46

115.72%

50.06

254.53%

60.08

325.50%

68.02

381.73%
Very High Inflation

23.39

65.65%

28.14

99.29%

43.58

208.64%

51.60

265.44%

57.93

310.27%

Historical American Airlines Group Fair Value Estimates


Very Pessimistic Case
Pessimistic Case
Fair Value
Optimistic Case
Very Optimistic Case
Closing Stock Price

Recent SEC filings of American Airlines Group

View All Filings
Date Filed Form Type Document
Mar 15, 2023
4
Insider Trading
Mar 14, 2023
4
Insider Trading
Mar 14, 2023
4
Insider Trading
Mar 14, 2023
4
Insider Trading
Mar 13, 2023
8-K
Current Report
Feb 27, 2023
424B7
Prospectus Filed
Feb 27, 2023
4
Insider Trading
Feb 27, 2023
4
Insider Trading
Feb 27, 2023
4
Insider Trading
Feb 27, 2023
8-K
Current Report

Latest Insider Trading transactions for AAL

Filter Transactions
Datesorted ascendingNameBuy/Sell$ ValueAvg. Price# SharesTitle
2023-03-13
Raja Vasu
sold
-150,007
15.07
-9,954
evp chief commercial officer
2023-03-11
Johnson Stephen L
sold (taxes)
-194,054
15.46
-12,552
evp
2023-03-11
PARKER W DOUGLAS
sold (taxes)
-711,670
15.46
-46,033
-
2023-03-11
Isom Robert D Jr
sold (taxes)
-365,273
15.46
-23,627
ceo and president
2023-02-24
Isom Robert D Jr
sold (taxes)
-527,531
15.56
-33,903
ceo and president
2023-02-24
Johnson Stephen L
sold (taxes)
-365,940
15.56
-23,518
evp
2023-02-24
PARKER W DOUGLAS
sold (taxes)
-407,345
15.56
-26,179
-
2023-02-18
May Devon E
sold (taxes)
-57,849
16.36
-3,536
evp chief financial officer
2023-02-18
Raja Vasu
sold (taxes)
-57,914
16.36
-3,540
evp chief commercial officer
2023-02-18
Seymour David
sold (taxes)
-111,199
16.36
-6,797
evp chief operating officer

1–10 of 50

Robert D. Isom
65535
American Airlines Group Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as a network air carrier. The company provides scheduled air transportation services for passengers and cargo through its hubs in Charlotte, Chicago, Dallas/Fort Worth, Los Angeles, Miami, New York, Philadelphia, Phoenix, and Washington, D.C., as well as through partner gateways in London, Madrid, Seattle/Tacoma, Sydney, and Tokyo. As of December 31, 2021, it operated a mainline fleet of 865 aircraft. The company was formerly known as AMR Corporation and changed its name to American Airlines Group Inc. in December 2013. American Airlines Group Inc. was founded in 1930 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, Texas.

AAL Income Statement

2022-12-31
Consolidated Statements of Operations - American Airlines Group Inc. - USD ($)
shares in Thousands, $ in Millions
12 Months Ended
Dec. 31, 2022
Dec. 31, 2021
Dec. 31, 2020
Operating revenues:   
Total operating revenues$ 48,971$ 29,882$ 17,337
Operating expenses:   
Aircraft fuel and related taxes13,7916,7923,402
Salaries, wages and benefits12,97211,81711,229
Regional expenses4,3853,2042,962
Maintenance, materials and repairs2,6841,9791,585
Other rent and landing fees2,7302,6192,004
Aircraft rent1,3951,4251,341
Selling expenses1,8151,098666
Depreciation and amortization1,9772,0192,040
Special items, net193(4,006)(657)
Other5,4223,9943,186
Total operating expenses47,36430,94127,758
Operating income (loss)1,607(1,059)(10,421)
Nonoperating income (expense):   
Interest income2161841
Interest expense, net(1,962)(1,800)(1,227)
Other income, net325293154
Total nonoperating expense, net(1,421)(1,489)(1,032)
Income (loss) before income taxes186(2,548)(11,453)
Income tax provision (benefit)59(555)(2,568)
Net income (loss)$ 127$ (1,993)$ (8,885)
Earnings (loss) per common share:   
Basic (in dollars per share)$ 0.20$ (3.09)$ (18.36)
Diluted (in dollars per share)$ 0.19$ (3.09)$ (18.36)
Weighted average shares outstanding (in thousands):   
Basic (in shares)650,345644,015483,888
Diluted (in shares)655,122644,015483,888
Passenger   
Operating revenues:   
Total operating revenues$ 44,568$ 26,063$ 14,518
Cargo   
Operating revenues:   
Total operating revenues1,2331,314769
Other   
Operating revenues:   
Total operating revenues$ 3,170$ 2,505$ 2,050

AAL Balance Sheet

2022-12-31
Consolidated Balance Sheets - American Airlines Group Inc. - USD ($)
$ in Millions
Dec. 31, 2022
Dec. 31, 2021
Dec. 31, 2020
Dec. 31, 2019
Current assets    
Cash$ 440$ 273$ 245 
Short-term investments8,52512,158  
Restricted cash and short-term investments995990  
Accounts receivable, net2,1381,505  
Aircraft fuel, spare parts and supplies, net2,2791,795  
Prepaid expenses and other892615  
Total current assets15,26917,336  
Operating property and equipment    
Flight equipment39,70337,856  
Ground property and equipment9,9139,335  
Equipment purchase deposits613517  
Total property and equipment, at cost50,22947,708  
Less accumulated depreciation and amortization(20,029)(18,171)  
Total property and equipment, net30,20029,537  
Operating lease right-of-use assets8,0947,850  
Other assets    
Goodwill4,0914,091  
Intangibles, net of accumulated amortization of $827 and $786, respectively2,0591,988  
Deferred tax asset3,0993,556  
Other assets1,9042,109  
Total other assets11,15311,744  
Total assets64,71666,467  
Current liabilities    
Current maturities of long-term debt and finance leases3,2742,489  
Accounts payable2,1491,772  
Accrued salaries and wages1,7131,489  
Operating lease liabilities1,4651,507  
Other accrued liabilities2,9812,766  
Total current liabilities21,49619,006  
Noncurrent liabilities    
Long-term debt and finance leases, net of current maturities32,38935,571  
Pension and postretirement benefits2,8375,053  
Loyalty program liability5,9766,239  
Operating lease liabilities6,5596,610  
Other liabilities1,2581,328  
Total noncurrent liabilities49,01954,801  
Commitments and contingencies  
Stockholders' equity (deficit)    
Common stock66  
Additional paid-in capital7,2917,234  
Accumulated other comprehensive loss(4,585)(5,942)(7,103) 
Retained deficit(8,511)(8,638)  
Total stockholders' deficit(5,799)(7,340)$ (6,867)$ (118)
Total liabilities and stockholders’ equity (deficit)64,71666,467  
Air traffic liability    
Current liabilities    
Deferred revenue, current6,7456,087  
Loyalty program liability    
Current liabilities    
Deferred revenue, current$ 3,169$ 2,896