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Post Holdings Inc Stock Research

POST

86.75USD+0.24(+0.28%)Delayed

Market Summary

USD86.75+0.24
Delayed
0.28%

POST Alerts

POST Stock Price

POST RSI Chart

POST Valuation

Market Cap

5.1B

Price/Earnings (Trailing)

5.87

Price/Sales (Trailing)

0.84

EV/EBITDA

2.6

Price/Free Cashflow

13.61

POST Price/Sales (Trailing)

POST Profitability

Operating Margin

25.50%

EBT Margin

17.31%

Return on Equity

25.36%

Return on Assets

7.66%

Free Cashflow Yield

7.35%

POST Fundamentals

POST Revenue

Revenue (TTM)

6.1B

Revenue Y/Y

17.11%

Revenue Q/Q

-0.81%

POST Earnings

Earnings (TTM)

869.3M

Earnings Y/Y

541.83%

Earnings Q/Q

9.54%

Price Action

52 Week Range

63.5398.84
(Low)(High)

Last 7 days

-3.3%

Last 30 days

-5.2%

Last 90 days

-5.4%

Trailing 12 Months

29.4%

POST Financial Health

Current Ratio

2.79

POST Investor Care

Buy Backs (1Y)

5.92%

Diluted EPS (TTM)

13.91

Peers (Alternatives to Post Holdings)

View All Peers In Detail
NameMkt Capsorted ascendingRevenuePrice %, 1MReturns, 1YP/EP/SRev 1-YrInc 1-Yr
LARGE-CAP
47.8B
19.4B
5.68% 30.69%
16.42
2.47
4.08% 30.06%
42.9B
101.6B
-6.21% -5.98%
9.88
0.42
19.13% 60.21%
24.6B
12.4B
-13.07% -18.53%
24.65
1.98
3.48% 5.62%
22.2B
15.3B
-4.56% 7.32%
23.08
1.45
8.00% -35.48%
14.2B
4.5B
-1.61% 95.64%
29.89
3.14
15.82% 144.25%
MID-CAP
6.3B
7.9B
-4.08% 17.64%
12.87
0.8
15.26% 320.51%
5.6B
17.5B
-3.30% 3.89%
7.5
0.32
18.21% 2306.23%
5.1B
6.1B
-5.17% 29.41%
5.87
0.84
18.23% 1243.59%
2.8B
595.3M
-12.57% -35.91%
-47.05
4.7
39.92% -100.32%
SMALL-CAP
126.4M
263.4M
10.69% 27.76%
2.77
0.48
5.45% 786.05%
94.8M
136.7M
8.35% -13.96%
824.6
0.69
20.26% -96.88%
37.9M
-
-5.36% -29.88%
-3.8
0.72
513.44% -38.56%
32.6M
33.1M
- -31.32%
-9.02
0.98
2.77% -346.02%
5.7M
39.0M
-4.42% 165.68%
-0.49
0.15
30.61% -109.87%

Financials for Post Holdings

Income Statement (Last 12 Months)
(In Millions)
* denotes actual numbers (not divided by Millions)
Description(%) Q/Q2022Q42022Q32022Q22022Q12021Q4
Revenue3.9%6,0805,8515,6285,3515,142
Gross Profit5.7%1,5511,4681,4071,4111,396
  S&GA Expenses0.9%913905885849815
  R&D Expenses-19.00----
EBITDA8.6%1,7301,5931,4371,432-
EBITDA Margin4.5%0.28*0.27*0.26*0.23*-
Earnings Before Taxes17.5%1,05289577751288.00
EBT Margin13.1%0.17*0.15*0.13*0.11*-
Interest Expenses-5.3%301318329335332
Net Income14.9%86975770347865.00
Net Income Margin10.6%0.14*0.13*0.12*0.08*-
Free Cahsflow-2.0%375383411568-
Balance Sheet
(In Millions)
Description(%) Q/Q2022Q42022Q32022Q22022Q12021Q4
Assets0.4%11,35511,30811,56011,83112,613
  Current Assets-1.2%2,1972,2232,2912,0642,435
    Cash Equivalents3.5%6075872644901,130
  Inventory8.7%597549525518622
  Net PPE0.3%1,7571,7521,7271,7361,769
  Goodwill1.5%4,4164,3504,4204,4754,567
Liabilities-1.7%7,6077,7367,8488,0379,736
  Current Liabilities-4.3%788824758794941
    LT Debt, Current0%1.001.001.001.0036.00
    LT Debt, Non Current-1.2%5,8875,9576,0326,1067,429
Shareholder's Equity5.4%3,4283,2543,3953,4772,566
  Retained Earnings8.3%1,2011,1091,024852327
  Additional Paid-In Capital-0.2%4,7374,7484,7284,7124,248
Shares Outstanding-2.6%59.0060.0062.0063.00-
Minority Interest-0.9%12.0012.0012.0012.006.00
Cashflow (Last 12 Months)
(In Millions)
Description(%) Q/Q2022Q42022Q32022Q22022Q12021Q4
Cashflow From Operations-2.0%375383411568580
  Share Based Compensation4.3%69.0066.0060.0056.0049.00
Cashflow From Investing-25.4%-277-221-189-580-748
Cashflow From Financing-66.1%-642-386-728-231214
  Buy Backs-30.9%306443417272391

Risks for POST

What is the probability of a big loss on POST?

39.2%


Probability that Post Holdings stock will be more than 20% underwater in next one year

38.1%


Probability that Post Holdings stock will be more than 30% underwater in next one year.

18.9%


Probability that Post Holdings stock will be more than 40% underwater in next one year.
*Calculated based on probability distribution of losses observed in actual data in the last 5 years.

How does POST drawdown profile look like?

Y-axis is the maximum loss one would have experienced if Post Holdings was unfortunately bought at previous high price.

Drawdowns

Returns for POST

Cumulative Returns on POST

7.8%


10-Year Cumulative Returns

2.9%


7-Year Cumulative Returns

2.4%


5-Year Cumulative Returns

-0.2%


3-Year Cumulative Returns

What are the long-term rolling returns for POST?

FIve years rolling returns for Post Holdings.

Annualized Returns

Which funds bought or sold POST recently?

View All Details
Datesorted ascendingFund NameType% Chg$ Change$ Held% Portfolio
2023-03-15
B. Riley Wealth Advisors, Inc.
new
-
331,543
331,543
0.01%
2023-03-10
VICTORY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT INC
added
30.82
659,867
2,154,870
-%
2023-03-08
SHEETS SMITH WEALTH MANAGEMENT
unchanged
-
31,399
336,399
0.05%
2023-03-06
Rockefeller Capital Management L.P.
added
64.45
64,000
142,000
-%
2023-02-28
Voya Investment Management LLC
reduced
-32.03
-681,561
2,037,440
-%
2023-02-24
SRS Capital Advisors, Inc.
added
4.75
17,357
127,357
0.02%
2023-02-22
TEACHERS RETIREMENT SYSTEM OF THE STATE OF KENTUCKY
unchanged
-
74,000
787,000
0.01%
2023-02-21
Empowered Funds, LLC
new
-
2,762,500
2,762,500
0.18%
2023-02-21
NORTHWESTERN MUTUAL WEALTH MANAGEMENT CO
unchanged
-
672
7,672
-%
2023-02-21
KB FINANCIAL PARTNERS, LLC
added
0.11
31,000
328,000
0.11%

1–10 of 45

Latest Funds Activity

Are funds buying POST calls or puts?
Calls
Puts
Are funds bullish or bearish(Calls - Puts)?
Net Call Options
No. of funds that own POST
No. of Funds

Post Holdings News

Digital Journal

Personal Accident and Health Insurance Market is Expected to ....

Digital Journal,
3 hours ago

Digital Journal

Zacks Investment Research

4 Grocery Stocks to Buy on Soaring Online Sales.

Zacks Investment Research,
4 days ago

Yahoo Finance

Nasdaq

Schedule 13G FIlings of Post Holdings

Date FiledName of FilerPercent of ClassNo. of SharesForm Type
Feb 13, 2023
route one investment company, l.p.
8.6%
5,076,973
SC 13G/A
Feb 13, 2023
blackrock inc.
8.4%
5,271,375
SC 13G
Feb 09, 2023
vanguard group inc
8.90%
5,227,450
SC 13G/A
Jan 25, 2023
blackrock inc.
8.4%
4,908,473
SC 13G
Jan 05, 2023
jpmorgan chase & co
4.7%
2,773,604
SC 13G/A
Feb 11, 2022
route one investment company, l.p.
11.2%
7,000,573
SC 13G/A
Feb 03, 2022
blackrock inc.
7.7%
4,786,818
SC 13G/A
Jan 14, 2022
jpmorgan chase & co
5.5%
3,488,813
SC 13G/A
Feb 22, 2021
stiritz william p
7.27%
4,651,518
SC 13D/A
Feb 10, 2021
vanguard group inc
8.30%
5,468,798
SC 13G/A

POST Fair Value

Post Holdings fair value in different scenarios

The table shows the Fair Value estimates for Post Holdings for various scenarios. Disclaimer: These are just estimations from a model. None of the models are good at predicting the future. Please dont buy or sell stocks based on these outputs.
Fair ValueVery PessimisticPessimisticBase CaseOptimisticVery Optimistic
Very Low Inflation

69.73

-19.62%

89.26

2.89%

115.52

33.16%

162.43

87.24%

197.82

128.03%
Current Inflation

66.46

-23.39%

82.62

-4.76%

104.94

20.97%

144.30

66.34%

173.98

100.55%
Very High Inflation

62.24

-28.25%

74.47

-14.16%

92.28

6.37%

123.17

41.98%

146.45

68.82%

Historical Post Holdings Fair Value Estimates


Very Pessimistic Case
Pessimistic Case
Fair Value
Optimistic Case
Very Optimistic Case
Closing Stock Price

Recent SEC filings of Post Holdings

View All Filings
Date Filed Form Type Document
Mar 08, 2023
4
Insider Trading
Mar 01, 2023
4
Insider Trading
Mar 01, 2023
4
Insider Trading
Mar 01, 2023
4
Insider Trading
Mar 01, 2023
4
Insider Trading
Mar 01, 2023
4
Insider Trading
Mar 01, 2023
4
Insider Trading
Mar 01, 2023
4
Insider Trading
Mar 01, 2023
4
Insider Trading
Mar 01, 2023
4
Insider Trading

Latest Insider Trading transactions for POST

Filter Transactions
Datesorted ascendingNameBuy/Sell$ ValueAvg. Price# SharesTitle
2023-03-07
SKARIE DAVID P
sold
-224,355
89.7419
-2,500
-
2023-01-31
GROTE ROBERT E
acquired
-
-
1,700
-
2023-01-31
STIRITZ WILLIAM P
acquired
-
-
2,700
-
2023-01-31
KEMPER DAVID W
acquired
-
-
1,700
-
2023-01-31
HARSHMAN ELLEN F
acquired
-
-
1,700
-
2023-01-31
CURL GREGORY L
acquired
-
-
1,700
-
2023-01-31
BURWELL DOROTHY M
acquired
-
-
1,700
-
2023-01-31
JOHNSON JENNIFER KUPERMAN
acquired
-
-
1,700
-
2023-01-31
SKARIE DAVID P
acquired
-
-
1,700
-
2023-01-31
ERB THOMAS C
acquired
-
-
1,700
-

1–10 of 50

Robert V. Vitale
10700
Post Holdings, Inc. operates as a consumer packaged goods holding company in the United States and internationally. It operates through five segments: Post Consumer Brands, Weetabix, Foodservice, Refrigerated Retail, and BellRing Brands. The Post Consumer Brands segment manufactures, markets, and sells branded and private label ready-to-eat (RTE) cereal and hot cereal products. It serves grocery stores, mass merchandise customers, supercenters, club stores, natural/specialty stores, and drug store customers, as well as sells its products in the military, ecommerce, and foodservice channels. The Weetabix segment primarily markets and distributes branded and private label RTE cereal, hot cereals and other cereal-based food products, breakfast drinks, and muesli. This segment sells its products to grocery stores, discounters, wholesalers, and convenience stores, as well as through ecommerce. The Foodservice segment produces and distributes egg and potato products in the foodservice and food ingredient channels. It serves foodservice distributors and national restaurant chains. The Refrigerated Retail segment produces and distributes side dishes, eggs and egg products, sausages, cheese, and other dairy and refrigerated products for grocery stores and mass merchandise customers. The BellRing Brands segment markets and distributes ready-to-drink (RTD) protein shakes, other RTD beverages, powders, nutrition bars, and supplements. It serves club stores, food, drug and mass customers, and online retailers, as well as specialty retailers, convenience stores, and distributors. Post Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1895 and is headquartered in Saint Louis, Missouri.

POST Income Statement

2022-09-30
Consolidated Statements of Operations - USD ($)
shares in Millions, $ in Millions
12 Months Ended
Sep. 30, 2022
Sep. 30, 2021
Sep. 30, 2020
Income Statement [Abstract]   
Net Sales$ 5,851.2$ 4,980.7$ 4,711.0
Cost of goods sold4,383.73,552.63,261.6
Gross Profit1,467.51,428.11,449.4
Selling, general and administrative expenses904.7807.0782.5
Amortization of intangible assets146.0143.2138.1
Other operating expense (income), net1.2(9.8)(7.7)
Operating Profit415.6487.7536.5
Interest expense, net317.8332.6333.9
(Gain) loss on extinguishment of debt, net(72.6)93.272.9
(Income) expense on swaps, net(268.0)(122.8)187.1
Gain on investment in BellRing(437.1)0.00.0
Other income, net(19.8)(29.3)(11.5)
Earnings (Loss) before Income Taxes and Equity Method Loss895.3214.0(45.9)
Income tax expense (benefit)85.758.2(21.3)
Equity method loss, net of tax67.143.930.9
Net Earnings (Loss) from Continuing Operations, Including Noncontrolling Interests   742.5111.9(55.5)
Less: Net earnings attributable to noncontrolling interests from continuing operations7.57.01.0
Net Earnings (Loss) from Continuing Operations735.0104.9(56.5)
Net earnings from discontinued operations, net of tax and noncontrolling interest21.661.857.3
Net Earnings$ 756.6$ 166.7$ 0.8
Earnings per Common share:   
Earnings (Loss) from Continuing Operations, Per Basic Share$ 12.07$ 1.46$ (0.82)
Earnings (Loss) from Continuing Operations, Per Diluted Share11.751.44(0.82)
Discontinued Operation, Earnings (Loss) from Discontinued Operation, Net of Tax, Per Basic Share0.350.960.83
Discontinued Operation, Earnings (Loss) from Discontinued Operation, Net of Tax, Per Diluted Share0.340.940.83
Basic earnings per common share (in usd per share)12.422.420.01
Diluted earnings per common share (in usd per share)$ 12.09$ 2.38$ 0.01
Weighted-Average Common Shares Outstanding:   
Weighted-average shares for basic earnings per share60.964.268.9
Weighted-average shares for diluted earnings per share62.765.368.9

POST Balance Sheet

2022-09-30
Consolidated Balance Sheets - USD ($)
$ in Millions
Sep. 30, 2022
Sep. 30, 2021
Current Assets  
Cash and cash equivalents$ 586.5$ 664.5
Restricted cash3.67.1
Receivables, net544.2452.4
Inventories549.1476.6
Investment in BellRing94.80.0
Current investments held in trust346.80.0
Current assets of discontinued operations0.0385.7
Prepaid expenses and other current assets98.499.8
Total Current Assets2,223.42,086.1
Property, net1,751.91,830.5
Goodwill4,349.64,501.6
Other intangible assets, net2,712.22,924.4
Equity method investments4.170.7
Investments held in trust0.0345.0
Other assets of discontinued operations0.0308.4
Other assets266.8348.0
Total Assets11,308.012,414.7
Current Liabilities  
Current portion of long-term debt1.11.1
Accounts payable452.7384.2
Current liabilities of discontinued operations0.0248.9
Other current liabilities370.0415.0
Total Current Liabilities823.81,049.2
Long-term debt5,956.66,441.6
Deferred income taxes688.4729.1
Other liabilities of discontinued operations0.0627.7
Other liabilities266.9507.9
Total Liabilities7,735.79,355.5
Commitments and Contingencies
Redeemable noncontrolling interest306.6305.0
Shareholders’ Equity  
Preferred stock, $0.01 par value, 50.0 shares authorized, zero shares issued and outstanding in each year0.00.0
Common stock, $0.01 par value, 300.0 shares authorized, 58.7 and 63.1 shares outstanding, respectively0.90.9
Additional paid-in capital4,748.24,253.5
Retained earnings1,109.0347.3
Accumulated other comprehensive (loss) income(262.9)42.9
Treasury stock, at cost, 26.9 and 22.0 shares, respectively(2,341.2)(1,902.2)
Total Shareholders’ Equity Excluding Noncontrolling Interests3,254.02,742.4
Noncontrolling interests11.711.8
Total Shareholders’ Equity3,265.72,754.2
Total Liabilities and Shareholders’ Equity$ 11,308.0$ 12,414.7