Dollar General Corp Stock Research

Market Summary

USD212.09-6.47

Market Closed

-2.96%

DG Stock Price

DG RSI Chart

DG Valuation

Market Cap

47.6B

Price/Earnings (Trailing)

20.23

Price/Sales (Trailing)

1.31

EV/EBITDA

12.15

Price/Free Cashflow

25.23

DG Price/Sales (Trailing)

DG Profitability

EBT Margin

8.31%

Return on Equity

38.63%

Return on Assets

8.12%

Free Cashflow Yield

3.96%

DG Fundamentals

DG Revenue

Revenue (TTM)

36.3B

Revenue Y/Y

11.12%

Revenue Q/Q

0.42%

DG Earnings

Earnings (TTM)

2.4B

Earnings Y/Y

8.04%

Earnings Q/Q

-22.4%

Price Action

52 Week Range

182.84261.62

(Low)(High)

Last 7 days

0.4%

Last 30 days

-6.4%

Last 90 days

-11.5%

Trailing 12 Months

2.5%

DG Financial Health

Current Ratio

1.23

Debt/Equity

0.67

Debt/Cashflow

0.6

DG Investor Care

Dividend Yield

0.98%

Dividend/Share (TTM)

2.07

Buy Backs (1Y)

3.43%

Diluted EPS (TTM)

10.28

Peers (Alternatives to Dollar General)

View All Peers In Detail

Name	Mkt Capsorted ascending	Revenue	Price %, 1M	Returns, 1Y	P/E	P/S	Rev 1-Yr	Inc 1-Yr
LARGE-CAP
TGT	75.1B	109.1B	-7.61%	-24.37%	27	0.69	2.94%	-59.98%
DG	47.6B	36.3B	-6.40%	2.49%	20.23	1.31	6.80%	-3.69%
DLTR	30.7B	27.7B	-5.48%	-7.12%	19.01	1.11	6.47%	17.50%
BURL	13.9B	8.7B	-6.86%	8.00%	60.51	1.6	-6.65%	-43.71%
FIVE	10.8B	2.9B	-4.27%	28.72%	47.06	3.68	8.83%	-12.24%
MID-CAP
LAD	5.9B	28.2B	-23.37%	-34.80%	4.69	0.21	23.46%	18.01%
M	5.7B	24.8B	-15.92%	-23.81%	3.69	0.23	10.06%	66.71%
KSS	3.6B	18.6B	-29.64%	-56.39%	5.09	0.19	-2.61%	-43.69%
OLLI	3.3B	1.7B	-6.65%	30.03%	34.57	1.92	-3.66%	-46.77%
JWN	2.7B	15.7B	-21.74%	-29.19%	8.43	0.18	12.53%	2863.64%
SMALL-CAP
CWH	883.4M	7.0B	-18.31%	-29.13%	6.45	0.13	0.77%	-50.82%
HZO	624.3M	2.3B	-9.40%	-37.18%	3.44	0.27	10.30%	8.61%
ZUMZ	375.2M	1.0B	-23.86%	-52.54%	7.85	0.37	-12.30%	-61.41%
BIG	371.1M	5.7B	-21.82%	-63.47%	-2.5	0.07	-8.11%	-165.69%
PRTS	302.5M	661.6M	-25.35%	-25.67%	-318.04	0.46	13.59%	90.80%

Financials for Dollar General

* denotes actual numbers (not divided by Millions)
Income Statement (Last 12 Months)					(In Millions)
Description	(%) Q/Q	2022Q4	2022Q3	2022Q2	2022Q1	2021Q4
Revenue	2.7%	36,293	35,346	34,571	34,220	33,984
Gross Profit	2.4%	11,372	11,106	10,796	10,813	10,849
S&GA Expenses	2.5%	8,180	7,984	7,738	7,592	7,553
EBITDA	2.4%	3,890	3,800	3,718	-	-
EBITDA Margin	-0.3%	0.11*	0.11*	0.11*	-	-
Earnings Before Taxes	1.9%	3,016	2,961	2,901	3,063	3,137
EBT Margin	-0.8%	0.08*	0.08*	0.08*	-	-
Interest Expenses	9.0%	175	160	157	158	159
Net Income	1.7%	2,354	2,315	2,274	2,399	2,445
Net Income Margin	-1.0%	0.06*	0.07*	0.07*	-	-
Free Cahsflow	-24.4%	1,887	2,496	2,612	-	-

Balance Sheet					(In Millions)
Description	(%) Q/Q	2022Q4	2022Q3	2022Q2	2022Q1	2021Q4
Assets	2.7%	29,007	28,239	26,956	26,327	25,925
Current Assets	4.3%	8,017	7,683	6,737	6,304	6,182
Cash Equivalents	11.2%	363	326	336	345	489
Inventory	3.0%	7,145	6,936	6,087	5,614	5,299
Net PPE	6.0%	4,927	4,648	4,451	4,346	4,178
Goodwill	0%	4,339	4,339	4,339	4,339	4,339
Current Liabilities	-14.1%	6,503	7,567	6,952	5,979	5,740
Long Term Debt	1.1%	4,172	4,127	-	-	-
LT Debt, Current	0%	901	901	-	-	-
LT Debt, Non Current	39.5%	5,986	4,291	3,947	4,172	-
Shareholder's Equity	-1.5%	6,094	6,188	5,962	6,262	6,190
Retained Earnings	-6.0%	2,223	2,364	2,158	2,474	2,461
Additional Paid-In Capital	1.3%	3,676	3,628	3,606	3,588	3,527
Accumulated Depreciation	-	3,592	-	-	-	-
Shares Outstanding	-0.8%	225	226	228	230	232

Cashflow (Last 12 Months)					(In Millions)
Description	(%) Q/Q	2022Q4	2022Q3	2022Q2	2022Q1	2021Q4
Cashflow From Operations	-24.4%	1,887	2,496	2,612	2,866	2,719
Share Based Compensation	-5.2%	76.00	80.00	82.00	78.00	77.00
Cashflow From Investing	-13.3%	-1,365	-1,205	-1,069	-1,065	-1,104
Cashflow From Financing	49.4%	-647	-1,278	-1,895	-2,832	-3,325
Dividend Payments	5.8%	469	444	418	392	383
Buy Backs	9.6%	2,132	1,945	2,296	2,550	2,960

Risks for DG

What is the probability of a big loss on DG?

16.9%

Probability that Dollar General stock will be more than 20% underwater in next one year

Probability that Dollar General stock will be more than 30% underwater in next one year.

Probability that Dollar General stock will be more than 40% underwater in next one year.

*Calculated based on probability distribution of losses observed in actual data in the last 5 years.

How does DG drawdown profile look like?

Y-axis is the maximum loss one would have experienced if Dollar General was unfortunately bought at previous high price.

Drawdowns

Returns for DG

Cumulative Returns on DG

17.2%

10-Year Cumulative Returns

15.6%

7-Year Cumulative Returns

19.0%

5-Year Cumulative Returns

15.2%

3-Year Cumulative Returns

What are the long-term rolling returns for DG?

FIve years rolling returns for Dollar General.

Annualized Returns

Which funds bought or sold DG recently?

View All Details

Datesorted ascending	Fund Name	Type	% Chg	$ Change	$ Held	% Portfolio
2023-03-15	B. Riley Wealth Advisors, Inc.	added	42.27	808,395	2,557,400	0.07%
2023-03-13	Claro Advisors LLC	new	-	217,687	217,687	0.07%
2023-03-10	BAILLIE GIFFORD & CO	unchanged	-	268	15,268	-%
2023-03-10	VICTORY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT INC	added	24.53	7,960,960	36,546,000	0.04%
2023-03-08	SHEETS SMITH WEALTH MANAGEMENT	unchanged	-	10,024	376,024	0.06%
2023-03-08	Capital Asset Advisory Services LLC	reduced	-24.49	-241,135	884,865	0.07%
2023-03-06	Rockefeller Capital Management L.P.	added	1.56	511,000	12,540,000	0.06%
2023-03-06	Aldebaran Financial Inc.	reduced	-13.97	-161,959	1,130,040	1.21%
2023-03-03	TIAA, FSB	added	1.88	687,262	15,644,300	0.06%
2023-03-02	OLIVER LAGORE VANVALIN INVESTMENT GROUP	added	1.47	10,410	254,410	0.14%

Latest Funds Activity

Are funds buying DG calls or puts?

Calls

Puts

Are funds bullish or bearish(Calls - Puts)?

Net Call Options

No. of funds that own DG

No. of Funds

Dollar General News

Schedule 13G FIlings of Dollar General

Date Filed	Name of Filer	Percent of Class	No. of Shares	Form Type
Feb 14, 2023	price t rowe associates inc /md/	6.1%	13,741,870	SC 13G/A
Feb 13, 2023	capital world investors	3.0%	6,626,864	SC 13G/A
Feb 09, 2023	vanguard group inc	8.21%	18,348,392	SC 13G/A
Feb 03, 2023	blackrock inc.	8.2%	18,364,732	SC 13G/A
Feb 14, 2022	price t rowe associates inc /md/	7.9%	18,522,760	SC 13G/A
Feb 11, 2022	capital world investors	6.7%	15,508,790	SC 13G
Feb 09, 2022	vanguard group inc	7.77%	18,009,857	SC 13G/A
Feb 01, 2022	blackrock inc.	7.9%	18,399,415	SC 13G/A
Feb 16, 2021	price t rowe associates inc /md/	8.3%	20,481,800	SC 13G/A
Feb 10, 2021	vanguard group inc	7.83%	19,178,414	SC 13G/A

DG Fair Value

Dollar General fair value in different scenarios

The table shows the Fair Value estimates for Dollar General for various scenarios. Disclaimer: These are just estimations from a model. None of the models are good at predicting the future. Please dont buy or sell stocks based on these outputs.

Fair Value	Very Pessimistic	Pessimistic	Base Case	Optimistic	Very Optimistic
Very Low Inflation	164.27 -22.55%	202.22 -4.65%	261.04 23.08%	332.02 56.55%	410.27 93.44%
Current Inflation	149.52 -29.50%	181.44 -14.45%	229.92 8.41%	288.72 36.13%	353.71 66.77%
Very High Inflation	131.45 -38.02%	156.48 -26.22%	193.45 -8.79%	238.79 12.59%	289.10 36.31%

Historical Dollar General Fair Value Estimates

Very Pessimistic Case

Pessimistic Case

Fair Value

Optimistic Case

Very Optimistic Case

Closing Stock Price

Recent SEC filings of Dollar General

View All Filings

Date Filed	Form Type	Document
Mar 16, 2023	4	Insider Trading
Mar 16, 2023	4	Insider Trading
Mar 16, 2023	4	Insider Trading
Mar 16, 2023	4	Insider Trading
Mar 16, 2023	4	Insider Trading
Mar 16, 2023	4	Insider Trading
Mar 16, 2023	4	Insider Trading
Mar 16, 2023	4	Insider Trading
Mar 16, 2023	4	Insider Trading
Mar 16, 2023	4	Insider Trading

Latest Insider Trading transactions for DG

Filter Transactions

Datesorted ascending	Name	Buy/Sell	$ Value	Avg. Price	# Shares	Title
2023-02-06	CALBERT MICHAEL M	acquired	-	-	828	-
2023-01-04	BRYANT WARREN F	sold	-475,913	243	-1,951	-
2023-01-04	BRYANT WARREN F	acquired	474,283	53.6944	8,833	-
2023-01-01	Santana Ralph	back to issuer	-566	246	-2.3007	-
2022-12-13	RHODES WILLIAM C III	gifted	-	-	-8,500	-
2022-09-30	Wenkoff Carman R	sold	-2,404,910	240	-10,000	evp & chief information ofc
2022-09-30	Wenkoff Carman R	acquired	768,900	76.89	10,000	evp & chief information ofc
2022-09-01	VASOS TODD J	sold	-23,492,500	241	-97,259	chief executive officer
2022-09-01	VASOS TODD J	acquired	16,229,100	166	97,259	chief executive officer
2022-08-30	VASOS TODD J	acquired	2,969,300	117	25,239	chief executive officer

About Dollar General

Todd J. Vasos

www.dollargeneral.com

65535

Dollar General Corporation, a discount retailer, provides various merchandise products in the southern, southwestern, Midwestern, and eastern United States. It offers consumable products, including paper and cleaning products, such as paper towels, bath tissues, paper dinnerware, trash and storage bags, disinfectants, and laundry products; packaged food comprising cereals, pasta, canned soups, fruits and vegetables, condiments, spices, sugar, and flour; and perishables that include milk, eggs, bread, refrigerated and frozen food, beer, and wine. The company's consumable products also comprise snacks, such as candies, cookies, crackers, salty snacks, and carbonated beverages; health and beauty products, including over-the-counter medicines and personal care products, such as soaps, body washes, shampoos, cosmetics, and dental hygiene and foot care products; pet supplies and pet food; and tobacco products. In addition, it offers seasonal products comprising holiday items, toys, batteries, small electronics, greeting cards, stationery, prepaid phones and accessories, gardening supplies, hardware, and automotive and home office supplies; and home products that include kitchen supplies, cookware, small appliances, light bulbs, storage containers, frames, candles, craft supplies and kitchen, and bed and bath soft goods. Further, the company provides apparel, which comprise casual everyday apparel for infants, toddlers, girls, boys, women, and men, as well as socks, underwear, disposable diapers, shoes, and accessories. As of February 25, 2022, it operated 18,190 stores in 47 states in the United States. The company was formerly known as J.L. Turner & Son, Inc. and changed its name to Dollar General Corporation in 1968. Dollar General Corporation was founded in 1939 and is based in Goodlettsville, Tennessee.

DG Income Statement

2022-10-28

CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF INCOME - USD ($) shares in Thousands, $ in Thousands	3 Months Ended		9 Months Ended
	Oct. 28, 2022	Oct. 29, 2021	Oct. 28, 2022	Oct. 29, 2021
CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF INCOME
Net sales	$ 9,464,891	$ 8,517,839	$ 27,641,956	$ 25,569,001
Cost of goods sold	6,579,696	5,898,400	18,970,175	17,456,235
Gross profit	2,885,195	2,619,439	8,671,781	8,112,766
Selling, general and administrative expenses	2,149,650	1,953,851	6,276,653	5,688,760
Operating profit	735,545	665,588	2,395,128	2,424,006
Interest expense	53,681	39,198	136,455	119,020
Other (income) expense	415		415
Income before income taxes	681,449	626,390	2,258,258	2,304,986
Income tax expense	155,282	139,359	501,404	503,187
Net income	$ 526,167	$ 487,031	$ 1,756,854	$ 1,801,799
Earnings per share
Basic (in dollars per share)	$ 2.34	$ 2.09	$ 7.76	$ 7.66
Diluted (in dollars per share)	$ 2.33	$ 2.08	$ 7.72	$ 7.61
Weighted average shares outstanding:
Basic (in shares)	224,527	232,491	226,434	235,321
Diluted (in shares)	225,697	234,026	227,587	236,911
Dividends per share	$ 0.55	$ 0.42	$ 1.65	$ 1.26

DG Balance Sheet

2022-10-28

CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS - USD ($) $ in Thousands	Oct. 28, 2022	Jan. 28, 2022
Current assets:
Cash and cash equivalents	$ 362,731	$ 344,829
Merchandise inventories	7,144,722	5,614,325
Income taxes receivable	188,082	97,394
Prepaid expenses and other current assets	321,481	247,295
Total current assets	8,017,016	6,303,843
Net property and equipment	4,927,450	4,346,127
Operating lease assets	10,469,374	10,092,930
Goodwill	4,338,589	4,338,589
Other intangible assets, net	1,199,700	1,199,750
Other assets, net	55,029	46,132
Total assets	29,007,158	26,327,371
Current liabilities:
Current portion of operating lease liabilities	1,257,060	1,183,559
Accounts payable	4,127,076	3,738,604
Accrued expenses and other	1,110,505	1,049,139
Income taxes payable	8,006	8,055
Total current liabilities	6,502,647	5,979,357
Long-term obligations	5,985,728	4,172,068
Long-term operating lease liabilities	9,195,042	8,890,709
Deferred income taxes	992,479	825,254
Other liabilities	237,456	197,997
Commitments and contingencies
Shareholders' equity:
Preferred stock
Common stock	195,629	201,265
Additional paid-in capital	3,676,077	3,587,914
Retained earnings	2,222,823	2,473,999
Accumulated other comprehensive loss	(723)	(1,192)
Total shareholders' equity	6,093,806	6,261,986
Total liabilities and shareholders' equity	$ 29,007,158	$ 26,327,371