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Canadian Pacific Railway Ltd Stock Research

CP

75.13USD+0.34(+0.45%)Market Closed

Market Summary

USD75.13+0.34
Market Closed
0.45%

CP Alerts

CP Stock Price

CP RSI Chart

CP Valuation

Market Cap

69.9B

Price/Earnings (Trailing)

19.88

Price/Sales (Trailing)

7.93

EV/EBITDA

15.53

Price/Free Cashflow

27.04

CP Price/Sales (Trailing)

CP Profitability

EBT Margin

47.03%

Return on Equity

9.04%

Return on Assets

4.79%

Free Cashflow Yield

3.7%

CP Fundamentals

CP Revenue

Revenue (TTM)

8.8B

Revenue Y/Y

20.69%

Revenue Q/Q

6.49%

CP Earnings

Earnings (TTM)

3.5B

Earnings Y/Y

138.91%

Earnings Q/Q

42.65%

Price Action

52 Week Range

65.1784.22
(Low)(High)

Last 7 days

-5.7%

Last 30 days

-1.5%

Last 90 days

-0.5%

Trailing 12 Months

-8.5%

CP Financial Health

Current Ratio

0.59

Debt/Equity

0.47

Debt/Cashflow

0.23

CP Investor Care

Dividend Yield

1.01%

Dividend/Share (TTM)

0.76

Shares Dilution (1Y)

0.09%

Diluted EPS (TTM)

3.77

Peers (Alternatives to Canadian Pacific Railway)

View All Peers In Detail
NameMkt Capsorted ascendingRevenuePrice %, 1MReturns, 1YP/EP/SRev 1-YrInc 1-Yr
LARGE-CAP
115.4B
24.9B
-1.50% -30.24%
16.5
4.64
14.08% 7.28%
69.9B
8.8B
-1.47% -8.45%
19.88
7.93
10.24% 23.32%
58.4B
14.9B
-5.80% -22.74%
14.01
3.92
18.99% 10.18%
45.7B
12.7B
-9.79% -27.27%
13.97
3.58
14.39% 8.82%
27.2B
3.4B
- -
23.98
8.72
14.36% 87.01%
MID-CAP
8.9B
7.4B
-4.42% 3.69%
11.54
1.2
23.85% 3.76%
7.2B
2.8B
-1.14% -2.25%
20.1
2.57
21.99% 41.14%
5.6B
7.4B
-3.70% 13.89%
12.32
0.72
13.75% 12.95%
4.5B
6.6B
-8.66% -2.48%
9.92
0.69
17.75% 12.93%
2.7B
3.3B
-8.92% 1.47%
11.1
0.81
20.32% -6.87%
2.2B
5.3B
-7.27% 1.75%
7.4
0.41
34.66% 39.66%
SMALL-CAP
1.6B
1.3B
-9.39% 5.64%
14.68
1.28
29.81% 36.36%
1.2B
968.0M
-8.16% 6.40%
9.05
1.25
59.40% 68.50%
725.0M
2.0B
-9.15% 31.51%
4.79
0.36
21.24% 105.25%
307.3M
2.2B
331.88% 44.66%
-6.99
0.14
10.91% -504.67%

Financials for Canadian Pacific Railway

Income Statement (Last 12 Months)
(In Millions)
* denotes actual numbers (not divided by Millions)
Description(%) Q/Q2022Q42022Q32022Q22022Q12021Q4
Revenue5.0%8,8148,3928,0227,8747,995
EBITDA16.9%5,6394,8234,3724,742-
EBITDA Margin11.3%0.64*0.57*0.53*0.60*-
Earnings Before Taxes20.0%4,1453,4553,0093,5023,620
EBT Margin14.2%0.47*0.41*0.36*0.44*-
Interest Expenses21.4%641528533421426
Net Income26.6%3,5172,7782,3592,8402,852
Net Income Margin20.5%0.40*0.33*0.28*0.36*-
Free Cahsflow62.9%2,5851,5871,0832,284-
Balance Sheet
(In Millions)
* denotes actual numbers (not divided by Millions)
Description(%) Q/Q2022Q42022Q32022Q22022Q12021Q4
Assets0.1%73,49573,43569,87467,59268,177
  Current Assets14.9%1,8891,6441,6111,4071,352
    Cash Equivalents226.8%45113815498.0069.00
  Net PPE3.0%22,15021,50221,12021,200-
  Goodwill-328----
Liabilities-2.8%34,60935,62134,46033,60734,348
  Current Liabilities14.3%3,2132,8113,2093,1913,159
  Long Term Debt-6.2%18,14119,33918,37217,91718,577
Shareholder's Equity2.8%38,88637,81435,41433,98533,829
  Retained Earnings9.0%13,20112,10611,39210,80410,391
  Additional Paid-In Capital1.3%78.0077.0073.0068.0066.00
Shares Outstanding0.0%931930930930930
Cashflow (Last 12 Months)
(In Millions)
* denotes actual numbers (not divided by Millions)
Description(%) Q/Q2022Q42022Q32022Q22022Q12021Q4
Cashflow From Operations36.9%4,1423,0262,4723,7193,688
  Share Based Compensation-15.2%128151131--
Cashflow From Investing87.4%-1,496-11,888-13,607-13,650-13,730
Cashflow From Financing-126.3%-2,2978,72110,3449,6259,936
  Dividend Payments7.6%707657607557507
  Buy BacksNaN%0.000.00---

Risks for CP

What is the probability of a big loss on CP?

35%


Probability that Canadian Pacific Railway stock will be more than 20% underwater in next one year

18.5%


Probability that Canadian Pacific Railway stock will be more than 30% underwater in next one year.

0%


Probability that Canadian Pacific Railway stock will be more than 40% underwater in next one year.
*Calculated based on probability distribution of losses observed in actual data in the last 5 years.

How does CP drawdown profile look like?

Y-axis is the maximum loss one would have experienced if Canadian Pacific Railway was unfortunately bought at previous high price.

Drawdowns

Returns for CP

Cumulative Returns on CP

12.4%


10-Year Cumulative Returns

17.4%


7-Year Cumulative Returns

17.8%


5-Year Cumulative Returns

22.8%


3-Year Cumulative Returns

What are the long-term rolling returns for CP?

FIve years rolling returns for Canadian Pacific Railway.

Annualized Returns

Which funds bought or sold CP recently?

View All Details
Datesorted ascendingFund NameType% Chg$ Change$ Held% Portfolio
2023-03-15
B. Riley Wealth Advisors, Inc.
reduced
-20.01
-68,773
580,227
0.02%
2023-03-10
BAILLIE GIFFORD & CO
reduced
-1.8
8,978,790
108,445,000
0.11%
2023-03-06
Aldebaran Financial Inc.
unchanged
-
21,765
233,765
0.25%
2023-03-06
Rockefeller Capital Management L.P.
reduced
-18.77
-258,000
2,541,000
0.01%
2023-03-03
TIAA, FSB
reduced
-11.84
-9,220
626,780
-%
2023-03-02
OLIVER LAGORE VANVALIN INVESTMENT GROUP
unchanged
-
343
1,343
-%
2023-03-02
LORING WOLCOTT & COOLIDGE FIDUCIARY ADVISORS LLP/MA
new
-
304,179
304,179
-%
2023-02-28
CONTINENTAL INVESTORS SERVICES, INC.
unchanged
-
50,124
473,124
1.47%
2023-02-27
ST GERMAIN D J CO INC
new
-
83,914
83,914
0.03%
2023-02-24
SRS Capital Advisors, Inc.
reduced
-4.59
8,964
140,964
0.02%

1–10 of 47

Latest Funds Activity

Are funds buying CP calls or puts?
Calls
Puts
Are funds bullish or bearish(Calls - Puts)?
Net Call Options
No. of funds that own CP
No. of Funds

Canadian Pacific Railway News

Best Stocks

Institutional Investors See Promise in Canadian Pacific Railway as ....

Best Stocks,
8 hours ago

The Globe and Mail

Friday's analyst upgrades and downgrades.

The Globe and Mail,
2 days ago

Yahoo Canada Finance

Yahoo Canada Finance

Yahoo Canada Finance

Schedule 13G FIlings of Canadian Pacific Railway

Date FiledName of FilerPercent of ClassNo. of SharesForm Type
Mar 11, 2022
blackrock inc.
5.8%
39,007,418
SC 13G
Mar 09, 2022
blackrock inc.
4.2%
39,110,995
SC 13G/A
Feb 14, 2022
tci fund management ltd
6.01%
55,860,385
SC 13G/A
Feb 08, 2022
blackrock inc.
5.8%
39,007,418
SC 13G
Feb 16, 2021
tci fund management ltd
8.31%
11,172,077
SC 13G/A
Feb 14, 2020
tci fund management ltd
8.01%
10,978,084
SC 13G/A
Sep 03, 2019
tci fund management ltd
7.62%
10,565,984
SC 13G/A

CP Fair Value

Canadian Pacific Railway fair value in different scenarios

The table shows the Fair Value estimates for Canadian Pacific Railway for various scenarios. Disclaimer: These are just estimations from a model. None of the models are good at predicting the future. Please dont buy or sell stocks based on these outputs.
Fair ValueVery PessimisticPessimisticBase CaseOptimisticVery Optimistic
Very Low Inflation

45.91

-38.89%

54.45

-27.53%

79.72

6.11%

104.72

39.39%

120.63

60.56%
Current Inflation

42.99

-42.78%

50.29

-33.06%

71.54

-4.78%

92.43

23.03%

105.58

40.53%
Very High Inflation

39.35

-47.62%

45.24

-39.78%

61.92

-17.58%

78.23

4.13%

88.35

17.60%

Historical Canadian Pacific Railway Fair Value Estimates


Very Pessimistic Case
Pessimistic Case
Fair Value
Optimistic Case
Very Optimistic Case
Closing Stock Price

Recent SEC filings of Canadian Pacific Railway

View All Filings
Date Filed Form Type Document
Mar 23, 2023
10-K/A
Annual Report
Mar 20, 2023
F-4
F-4
Mar 20, 2023
8-K
Current Report
Mar 17, 2023
8-K
Current Report
Mar 16, 2023
8-K
Current Report
Mar 15, 2023
8-K
Current Report
Mar 08, 2023
8-K
Current Report
Mar 06, 2023
8-K
Current Report
Mar 02, 2023
8-K
Current Report
Feb 27, 2023
8-K
Current Report
Keith E. Creel
11800
Canadian Pacific Railway Limited, together with its subsidiaries, owns and operates a transcontinental freight railway in Canada and the United States. The company transports bulk commodities, including grain, coal, potash, fertilizers, and sulphur; and merchandise freight, such as energy, chemicals and plastics, metals, minerals and consumer, automotive, and forest products. It also transports intermodal traffic comprising retail goods in overseas containers. The company offers rail and intermodal transportation services through a network of approximately 13,000 miles serving business centers in Quebec and British Columbia, Canada; and the United States Northeast and Midwest regions. Canadian Pacific Railway Limited was incorporated in 1881 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.

CP Income Statement

2022-12-31
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF INCOME - CAD ($)
shares in Millions, $ in Millions
12 Months Ended
Dec. 31, 2022
Dec. 31, 2021
Dec. 31, 2020
Revenues   
Total revenues$ 8,814$ 7,995$ 7,710
Operating expenses   
Compensation and benefits1,5701,5701,560
Fuel1,400854652
Materials260215216
Equipment rents140121142
Depreciation and amortization853811779
Purchased services and other1,2621,2181,050
Total operating expenses5,4854,7894,399
Operating income3,3293,2063,311
Less:   
Equity (earnings) loss of Kansas City Southern(1,074)1410
Other expense (income)17237(7)
Merger termination fee0(845)0
Other components of net periodic benefit recovery(411)(387)(342)
Net interest expense652440458
Income before income tax expense4,1453,6203,202
Income tax expense628768758
Net income$ 3,517$ 2,852$ 2,444
Earnings per share   
Basic earnings per share (cad per share)$ 3.78$ 4.20$ 3.61
Diluted earnings per share (cad per share)$ 3.77$ 4.18$ 3.59
Weighted-average number of shares (millions)   
Basic (in shares)930.0679.7677.2
Diluted (in shares)932.9682.8679.9
Freight   
Revenues   
Total revenues$ 8,627$ 7,816$ 7,541
Non-freight   
Revenues   
Total revenues$ 187$ 179$ 169

CP Balance Sheet

2022-12-31
CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS - CAD ($)
$ in Millions
Dec. 31, 2022
Dec. 31, 2021
Current assets  
Cash and cash equivalents$ 451$ 69
Restricted cash and cash equivalents013
Accounts receivable, net1,016819
Materials and supplies284235
Other current assets138216
Total current assets1,8891,352
Investment in Kansas City Southern45,09142,309
Investments223209
Properties22,38521,200
Goodwill and intangible assets386371
Pension asset3,1012,317
Other assets420419
Total assets73,49568,177
Current liabilities  
Accounts payable and accrued liabilities1,7031,609
Long-term debt maturing within one year1,5101,550
Total current liabilities3,2133,159
Pension and other benefit liabilities538718
Other long-term liabilities520542
Long-term debt18,14118,577
Deferred income taxes12,19711,352
Total liabilities34,60934,348
Shareholders’ equity  
Share capital25,51625,475
Additional paid-in capital7866
Accumulated other comprehensive loss91(2,103)
Retained earnings13,20110,391
Total shareholders' equity38,88633,829
Total liabilities and shareholders’ equity$ 73,495$ 68,177