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Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc Stock Research

OLLI

58.02USD-0.08(-0.14%)Delayed

Market Summary

USD58.02-0.08
Delayed
-0.14%

OLLI Stock Price

OLLI RSI Chart

OLLI Valuation

Market Cap

3.7B

Price/Earnings (Trailing)

38.7

Price/Sales (Trailing)

2.15

EV/EBITDA

24.16

Price/Free Cashflow

-3.7K

OLLI Price/Sales (Trailing)

OLLI Profitability

EBT Margin

7.13%

Return on Equity

7.16%

Return on Assets

4.7%

Free Cashflow Yield

-0.03%

OLLI Fundamentals

OLLI Revenue

Revenue (TTM)

1.7B

Revenue Y/Y

9.02%

Revenue Q/Q

-7.6%

OLLI Earnings

Earnings (TTM)

94.4M

Earnings Y/Y

-0.44%

Earnings Q/Q

63.74%

Price Action

52 Week Range

40.1172.27
(Low)(High)

Last 7 days

11.1%

Last 30 days

-2.0%

Last 90 days

25.6%

Trailing 12 Months

34.3%

OLLI Financial Health

Current Ratio

2.83

Debt/Equity

8e-4

Debt/Cashflow

43.06

OLLI Investor Care

Buy Backs (1Y)

2.20%

Diluted EPS (TTM)

1.5

Peers (Alternatives to Ollie Bargain Outlet Holdings)

View All Peers In Detail
NameMkt Capsorted ascendingRevenuePrice %, 1MReturns, 1YP/EP/SRev 1-YrInc 1-Yr
LARGE-CAP
72.5B
109.1B
-4.54% -25.39%
26.08
0.66
2.94% -59.98%
46.3B
36.3B
-3.85% -6.54%
19.65
1.27
6.80% -3.69%
30.7B
27.7B
-3.66% -11.30%
18.97
1.11
6.47% 17.50%
13.0B
8.7B
-11.05% 9.12%
56.37
1.49
-6.65% -43.71%
11.1B
2.9B
-3.80% 22.67%
47.99
3.75
8.83% -12.24%
MID-CAP
5.8B
28.2B
-15.90% -32.78%
4.63
0.21
23.46% 18.01%
5.7B
24.8B
-16.87% -34.22%
3.69
0.23
10.06% 66.71%
3.7B
1.7B
-1.98% 34.27%
38.7
2.15
-3.66% -46.77%
3.6B
18.6B
-25.77% -64.38%
5.09
0.19
-2.61% -43.69%
2.5B
15.7B
-19.90% -42.70%
7.53
0.16
12.53% 2863.64%
SMALL-CAP
835.1M
7.0B
-17.01% -31.09%
6.1
0.12
0.77% -50.82%
600.7M
2.3B
-19.83% -35.33%
3.31
0.26
10.30% 8.61%
349.3M
1.0B
-27.38% -56.69%
7.31
0.34
-12.30% -61.41%
304.5M
5.7B
-30.62% -71.97%
-2.05
0.05
-8.11% -165.69%
294.8M
661.6M
-18.86% -27.99%
-309.98
0.45
13.59% 90.80%

Financials for Ollie Bargain Outlet Holdings

Income Statement (Last 12 Months)
(In Millions)
* denotes actual numbers (not divided by Millions)
Description(%) Q/Q2022Q42022Q32022Q22021Q42021Q3
Revenue2.8%1,7031,6571,6081,7681,799
Gross Profit2.0%633621640703-
  S&GA Expenses2.3%479468460443-
EBITDA0.8%144143171--
EBITDA Margin-1.9%0.08*0.09*0.10*--
Earnings Before Taxes0.2%121121150232-
EBT Margin-2.5%0.07*0.07*0.09*--
Interest Expenses1.4%0.000.000.000.00-
Net Income-0.1%94.0095.00115177-
Net Income Margin-2.8%0.06*0.06*0.07*--
Free Cahsflow97.1%-0.99-33.80-61.80--
Balance Sheet
(In Millions)
* denotes actual numbers (not divided by Millions)
Description(%) Q/Q2022Q42022Q32022Q22022Q12021Q4
Assets0.5%2,0101,9991,9901,9721,947
  Current Assets-1.4%714725731727713
    Cash Equivalents-16.5%182218205247230
  Inventory6.0%524494517467472
  Net PPE7.4%170158150147147
  Goodwill0%445445445445445
Liabilities0.7%692687687684686
  Current Liabilities-0.8%252254258263275
  Long Term Debt4.8%1.001.001.001.001.00
Shareholder's Equity0.5%1,3181,3121,3021,2881,260
  Retained Earnings2.5%933910896884839
  Additional Paid-In Capital0.4%675672666664662
Accumulated Depreciation5.2%143136129123116
Shares Outstanding-0.1%63.0063.0063.0064.00-
Cashflow (Last 12 Months)
(In Millions)
Description(%) Q/Q2022Q42022Q32022Q22022Q12021Q4
Cashflow From Operations506.6%43.007.00-26.6145.00128
  Share Based Compensation11.4%9.008.008.008.008.00
Cashflow From Investing-8.3%-43.94-40.59-32.03-31.83-31.13
Cashflow From Financing75.6%-47.00-192-208-213-192
  Buy Backs-74.3%50.00195210220200

Risks for OLLI

What is the probability of a big loss on OLLI?

87.7%


Probability that Ollie Bargain Outlet Holdings stock will be more than 20% underwater in next one year

79.2%


Probability that Ollie Bargain Outlet Holdings stock will be more than 30% underwater in next one year.

46.1%


Probability that Ollie Bargain Outlet Holdings stock will be more than 40% underwater in next one year.
*Calculated based on probability distribution of losses observed in actual data in the last 5 years.

How does OLLI drawdown profile look like?

Y-axis is the maximum loss one would have experienced if Ollie Bargain Outlet Holdings was unfortunately bought at previous high price.

Drawdowns

Returns for OLLI

Cumulative Returns on OLLI

14.5%


7-Year Cumulative Returns

-0.3%


5-Year Cumulative Returns

10.0%


3-Year Cumulative Returns

What are the long-term rolling returns for OLLI?

FIve years rolling returns for Ollie Bargain Outlet Holdings.

Annualized Returns

Which funds bought or sold OLLI recently?

View All Details
Datesorted ascendingFund NameType% Chg$ Change$ Held% Portfolio
2023-03-23
MetLife Investment Management, LLC
reduced
-1.82
-210,800
1,726,520
0.01%
2023-03-17
American Portfolios Advisors
sold off
-100
-8,813
-
-%
2023-03-10
VICTORY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT INC
reduced
-38.97
-16,202,100
20,122,900
0.02%
2023-03-08
SHEETS SMITH WEALTH MANAGEMENT
unchanged
-
-29,767
295,233
0.05%
2023-03-06
Rockefeller Capital Management L.P.
reduced
-15.46
-206,000
679,000
-%
2023-02-28
Voya Investment Management LLC
added
1.19
-69,191
778,809
-%
2023-02-27
Parallax Volatility Advisers, L.P.
added
4.39
-28,540
513,460
-%
2023-02-24
NATIXIS
sold off
-100
-4,259,000
-
-%
2023-02-22
TEACHERS RETIREMENT SYSTEM OF THE STATE OF KENTUCKY
reduced
-72.77
-1,255,000
412,000
-%
2023-02-21
NORTHWESTERN MUTUAL INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT COMPANY, LLC
reduced
-35.82
-180,673
252,327
0.01%

1–10 of 41

Latest Funds Activity

Are funds buying OLLI calls or puts?
Calls
Puts
Are funds bullish or bearish(Calls - Puts)?
Net Call Options
No. of funds that own OLLI
No. of Funds

Ollie Bargain Outlet Holdings News

24/7 Wall St.

Tuesday’s Top Analyst Upgrades and Downgrades: Alphabet, Caterpillar, Corning, Dish Network, KeyCorp, Nvidia, Pinterest, Roku, Tesla, Wynn Resorts and More.

24/7 Wall St.,
5 hours ago

The Motley Fool

3 Stocks to Avoid This Week.

The Motley Fool,
30 hours ago

Zacks Investment Research

Company News for Mar 23, 2023.

Zacks Investment Research,
5 days ago

Investing.com UK

Schedule 13G FIlings of Ollie Bargain Outlet Holdings

Date FiledName of FilerPercent of ClassNo. of SharesForm Type
Feb 14, 2023
t. rowe price investment management, inc.
5.8%
3,630,597
SC 13G
Feb 14, 2023
price t rowe associates inc /md/
0.3%
156,128
SC 13G/A
Feb 09, 2023
fmr llc
-
0
SC 13G/A
Feb 09, 2023
vanguard group inc
8.71%
5,421,296
SC 13G/A
Feb 08, 2023
wasatch advisors inc
-
0
SC 13G/A
Feb 06, 2023
wellington management group llp
0.01%
4,206
SC 13G/A
Feb 03, 2023
blackrock inc.
8.0%
5,006,831
SC 13G/A
Jan 30, 2023
bank of new york mellon corp
5.00%
3,113,572
SC 13G
Nov 17, 2022
estate of mark l. butler
0%
0
SC 13G/A
Feb 14, 2022
kayne anderson rudnick investment management llc
10.22%
6,453,636
SC 13G/A

OLLI Fair Value

Ollie Bargain Outlet Holdings fair value in different scenarios

The table shows the Fair Value estimates for Ollie Bargain Outlet Holdings for various scenarios. Disclaimer: These are just estimations from a model. None of the models are good at predicting the future. Please dont buy or sell stocks based on these outputs.
Fair ValueVery PessimisticPessimisticBase CaseOptimisticVery Optimistic
Very Low Inflation

37.34

-35.64%

50.22

-13.44%

76.34

31.58%

105.08

81.11%

123.71

113.22%
Current Inflation

34.64

-40.30%

45.77

-21.11%

67.77

16.80%

91.83

58.27%

107.35

85.02%
Very High Inflation

31.29

-46.07%

40.37

-30.42%

57.68

-0.59%

76.51

31.87%

88.55

52.62%

Historical Ollie Bargain Outlet Holdings Fair Value Estimates


Very Pessimistic Case
Pessimistic Case
Fair Value
Optimistic Case
Very Optimistic Case
Closing Stock Price

Recent SEC filings of Ollie Bargain Outlet Holdings

View All Filings
Date Filed Form Type Document
Mar 27, 2023
4
Insider Trading
Mar 27, 2023
4
Insider Trading
Mar 27, 2023
4
Insider Trading
Mar 27, 2023
4
Insider Trading
Mar 27, 2023
4
Insider Trading
Mar 27, 2023
4
Insider Trading
Mar 27, 2023
4
Insider Trading
Mar 27, 2023
4
Insider Trading
Mar 27, 2023
4
Insider Trading
Mar 27, 2023
4
Insider Trading

Latest Insider Trading transactions for OLLI

Filter Transactions
Datesorted ascendingNameBuy/Sell$ ValueAvg. Price# SharesTitle
2023-03-22
Kraus Larry
acquired
-
-
458
vp, cio
2023-03-22
McLain Kevin
acquired
-
-
632
svp, merchandising
2023-03-22
Kraus Larry
sold (taxes)
-7,484
58.47
-128
vp, cio
2023-03-22
SWYGERT JOHN W
sold (taxes)
-77,472
58.47
-1,325
president & ceo
2023-03-22
McLain Kevin
sold (taxes)
-10,758
58.47
-184
svp, merchandising
2023-03-22
SWYGERT JOHN W
acquired
-
-
4,649
president & ceo
2023-03-20
McLain Kevin
sold (taxes)
-41,060
52.24
-786
svp, merchandising
2023-03-20
SWYGERT JOHN W
acquired
-
-
1,956
president & ceo
2023-03-20
McLain Kevin
acquired
-
-
2,441
svp, merchandising
2023-03-20
Kraus Larry
sold (taxes)
-29,620
52.24
-567
vp, cio

1–10 of 50

John W. Swygert
9900
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. operates as a retailer of brand name merchandise. The company offers housewares, bed and bath, food, floor coverings, health and beauty aids, books and stationery, toys, and electronics; and other products, including hardware, candy, clothing, sporting goods, pet and lawn, and garden products. It provides its products primarily under the Ollie's, Ollie's Bargain Outlet, Good Stuff Cheap, Ollie's Army, Real Brands Real Cheap!, Real Brands! Real Bargains, Sarasota Breeze, Steelton Tools, American Way, and Middleton Home names. As of March 23, 2022, it operated 436 stores in 29 states throughout half of the United States. The company was formerly known as Bargain Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. in March 2015. Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1982 and is headquartered in Harrisburg, Pennsylvania.

OLLI Income Statement

2023-01-28
Consolidated Statements of Income - USD ($)
shares in Thousands, $ in Thousands
12 Months Ended
Jan. 28, 2023
Jan. 29, 2022
Jan. 30, 2021
Consolidated Statements of Income [Abstract]   
Net sales$ 1,827,009$ 1,752,995$ 1,808,821
Cost of sales1,170,9151,071,7491,085,455
Gross profit656,094681,246723,366
Selling, general, and administrative expenses490,569447,615418,889
Depreciation and amortization expenses22,90719,36416,705
Pre-opening expenses11,7009,67510,272
Operating income130,918204,592277,500
Interest (income) expense, net(2,965)209(278)
Income before income taxes133,883204,383277,778
Income tax expense31,09346,92835,082
Net income$ 102,790$ 157,455$ 242,696
Earnings per common share:   
Basic (in dollars per share)$ 1.64$ 2.44$ 3.75
Diluted (in dollars per share)$ 1.64$ 2.43$ 3.68
Weighted average common shares outstanding:   
Basic (in shares)62,49564,44764,748
Diluted (in shares)62,70464,87865,873

OLLI Balance Sheet

2023-01-28
Consolidated Balance Sheets - USD ($)
$ in Thousands
Jan. 28, 2023
Jan. 29, 2022
Current assets:  
Cash and cash equivalents$ 210,596$ 246,977
Short-term investments60,1650
Inventories470,534467,306
Accounts receivable2,3741,372
Prepaid expenses and other assets10,62711,173
Total current assets754,296726,828
Property and equipment, net175,947147,164
Operating lease right-of-use assets436,326420,568
Goodwill444,850444,850
Trade name230,559230,559
Other assets2,1182,203
Total assets2,044,0961,972,172
Current liabilities:  
Current portion of long-term debt430332
Accounts payable90,204106,599
Income taxes payable3,0562,556
Current portion of operating lease liabilities88,63675,535
Accrued expenses and other76,95978,246
Total current liabilities259,285263,268
Revolving credit facility00
Long-term debt858719
Deferred income taxes70,63266,179
Long-term operating lease liabilities351,251354,293
Other long-term liabilities13
Total liabilities682,027684,462
Stockholders' equity:  
Preferred stock - 50,000 shares authorized at $0.001 par value; no shares issued00
Common stock - 500,000 shares authorized at $0.001 par value; 66,672 and 66,516 shares issued, respectively6767
Additional paid-in capital677,694664,293
Retained earnings986,512883,722
Treasury - common stock, at cost; 4,663 and 3,816 shares, respectively(302,204)(260,372)
Total stockholders' equity1,362,0691,287,710
Total liabilities and stockholders' equity$ 2,044,096$ 1,972,172