Market Summary
USD86.75+0.24
Delayed0.28%
POST Stock Price
POST RSI Chart
POST Valuation
POST Price/Sales (Trailing)
POST Profitability
POST Fundamentals
POST Revenue
POST Earnings
Price Action
52 Week Range
63.5398.84
(Low)(High)
Last 7 days
-3.3%
Last 30 days
-5.2%
Last 90 days
-5.4%
Trailing 12 Months
29.4%
POST Financial Health
POST Investor Care
Peers (Alternatives to Post Holdings)
View All Peers In Detail| Name | Mkt Capsorted ascending | Revenue | Price %, 1M | Returns, 1Y | P/E | P/S | Rev 1-Yr | Inc 1-Yr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LARGE-CAP | ||||||||
GIS | 47.8B | 19.4B | 5.68% | 30.69% | 16.42 | 2.47 | 4.08% | 30.06% |
ADM | 42.9B | 101.6B | -6.21% | -5.98% | 9.88 | 0.42 | 19.13% | 60.21% |
HRL | 24.6B | 12.4B | -13.07% | -18.53% | 24.65 | 1.98 | 3.48% | 5.62% |
K | 22.2B | 15.3B | -4.56% | 7.32% | 23.08 | 1.45 | 8.00% | -35.48% |
LW | 14.2B | 4.5B | -1.61% | 95.64% | 29.89 | 3.14 | 15.82% | 144.25% |
| MID-CAP | ||||||||
INGR | 6.3B | 7.9B | -4.08% | 17.64% | 12.87 | 0.8 | 15.26% | 320.51% |
PPC | 5.6B | 17.5B | -3.30% | 3.89% | 7.5 | 0.32 | 18.21% | 2306.23% |
POST | 5.1B | 6.1B | -5.17% | 29.41% | 5.87 | 0.84 | 18.23% | 1243.59% |
FRPT | 2.8B | 595.3M | -12.57% | -35.91% | -47.05 | 4.7 | 39.92% | -100.32% |
| SMALL-CAP | ||||||||
BRID | 126.4M | 263.4M | 10.69% | 27.76% | 2.77 | 0.48 | 5.45% | 786.05% |
LWAY | 94.8M | 136.7M | 8.35% | -13.96% | 824.6 | 0.69 | 20.26% | -96.88% |
PLAG | 37.9M | - | -5.36% | -29.88% | -3.8 | 0.72 | 513.44% | -38.56% |
RMCF | 32.6M | 33.1M | - | -31.32% | -9.02 | 0.98 | 2.77% | -346.02% |
RIBT | 5.7M | 39.0M | -4.42% | 165.68% | -0.49 | 0.15 | 30.61% | -109.87% |
Financials for Post Holdings
| Income Statement (Last 12 Months) | (In Millions) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Description | (%) Q/Q | 2022Q4 | 2022Q3 | 2022Q2 | 2022Q1 | 2021Q4 |
| Revenue | 3.9% | 6,080 | 5,851 | 5,628 | 5,351 | 5,142 |
| Gross Profit | 5.7% | 1,551 | 1,468 | 1,407 | 1,411 | 1,396 |
| S&GA Expenses | 0.9% | 913 | 905 | 885 | 849 | 815 |
| R&D Expenses | - | 19.00 | - | - | - | - |
| EBITDA | 8.6% | 1,730 | 1,593 | 1,437 | 1,432 | - |
| EBITDA Margin | 4.5% | 0.28* | 0.27* | 0.26* | 0.23* | - |
| Earnings Before Taxes | 17.5% | 1,052 | 895 | 777 | 512 | 88.00 |
| EBT Margin | 13.1% | 0.17* | 0.15* | 0.13* | 0.11* | - |
| Interest Expenses | -5.3% | 301 | 318 | 329 | 335 | 332 |
| Net Income | 14.9% | 869 | 757 | 703 | 478 | 65.00 |
| Net Income Margin | 10.6% | 0.14* | 0.13* | 0.12* | 0.08* | - |
| Free Cahsflow | -2.0% | 375 | 383 | 411 | 568 | - |
| Balance Sheet | (In Millions) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Description | (%) Q/Q | 2022Q4 | 2022Q3 | 2022Q2 | 2022Q1 | 2021Q4 |
| Assets | 0.4% | 11,355 | 11,308 | 11,560 | 11,831 | 12,613 |
| Current Assets | -1.2% | 2,197 | 2,223 | 2,291 | 2,064 | 2,435 |
| Cash Equivalents | 3.5% | 607 | 587 | 264 | 490 | 1,130 |
| Inventory | 8.7% | 597 | 549 | 525 | 518 | 622 |
| Net PPE | 0.3% | 1,757 | 1,752 | 1,727 | 1,736 | 1,769 |
| Goodwill | 1.5% | 4,416 | 4,350 | 4,420 | 4,475 | 4,567 |
| Liabilities | -1.7% | 7,607 | 7,736 | 7,848 | 8,037 | 9,736 |
| Current Liabilities | -4.3% | 788 | 824 | 758 | 794 | 941 |
| LT Debt, Current | 0% | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 36.00 |
| LT Debt, Non Current | -1.2% | 5,887 | 5,957 | 6,032 | 6,106 | 7,429 |
| Shareholder's Equity | 5.4% | 3,428 | 3,254 | 3,395 | 3,477 | 2,566 |
| Retained Earnings | 8.3% | 1,201 | 1,109 | 1,024 | 852 | 327 |
| Additional Paid-In Capital | -0.2% | 4,737 | 4,748 | 4,728 | 4,712 | 4,248 |
| Shares Outstanding | -2.6% | 59.00 | 60.00 | 62.00 | 63.00 | - |
| Minority Interest | -0.9% | 12.00 | 12.00 | 12.00 | 12.00 | 6.00 |
| Cashflow (Last 12 Months) | (In Millions) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Description | (%) Q/Q | 2022Q4 | 2022Q3 | 2022Q2 | 2022Q1 | 2021Q4 |
| Cashflow From Operations | -2.0% | 375 | 383 | 411 | 568 | 580 |
| Share Based Compensation | 4.3% | 69.00 | 66.00 | 60.00 | 56.00 | 49.00 |
| Cashflow From Investing | -25.4% | -277 | -221 | -189 | -580 | -748 |
| Cashflow From Financing | -66.1% | -642 | -386 | -728 | -231 | 214 |
| Buy Backs | -30.9% | 306 | 443 | 417 | 272 | 391 |
Risks for POST
What is the probability of a big loss on POST?
39.2%
Probability that Post Holdings stock will be more than 20% underwater in next one year
38.1%
Probability that Post Holdings stock will be more than 30% underwater in next one year.
18.9%
Probability that Post Holdings stock will be more than 40% underwater in next one year.
*Calculated based on probability distribution of losses observed in actual data in the last 5 years.
How does POST drawdown profile look like?
Y-axis is the maximum loss one would have experienced if Post Holdings was unfortunately bought at previous high price.
Drawdowns
Returns for POST
Cumulative Returns on POST
7.8%
10-Year Cumulative Returns
2.9%
7-Year Cumulative Returns
2.4%
5-Year Cumulative Returns
-0.2%
3-Year Cumulative Returns
What are the long-term rolling returns for POST?
FIve years rolling returns for Post Holdings.
Annualized Returns
Which funds bought or sold POST recently?
View All Details| Datesorted ascending | Fund Name | Type | % Chg | $ Change | $ Held | % Portfolio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2023-03-15 | B. Riley Wealth Advisors, Inc. | new | - | 331,543 | 331,543 | 0.01% |
2023-03-10 | VICTORY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT INC | added | 30.82 | 659,867 | 2,154,870 | -% |
2023-03-08 | SHEETS SMITH WEALTH MANAGEMENT | unchanged | - | 31,399 | 336,399 | 0.05% |
2023-03-06 | Rockefeller Capital Management L.P. | added | 64.45 | 64,000 | 142,000 | -% |
2023-02-28 | Voya Investment Management LLC | reduced | -32.03 | -681,561 | 2,037,440 | -% |
2023-02-24 | SRS Capital Advisors, Inc. | added | 4.75 | 17,357 | 127,357 | 0.02% |
2023-02-22 | TEACHERS RETIREMENT SYSTEM OF THE STATE OF KENTUCKY | unchanged | - | 74,000 | 787,000 | 0.01% |
2023-02-21 | Empowered Funds, LLC | new | - | 2,762,500 | 2,762,500 | 0.18% |
2023-02-21 | NORTHWESTERN MUTUAL WEALTH MANAGEMENT CO | unchanged | - | 672 | 7,672 | -% |
2023-02-21 | KB FINANCIAL PARTNERS, LLC | added | 0.11 | 31,000 | 328,000 | 0.11% |
Latest Funds Activity
Calls
Puts
Net Call Options
No. of Funds
Post Holdings News
Schedule 13G FIlings of Post Holdings
| Date Filed | Name of Filer | Percent of Class | No. of Shares | Form Type | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2023 | route one investment company, l.p. | 8.6% | 5,076,973 | SC 13G/A | |
| Feb 13, 2023 | blackrock inc. | 8.4% | 5,271,375 | SC 13G | |
| Feb 09, 2023 | vanguard group inc | 8.90% | 5,227,450 | SC 13G/A | |
| Jan 25, 2023 | blackrock inc. | 8.4% | 4,908,473 | SC 13G | |
| Jan 05, 2023 | jpmorgan chase & co | 4.7% | 2,773,604 | SC 13G/A | |
| Feb 11, 2022 | route one investment company, l.p. | 11.2% | 7,000,573 | SC 13G/A | |
| Feb 03, 2022 | blackrock inc. | 7.7% | 4,786,818 | SC 13G/A | |
| Jan 14, 2022 | jpmorgan chase & co | 5.5% | 3,488,813 | SC 13G/A | |
| Feb 22, 2021 | stiritz william p | 7.27% | 4,651,518 | SC 13D/A | |
| Feb 10, 2021 | vanguard group inc | 8.30% | 5,468,798 | SC 13G/A |
POST Fair Value
Post Holdings fair value in different scenarios
The table shows the Fair Value estimates for Post Holdings for various scenarios. Disclaimer: These are just estimations from a model. None of the models are good at predicting the future. Please dont buy or sell stocks based on these outputs.
| Fair Value | Very Pessimistic | Pessimistic | Base Case | Optimistic | Very Optimistic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Very Low Inflation | 69.73 -19.62% | 89.26 2.89% | 115.52 33.16% | 162.43 87.24% | 197.82 128.03% |
| Current Inflation | 66.46 -23.39% | 82.62 -4.76% | 104.94 20.97% | 144.30 66.34% | 173.98 100.55% |
| Very High Inflation | 62.24 -28.25% | 74.47 -14.16% | 92.28 6.37% | 123.17 41.98% | 146.45 68.82% |
Historical Post Holdings Fair Value Estimates
Very Pessimistic Case
Pessimistic Case
Fair Value
Optimistic Case
Very Optimistic Case
Closing Stock Price
Recent SEC filings of Post Holdings
View All Filings| Date Filed | Form Type | Document | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 08, 2023 | 4 | Insider Trading | |
| Mar 01, 2023 | 4 | Insider Trading | |
| Mar 01, 2023 | 4 | Insider Trading | |
| Mar 01, 2023 | 4 | Insider Trading | |
| Mar 01, 2023 | 4 | Insider Trading | |
| Mar 01, 2023 | 4 | Insider Trading | |
| Mar 01, 2023 | 4 | Insider Trading | |
| Mar 01, 2023 | 4 | Insider Trading | |
| Mar 01, 2023 | 4 | Insider Trading | |
| Mar 01, 2023 | 4 | Insider Trading |
Latest Insider Trading transactions for POST
Filter Transactions| Datesorted ascending | Name | Buy/Sell | $ Value | Avg. Price | # Shares | Title |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2023-03-07 | SKARIE DAVID P | sold | -224,355 | 89.7419 | -2,500 | - |
2023-01-31 | GROTE ROBERT E | acquired | - | - | 1,700 | - |
2023-01-31 | STIRITZ WILLIAM P | acquired | - | - | 2,700 | - |
2023-01-31 | KEMPER DAVID W | acquired | - | - | 1,700 | - |
2023-01-31 | HARSHMAN ELLEN F | acquired | - | - | 1,700 | - |
2023-01-31 | CURL GREGORY L | acquired | - | - | 1,700 | - |
2023-01-31 | BURWELL DOROTHY M | acquired | - | - | 1,700 | - |
2023-01-31 | JOHNSON JENNIFER KUPERMAN | acquired | - | - | 1,700 | - |
2023-01-31 | SKARIE DAVID P | acquired | - | - | 1,700 | - |
2023-01-31 | ERB THOMAS C | acquired | - | - | 1,700 | - |
Post Holdings, Inc. operates as a consumer packaged goods holding company in the United States and internationally. It operates through five segments: Post Consumer Brands, Weetabix, Foodservice, Refrigerated Retail, and BellRing Brands. The Post Consumer Brands segment manufactures, markets, and sells branded and private label ready-to-eat (RTE) cereal and hot cereal products. It serves grocery stores, mass merchandise customers, supercenters, club stores, natural/specialty stores, and drug store customers, as well as sells its products in the military, ecommerce, and foodservice channels. The Weetabix segment primarily markets and distributes branded and private label RTE cereal, hot cereals and other cereal-based food products, breakfast drinks, and muesli. This segment sells its products to grocery stores, discounters, wholesalers, and convenience stores, as well as through ecommerce. The Foodservice segment produces and distributes egg and potato products in the foodservice and food ingredient channels. It serves foodservice distributors and national restaurant chains. The Refrigerated Retail segment produces and distributes side dishes, eggs and egg products, sausages, cheese, and other dairy and refrigerated products for grocery stores and mass merchandise customers. The BellRing Brands segment markets and distributes ready-to-drink (RTD) protein shakes, other RTD beverages, powders, nutrition bars, and supplements. It serves club stores, food, drug and mass customers, and online retailers, as well as specialty retailers, convenience stores, and distributors. Post Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1895 and is headquartered in Saint Louis, Missouri.
POST Income Statement
2022-09-30Consolidated Statements of Operations - USD ($) shares in Millions, $ in Millions | 12 Months Ended | ||
|---|---|---|---|
Sep. 30, 2022 | Sep. 30, 2021 | Sep. 30, 2020 | |
| Income Statement [Abstract] | |||
| Net Sales | $ 5,851.2 | $ 4,980.7 | $ 4,711.0 |
| Cost of goods sold | 4,383.7 | 3,552.6 | 3,261.6 |
| Gross Profit | 1,467.5 | 1,428.1 | 1,449.4 |
| Selling, general and administrative expenses | 904.7 | 807.0 | 782.5 |
| Amortization of intangible assets | 146.0 | 143.2 | 138.1 |
| Other operating expense (income), net | 1.2 | (9.8) | (7.7) |
| Operating Profit | 415.6 | 487.7 | 536.5 |
| Interest expense, net | 317.8 | 332.6 | 333.9 |
| (Gain) loss on extinguishment of debt, net | (72.6) | 93.2 | 72.9 |
| (Income) expense on swaps, net | (268.0) | (122.8) | 187.1 |
| Gain on investment in BellRing | (437.1) | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Other income, net | (19.8) | (29.3) | (11.5) |
| Earnings (Loss) before Income Taxes and Equity Method Loss | 895.3 | 214.0 | (45.9) |
| Income tax expense (benefit) | 85.7 | 58.2 | (21.3) |
| Equity method loss, net of tax | 67.1 | 43.9 | 30.9 |
| Net Earnings (Loss) from Continuing Operations, Including Noncontrolling Interests | 742.5 | 111.9 | (55.5) |
| Less: Net earnings attributable to noncontrolling interests from continuing operations | 7.5 | 7.0 | 1.0 |
| Net Earnings (Loss) from Continuing Operations | 735.0 | 104.9 | (56.5) |
| Net earnings from discontinued operations, net of tax and noncontrolling interest | 21.6 | 61.8 | 57.3 |
| Net Earnings | $ 756.6 | $ 166.7 | $ 0.8 |
| Earnings per Common share: | |||
| Earnings (Loss) from Continuing Operations, Per Basic Share | $ 12.07 | $ 1.46 | $ (0.82) |
| Earnings (Loss) from Continuing Operations, Per Diluted Share | 11.75 | 1.44 | (0.82) |
| Discontinued Operation, Earnings (Loss) from Discontinued Operation, Net of Tax, Per Basic Share | 0.35 | 0.96 | 0.83 |
| Discontinued Operation, Earnings (Loss) from Discontinued Operation, Net of Tax, Per Diluted Share | 0.34 | 0.94 | 0.83 |
| Basic earnings per common share (in usd per share) | 12.42 | 2.42 | 0.01 |
| Diluted earnings per common share (in usd per share) | $ 12.09 | $ 2.38 | $ 0.01 |
| Weighted-Average Common Shares Outstanding: | |||
| Weighted-average shares for basic earnings per share | 60.9 | 64.2 | 68.9 |
| Weighted-average shares for diluted earnings per share | 62.7 | 65.3 | 68.9 |
POST Balance Sheet
2022-09-30Consolidated Balance Sheets - USD ($) $ in Millions | Sep. 30, 2022 | Sep. 30, 2021 |
|---|---|---|
| Current Assets | ||
| Cash and cash equivalents | $ 586.5 | $ 664.5 |
| Restricted cash | 3.6 | 7.1 |
| Receivables, net | 544.2 | 452.4 |
| Inventories | 549.1 | 476.6 |
| Investment in BellRing | 94.8 | 0.0 |
| Current investments held in trust | 346.8 | 0.0 |
| Current assets of discontinued operations | 0.0 | 385.7 |
| Prepaid expenses and other current assets | 98.4 | 99.8 |
| Total Current Assets | 2,223.4 | 2,086.1 |
| Property, net | 1,751.9 | 1,830.5 |
| Goodwill | 4,349.6 | 4,501.6 |
| Other intangible assets, net | 2,712.2 | 2,924.4 |
| Equity method investments | 4.1 | 70.7 |
| Investments held in trust | 0.0 | 345.0 |
| Other assets of discontinued operations | 0.0 | 308.4 |
| Other assets | 266.8 | 348.0 |
| Total Assets | 11,308.0 | 12,414.7 |
| Current Liabilities | ||
| Current portion of long-term debt | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| Accounts payable | 452.7 | 384.2 |
| Current liabilities of discontinued operations | 0.0 | 248.9 |
| Other current liabilities | 370.0 | 415.0 |
| Total Current Liabilities | 823.8 | 1,049.2 |
| Long-term debt | 5,956.6 | 6,441.6 |
| Deferred income taxes | 688.4 | 729.1 |
| Other liabilities of discontinued operations | 0.0 | 627.7 |
| Other liabilities | 266.9 | 507.9 |
| Total Liabilities | 7,735.7 | 9,355.5 |
| Commitments and Contingencies | ||
| Redeemable noncontrolling interest | 306.6 | 305.0 |
| Shareholders’ Equity | ||
| Preferred stock, $0.01 par value, 50.0 shares authorized, zero shares issued and outstanding in each year | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Common stock, $0.01 par value, 300.0 shares authorized, 58.7 and 63.1 shares outstanding, respectively | 0.9 | 0.9 |
| Additional paid-in capital | 4,748.2 | 4,253.5 |
| Retained earnings | 1,109.0 | 347.3 |
| Accumulated other comprehensive (loss) income | (262.9) | 42.9 |
| Treasury stock, at cost, 26.9 and 22.0 shares, respectively | (2,341.2) | (1,902.2) |
| Total Shareholders’ Equity Excluding Noncontrolling Interests | 3,254.0 | 2,742.4 |
| Noncontrolling interests | 11.7 | 11.8 |
| Total Shareholders’ Equity | 3,265.7 | 2,754.2 |
| Total Liabilities and Shareholders’ Equity | $ 11,308.0 | $ 12,414.7 |