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Flowers Foods Inc Stock Research

FLO

27.48USD+0.26(+0.96%)Market Closed

Market Summary

USD27.48+0.26
Market Closed
0.96%

FLO Stock Price

FLO RSI Chart

FLO Valuation

Market Cap

5.8B

Price/Earnings (Trailing)

25.51

Price/Sales (Trailing)

1.21

EV/EBITDA

12.06

Price/Free Cashflow

30.37

FLO Price/Sales (Trailing)

FLO Profitability

EBT Margin

6.22%

Return on Equity

15.82%

Return on Assets

6.89%

Free Cashflow Yield

3.29%

FLO Fundamentals

FLO Revenue

Revenue (TTM)

4.8B

Revenue Y/Y

10.08%

Revenue Q/Q

-6.52%

FLO Earnings

Earnings (TTM)

228.4M

Earnings Y/Y

23.59%

Earnings Q/Q

19.91%

Price Action

52 Week Range

24.1530.16
(Low)(High)

Last 7 days

-0.7%

Last 30 days

-2.3%

Last 90 days

-5.0%

Trailing 12 Months

10.7%

FLO Financial Health

Current Ratio

1.43

Debt/Equity

0.62

Debt/Cashflow

0.34

FLO Investor Care

Dividend Yield

3.17%

Dividend/Share (TTM)

0.87

Shares Dilution (1Y)

0.04%

Diluted EPS (TTM)

1.07

Peers (Alternatives to Flowers Foods)

View All Peers In Detail
NameMkt Capsorted ascendingRevenuePrice %, 1MReturns, 1YP/EP/SRev 1-YrInc 1-Yr
LARGE-CAP
91.4B
31.5B
0.20% 10.51%
33.65
2.9
9.67% -36.81%
46.8B
26.5B
-5.50% 3.91%
19.79
1.77
1.70% 133.50%
24.6B
12.4B
-13.07% -18.53%
24.65
1.98
3.48% 5.62%
19.2B
12.0B
-3.02% 15.18%
33.31
1.63
7.29% -38.13%
16.2B
9.2B
4.90% 28.00%
19.88
1.76
10.54% -11.73%
MID-CAP
5.8B
4.8B
-2.30% 10.65%
25.51
1.21
10.97% 10.77%
3.7B
1.2B
-0.88% 3.46%
30.35
3.15
12.56% 546.17%
SMALL-CAP
1.5B
1.9B
-9.38% -46.93%
33.69
0.83
-1.15% -63.64%
1.1B
2.2B
20.74% -38.65%
-94.61
0.5
5.19% -116.88%
1.1B
418.9M
5.51% -56.16%
-2.93
2.57
-9.85% -101.06%
126.4M
263.4M
10.69% 27.76%
2.77
0.48
5.45% 786.05%
94.8M
136.7M
8.35% -13.96%
824.6
0.69
20.26% -96.88%
78.3M
496.5M
-9.89% -37.05%
-2.72
0.16
17.42% -12.94%
37.9M
-
-5.36% -29.88%
-3.8
0.72
513.44% -38.56%
32.6M
33.1M
- -31.32%
-9.02
0.98
2.77% -346.02%

Financials for Flowers Foods

Income Statement (Last 12 Months)
(In Millions)
* denotes actual numbers (not divided by Millions)
Description(%) Q/Q2022Q42022Q32022Q32022Q22021Q4
Revenue2.1%4,8064,7074,5764,4654,331
  S&GA Expenses1.4%1,8511,8241,8031,7731,720
  R&D Expenses-6.00----
EBITDA2.8%470457452453-
EBITDA Margin0.7%0.10*0.10*0.10*0.10*-
Earnings Before Taxes4.1%299287283286271
EBT Margin2.0%0.06*0.06*0.06*0.06*-
Interest Expenses0.2%29.0029.0029.0029.0032.00
Net Income4.2%228219217220206
Net Income Margin2.1%0.05*0.05*0.05*0.05*-
Free Cahsflow33.9%192143129212-
Balance Sheet
(In Millions)
* denotes actual numbers (not divided by Millions)
Description(%) Q/Q2022Q42022Q32022Q32022Q22021Q4
Assets-0.9%3,3133,3433,3413,3323,253
  Current Assets-3.6%805835827819746
    Cash Equivalents-4.4%165173163205186
  Inventory1.1%169167166148135
  Net PPE1.3%849838830816799
  Goodwill0%545545545545545
  Current Liabilities-5.1%564595570538520
    LT Debt, Non Current0.0%892892891891891
Shareholder's Equity0.6%1,4431,4351,4471,4591,411
  Retained Earnings0.2%1,0041,0021,0081,001962
  Additional Paid-In Capital0.8%690684679674678
Accumulated Depreciation-0.3%1,4471,4511,4471,4231,394
Shares Outstanding-0.1%212212212--
Cashflow (Last 12 Months)
(In Millions)
Description(%) Q/Q2022Q42022Q32022Q32022Q22021Q4
Cashflow From Operations12.5%361321305371345
  Share Based Compensation4.5%26.0025.0024.0023.0021.00
Cashflow From Investing34.0%-151-228-227-214-191
Cashflow From Financing-1.7%-222-218-207-201-274
  Dividend Payments1.1%187184182180176
  Buy Backs0%35.0035.0025.0019.0010.00

Risks for FLO

What is the probability of a big loss on FLO?

0%


Probability that Flowers Foods stock will be more than 20% underwater in next one year

0%


Probability that Flowers Foods stock will be more than 30% underwater in next one year.

0%


Probability that Flowers Foods stock will be more than 40% underwater in next one year.
*Calculated based on probability distribution of losses observed in actual data in the last 5 years.

How does FLO drawdown profile look like?

Y-axis is the maximum loss one would have experienced if Flowers Foods was unfortunately bought at previous high price.

Drawdowns

Returns for FLO

Cumulative Returns on FLO

6.6%


10-Year Cumulative Returns

9.2%


7-Year Cumulative Returns

8.3%


5-Year Cumulative Returns

9.1%


3-Year Cumulative Returns

What are the long-term rolling returns for FLO?

FIve years rolling returns for Flowers Foods.

Annualized Returns

Which funds bought or sold FLO recently?

View All Details
Datesorted ascendingFund NameType% Chg$ Change$ Held% Portfolio
2023-03-10
VICTORY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT INC
reduced
-47.69
-690,578
1,075,420
-%
2023-03-06
Rockefeller Capital Management L.P.
reduced
-98.6
-123,000
2,000
-%
2023-02-28
Voya Investment Management LLC
reduced
-11.24
564,056
17,570,100
0.03%
2023-02-24
NATIXIS
new
-
1,178,340
1,178,340
0.01%
2023-02-22
TEACHERS RETIREMENT SYSTEM OF THE STATE OF KENTUCKY
unchanged
-
130,000
918,000
0.01%
2023-02-21
NORTHWESTERN MUTUAL WEALTH MANAGEMENT CO
reduced
-18.31
-1,770
39,230
-%
2023-02-21
NORTHWESTERN MUTUAL INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT COMPANY, LLC
reduced
-36.19
-176,974
511,026
0.01%
2023-02-21
MACQUARIE GROUP LTD
added
59,422
58,733,000
58,848,000
0.07%
2023-02-17
TRUIST FINANCIAL CORP
reduced
-1.55
4,579,020
35,961,000
0.06%
2023-02-17
Linden Thomas Advisory Services, LLC
new
-
700,767
700,767
0.20%

1–10 of 49

Latest Funds Activity

Are funds buying FLO calls or puts?
Calls
Puts
Are funds bullish or bearish(Calls - Puts)?
Net Call Options
No. of funds that own FLO
No. of Funds

Flowers Foods News

MarketBeat

Coldstream Capital Management Inc. Purchases Shares of 58242 ....

MarketBeat,
11 hours ago

Nasdaq

Investor's Business Daily

Investor's Business Daily

Marketscreener.com

Marketscreener.com

Stock Traders Daily

StockNews.com

Schedule 13G FIlings of Flowers Foods

Date FiledName of FilerPercent of ClassNo. of SharesForm Type
Feb 14, 2023
price t rowe associates inc /md/
7.2%
15,175,507
SC 13G/A
Jan 25, 2023
blackrock inc.
9.0%
19,070,133
SC 13G
Jan 10, 2023
vanguard group inc
10.32%
21,799,194
SC 13G/A
Feb 10, 2022
price t rowe associates inc /md/
9.9%
21,132,685
SC 13G/A
Feb 10, 2022
price t rowe associates inc /md/
10.0%
21,348,890
SC 13G/A
Feb 03, 2022
blackrock inc.
8.8%
18,676,554
SC 13G/A
Feb 16, 2021
price t rowe associates inc /md/
9.0%
19,206,675
SC 13G/A
Feb 10, 2021
vanguard group inc
8.59%
18,177,472
SC 13G/A
Jan 29, 2021
blackrock inc.
8.1%
17,205,892
SC 13G/A
Feb 14, 2020
price t rowe associates inc /md/
7.6%
16,178,249
SC 13G/A

FLO Fair Value

Flowers Foods fair value in different scenarios

The table shows the Fair Value estimates for Flowers Foods for various scenarios. Disclaimer: These are just estimations from a model. None of the models are good at predicting the future. Please dont buy or sell stocks based on these outputs.
Fair ValueVery PessimisticPessimisticBase CaseOptimisticVery Optimistic
Very Low Inflation

10.04

-63.46%

14.26

-48.11%

16.88

-38.57%

25.19

-8.33%

31.19

13.50%
Current Inflation

9.55

-65.25%

12.52

-54.44%

16.03

-41.67%

22.14

-19.43%

25.87

-5.86%
Very High Inflation

8.57

-68.81%

11.78

-57.13%

12.68

-53.86%

18.15

-33.95%

22.01

-19.91%

Historical Flowers Foods Fair Value Estimates


Very Pessimistic Case
Pessimistic Case
Fair Value
Optimistic Case
Very Optimistic Case
Closing Stock Price

Recent SEC filings of Flowers Foods

View All Filings
Date Filed Form Type Document
Mar 10, 2023
4
Insider Trading
Mar 10, 2023
4
Insider Trading
Mar 07, 2023
8-K
Current Report
Mar 01, 2023
4
Insider Trading
Feb 24, 2023
4
Insider Trading
Feb 24, 2023
4
Insider Trading
Feb 24, 2023
4
Insider Trading
Feb 24, 2023
4
Insider Trading
Feb 24, 2023
4
Insider Trading
Feb 24, 2023
4
Insider Trading

Latest Insider Trading transactions for FLO

Filter Transactions
Datesorted ascendingNameBuy/Sell$ ValueAvg. Price# SharesTitle
2023-03-09
DEESE GEORGE E
gifted
-
-
-3,500
-
2023-03-01
DEESE GEORGE E
gifted
-
-
12,000
-
2023-03-01
DEESE GEORGE E
gifted
-
-
-12,000
-
2023-02-28
COURTNEY H MARK
gifted
-
-
-1,960
chief brand officer
2023-02-27
DEESE GEORGE E
gifted
-
-
-1,750
-
2023-02-27
Cox Cindy
acquired
-
-
10,590
chief human resources officer
2023-02-22
BENTON ROBERT L JR
sold (taxes)
-285,691
28.41
-10,056
evp of network optimization
2023-02-22
CHAFFIN JOHN MARK
acquired
-
-
24,952
chief information officer
2023-02-22
ROACH DAVID M
acquired
-
-
22,249
chief strategic projects offic
2023-02-22
KINSEY R STEVE
sold (taxes)
-819,060
28.41
-28,830
chief financial officer & cao

1–10 of 50

Amos R. McMullian
8900
Flowers Foods, Inc. produces and markets packaged bakery products in the United States. It offers fresh breads, buns, rolls, snack cakes, and tortillas, as well as frozen breads and rolls under the Nature's Own, Dave's Killer Bread, Wonder, Canyon Bakehouse, Mrs. Freshley's, and Tastykake brand names. The company distributes its products through a direct-store-delivery distribution and a warehouse delivery system, as well as operates 46 bakeries comprising 44 owned and two leased. Its customers include mass merchandisers, supermarkets and other retailers, convenience stores, national and regional restaurants, quick-serve chains, retail in-store bakeries, foodservice distributors, food wholesalers, institutions, dollar stores, and vending companies. The company was formerly known as Flowers Industries and changed its name to Flowers Foods, Inc. in 2001. Flowers Foods, Inc. was founded in 1919 and is headquartered in Thomasville, Georgia.

FLO Income Statement

2022-12-31
Consolidated Statements of Income - USD ($)
shares in Thousands, $ in Thousands
12 Months Ended
Dec. 31, 2022
Jan. 01, 2022
Jan. 02, 2021
Income Statement [Abstract]   
Sales$ 4,805,822$ 4,330,767$ 4,387,991
Materials, supplies, labor and other production costs (exclusive of depreciation and amortization shown separately below)2,501,9952,175,2472,196,142
Selling, distribution and administrative expenses1,850,5941,719,7971,693,387
Depreciation and amortization141,957136,559141,384
Restructuring and related impairment charges  35,483
FASTER Act and loss on inferior ingredients236944107
Plant closure costs and impairment of assets7,825  
Multi-employer pension plan withdrawal costs 3,300 
Income from operations303,215294,920321,488
Interest expense28,92131,53438,790
Interest income(23,644)(23,533)(26,696)
Loss on extinguishment of debt 16,149 
Pension plan settlement and curtailment loss 403108,757
Other components of net periodic pension and postretirement benefits credit77340574
Income before income taxes298,711270,772200,711
Income tax expense70,31764,58548,393
Net income$ 228,394$ 206,187$ 152,318
Basic:   
Net income per common share$ 1.08$ 0.97$ 0.72
Weighted average shares outstanding211,895211,840211,782
Diluted:   
Net income per common share$ 1.07$ 0.97$ 0.72
Weighted average shares outstanding213,227213,033212,345
Cash dividends paid per common share$ 0.8700$ 0.8300$ 0.7900

FLO Balance Sheet

2022-12-31
Consolidated Balance Sheets - USD ($)
$ in Thousands
Dec. 31, 2022
Jan. 01, 2022
Current assets:  
Cash and cash equivalents$ 165,134$ 185,871
Accounts and notes receivable, net of allowances of $18,754 and $15,398, respectively349,477305,196
Inventories:  
Raw materials71,05854,458
Packaging materials28,20224,580
Finished goods69,43755,942
Inventories, net168,697134,980
Spare parts and supplies73,61468,479
Other48,01851,592
Total current assets804,940746,118
Property, plant and equipment:  
Land111,792112,729
Buildings553,606550,947
Machinery and equipment1,308,9701,256,821
Furniture, fixtures and transportation equipment184,722184,528
Construction in progress137,63187,367
Property, plant and equipment, gross2,296,7212,192,392
Less: accumulated depreciation(1,447,396)(1,393,664)
Property, plant and equipment, net849,325798,728
Financing lease right-of-use assets1,7783,476
Operating lease right-of-use assets273,436289,013
Notes receivable from independent distributor partners136,882154,310
Assets held for sale12,49311,369
Other assets24,5159,623
Goodwill545,244545,244
Other intangible assets, net664,381695,432
Total assets3,312,9943,253,313
Current liabilities:  
Current maturities of financing leases1,7791,584
Current maturities of operating leases43,99046,390
Accounts payable343,380268,500
Other accrued liabilities175,276203,443
Total current liabilities564,425519,917
Long-term debt and right-of-use lease liabilities:  
Noncurrent long-term debt891,842890,609
Noncurrent financing lease obligations1161,910
Noncurrent operating lease obligations236,977250,638
Total long-term debt and right-of-use lease liabilities1,128,9351,143,157
Other liabilities:  
Post-retirement/post-employment obligations5,8147,249
Deferred taxes134,832133,757
Other long-term liabilities35,69837,959
Total other long-term liabilities176,344178,965
Commitments and contingencies
Stockholders’ equity:  
Common stock — $.01 stated par value and $.001 current par value; 500,000,000 authorized shares; 228,729,585 issued shares199199
Treasury stock - 17,595,619 and 17,334,804 shares, respectively(252,613)(232,304)
Capital in excess of par value689,959678,414
Retained earnings1,004,271962,378
Accumulated other comprehensive income1,4742,587
Total stockholders’ equity1,443,2901,411,274
Total liabilities and stockholders’ equity3,312,9943,253,313
Series A Preferred Stock  
Stockholders’ equity:  
Preferred Stock, value
Series B Preferred Stock  
Stockholders’ equity:  
Preferred Stock, value